I marked down 4.65. That's not a knock against Schoeneweis. As an extreme groundball pitcher, I see him as one who will be more markedly affected by the offseason changes. He may be able to adapt by pitching up more against lefties and hopefully striking out more.

I would say 4.65 is a lot more logical choice than 3.15 - Scott has been a lot closer to (and over) 5 than 3

I went for 3.45, on the lower end. Schoeneweis was horrible at the beginning of the year (ERA in April and May : 6.75) as Gibbons figured out how to use him and Schoeneweis adjusted to his new role as LOOGY. Now that he's used to it, and Gibbons knows him, I'd be tempted to pick an even lower number.

I went with the lower end of the spectrum at 3.15, but I think he'll be better than that. The odds of him facing any significant right-handed batters are very low, and he's shown a consistent ability to embarrass lefties - they've hit 218/284/265 off him over the past three years, and SS held them to 188/260/241 in his first year as a LOOGY.

I also suspect he'll get a bit more rest this year: Downs will be able to provide some relief early in the game, while BJ will likely handle a lot of late-inning lefties.