Dan Szymborski has posted the 2007 ZIPS projections
for Toronto. The projections, both for the pitchers and the
hitters look quite favourable. Can you guess which hitter has the
best projection?
The offensive projections are about as one would have guessed, with
good production out of the outfield, the corners and DH leading to
probably about 830-850 runs. Surprises include Russ Adams having
a better offensive projection than Aaron Hill. Alex Rios'
projection is very cautious, treating his improvement last year as
mostly year to year variation. If ZIPS is right, the best hitter
on the club in 2007 will be Lyle Overbay.
The news on the pitching front is even better, if ZIPS is right.
Among the starters, the club has a top flight ace, an excellent #2, and
four candidates for the #3-#5 spots with above league average
projections. Josh Towers, 4.70 ERA, is an interesting one. The
pen is as good or better, according to ZIPS, with Ryan, League and
Frasor forming an excellent top 3. All told the projections would
suggest a runs allowed figure in the 700-720 range.
In other words, this looks like a legitimate playoff contender to ZIPS.
https://www.battersbox.ca/article.php?story=20070111221003132