"And so, the Blue Jays must go forwards, not backwards! Upwards, not forwards! And always twirling, twirling towards freedom!"
Game 2. Can Ramon Ortiz continue to pitch like the ace of the staff? When will the bubble burst? The Jays trot out the usual lineup as of late. No Izturis, Bonifacio is at second base.
There has been a lot of talk about the Dickey effect, meaning the pitcher who pitches the day after Dickey has a benefit. I could possibly see a benefit if the following pitcher was Brandon Morrow or Josh Johnson, both of whom are very different pitchers to Dickey. I am not confident that Ortiz will have a Dickey effect.
Will the Jays reverse course? Tampa are 8-2 over their last ten games. Will home cooking work for the Jays? Can Dickey do it?
The answers to these, and many other questions, will be revealed over the next 3 hours.
"Well Rodney hadn't done it"
"The Blue Jays had won it"
"With Arencibia swinging all the while"
"Bonifacio's stolen bases made us smile"
"And Kawasaki dancing on the dugout tile"
Been a while since I produced a Data Table, but the subject of working starting pitchers on three days rest came up the other day.
Something's wrong in this house today, while the master was riding, the servants decided to play.
Tonight was a night to forget for the pitchers giving up a combined 25 runs over 4 games. Daniel Norris had another terrible outing for Lansing, raising his ERA into the double digits.
"Are they booing the Blue Jays, Smithers?'"
"Uh, no! They're saying Boo-urns. Boo-urns!"
I rolled on as the sky grew dark, I put the pedal down to make some time.
This year, I've made some adjustments to my Dominance Ratio (DR) lists. I've tried to put all the pitchers on an equal footing, analytically speaking, instead of trying to subjectively adjust for age, level, experience and performance. It's not perfect, but my motto as regards sabermetrics is: let the numbers take us as far as they can... but no farther. An explanation of the method can be found at the conclusion of this article, for those inclined to read it.
About a year ago, I introduced a new stat called Dominance Ratio (DR), right here at the Box
. Now that a year has passed, I thought I would revisit my top 10 list of dominant minor league starting pitchers and make a new top ten list for 2013.
It's finally Opening Day in Toronto. That means it's time for everyone to make some predictions about how this year's edition of the Jays will fare...
Two years ago, Mick ran a home run prediction contest
. By popular request (one request), it's back!
Dust off your crystal balls, friends. It's prognosticatin' time.
After doing this for the past four years it's becoming increasingly clear that these things fluctuate year to year. Some seasons are just harder to call than others. 2012 was one of those years - in fact, the most difficult in the RPC's history. Let's get to the results.