Welcome to quaint, old Fenway Park.
Twelve days ago, the Red Sox had to be feeling pretty good about things. They'd just finished sweeping the Damn Yankees, something always deeply satisfying to folks in New England. They'd got back above .500 and were riding a five game winning streak as they prepared for a nine game road trip.
They'd already boarded the bus to the airport when they - and the rest of us - learned that Rafael Devers, merely the guy that the lineup had been built around, had been traded, and for what looked like a very marginal return. That, I promise you, is a kick n the head for any team. The Sox did keep winning for a while, taking three of their first four west coast games. But they've since dropped their last five games, and their season has a real chance to go swirling down the drain.
Let's see if the Blue Jays can help them on their Journey to the Bottom. The Jays will conclude the first half of the schedule tonight, and depending on how this evening's game goes, they'll be on pace for 86 wins. Or 88. Which is about what most people were expecting, as I recall.
It's how they got there that's somewhat more interesting. Because it certainly had very little to do with any of Ross Atkins' big, splashy off-season moves - Max Scherzer, Anthony Santander, and Andres Gimenez have been either injured, underwhelming, or both. I realize Santander was, to a large extent, replacing Davis Schneider in the lineup, so it's not like much was lost. It's still been disappointing. There is, of course, still half a season remaining for that part of the story to change.
But a great many of Atkins' smaller moves, that generally went completely under the radar at the time, have worked out better than anyone could have dreamed - getting Brendon Little in a straight cash deal, signing Eric Lauer off the refuse pile after he's been released by the Astros. Nathan Lukes was a six year minor leaguer who'd just hit .219/.294/.319 in AAA at age 24. Not to mention signing Ernie Clement after he'd been released by the Athletics. I would also suggest that Myles Straw has been far more useful than anyone could have dreamed, about as useful as a guy who really can't hit could possibly be. The dumpster diving has gone well, although I don't know if that describes Lauer - he was a quality starting pitcher
on a contending team for a couple of years. He's someone recovering his
form rather than a guy doing something completely unforeseeable.
But a key thing that's gone right was, I would suggest, quite easy to foresee. After all, I foresaw it, which suggests that it was probably Pretty Bleeding Obvious. The main thing that went wrong with the 2024 Blue Jays was the horrible, awful, no-good bullpen - something that should always be easy to fix, as useful relief pitchers grow on trees - and the surprising under-performance of three key hitters (Bichette, Springer, Kirk). Two of those three (Bichette and Springer) I was pretty confident would bounce back smartly. And so they have. Kirk's bat bouncing back to life as well has been a welcome bonus.