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It was not a particularly notable day on the farm. Buffalo had the only win and it took eleven innings to get it. New Hampshire and Vancouver were comprehensively beaten, while Dunedin blew a win with a two run error in the ninth inning.

Buffalo 9 Syracuse 7 - 11 innings

New Hampshire 2 Bowie 8

Vancouver 2 Eugene 7

Dunedin 4 St Lucie 5

This is what I noted from yesterday's games.

Jacob Waguespack pitched well, again. He is, at this stage, the most reliable starter in Buffalo. Once again the reliable bullpen was less than reliable, four of the five relievers used conceded a run.

Breyvic Valera had three hits and scored three runs out of the lead off position. Christian Colon, Dilson Herrera and Tyler White homered.

After being one hit yesterday, the Fisher Cats were no hit for four innings today and ended with three hits. LJ Talley scored both runs after a double and a walk.

The New Hampshire starter was Reilly Hovis, a 27 year old who was signed from the Gastonia Honey Catchers. He did not make a good first impression as he allowed six runs in 4.2 innings.

The C's scored two runs, both solo home runs by Sebastian Espino and Luis De Los Santos. In the series De Los Santos was 10-25 with three home runs.

Brian Rapp, another free agent pitcher signed by the Jays, made his second start. Like Hovis, it didn't go well. Rapp gave up five runs in three innings.

Dunedin took a 4-3 lead to the bottom of the ninth. With Julian Valdez pitching, St Lucie had runners on first and second with one out. Valdez got a ground ball to third but Harry Ray threw it away allowing both runners to score.

Ray had earlier hit a two run home run. Mac Mueller was the only Jay with two hits.

Three Stars

Third Star - Dilson Herrera

Second Star - Jacob Waguespack

First Star - Breyvic Valera


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scottt - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 05:51 AM EDT (#401097) #
Milone was the first reliever out of the gates. He walked 3 and gave up one home run in his 1 inning.
Lucky to escape with only 2 earned runs. Smith went 2 for 5. I thought Tellez would be there getting regular AB. I guess not. Everyone except Vicuna had a hit and they scored 9 runs. Bergen gave up a home run and walked 2 after that. Harris walked one 1 but before giving his home run to bring his ERA to 2.37 and pick up the win.

The Mets affiliate had Brandon Drury playing DH (.669 OPS) and Cameron Maybin was in left field (.404 OPS). The starting center field was Nimmo (.643 OPS). The lineup looks kinda weak, actually.

bpoz - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 11:02 AM EDT (#401107) #
To continue our discussion on our best hitting prospects, I like to compare bb/k factors rather than ratios.

S Taylor 35% Ks. The NH home field may be helping his HRs.

K Smith 29% Ks.

G Moreno 17% Ks. bb is just ok rather than elite.

I am unable to conclude anything. They are all doing well. In years past I would be gushing about all these prospects.

A Martin 30% Ks.

J Groshans 25% Ks.

Sorry my comment was in the middle of this list.

BBs are ok. K Smith is very good at 17%. A Martin too at 15%

hypobole - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 11:25 AM EDT (#401109) #
bpoz, where are you getting your K%?
I'm looking at FG:

Samad 30.2%
Martin 24.7%
Groshans 22.5%
Moreno 15.2%
mendocino - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 12:00 PM EDT (#401115) #
Dasan Brown got a hit yesterday for Dunedin.

FCL Blue Jays first game today

uglyone - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 12:17 PM EDT (#401117) #
Some more encouraging details about Smith's surge now that he's approaching a quite significant 200pa this year...

Even though his 24.5k% is still higher than you want to see, he has managed to reduce his swinging strike significantly down to 11.6%, his lowest since A ball. (career in order 15.0% - 9.3% - 14.7% - 17.7% - 11.6%).

This of course dovetails with his continuing and extremely impressive surge in BB% ...he's up to an extremely good 14.7bb% now, which is more than just an improvement but more of a revolution for him (career in order 5.7% - 8.3% - 6.2% - 6.2% - 14.7%)

So while his strikeouts are still more than you'd like to see, they seem to be more a result of taking borderline pitches this year instead of swinging at them....which imo is a very, very, very good thing. It doesn't just fully explain his huge increase in BBs this year, but also explains his huge improvement in quality of contact this year, as he's doing a much better job of only swinging at the pitches he wants to swing at.

Now he likely still has holes in his swing, so it'll still be a question of whether he can remain as discerning when it comes to the much tougher breaking pitches in MLB, but if he can carry some of that new eye up to the bigs than he could become pretty dang good.
bpoz - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 12:31 PM EDT (#401119) #
hypobole, I use the boxscores provided on da box. Click on the player and get his line then do the math. Wrong math?

Players like Vlad, Jansen and Kirk have impressed me over the years by having equal bb/k. Sometimes more bb.
scottt - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 12:41 PM EDT (#401120) #
k%= K/PA * 100

Taylor:  57/189 = 0.3016

bpoz - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 12:47 PM EDT (#401122) #
I will mention Grichuk in the prospect thread. Last year her won games for us (my memory) with a timely HR. Clutch or not clutch, I don't know.

He does not take enough bb and his Ks are a bit high. This year many of us think his contract is pretty good. He took his time improving.

So S Taylor and K Smith could become as good. Don't know if Taylor will hit HRs as well. Smith might. Taylor and Smith seem to be better at SBs.

I do learn something from the poor base stealing that happens less this year as compared to last year. Experience and Maturity I suppose.
85bluejay - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 01:13 PM EDT (#401125) #
Overall, disappointed by the performance of the Jays pitching prospects this season.
hypobole - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 01:22 PM EDT (#401126) #
"Wrong math?"

It's long ago math, bpoz. Many years ago, K% was K's per AB, the way you're doing it.

It's now K's per PA, like scottt showed.

The milb lines don't show PA's.

bpoz - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 01:35 PM EDT (#401127) #
Thanks hypobole. So a sac fly is not an AB? But it is a PA?

uglyone - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 01:43 PM EDT (#401128) #
Hard for me to be too dissappointed with the P prospects when Manoah crushed AAA and has held his own in MLB ahead of schedule.

Also, despite his bad outing last outing SWR's underlying numbers are still tremendous, especially considering he's a couple years young for AA.

Pearson is a dissappointment but has got his AAA numbers back to respectable with a 3.86fip/4.16xfip.

Those were the big 3 prospects coming in.

Kloffenstein is the first one down the list who has truly been unredeemably bad. So bad it puts his prospect status in doubt already.

So maybe....

Manoah A+
Pearson C
Kloffenstein F

i'm not sure we had any other actual pitching prospects to expect anything out of?
bpoz - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 01:59 PM EDT (#401131) #
The GCL also named Florida Complex League started play today. Jays leading the Phils 6-5 in the 5th inning.

I don't have any more info.
Gerry - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 02:01 PM EDT (#401132) #
Eric Pardinho is listed on the FCL roster. As is John Axford.
cascando - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 02:03 PM EDT (#401133) #
Van Eyk is a legitimate SP prospect. He has been pretty good in Vancouver.

Pardinho is well off the radar, but could get back into games soon. He's going to be very intriguing to watch.

The only other guy that I found interesting was Zulueta, but we won't be seeing him anytime soon, if ever.
scottt - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 02:12 PM EDT (#401134) #
Estiven Machado and  Rikelin De Castro, also.

No Manuel Beltre.

Chuck - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 02:38 PM EDT (#401138) #
So a sac fly is not an AB? But it is a PA?

Plate appearances that don't count as at-bats: BB, HBP, SAC, SF, CI (catcher's interference).

GabrielSyme - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 02:38 PM EDT (#401139) #
GCL Blue Jays now tied at 7 in the 7th. Notable guys so far: Axford was the opener, gave up a hit, got a strikeout - nothing to worry about. Yaifer Perdomo (who I had not heard of before) was the real starter, and had a nice game from an analytical point of view: 4 innings, 7 Ks, no walks but allowed 5 runs on just four hits (no HRs) and a hit batter though.

Machado was pulled for a pinch-runner after a single in the first inning - hopefully not serious. D'Orazio went 2-3 with a 2B; Gabriel Martinez also 2-3. Rikelvin de Castro only 1-4.
Chuck - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 02:45 PM EDT (#401140) #
The milb lines don't show PA's.

They do at BBRef.

hypobole - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 03:49 PM EDT (#401144) #
Yeah, BBRef or FG. But the box scores go to the milb site, and those player stats are AB only for some reason.
scottt - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 04:07 PM EDT (#401145) #
Pardinho is only 20.
bpoz - Monday, June 28 2021 @ 06:07 PM EDT (#401148) #
Pardinho has to get healthy and stay healthy. Borucki had to also get healthy and stay healthy. He was 40 man protected after 2016 when he pitches about all of the season in Lansing. Next year he did well in Dunedin and dominated NH. AA is supposed to be a tough step. It was not for him. In 2018 did quite well in AAA and also pretty good in the ML. Jays were bad in 2018.

So there is hope for Pardinho. I also said that Ohashi would be pitching for the Jays the 2nd half of 2022. Wishful thinking based on Brandon Lyon, B Saberhagen and D Gooden doing well as very young pitchers.
Cynicalguy - Tuesday, June 29 2021 @ 12:28 AM EDT (#401155) #
There's a roster page for DSL Jays:

Not sure if it's outdated, but has Beltre listed on it. Can't seem to find a schedule for DSL Jays.
Jonny German - Tuesday, June 29 2021 @ 03:39 AM EDT (#401159) #
With the Dominican league underway I'm left with just 1 prospect in my spreadsheet whose whereabouts is unknown - Robert Robertis, a Venezuelan outfielder signed for $750K in July 2019. He is not listed at all on, and his page has no further info besides the date he signed.

The shortstop de Castro seems to have an identity crisis - early reports called him "Rikelvin", then it was "Rikelbin", now he seems to be "Rikelin".
mendocino - Tuesday, June 29 2021 @ 05:57 AM EDT (#401161) #
DSL starts July 12. Blue Jays will have one team. The Blue Jays were supposed to also share a team with the Brewers but the Brewers decided to go with two full teams. The extra Blue Jays players will play non official games out of the Jays Dominican complex.
bpoz - Tuesday, June 29 2021 @ 09:10 AM EDT (#401162) #
That is good Jonny German. So Glen Santiago, Nick Neal, Michael Dominguez, Jackxarel Lebron and JC Masson are all assigned somewhere. Which is good.
scottt - Tuesday, June 29 2021 @ 11:41 AM EDT (#401187) #
It's not uncommon for latino players to make up names. They also often make up birth certificates...
Ervin Santana, for example, changed his name from Johan Ramon Santana because he didn't want to be confused with the great Venezuelan pitcher.

jerjapan - Tuesday, June 29 2021 @ 11:55 AM EDT (#401194) #
I taught ESL for years, and had a LOT of kids who told me there names were spelled incorrectly due to communication barriers when immigrating.  I'm certain an element of that is at play with some of the naming inconsistencies. 

Ex-Bauxite Tammy Rainey has another of her 'A Fortnight on the Farm" posts up at Blue Jays Nation.  She is always worth a read for prospect-heads.
hypobole - Tuesday, June 29 2021 @ 09:30 PM EDT (#401242) #
Not just Austin Martin who is out. Gabriel Moreno hasn't played since Friday. No idea why.
greenfrog - Tuesday, June 29 2021 @ 09:56 PM EDT (#401251) #
Kevin Smith is back at it. 2/3 with a HR (#11), two runs scored, four RBI so far tonight.
uglyone - Tuesday, June 29 2021 @ 10:04 PM EDT (#401253) #
Free him!
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