Over/Under

Thursday, March 04 2004 @ 12:48 PM EST

Contributed by: Leigh

Of the 27 predictors tracked by Diamond Mind Baseball (including 25 media outlets/prognosticators, and also the previous year's standings and current season's spring training standings), only four outperformed the Vegas over/under line in 2003. Of those four - Diamond Mind simulations, the Los Angeles Times, Baseball America and Baseball Digest - only Diamond Mind and the Times have consistently bested the House over the past three seasons.

What do the sportsbooks have on the over/under menu this year? This is, of course, for predictive value and conversation stimulation only; the Box does not endorse gambling.

Here are the standings for 2004, as contructed from the over/under win totals being offered by Bowman's.

NL East

Team     Wins
Phi      92.5
Atl      85
Fla      81.5
NYM      81
Mtl      73

NL Central

Team     Wins
ChC      93
Hou      90.5
StL      85
Cin      72
Mil      66.5
Pit      66.5

NL West

Team     Wins
SF       85
SD       84
Arz      83
LA       83
Col      73.5

AL East

Team     Wins
NYY      99.5
Bos      96.5
Tor      83
Bal      81.5
TB       69.5

AL Central

Team     Wins
Min      85.5
ChW      82.5
KC       80
Cle      74.5
Det      66.5

AL West

Team     Wins
Ana      91.5
Oak      89.5
Sea      88.5
Tex      72

Other than the lack of respect for the Jays, there is nothing too surprising here. Personally, I do not see the Tigers winning 67 games, nor do I find it likely that the A's will fewer than 90.

Observations, anyone?

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