Baseball America's Top 30 Blue Jays Prospects For 2016

Monday, March 07 2016 @ 02:52 PM EST

Contributed by: #2JBrumfield

I finally got my copy of the Old Testament - the Baseball America Prospect Handbook 2016. Let's delve into the chapter on the Blue Jays, shall we?


Anthony Alford leaped 17 spots from last year to snare Baseball America's #1 prospect ranking in the Blue Jays system. (Image from Toronto Star)

Baseball America grades each player on the traditional 20-80 scouting scale:

BA also assigns a risk factor grade for each player:

No.# Player Position Grade     Risk 2015 Rank
1
Anthony Alford
OF
60
Medium
18
2
Conner Greene
RHP
55
High
NR
3
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
OF/3B
60
Extreme
NR
4
Richard Urena
SS
55
Extreme
8
5
Sean Reid-Foley
RHP
55
Extreme
10
6
Jon Harris
RHP
50
High
NR
7
Rowdy Tellez
1B
50
High
30
8
Max Pentecost
C
55
Extreme
5
9
Justin Maese
RHP
55
Extreme
NR
10
D.J. Davis
OF
50
Extreme
21
11
Reggie Pruitt
OF
50
Extreme
NR
12
Clinton Hollon
RHP
50
Extreme
NR
13
Roemon Fields
OF
45
High
NR
14
Ryan Borucki
LHP
50
Extreme
12
15
Jose Espada
RHP
45
High
NR
16
Brady Dragmire
RHP
45
High
NR
17
Chad Girodo
LHP
40
Low
NR
18
Hansel Rodriguez
RHP
50
Extreme
NR
19
Yennsy Diaz
RHP
50
Extreme
NR
20
Lupe Chavez
RHP
50
Extreme
NR
21
Tom Robson
RHP
50
Extreme
25
22
Dan Jansen
C
45
High
20
23
Mitch Nay
3B
45
High
16
24
Matt Dean
1B/3B
45
High
NR
25
Carl Wise
3B
45
High
NR
26
Angel Perdomo
LHP
45
Extreme
NR
27
Andy Burns
3B/2B
40
Medium
24
28
Dwight Smith Jr.
OF
40
Medium
14
29
Tyler Burden
RHP
45
High
NR
30
Evan Smith
LHP
45
Extreme
NR

Anthony Alford was bested by only one player in terms of making the biggest jump inside the Top 30 rankings. That honour went to Rowdy Tellez, who shot up to number seven all the way from 30 last year. Richard Urena and Sean Reid-Foley improved their top 10 rankings to top five, going from 10-5 to 8-4 respectively. D.J. Davis re-entered the top 10 after ranking 21st in 2015. Clinton Hollon (#12) and Matt Dean (#24) made it back into the Top 30 after a one-year absence. Hollon was rated 15th two years ago. Fellow northpaw and Tommy John survivor Tom Robson saw his stock increase four spots from 25 to 21.

Players who saw their fortunes drop in the Top 30 include Dwight Smith Jr., who saw his ranking sliced in half from 14 to 28 and Mitch Nay tumbled from seven spots from 16 to 23. Max Pentecost dipped from five to eight and Ryan Borucki slipped from 12 to 14. Dan Jansen (from 22 to 20) and Andy Burns (27 to 24) saw their standings suffer a minor setback. Players who dropped out of the rankings completely were Matt Smoral (11), Lane Thomas (19), A.J. Jimenez (23) and Juan Meza (27).

There are 18 new players on this year's Top 30 list, the most prominent being Conner Greene who made it all the way to number two after being tabbed as a sleeper prospect by Baseball America last year. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is right behind Greene after being signed as a free-agent out of the Dominican Republic last year. He is joined by a trio of 2014 international signings in Hansel Rodriguez, Yennsy Diaz and Lupe Chavez and 2011 signing Angel Perdomo. Other players previously in the farm system to make their Top 30 debuts were Roemon Fields, Brady Dragmire, Chad Girodo and Evan Smith. A half-dozen players from the 2015 draft made the Top 30, led by first rounder Jon Harris as well as Justin Maese (3rd round), Reggie Pruitt, (24), Jose Espada (5), Carl Wise (4) and Tyler Burden (20).

Players no longer with the organization from last year's Top 30 include Daniel Norris (1 - Detroit), Jeff Hoffman (3 - Colorado), Miguel Castro (9 - Colorado), Dawel Lugo (15 - Diamondbacks), Chase DeJong (17 - Dodgers), Alberto Tirado (22 - Phillies), Jesus Tinoco (26 - Phillies), Nick Wells (28 - Mariners) and Matt Boyd (29 - Detroit). Players who graduated to Toronto were Aaron Sanchez (2), Dalton Pompey (4), Devon Travis (6) and Roberto Osuna (7).

Overall, the Blue Jays are ranked as having the 24th best farm system in the majors by Baseball America. That's a drop of 20 spots from 2015.




Conner Greene made an impressive jump to become the #2 prospect in the system after not being ranked in 2015. (Image from @connergreene)

Moving on to the best tools in the system, Anthony Alford is listed by Baseball America as the best hitter for average along with best strike zone discipline and best athlete. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is rated the best power hitter and Roemon Fields is the fastest baserunner. Conner Greene is considered to have the best fastball and changeup while Clinton Hollon's curveball and Sean Reid-Foley's slider are the best breaking balls in the system. Best control belongs to Chad Girodo. Defensively, Dan Jansen is rated the best catcher and Richard Urena the best infielder and best infield arm. Fields is named the best outfielder while Reggie Pruitt has the best outfield arm.

BA believes Brady Dragmire will be the top rookie on the farm in 2016 while calling for Yennsy Diaz to be the breakout prospect of 2016 and infielder John La Prise to be its sleeper candidate.

The 2019 projected lineup has Max Pentecost at catcher, Rowdy Tellez at first base, Devon Travis at second, Richard Urena at shortstop and Josh Donaldson at third. Kevin Pillar, Dalton Pompey and Anthony Alford are to man the outfield from left to right. The rotation will consist of Marcus Stroman, Marco Estrada, Conner Greene, Sean Reid-Foley and Drew Hutchison with Roberto Osuna as closer.

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