21 August 2010: 16-2

Saturday, August 21 2010 @ 06:45 AM EDT

Contributed by: Alex Obal

Not much to say after that one.

The good guys beat down the Red Sox, 16-2. Career game for Lyle Overbay, who went 4-5 with 7 RBI, including two Monster shots off Jon Lester. Everything worked out well. Jose Bautista homered, and John McDonald homered. The Jays are now 4-9 against Boston. Incidentally, the Jays are exactly 4 games behind Boston.

Tonight, Ricky Romero looks to keep the ball rolling against Daisuke Matsuzaka. Boston utterly owns Romero. He's made 7 starts against the Sox. They have lasted an average of 4.4 innings. Boston has batted .368/.464/.616 off him in those games. They've run into a bunch of outs - in particular, they are 2/6 stealing bases - yet Romero still has a ghastly 8.51 ERA against the Red Sox. He's accumulated -1.24 WPA against Boston (and +3.95 against everyone else). It's mostly bad news everywhere.

I think this was probably dumb luck at first, but now that the dumb luck has accumulated, the Sox have become firmly lodged inside Romero's head. However, there is some hope: Romero has had positive WPA in two of his Boston starts, both late in 2009. He didn't make it out of the sixth inning either time, but he did put up a combined GB% of 78.1 in those two games. You'd think inducing grounders might be the goal tonight, especially in Fenway.

Red Sox -130, first pitch 7:10.

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