Given the Jays have been after the Japanese market for years I could see them going all-out here and getting Taira, Suzuki, and Sato. = $18+$26.25+$16 = $60.25 leaving the Jays shy of $300 mil. I doubt they'll be that cheap though. I think MLBTR is grossly underestimating what guys will get this winter. If they will sign for that the Jays should do it immediately. Add $16 a year for Morejon and the club is set outside of maybe 2B (Clement might be OK but I could see Torres as a cheap sign to fill in the roster, or go all-out and grab Lowe).
MLBTR's 3 experts have the Jay signing (at least 1 of the 3 picking the Jays to sign): Trevor Rogers, Suzuki, Arozarena, Taira, Lowe,
Kevin Gausman (2 picked the Jays here). While being in the hunt for Skubal, Peralta,
Michael King,
Tyler Mahle,
Clay Holmes,
Ian Happ, Chisholm Jr,
Foster Griffin,
Dustin May,
David Peterson,
Bryan Abreu,
Hiromi Itoh,
Joc Pederson, and
Taylor Ward. Lets see others try to fit the roughly $80-90 mil I'm assuming the Jays have to spend this winter (on a per year basis). If do do the 3 Japanese players plus Lowe and Morejon I'll be grinning ear to ear, hoping beyond hope we get a 2027. I figured MLBTR would estimate better than I could, but other sites did this too - FanGraphs
2027 Top 50 Free Agents is a good source - Skubal 10/$380, Rogers 4/$104, Peralta 4/$92, Taira 3/$48, Suzuki 4/$108, Arozarena 3/$69, Sato 5/$110, Morejon 3/$72, Lowe 2/$38, Chisholm 4/$92, Arraez 2/$38, Torres 2/$28. Using FG my 3 Japanese are $16+$27+$22 = $65 mil, a bit more expensive. Morejon $24, Lowe $19 - that Morejon seems way too high, no way a non-closer would get that much from me but the Japanese trio plus Lowe for $74 mil? Sign me up!
My bet is the Jays use Rogers fiscal flexibility to do big bonuses for guys, bonuses they get paid regardless of a lockout. That could be the divider between the Jays and other rich clubs this winter. Skubal at $38 to $47.2 per year is just too much to make sense imo - let the Dodgers do that. Lets see others guesses as to what the Jays do.