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The Tampa Yankees are one of the best teams in the minor leagues. The racked up 78 runs on Dunedin in the opening six games of the season. So it was more of the same when they scored 21 runs in the first game of a doubleheader yesterday. But, in the second game, in "you never know in baseball", one of the hottest teams in baseball were held to one run by three pitchers with ERA's over six at the start of the game. Orelvis homered, again, in game one. Elsewhere Breyvic Valera led the Bisons to a win. New Hampshire and Vancouver lost. The complex Jays split a doubleheader and had some good hitting and pitching performances.

Buffalo 4 Rochester 2

New Hampshire 1 Binghamton 5

Spokane 5 Vancouver 4

Tampa 21 Dunedin 2 - game 1

Tampa 1 Dunedin 3 - game 2

FCL Blue Jays 14 FCL Tigers 4 - completion of suspended game

FCL Tigers 3 FCL Blue Jays 1 - game 2

This is what I noted from yesterday's games.

Breyvic Valera drove in two runs in the ninth to turn a tied game into a 4-2 win. Valera had three hits and drove in three of Buffalo's four runs.

The Bisons used six pitchers, three of whom pitched in the majors this season. Tommy Milone started and threw two innings. Nick Allgeyer pitched the longest, 2.2 innings, allowing one run with four K's. John Axford pitched another clean inning.

Maximo Castillo wasn't good as the New Hampshire starter. In three innings Binghamton had six hits and two walks. He was charged with four runs.

The Fishers Cats had seven hits, all singles. Austin Martin and Tanner Kirwer had two each.

Paxton Schultz was pitching well for Vancouver and the game was tied at one headed to the sixth. But Schultz have up a sac fly followed by a three run home run and it was a 5-1 game.

The bottom two hitters in the order had five of the C's eight hits. Davis Schneider went 3-4 and DJ Neal 2-4.

Sem Robberse had to face the red hot Tampa Yankees in game one. It went well for two innings but in the third the Yankees got to him for four runs on six hits. He threw 65 pitches in three innings. He was the best of Dunedin's four pitchers. Orelvis Martinez hit his eighth home run. He was 2-2 and was twice hit by a pitch.

Good pitching held down Tampa in game two. Trent Palmer pitched three hitless innings. He walked four and struck out three. Nathanael Perez threw two shutout innings. Gabriel Ponce gave up a run in his two innings.

The Jays scored three runs on three hits. All three runs came in the third inning. Steward Berroa and Leo Jimenez each singled in a run. Zac Cook scored the third run when he stole home as part of a double steal.

Victor Mejiaan 18 year old, hitting third, hit his first home run, a three run shot. He also had another hit, a double, and another RBI. Amell Brazoban, 19 years old, had three hits, two of them doubles. Dahian Santos pitched well in his second good appearance. He went four innings, did give up a two run home run, but struck out six.

In game two, Eric Pardinho pitched two innings as he works his way back from injury. Jonatan Bernal, a 19 year old from Mexico followed and pitched five shutout innings with four K's.

Three Stars

Third Star - Amell Brazoban

Second Star - Victor Mejia

First Star - Breyvic Valera


Dunedin Handle Tampa in Unlikely Fashion | 17 comments | Create New Account
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ramone - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 10:25 AM EDT (#402004) #
A bit of draft talk, Kiley McDaniel at ESPN just released his mock and has Florida prep OF Jay Allen going to the Jays. Several mocks in the last few days have Allen going to the Jays as well.
scottt - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 10:52 AM EDT (#402008) #
The only time I remember the mock drafts being accurate is when the Jays drafted Warmoth.

Shane Farrell talked about casting a wider net, regardless of age, position or schooling.
In Particular, looking at smaller schools rather than focusing on the well scouted Atlantic Coast and Southeastern Conferences. The Jays have been conduction meetings with 20-25 cross-checkers, analysts and front office members in Dunedin, setting up their draft board.

Jay Allen plays football, basketball and baseball. Possibly the top 3 sport athlete in the US.
Shades of Alford. 

hypobole - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 11:30 AM EDT (#402012) #
One interesting thing from Goldstein the other day, is that valuations are much different not just from mocks or media evaluators, but also from team to team.

He gave the example of a team drafting 15th. When their pick comes up, between 3 and 7 of their own top 15 targets are still available.
85bluejay - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 12:33 PM EDT (#402014) #
If Allen can't stay in CF as I've read, then I'm not excited about him as the Jays 1st pick.
bpoz - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 01:27 PM EDT (#402020) #
If the Jays take a position player I believe that his hit tool has to be good or better. I follow prospects and draft players that have a hit tool of 55 or better. W Franco 80, Torkelson 60, Rutschman 60, A Martin 65, Groshans 55.

Other things matter as well.

G Conine 45, but incredible power but Ks a lot.

Moreno, Lopez, O Martinez all have 55 hit and play important positions. Their bonuses were very different too. I feel Moreno and Lopez must have had their hit tool updated as time went on.

Hiraldo, L Jimenez and D Brown are 50 and received decent bonuses.

E Machado 55. I don't know his bonus amount.

I would think that some hit as a higher level, others equal and others below. The rankings get adjusted. Also having a good eye at the plate does not really get ranked. D Jansen and Biggio have good eyes.

Jay Allen is a 50. The Jays will take him only if they believe he is better than that IMO.
jerjapan - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 02:15 PM EDT (#402027) #
I'm not stoked on Allen either, but this could be a value pick, if they see potential overslot picks in later rounds. 

We already have more than enough Randal Grichuk types.
bpoz - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 02:28 PM EDT (#402029) #
Wes Kath has similar tools to Groshans. 55 hit tool but a 3B. Ranked #34 on the latest top 200 draft picks. I think we will take someone listed from #15 to 35/40.
jerjapan - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 02:50 PM EDT (#402034) #
Great stuff by Shi Davidi on Samad Taylor. 

He's going to have to be added to the 40 man this year, so he's starting to look like a September call-up to me.
jerjapan - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 02:51 PM EDT (#402036) #
PeterG - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 02:59 PM EDT (#402040) #
There are only 2 September call ups now so Samad Taylor will not be one of them. He is among the prospects most likely to be traded, along with Kevin Smith and Chavez Young. There won't be room for them on 40 man if Jays intend to sign FA's in the offseason.
Jonny German - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 03:22 PM EDT (#402041) #
Those are 3 very different prospects.

Chavez Young hasnít done anything to distinguish himself this year. He wonít be on the 40-man and he wonít be Rule 5íd.

Samad Taylor has put up some very impressive numbers, but also a K rate of 31% which makes it hard to picture him making it work in the bigs. He;s top-30 but not by much, and I think heís very likely to be included in a deadline deal.

Kevin Smith has made a truly impressive return to form and will most certainly be added to the 40-man (if not traded before thatís necessary).
jerjapan - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 03:31 PM EDT (#402043) #
PeterG, I disagree with you on Taylor.  No way the team risks losing him this offseason - there is plenty of detritus on the 40 man, and Taylor has real helium in the system.  On top of that, he plays the game the way the club does.  He's like Davis, but good, and he can play 3B and 2B as well as getting reps in CF.  He has reverse splits unfortunately, but his speed and versatility alone seem perfect for September / the playoffs. 

I could see the pitching being such a mess that there is no space for him, or something like that, but even then, he's going to added to the 40 man in the offseason, along with Smith. 
scottt - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 03:39 PM EDT (#402045) #
For September call ups I'd expect Kirk as 3rd catcher and an extra pitcher.
uglyone - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 03:45 PM EDT (#402047) #
I'm not going to get excited about Taylor just yet.

The one promising part of his Stateline is his huge power jump to a .264iso. That is very nice power. If it's sustainable.

But otherwise....he strikes out a whole lot. His .408 babip is not only nowhere near sustainable, but it's also over 100pts higher than his average.....which spells doom for his avg when that babip comes down to earth. His walk rate is decent but not great.

I dunno. I'm a skeptic.

The only two offensive stats lines that are legit exciting to me in the high minors right now are Kirk and Moreno. Everyone else has major gaps.

Kevin Smith would be 3rd there but that's because he's an his hitting line has major issues too.
jgadfly - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 03:56 PM EDT (#402049) #
Has Livan Chaviano surfaced yet ... Sotolongo on FCL Blue Jays roster playing 3 games at 1st
jerjapan - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 03:59 PM EDT (#402050) #
Taylor has upside even if his offense is unsustainable though.  Utility player strikes me as his floor.  The Ks have always been a problem for him, no doubt.  Even if his role is only in late game substutions, he's perfect.  Having said that, I've never seen the guy play D.
PeterG - Friday, July 09 2021 @ 04:11 PM EDT (#402052) #
New BA mock has Jays selecting LHP Jordan Wicks from Kansas State.
Dunedin Handle Tampa in Unlikely Fashion | 17 comments | Create New Account
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