At the Quarter Pole

Friday, May 19 2006 @ 10:00 AM EDT

Contributed by: Pistol

The Blue Jays have played 40 games this season.  The good news is that at their current .575 winning percentage they are on pace for 93 wins.  The bad news is that 93 wins right now is 3rd in the AL East and 3rd in the wildcard.

What do the players look like spread over 162 games?

 

Player

AB

HR

RBI

Runs

SB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Gregg Zaun 227 20 53 28 0 0.339 0.383 0.696 1.080
Alex Rios 547 32 117 101 16 0.356 0.374 0.667 1.041
Vernon Wells 648 41 134 105 16 0.350 0.401 0.613 1.014
Troy Glaus 559 49 138 142 4 0.261 0.360 0.587 0.947
Frank Catalanotto 385 12 65 53 0 0.305 0.429 0.484 0.913
Reed Johnson 312 0 24 101 16 0.364 0.473 0.429 0.902
Shea Hillenbrand 531 16 77 81 0 0.344 0.380 0.511 0.892
Lyle Overbay 571 20 97 73 4 0.298 0.385 0.468 0.853
Bengie Molina 417 16 49 49 0 0.291 0.327 0.447 0.774
Russ Adams 446 8 65 73 4 0.255 0.306 0.382 0.688
Eric Hinske 219 4 20 36 0 0.259 0.333 0.352 0.685
Aaron Hill 531 0 41 53 0 0.206 0.241 0.282 0.524
John McDonald 211 0 8 36 16 0.231 0.255 0.250 0.505

*  I have to say I had no idea Zaun had a SLG% that high.
*  No surprise, but Rios would be the player who broke out the most this season
*  Glaus' counting stats would make him an MVP candidate, and Wells isn't far behind.  It strikes me as odd that Wells has so many fewer runs than Glaus when his OBP is higher.
*  The Jays would get 36 HRs and 102 RBIs from the catcher position
*  Aaron Hill - ouch.

Starters

Innings

Wins

Ks

BBs

HRs

ERA

Roy Halladay 227 20 126 41 20 3.04
Ted Lilly 186 16 146 101 28 3.52
Josh Towers 154 4 81 49 41 8.45
Gustavo Chacin 158 20 93 65 41 5.31
Casey Janssen 130 8 53 20 4 3.06
A.J. Burnett 41 0 41 8 16 6.30
Relievers
B.J. Ryan 74 0 81 16 0 0.48
Scott Downs 70 0 57 28 12 4.58
Pete Walker 70 4 69 24 12 4.58
Justin Speier 58 4 36 32 4 1.84
Vinnie Chulk 58 0 49 16 16 7.36
Jason Frasor 53 4 41 32 8 8.31
Scott Schoeneweis 49 0 32 20 8 7.30
Brian Tallet 28 4 20 16 12 9.00
Dustin McGowan 21 4 28 24 4 7.94
Francisco Rosario 20 4 20 4 0 0.00
Shaun Marcum 9 0 8 16 4 13.50

 BJ Ryan is on pace for 36 saves.  Pete Walker is on pace for 4 saves.

*  Halladay with 20 wins - seems realistic
*  Chacin with 20 wins giving up 41 HRs - not so realistic
*  Lilly - 16 wins, 3.52 ERA in a hitter's park - free agency will be kind
*  BJ Ryan's a decent pitcher
*  Speier's not bad either - free agency will be good to him too
*  Chulk, Frasor, SS Loogy, Tallet, McGowan, Marcum - ouch

 

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