TDIB Saturday: Homers

Saturday, July 01 2006 @ 12:25 AM EDT

Contributed by: Magpie

Caramon was wondering how many of the runs allowed by Roy Halladay this season had come about because of home runs. This is well worth exploring, but we should put it in context. Which means that at the very least we should carry out the same exercise for the rest of the staff.

The Blue Jays have used 18 pitchers this season - 17 of them have been taken deep, and B.J. Ryan is a God among men. So let's make some Data Tables!

You can probably figure out most of these categories. Runs/HR are the number of runs charged to this pitcher that scored because of home runs allowed by this pitcher. The last figure, Pct/Runs provides the percentage of runs allowed by this pitcher that scored on home runs allowed by this pitcher.

It was necessary to drag out the italics because inherited runners sometimes score when a reliever comes in and gives up a homer.This has actually happened five times this season. Three times courtesy of Jason Frasor, once by Justin Speier and Brian Tallet. Strangely enough, in each case it was a previous reliever whose inherited runners ended up scoring - Walker and Downs once apiece, and Scott Schoenweis three times.

Pitcher             G  GS   IPT    Runs  HR  Runs on HRs Home Road  HR/9 IPT  Runs/HR Pct/Runs
Roy Halladay 16 16 114.2 43 11 12 8 3 0.86 1.09 .279
Ted Lilly 16 16 90.2 44 14 19 11 3 1.39 1.36 .432
Casey Janssen 13 13 74.0 38 7 12 4 3 0.85 1.71 .316
Josh Towers 12 12 54.1 57 16 28 7 9 2.65 1.75 .491
Gustavo Chacin 10 10 51.1 33 13 19 7 6 2.28 1.46 .576
B.J. Ryan 36 0 38.2 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 .000
Scott Downs 28 3 36.1 23 4 6 3 1 0.99 1.50 .261
Jason Frasor 32 0 31.2 19 6 10 5 1 1.70 1.67 .526
Justin Speier 36 0 31.0 9 3 4 3 0 0.87 1.33 .444
Pete Walker 19 0 27.0 16 5 7 3 2 1.67 1.40 .438
Ty Taubenheim 9 5 26.2 17 4 5 1 3 1.35 1.20 .294
Scott Schoeneweis 39 0 25.1 16 3 5 2 1 1.07 1.67 .313
A.J. Burnett 4 4 25.0 9 4 7 2 2 1.44 1.75 .778
Vinnie Chulk 17 0 19.2 15 4 8 1 3 1.83 2.00 .533
Francisco Rosario 15 0 19.2 11 3 4 2 1 1.37 1.33 .364
Brian Tallet 14 0 18.2 11 4 6 1 3 1.93 1.50 .545
Dustin McGowan 5 0 5.2 6 1 2 0 1 1.59 2.00 .333
Shaun Marcum 3 0 3.2 6 1 1 0 1 2.45 1.00 .167
TOTAL 79 79 694.0 375 103 151 60 43 1.34 1.46 .403

And here are the specifics:

Roy Halladay
Date/Opp            HR    Runs   Batters
Apr 4 vs MIN 2 2 Batista; Stewart
Apr 9 vs TB 1 1 T.Lee
May 13 atTB 1 1 Gomes
May 18 at LAA 1 1 Napoli
May 29 vs BOS 2 3 Ramirez (2 run); Crisp
Jun 3 at TB 1 1 Wigginton
Jun 13 vs BAL 1 1 Tejada
Jun 29 vs WASH 2 2 M.Anderson; M.Anderson
TOTAL 11 12

Ted Lilly
Date/Opp            HR    Runs   Batters
Apr 19 vs NYY 1 1 A.Rodriguez
Apr 26 vs BAL 1 1 Conine
May 1 at BAL 1 1 R.Hernandez
May 6 vs LAA 1 1 Salmon
May 11 vs OAK 2 2 Swisher, Swisher
May 16 at LAA 1 2 Guerrero (2 run)
May 26 vs CWS 2 2 Konerko; Konerko
May 31 vs BOS 2 3 Loretta (2 run); Ortiz
Jun 5 at BAL 1 1 Millar
Jun 10 vs DET 2 5 Inge (3 run); Thames (2 run)
TOTAL 14 19

Casey Janssen
Date/Opp             HR    Runs       Batters
May 2 at BAL 1 2 Gibbons (2 run)
May 22 vs TB 2 2 Branyan; Paul
Jun 2 at TB 1 2 Branyan (2 run)
Jun 17 at FLA 1 2 Jacobs (2 run)
Jun 23 vs NYM 2 4 Wright (3 run); Milledge
TOTAL 7 12

Josh Towers
Date/Opp             HR    Runs   Batters
Apr 5 vs MIN 1 1 Stewart
Apr 16 at CWS 2 4 Dye (2 run); Thome (2 run)
Apr 23 vs BOS 1 2 Ortiz (2 run)
Apr 29 at NYY 2 4 Giambi (3 run); Damon
May 4 at BOS 1 2 Youkilis (2 run)
May 9 vs OAK 2 3 Melhuse (2 run); Crosby
May 14 at TB 1 2 Lugo (2 run)
May 19 at COL 2 3 Atkins; Helton (2 run)
May 24 vs TB 1 2 Crawford (2 run)
Jun 20 at ATL 1 1 A.Jones
Jun 25 vs NYM 2 4 Reyes; Beltran (3 run)
TOTAL 16 28

Gustavo Chacin

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 12 at BOS 2 3 Mohr; Ortiz (2 run)
Apr 18 vs NYY 2 3 A.Rodriguez (2 run); Giambi
Apr 25 vs BAL 2 2 Tejada; Gibbons
Apr 30 at NYY 1 1 Phillips
May 10 vs OAK 3 5 Melhuse (2 run); Kotsay; Thomas (2 run)
Jun 4 at TB 3 5 Hall; Branyon; Hollins (3 run)
TOTAL 13 19

Scott Downs

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 7 vs TB 1 2 Lee (2 run)
Apr 14 at CWS 1 1 Konerko
Apr 21 vs BOS 1 1 Varitek
Jun 9 vs DET 1 2 Polanco (2 run)
TOTAL 4 6

Jason Frasor

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 5 vs MIN 1 4 Hunter (4 run)
Apr 7 vs TB 1 1 Hollins
May 24 vs TB 1 1 Hall (2 run) - 1 run charged to Schoeneweis
Jun 4 at TB 1 2 Lugo (3 run) - 1 run charged to Walker
Jun 11 vs DET 1 1 I.Rodriguez (2 run) - 1 run charged to Schoeneweis
Jun 30 vs PHA 1 1 Dellucci
TOTAL 6 10 (13 total runs scored on the HRs)

Justin Speier

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 5 vs MIN 1 1 L.Rodriguez
May 24 vs TB 1 2 Wigginton (2 run)
May 29 vs BOS 1 1 Varitek (3 run) - 2 runs charged to Downs
TOTAL 3 4 (6 total runs scored on the HRs)

Pete Walker

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 7 vs TB 1 2 Gomes (2 run)
Apr 12 at BOS 1 1 Pena
Apr 30 at NYY 1 2 Giambi (2 run)
May 30 vs BOS 1 1 Nixon
May 31 vs BOS 1 1 Nixon
TOTAL 5 7

Ty Taubenheim

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
May 20 at COL 1 1 Atkins
Jun 16 at FLA 2 3 Uggla (2 run); Cabrera
Jun 25 vs NYM 1 1 Valentin
TOTAL 4 5

Scott Schoeneweis

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 21 vs BOS 1 2 Ramirez (2 run)
Apr 28 at NYY 1 2 B.Williams (2 run)
Jun 12 vs BAL 1 1 R.Hernandez
TOTAL 3 5

A.J. Burnett

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 15 at CWS 2 4 Konerko (2 run); Konerko (2 run)
Apr 21 vs BOS 2 3 Ortiz (2 run); Ramirez
TOTAL 4 7

Vinnie Chulk

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 7 vs TB 1 3 Wigginton
Apr 11 at BOS 1 1 Ortiz
May 2 at BAL 2 4 Tejada (2 run); R.Hernandez (2 run)
TOTAL 4 8

Francisco Rosario

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
May 19 at COL 1 1 Carroll
May 28 vs CWS 1 1 Mackowiak
May 31 vs BOS 1 2 Ramirez (2 run)
TOTAL 3 4

Brian Tallet

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 13 at BOS 1 2 Ortiz (2 run)
Apr 14 at CWS 1 2 Dye (2 run)
May 1 at BAL 1 1 Tejada (2 run) - 1 run charged to Schoeneweis
May 28 vs CWS 1 1 Dye
TOTAL 4 6 (7 total runs scored on the HRs)

Shawn Marcum

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 29 at NYY 1 1 Posada
TOTAL 1 1

Dustin McGowan

Date/Opp HR Runs Batters
Apr 29 at NYY 1 2 Damon (2 run)
TOTAL 1 2


So, to answer Caramon's question - not only Doc does give up homers less often than pretty much everyone else on the staff (except the mighty Mr Ryan) - when he does allow a homer, there are almost never men on base. Ted Lilly has also done a fine job of minimizing the damage, with the exception of that bizarre afternoon when the Tigers were in town.

Whereas that star-crossed entity known as Josh Towers has not only given up an insane number of home runs - on 10 of the 16 occasions there were runners on base. The Big Damaging homer has also been a problem for Casey Janssen (who gives them up as seldom as Doc, it's just that they hurt a lot more) and Jason Frasor.

For those of you who believe, like me, that the big dome by the lake is somewhat HR-friendly to RH hitters, note the HRs allowed totals by the Jays RH and LH pitchers. The RH pitchers have allowed 36 HRs at home (55 per cent) and 29 on the road. The lefties have given up 24 HRs at home (63 per cent), and 14 on the road. It's not that big a difference, although I'm sure Ted Lilly is none too happy about it - he accounts for most of it.

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