Beyond the First Round - College Pitchers

Friday, May 30 2008 @ 09:23 AM EDT

Contributed by: Pistol

And now some pitchers.

One thing I found when I put this together is that I don't think there's as much college pitching depth this year. Most of the college pitchers in the 50-150 ranked range seemed to be closers. I'm not sure if that's accurate, or will change the Jays drafting in the first round, but it might get them to look a little longer at a guy like Shooter Hunt with their first pick.


Chris Carpenter, RHP, Kent St
BA Rank: 61
Year Innings ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 H/9
2005 49.1 7.66 4.8 3.7 0.9 15.4
2007 42 4.50 6.6 6.4 0.2 6.6
2008 75.2 3.81 10.5 3.9 0.1 6.6

As you can see 2006 is missing as Carpenter had TJ surgery (if I remember correctly). He was in the draft last year but didn't go as high as he wanted and went back to school (I had selected him in the Sickels mock draft). This year you can see that his recovery has picked up considerably just looking at the Ks and BBs.


Tim Murphy, LHP, UCLA
BA Rank: 63
Year Innings ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 H/9
2007 76 5.68 11.4 3.9 1.3 9.9
2008 94.2 3.52 10.2 4.2 0.8 7.2

He doesn't project at the top of the rotation, but a lefty with that Ks that many is intriguing if he's available in round 2.


Aaron Shafer, RHP, Wichita St
BA Rank: 84
Year Innings ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 H/9
2006 99.1 2.63 7.0 2.0 0.5 7.9
2007 84.2 2.23 9.6 2.5 0.6 7.4
2008 98.2 2.74 8.8 2.3 0.2 8.2

Pretty consistent every year - looks like a control pitcher.


Scott Bittle, RHP, Mississippi
BA Rank: 97
Year Innings ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 H/9
2008 66.1 1.63 16.1 3.7 0.4 4.4

I generally avoided college closers in this thread, but, one, the K/9 ratio is sick, and two, he started to get some starts late in the year, including going 7 innings against Vanderbilt.


Brad Holt, RHP, UNC-Wilmington
BA Rank: 99
Year Innings ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 H/9
2006 54.1 3.48 7.0 4.7 0.8 9.0
2007 76.1 5.90 6.3 3.8 1.7 9.8
2008 84.2 3.30 9.8 3.2 0.9 7.7

As you can see he's improved a lot in his junior year, including recent performances that have upped his draft stock to where he may be a second rounder.


Mitch Harris, RHP, Navy
BA Rank: 107
Year Innings ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 H/9
2006 82.2 1.74 12.4 2.2 0.3 6.2
2007 88.1 2.14 12.2 3.7 0.2 5.9
2008 36 3.50 9.3 2.5 0.3 9.3

An interesting player in that he's from Navy and his Naval commitment is unknown right now.


Evan Fredrickson, LHP, San Francisco
BA Rank: 116
Year Innings ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 H/9
2006 22.2 7.94 8.5 13.4 1.2 8.5
2007 34 6.35 12.4 11.9 1.3 5.3
2008 75.1 4.54 13.1 7.3 0.7 7.0

Think you can straighten him out? If so you may be on to something.


Scott Barnes, LHP, St Johns
BA Rank: 128
Year Innings ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 H/9
2006 64 3.66 10.4 4.9 0.3 7.2
2007 95.1 2.93 9.4 3.2 0.5 8.7

Like Murphy, a lefty posting good numbers.


And a blast from the past:
Year Innings ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 H/9
2001 53.1 5.91 5.9 2.7 1.5 12.7
2002 32 2.81 7.6 0.8 0.3 9.3
2003 44 2.45 11.3 2.7 0.6 7.2

Anyone want to guess who put up this line in college before being drafted by the Jays?

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If the Jays go with a hitter in round 1 I would think they would draft a college pitcher in the second round as there doesn't appear to be a lot of depth this year. In the recent past college pitchers with strong stats seem to go a little higher than their rankings (although that's just on observation without any support). So the first few players listed here could be gone by the time the Jays select in the second round at pick #63. Picks after that are #95, #129 and every 30 picks thereafter. Here's a complete draft order.

A team blogger mock draft will be posted next week. I'll post the draft early next week to see who goes where, why, and why I think the Jays will take the player I select given the players drafted ahead of them.

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