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According the greatness of our friends at BaseballReference.com, there are currently 27 (okay, actually 26) players who already have at least 1800 career hits. The active career hit leader, with  2965 is, of course, Derek Jeter, who will join the 3000-hit club some time in the next four or five weeks. Who else will join Jeter in the Rose-to-Clemente dropdown list?

Let's take a look ... there aren't really all that many candidates!



Player (age)

Hits

 Get to 3000? Comment

Derek Jeter (37)

2965

Give him  a month or so ..hes a  mortal lock, first Yankee to get there

Ivan Rodriguez (39)

2832

Showing age, probably unlikely to be first catcher to get to 3000 overall

Omar Vizquel (44)

2813

Start carving the HOF plaque, but he doesnt have another 180+ hits left in him, does he?

Alex Rodriguez (35)

2703

Will be the all-time leader in hits among Rodriguezes by the end of 2012, then on to 3000 and beyond.

Johnny Damon (37)

2607

First in 3000-hit club to not make the Hall of Fame? Its possible

Manny Ramirez (39)

2574

Well, he retired last nonth, so not so much!

Chipper Jones (39)

2529

May need some time DHing for an AL club to get there.

Vladimir Guerrero (36)

2470

500+ hits away? Father Time not going to make it.

Miguel Tejada (37)

2311

Seems wildly unlikely.

Bobby Abreu (37)

2296

Hes 37? Really? Miht have to settle for aiming at 2500.

Ichiro Suzuki (37)

2294

Already way, way past 3000 as a pro, including Japan. Wouldnt be shocked if he played until hes 45 and ends up near Hank Aarons 3700+.

Todd Helton (37)

2274

Fading a bit, not going to get another 700+ hits.

Edgar Renteria (34)

2270

Um .. no.

Jim Thome (40)

2228

Great career, HOFer, not getting to 3K.

Magglio Ordonez (37)

2089

Best case scenario: unlikely.

Carlos Lee (35)

2002

Just crossed 2000, which you could have gotten pretty good odds against five years ago

Orlando Cabrera (36)

1986

Not going to happen.

Scott Rolen (36)

1964

2000 seems likely, hey?

Albert Pujols (31)

1942

Not clearly a slam dunk, but hard to imagine Albert NOT getting there; hes just 31!

Adrian Beltre (32)

1926

Shockingly, Beltre is just a year older than Albert and has almost as many hits. Not a bad bet.

Jason Giambi (40)

1917

Um fuhgeddaboutit!

Paul Konerko (35)

1910

Older than youd think, and not the kind of guy whos going to get 1100 hits in the next five or six years.

Michael Young (34)

1902

Hes hitting .340 this year; if he can adjust to full-time DH or find a defensive position, this could happen.

Placido Polanco (35)

1888

Shocking he has this many as it is.

Juan Pierre (33)

1880

No, no, no.

Derrek Lee (35)

1878

Great hitter, once.

Andruw Jones (34)

1849

The oldest 34 in MLB history.

The only other players already across 1500 career hits who are younger than 35 are Carlso Beltran (1798 at 34, not happening), Jimmy Rollins (1757 at 32, not unthinkable), Aramis Ramirez (1654 at 33, not happening), Rafael Furcal (1613 at 33, nope), Aubrey Huff (1586 at 34, not happening), old pal Vernon Wells (1555 at 32, we know better) and the only under-30 on the list, Carl Crawford (1512 at 29 but seems a reach).

 

Anyone else to add?

Who's on deck for 3000? | 10 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
smcs - Monday, May 16 2011 @ 10:54 PM EDT (#234977) #
Miguel Cabrera is at 1443 and turned 28 in April.
ayjackson - Monday, May 16 2011 @ 11:00 PM EDT (#234978) #
After Jeter on that list, I`d say just ARod and Pujols make it to 3k.
brent - Tuesday, May 17 2011 @ 12:36 AM EDT (#234992) #
I can see I-Rod sticking it out to get to 3,000. I mean, it's only 170 hits away and that would have to be such a motivator.
TamRa - Tuesday, May 17 2011 @ 12:50 AM EDT (#234994) #
Pudge, yes. Damon? no. Suzuki is a fascinating case.


92-93 - Tuesday, May 17 2011 @ 01:02 AM EDT (#234996) #
I hold out hope for Vlad, who I've always been a fan of. If he finishes this year at 2600 and kicks around for awhile as a bench bat/DH, ya never know.
Anders - Tuesday, May 17 2011 @ 10:07 AM EDT (#235016) #
Hanley could be as high as about 1100 after his age 27 season, and Wright 1300 at 28. I don't think it's especially likely, but certainly it's possible. Robinson Cano started a little later but has come on like gangbusters as well.
Ryan Day - Tuesday, May 17 2011 @ 10:41 AM EDT (#235019) #
Pudge is close enough that he's going to hang in until 3,000 unless one of his legs falls off. And someone's always going to be willing to sign a catcher who used to be famous and is close to a historical milestone.

Things like this are often a crapshoot, since it's so tough to predict how a player might age in his mid-to-late thirties. Sometimes they age gracefully, sometimes they just fall apart suddenly. Andruw Jones was on pace for all sorts of great things when he was 29, but it seems like he's further away from his glory days than Pudge.
robertdudek - Tuesday, May 17 2011 @ 09:31 PM EDT (#235085) #
Will Ichiro break Rose's record if you add Japanese league hits - how far away is he?
Mike Green - Tuesday, May 17 2011 @ 09:58 PM EDT (#235087) #
Ichiro is 528 hits behind Rose per the baseball cube.

Jose Reyes has 1175 hits through age 28. Obviously Carl Crawford has a better chance.

It should be noted that Jose Bautista is only 2390 hits away. Twelve years @ 200 hits per seems eminently doable!
Magpie - Wednesday, May 18 2011 @ 10:33 AM EDT (#235095) #
Twelve years @ 200 hits per seems eminently doable!

Alas, guys who walk that often simply never get 200 hits in a season. Ted Williams never did (career best 194) , Barry Bonds never did (career best 181).

I'm certain Suzuki would have more professional hits if he hadn't stayed in Japan so long. He only had one 200 hit season there, because of the 130 game schedule. If he had come to North America at age 20, I think he'd be at most two good years way from Rose's MLB record. Maybe closer than that...
Who's on deck for 3000? | 10 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.