As of 5/22, NYY was 20-23. Where do they finish?
| Under .500, out of playoffs |  11 (5.42%) |
| Over .500, but out of playoffs | 144 (70.94%) |
| AL Wild Card winner | 25 (12.32%) |
| AL East champ after BOS collapse | 17 (8.37%) |
| Other (what?) | 6 (2.96%) |
203 votes | 5 featured comments
Other. AL East champ, but not after a Boston collapse. The Sox play .500 ball the rest of the way, and the Yanks nip 'em at the finishing pole.
I'd say over .500 but out of the playoffs. The Red Sox will finished 2nd to the Jays, surging under 40-HR hitter Alex Rios and 2007 Cy Young Award winner Shaun Marcum. Marcum will finish with 18 wins, including 2 no-hitters against the Yankees.
*bursts out laughing*
*bursts out laughing*
Mike, if I give you my PO Box number will you please send me a box of whatever it is you're smokin'? Thanks in advance.
Seriously, just about everybody and their dog is in the running for the wildcard. I wouldn't be surprised to see TO or NY make it.
The Yanks were 5 games behind their Pythagorean (before today's blowout
win over the Sox) as a result of a 4-14 record in one run games so
far. Mariano Rivera's ice-cold start is the primary reason for
it. Betting on Rivera to return to form is not exactly out on a
limb.
I think the impact of Rivera's struggles on the Yanks record is a little overestimated. His play has caused three of their losses and that's it. At the quarter point of the season, that's definitely a lot, but it's not like they're doing all that great otherwise. They're 2-3 in one-run games that he's pitched in, so there is still a lot more to explain the 2-11 in the other games. Maybe they're not willing to use Rivera as often in the past so that might have an impact but, I think they're not using him because of the few save situations they have, not because they're avoiding him.
As far as him returning to form. I'm not sure that he has to. He's having one of his best K/9 rates ever. His K/BB is 3.5, not great for him, but not one of his worst seasons either.
That said, the things that are killing him are singles (likely a fluke) and HR's (almost 2 HR/9 IP and already having surrendered a season's worth of HR's for him). The HR's might be something that he has to get used to. Including the end of last season (and playoffs), he's given up 6 home runs in his last 41 innings. That's not a lot for most people, but he hasn't given up 6 HR's in a season since his rookie year and in each of those seasons, he's pitched more than 41 innings (usually almost double that).
As far as him returning to form. I'm not sure that he has to. He's having one of his best K/9 rates ever. His K/BB is 3.5, not great for him, but not one of his worst seasons either.
That said, the things that are killing him are singles (likely a fluke) and HR's (almost 2 HR/9 IP and already having surrendered a season's worth of HR's for him). The HR's might be something that he has to get used to. Including the end of last season (and playoffs), he's given up 6 home runs in his last 41 innings. That's not a lot for most people, but he hasn't given up 6 HR's in a season since his rookie year and in each of those seasons, he's pitched more than 41 innings (usually almost double that).