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And you’re kicking
And you’re shouting at me
And I’m relying on your common decency

Yesterday the Jays got what they needed: They beat the tar out of someone. Is it just me, or does Delgado run himself out of more innings than the rest of the Jays combined?
  1. There was all kinds of fun in yesterday's 15-3 rout of the Orioles. Here's what the reporters have to say in: Spencer Fordin's "Jays score early and often in rout", Jeff Blair's "Birds of a feather all hit together", and AP's "Jays hammer O's".

  2. Today's matchup features the 0-2 Ted Lilly for the 6-12 Blue Jays against the 2-1 Brad Radke for the 12-6 Twinkie. It's an 8:10 start at the Metrodome. Mr. Fordin has a game preview.

  3. Fordin Notes on the pitching moves we discussed yesterday. A couple of other writers also wrote about the moves: Jeff Blair of the Globe in "Miller gets call from Blue Jays" and Mike Rutsey of the Sun in "Jays reload arms".

  4. It appears that Canadian Erik Bedard has one more chance to prove himself before the Orioles send him to AAA Ottawa, as reported in Jeff Blair's "Canadian stays in rotation".

  5. Teams that own Vernon Wells in fantasy leagues got a sigh of relief yesterday. His performance yesterday was the focus of Geoff Baker's article "All is Wells with Jays".


Expos News
Yesterday the "Expos blank[ed] [the] Phillies", as reported by the Toronto Star. They won 2-0, behind 8 shutout innings by start Zach Day. Go 'Spos!

Pointless Commentary of the Day
Like many Jays fans, I've been really impressed with Jason Frasor. I thought it would be fun to look back at what Bauxites were saying about the trade that brought us Frasor on the 30th of March. The purpose of this is not to belittle anyone's analysis, so all names have been left out. Besides, Frasor's success may just be a sample size fluke, and the league could figure him out the second time around. So who knows? Anyway, here's what the Box was saying about the Werth-Frasor deal:
  • Sometimes you have to cut a player loose for their benefit. Werth might have a great season with the Dodgers but he probably wouldn't have in limited time as the 4th outfielder. It never looks good trading someone off the roster for a AA player though.

  • I guess the Jays were in a something-for-nothing mode. Looks like they were committed to Pond (or Hermansen? Both, I guess?) and Werth got in the way. I don't like this deal, but then I don't know what else they were offered for Werth. At least they got a potential righty reliever, which is better than nothing.

  • I'm certainly underwhelmed. The numbers were decent last year even for being way to old for the leagues. Any word on why he appears to have missed a year and a half from 2000-2002. TJ surgery maybe?

  • Sportsnet has now changed it to Jason Frasor as well. A 27 year-old pitcher who split time between A & AA regardless of stats tends to equal; not much. I stood up for JP yesterdays Round-up in regards to pitching trades but I'm not sold on this move.

  • Ouch. I know Werth mor eor less had to be moved, and that must have made JP's position difficult in negotiations, but I have trouble seeing this as a good deal. Has Werth fallen that far?

  • Frasor looks like nothing. Maybe this was a favor deal for DePo. Too bad- I liked Werth.

  • Well, not nothing. The guy had a lights-out year as a closer, in his first year in the role. He's old, but the year-and-a-half he missed to injury put his development clock back. I'm happier to have him than not. Frasor probably won't amount to anything; he also could be Brendan Donnelly. We just don't know.

  • I'm disappointed in the trade. I was looking forward to seeing what Werth could do, and I don't think Frasor addresses any organizational needs.

  • As for Frasor's age, last year JP stumbled across another "older" prospect with good K rates by the name of A. Lopez - so you never know.

  • Still, it seems like we lost on this deal!

  • Frasor looks pretty good, as shown by his 2003 stats (available at the Baseball Cube). He could very well turn out to be the next Donnelly or Weber, which would mean the Jays could save a couple mil by not having to go out and get the next Terry Adams. It's not a steal, but I don't think it's at all a bad trade.

  • given Frasor's consistently stellar peripherals and the fact that he throws in the mid-90's, he's potentially a better closer than anyone on Toronto's major league roster. I really can't see Kerry L. or Justin S. ever assuming the role of full-time closer...

  • Josh Boyd commented during the AFL: "Frasor... has caught many scouts' eyes with his impressive arm strength. ...In 50 relief appearances, Frasor rang up 86 in 61 innings, using a 93-95 mph fastball and hard breaking ball."

  • This is not unexpected, nor is it really significant. If the decision had been made that Werth was going to be exposed to waivers, and with the Mets likely to have claimed him, getting something for him makes sense.

  • If anything, I might compare Frasor to a guy like Chulk...and just about the same age too once you take missed time due to TJ into account. He has ability but will be in tough to break a major league roster because his type of skillset is common among affordable major league vets. I personally don't think age matters as much as tools for pitchers anyway...Frasor's probably developed all he's going to develop but what he's got ain't bad. The Jays basically traded one guy who wasn't going to play regularly for another who probably wouldn't have gotten a chance any time soon in LA.

  • I don't see anything wrong with this deal...Toronto loaded with outfielders moves excess talent to an organization loaded with excess middle relief arms, both teams win.

  • When you have depth like the Jays do at OF, I think it is be worth it to roll the dice on someone like Frasor. He might not be Wagner, but he might be a very decent (and very cheap) cog in the bullpen for a couple years. In that case, he'll bring a bigger return than keeping Werth around with Gross/Rios/Griffin around.


Any predictions on what this week will bring? Seven straight wins? A big trade? The Phillies dumping Larry Bowa and hiring Cito Gaston?
Jays Roundup - Now You’re Punching | 35 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
_The Original Ry - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 09:15 AM EDT (#70214) #
http://www.canoe.ca/NewsStand/TorontoSun/Sports/2004/04/26/436725.html
The details on Delgado's basepath antics from the Sun (COMN):

In the three-game series Delgado was thrown out at third, thrown out at second and twice was thrown out at the plate.

The concern is that Delgado slides in hard, which risks injury to his knees that sometimes have given him problems.
Craig B - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 09:16 AM EDT (#70215) #
Barry Bonds Watch

Barry kept his average over .500 and drew seven walks as the Giants dropped two of three to the Dodgers.

Friday night

The incredible Barry Bonds reached base in all six of his plate appearances as the Giants lost a 5-4 decision to the Dodgers in 12 innings. Barry went 2-for-2 with two singles and four intentional walks; he stole his first base of the year in the fifth inning. The stolen base was the 501st of his career; he now trails Paul Molitor by three for 35th place on the all-time list.

The 2-for-2 night raised Bonds's average to .525 and his OBP rose to .703.

Bonds saw eighteen pitches; fifteen balls and three strikes. Bonds took three swings to produce his two hits.

Despite reaching base six times, Bonds scored only once as Felipe Alou batted Pedro Feliz and Jeffrey Hammonds behind Barry. Enough already!

Saturday night

Barry Bonds went 0-for-1 with three walks (one intentional) as the Giants shaded the Dodgers 5-3. Bonds scored twice.

Bonds's average dropped to .512, but his OBP rose to .706.

Bonds saw twenty pitches; fourteen balls and six strikes. Bonds took two swings, one foul and a fifth-inning groundout.

Sunday

The Dodgers beat the Giants 9-0 behind a complete-game shutout by Kazuhisa Ishii. Barry went 1-for-2 with a popout to third and a single in the loss. He was removed in the fifth inning with the Giants trailing 7-0. Barry's average remained at .512. I dont have pitch-by-pitch data for this game.

So despite not hitting any homers in Dodger Stadium, Bonds nearly kept his OPS over the 2.000 mark and managed to raise his OBP over the weekend. He currently stands at .512/.700/1.256 for an OPS of 1.956

Barry's current pace :


G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
153 367 145 188 43 0 77 171 230 34 9 .512 .700 1.256 1.956


Barry's seven walks this weekend put him 93 behind Rickey Henderson for the all-time lead in walks. He is 26 hits behind Orator Jim O'Rourke for 65th on the all-time list. With his next double, he will pass Rogers Hornsby and tie Harry Heilman for 20th on the all-time list. He trails Babe Ruth by 116 for second place on the all-time RBI list.
Coach - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 09:20 AM EDT (#70216) #
If Erik Bedard goes to AAA, he could be an asset to the Canadian Olympic team. The Orioles also have Adam Loewen, so I hope they are inclined to let their players go to Athens. We met one of Bedard's best friends on the weekend; the personable and talented Maxim St. Pierre (AA Erie) might be Team Canada's #1 catcher in that tournament.

On our way home from a Pennsylvania rainout yesterday, we heard the Jays game on the radio. That was exactly what we've all been waiting for -- not a perfect afternoon, by any means, but one where a couple of the breaks went the way of the good guys and the hitting was as contagious as the "trying to do too much" slump was not so long ago.

I spoke to Jason Frasor at the last home stand, and he'll be stepping into Da Box when the Jays return to T.O. -- in the meantime, we'll try to get the various Fisher Cats features posted for you later this week. I apologize in advance for being scarce the next few days -- real life does have a way of interfering with my hobby.
_Andrew Edwards - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 09:41 AM EDT (#70217) #
By way of taking responsibility, this was me:

Ouch. I know Werth mor eor less had to be moved, and that must have made JP's position difficult in negotiations, but I have trouble seeing this as a good deal. Has Werth fallen that far?

You can tell by the typoes. :-)

Between sample size and the persistent feeling that 27-year-old AA relievers are pretty much fungible, I stand by my comment. Just because it appears to be working out doesn't mean it was intrinsically a good idea.
_NDG - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 09:41 AM EDT (#70218) #
One of neat things from that Friday night game was that Eric Gagne intentionally walked Bonds with two out and nobody on base in the ninth inning.

When asked afterwards why he did that, Gagne responded "You'd be stupid not to"
_A - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 10:03 AM EDT (#70219) #
Bonds took three swings to produce his two hits.
I wonder who the all-time hit per swing leader is. I'm biased because of Bonds' current rampage but I have to believe he'd be at the top of the pile in that category. Any guesses for who would fill out the top 5?
_Andrew Edwards - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 10:15 AM EDT (#70220) #
I wonder who the all-time hit per swing leader is.

Ted Williams would have to be in the top 5. If there's another active player in the list, I'd guess Edgar Martinez.

Beyond Williams and Bonds, though, I wonder whether it would be more guys like Adam Dunn, with a small(er) nubmer of hits but few swings, or whether we'd pick up deadball-era slap-type hitters who just put the bat on everything....
_Moffatt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 10:15 AM EDT (#70221) #
Between sample size and the persistent feeling that 27-year-old AA relievers are pretty much fungible, I stand by my comment. Just because it appears to be working out doesn't mean it was intrinsically a good idea.

Totally. I was just trying to start some discussion. But you're right on two counts:

1. It's way too early to say much about Frasor
2. Just because a move works out doesn't mean it was a good one. Sure you might win a lot of money at the slot machines, but it's pretty stupid to try.
Thomas - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 10:50 AM EDT (#70222) #
The Jays have only scored first in 5 of 18 games this year. I don't know the numbers on this, but assuming equal home and away games, which we do have at 9 both home and away, doesn't this seem like a very low percentage? Not that there's really a lot a team can do about this, but it does seem indicative of the way the team has played so far.
_Andrew Edwards - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 11:00 AM EDT (#70223) #
I suppose that scoring first is at least partly a function of simply scoring. The Jays haven't been scoring.

Sean McNally over on Primer, those, consolses us:

In 2002, the Angels were 6-13 after their first 19 games.
_Dean - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 11:07 AM EDT (#70224) #
My quote on Frasor is listed above, the "not much" one, and it is a good lesson for myself. I frequently roll my eyes @ postings that imply the upside of players based soley on their stats and here I was doing the samething. I don't envision Frasor leading the league in saves anytime soon but his power stuff is a nice addition to the pen.
_Moffatt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 11:31 AM EDT (#70225) #
All we have to go on is stats, since very few of us have seen these guys play dozens of games in person.

We all use stats in making our judgement. I use stats, Coach uses stats, Cam Bonifay uses stats, and you use stats. The number of strikeouts a pitcher recorded in AA is a STAT. The pitchers top velocity in MPH is a STAT. ERA is a STAT. Height is a STAT. Where the player places on the BA Top Prospects is a STAT. His age is a STAT and the number of pitches a pitcher can throw for strikes is a STAT.

To suggest that some people use stats in their judgements and others don't is absurd. We do put weight on different stats, but we're all talking numbers here.
_alsiem - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 11:43 AM EDT (#70226) #
From my comments above:

It never looks good trading someone off the roster for a AA player though.

It's obvious I hated him though he'd done nothing wrong,
I'd never really met him so what could he have done?
Dave Till - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 11:45 AM EDT (#70227) #
I like what I've seen of Frasor. He throws hard. He hasn't given up an earned run yet, which I guess is good. :-) And you can never, never never, have too much pitching.

The Jays can use a good backup outfielder - Berg and Clark are infielders who are getting playing time for their bats - but I don't know whether Werth would have been useful in that role.
_Nigel - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 11:51 AM EDT (#70228) #
In some circumstances the stat of scoring first may be a fluke but here it tells you everything about the way the Jays have played to date. Outside of Halladay, the starters have been terrible and the team collectively has not been hitting much. On the hitting side, prior to the last few games three of the worst offenders (not alone by any means) were Johnson, Wells and Delgado. With those three slumping the chances of scoring in the first were very low and with the starters pitching poorly you were almost destined to be behind in most games. I'm actually surprised to discover that they have scored first 5 times, it seems like less having wathched nearly all the games.
_Matt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 12:20 PM EDT (#70229) #
Last year vs the twins the jays went into the metrodome and pulled off a sweep... only to be swept shortly thereafter in their following series in the skydome at the hands of those very same twins...

So, in the third game of the series, they're handing the ball to Tatoo right???
Craig B - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 12:36 PM EDT (#70230) #
One update I meant to make to the Barry Bonds Watch... Barry currently has 41 runs created per 27 outs, so his Offensive Winning Percentage is about .985 (a team with nine Barrys on it would score about 41 runs per game and go 160-2 over a typical season, assuming average pitching and defense).
_Dean - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 12:38 PM EDT (#70231) #
I'm interested in stats too, its the 1st thing I look at, but then I want to know how the player achieved his stats. I am someone who values tools over strictly performance and so I discount players who have great stats in shortseason and A ball who are old for their leagues and pitchers who succeed with below average fastballs. Is my take on this 100% foolproof, nope, its just how I look at things. No disrespect to those who break down things much farther than I do, I just want the scouting report too.
_Moffatt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 12:42 PM EDT (#70232) #
Right, but you're still using stats. Yours just happen to come from the back of a radar gun and not the back of a baseball card. Or to re-write one of your sentences:

I discount players who have great performance STATS in shortseason and A ball who have high age STATS and pitchers who succeed with below average speed STATS.

At the end of the day, it's all stats.
_Matt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 12:54 PM EDT (#70233) #
Hrmmm I wonder if the phrase '12-6 curve' will ever go out of style in favour of the 'sin (126 * pi) curve'??? :)
_Moffatt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 12:55 PM EDT (#70234) #
Hrmmm I wonder if the phrase '12-6 curve' will ever go out of style in favour of the 'sin (126 * pi) curve'??? :)

Hahahahah... I'd love to hear a commentator refer to someone's curveball as "parabolic"
_Dean - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 01:02 PM EDT (#70235) #
Moffat, yep like I said stats are the 1st thing I look at. I had more here but have erased it because a debate about stats with an economist is a battle I'm going to lose.:)
_Moffatt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 01:08 PM EDT (#70236) #
I don't think we're speaking the same language.

All *any* of us look at is stats, whether they be performance stats or tool stats or phase of the moon stats. It's all statistics and numbers, unless we're talking about grit, determination, or hustle. Since none of us watch the players in person on a regular basis, we're not in a position to make those kinds of judgments.

Saying some pitcher "brings the heat" is just a stat couched in generalities, like "that dude hit a lot of homers last year".

I really wish this false dichotomy of stat people vs. non-stat people would come to an end. We're all speaking nothing but stats!
_Matt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 01:18 PM EDT (#70237) #
It's all statistics and numbers, unless we're talking about grit, determination, or hustle.

If we wanted to, we could even attempt to quantify that too... Perhaps you could clock a guy at his maximum sprinting speed and then measure how fast he runs while attempting to leg out a ground ball and call that his hustle pct.... :)
_Moffatt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 01:20 PM EDT (#70238) #
If we wanted to, we could even attempt to quantify that too... Perhaps you could clock a guy at his maximum sprinting speed and then measure how fast he runs while attempting to leg out a ground ball and call that his hustle pct.... :)

Hahaha.. too true. I picture a bunch of scouts with stopwatches clocking how long it takes the player to leave the outfield and run into the dugout after the 3rd out has been recorded. :)
_Cristian - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 01:28 PM EDT (#70239) #
To all you Frasor haters:

I can't understand
whaaaaaat makes a man
hate another man
help me understand
_Moffatt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 01:31 PM EDT (#70240) #
Very nice. The song is indeed People are People by Depeche Mode:

People are people
So why should it be
You and I should get along so awfully
People are people
So why should it be
You and I should get along so awfully
_Matt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 01:33 PM EDT (#70241) #
and if memory serves me correctly the instrumental interlude follwing goes:

dah dah dunk dunk...
dah dah dunk dunnk...
dah dah dun dun dun dun dun dun da da dun dun dun....

or is that the art of noise?
_Matt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 01:39 PM EDT (#70242) #
ok HICJACK here...

so I fark (fark.com) a lot whilst browsing these pages during my time lolly-gagging on campus and I ran into an article too amusing not to share...

http://www.floridatoday.com/topstories/042604arson.htm

ahhh gold...
Mike Green - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 02:25 PM EDT (#70243) #
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/gammons/story?id=1790092
COMN for Gammons' latest. Nice quote from Flanagan on Baltimore's bullpen usage, which summarizes my feelings precisely.
_Maneesh - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 02:35 PM EDT (#70244) #
Here is an interesting piece from Bob Elliot in the Toronto Sun: Giving it right back to 'moneyball'
_The Original Ry - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 02:36 PM EDT (#70245) #
http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/baseball/bal-sp.orioles26apr26,0,4859135.story?coll=bal-sports-baseball
I was slow in getting around to reading the Baltimore summaries of yesterday's game. I found this amusing tidbit in the Baltimore Sun (COMN):

The Orioles chose Little League Day to turn in probably their worst performance, rivaling the Easter loss to Tampa Bay. Kids paraded around the field in their baseball uniforms before the game. Hopefully, their eyes were covered once it started.

"You get a few like that," Mazzilli said. "It was just an ugly game. Ugly."
_Matt - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 02:47 PM EDT (#70246) #
how do you think we'll match up vs the twins???

gm 1: Radke v Lilly
gm 2: Santana v Batista
gm 3: Lohse v J. Miller

I think that Radke looks the toughest at this point given the way the other two are pitching... but looking at the series I'd think getting 2 out of 3 is very doable...
Leigh - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 03:38 PM EDT (#70247) #
I don't think that any of those are in our favour, Matt; although cases could be made for all three.
_Wayne H - Monday, April 26 2004 @ 07:20 PM EDT (#70248) #
http://www.waynesderbyworld.blogspot.com
"So, in the third game of the series, they're handing the ball to Tatoo right???"

I just hope that if he serves up a home run, no one says, "Da plane, Boss, da plane!"
Jays Roundup - Now You’re Punching | 35 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.