Well, finally getting around to a between series thread with a day to go. Cleveland vs Toronto. Best of 7.
Jays went 3-4 this season vs Cleveland - splitting the 4 games in Toronto in late June/early July (scored just 2 runs in the 2 losses, scored 9 and 17 runs in the 2 wins, allowed a total of 13 runs over those 4 games). 1-2 in Cleveland by scores of 2-3, 6-5, 2-3. When the Jays beat Cleveland they tend to pound them. When the Jays lose it is by the thin margin. Losses went to Cecil, Osuna, Dickey, Barney (yes, that game). Wins to Biagini, Grilli, and Happ. The 17-1 game was vs Kluber (5 runs in 3 1/3 IP) while pounding relievers Gorzelanny (7 runs), Hunter (1 run in under an inning), and Gimenez (4 runs). The 9 run game saw the Jays pound McAllister (3 runs in 1 inning), Morimando, Otero and Hunter (2 runs each). The 6-5 win was thanks to getting 6 runs off starter Tomlin. Sanchez allowed all 5 against in just 4 innings.
So these teams tended to play tight games with a few blowouts for the Jays. Given Osuna will be leaned on a lot more if healthy and that even Goins kept Cleveland off the board for an inning once I like the Jays chances. As we saw vs Texas one run magic doesn't work the same in the playoffs.
Thanks Uglyone for this link: Fangraphs-how Cleveland is a breaking ball team and Toronto is a fastball pitching team.