Grant Rogers and Van Eyk moving up to AA/AAA respectively.

Any idea when Yesavage and Stephen are scheduled to debut?

Good to see the starting pitcher promotions rolling in. Would like to see a few more reliever promotions.

AAA

* C Clarke (27): 13pa, 23.1b%, 0.0k%, .500bip, .500avg, .200iso, 257wrc+
* OF Roden (25): 45pa, 8.9b%, 11.1k%, .382bip, .366avg, .220iso, 171wrc+
* IF Stefanic (29): 119pa, 15.1b%, 11.8k%, .370bip, .319avg, .053iso, 141wrc+
* 1B Tirotta (26): 113pa, 11.5b%, 33.6k%, .421bip, .290avg, .240iso, 141wrc+
* CF Clase (23): 106pa, 13.2b%, 23.6k%, .438bip, .315avg, .056iso, 127wrc+
* OF Robertson (27): 118pa, 15.3b%, 24.6k%, .358bip, .273avg, .152iso, 125wrc+
* C Sanchez (28): 94pa, 9.6b%, 23.4k%, .316bip, .277avg, .205iso, 123wrc+

Lots of AAAA types doing well in buffalo so far. Should be solid depth if needed.

The only one with any urgency to be promoted here is Roden, though let's let him rake for a bit more before calling him up. Clase should come back down at that point.

* UT Schneider (26): 116pa, 15.5b%, 32.8k%, .291bip, .208avg, .219iso, 107wrc+
* OF Loperfido (26): 164pa, 9.1b%, 23.8k%, .320bip, .259avg, .154iso, 106wrc+
* 1B Nunez (24): 102pa, 12.7b%, 27.5k%, .291bip, .233avg, .163iso, 104wrc+
* IF Rivera (24): 66pa, 16.7b%, 31.8k%, .333bip, .218avg, .145iso, 100wrc+
* UT Barger (25): 45pa, 11.1b%, 28.9k%, .250bip, .211avg, .211iso, 96wrc+
* IF Wagner (26): 30pa, 0.0b%, 13.3%, .250bip, .267avg, .200iso, 90wrc+
* IF Martinez (23): 139pa, 10.8b%, 30.2k%, .250bip, .195avg, .187iso, 81wrc+

Schneider and Nunez continue to recover from terrible starts. Rivera continues to surprise just by holding his own at this level. Loperfido not looking like anything. Wagner still injured. Orelvis recovered from the terrible start but that recovery has stalled a bit.

1B Palmegiani (25): 77pa, 15.6b%, 23.4k%, .214bip, .150avg, .050iso, 70wrc+
C Bethancourt (33): 78pa, 9.0b%, 17.9k%, .135bip, .162avg, .206iso, 56wrc+
CF Berroa (26): 86pa, 9.3b%, 27.9k%, .278bip, .195avg, .039iso, 41wrc+
IF Turconi (26): 28pa, 14.3b%, 28.6k%, .188bip, .130avg, .043iso, 25wrc+
IF Jimenez (24): 0pa
IF Kasevich (24): 0pa

Not doing well but who cares really. Leo raked his first couple games in A so hopefully he's up here soon.


AA

Age-Appropriate

* IF Paulino (22): 68pa, 7.4b%, 33.8k%, .361bip, .246avg, .148iso, 110wrc+
* IF Harry (22): 60pa, 11.7b%, 25.0k%, .278bip, .226avg, .151iso, 100wrc+
* OF Martinez (22): 41pa, 17.1b%, 14.6k%, .222bip, .182avg, .030iso, 72wrc+

Paulino and Harry holding their own, though nothing to write home about. Martinez sent down to A+ but i'm not sure it was actually that deserved - seems more like a babip thing tbh.


Slightly Old for Level

* OF Pinango (23): 145pa, 15.2b%, 20.0k%, .417bip, .350avg, .258iso, 206wrc+
* OF Bohrofen (23): 142pa, 9.9b%, 31.7k%, .263bip, .211avg, .211iso, 105wrc+
* OF Brown (23): 66pa, 10.6b%, 31.8k%, .371bip, .246avg, .088iso, 97wrc+
* IF McAdoo (23): 132pa, 9.1b%, 36.4k%, .314bip, .193avg, .067iso, 61wrc+
* IF Dejesus (23): 63pa, 4.8b%, 42.9k%, .364bip, .200avg, .083iso, 50wrc+
* C Sharp (23): 65pa, 1.5b%, 29.2k%, .214bip, .148avg, .000iso, 6wrc+

Pinango just destroying the level. Should be bumped up to AAA soon, and there's a whole bunch of AAAA types up there that can be let go to make room.

Nothing else here of note at the moment.


Old for Level

* OF Schreck (24): 109pa, 12.8b%, 25.7k%, .286bip, .253avg, .308iso, 167wrc+
* UT Doughty (24): 40pa, 5.0b%, 17.5k%, .323bip, .263avg, .079iso, 87wrc+
* 1B Williams (24): 133pa, 9.8b%, 33.8k%, .264bip, .179avg, .085iso, 56wrc+
* IF Rivera (24): 46pa, 6.5b%, 52.2k%, .333bip, .163avg, .093iso, 39wrc+

Schreck should be in AAA. 2nd year in a row he's raked AA. No reason to keep some AAAA guys playing ahead of him up there.

After Rivera's terrible start here he got an emergency promotion and is holding his own in AAA. Doubt it keeps up but that's interesting.


A+

Young for Level

* IF Nimmala (19): 154pa, 9.7b%, 20.1k%, .303bip, .272avg, .235iso, 133wrc+

Continues his very good season. That K% staying that low is great to see. That was the biggest hole in his line coming into the year.


Age Appropriate

* OF Arias (21): 119pa, 11.8b%, 21.0k%, .372bip, .288avg, .106iso, 119wrc+
* IF Coffey (21): 138pa, 9.4b%, 23.6k%, .341bip, .264avg, .124iso, 105wrc+

Arias good but injured and now Coffey is catching up to him. I liked Coffey when we got him so nice to see him bounce back from his post-trade struggles last year. Neither guy is demanding promotion but both look solid.


Slightly Old for Level

* OF Martinez (22): 18pa, 16.7b%, 16.7k%, .455bip, .357avg, .143iso, 185wrc+
* IF Pinto (22): 85pa, 9.4b%, 16.5k%, .264bip, .284avg, .324iso, 165wrc+
* 3B Keys (22): 144pa, 13.9b%, 21.5k%, .272bip, .237avg, .220iso, 131wrc+
* IF Harry (22): 52pa, 9.6b%, 19.2k%, .314bip, .277avg, .213iso, 127wrc+
* C Parker (22): 113pa, 9.7b%, 21.2k%, .260bip, .222avg, .182iso, 96wrc+
* C Deschamps (22): 12pa, 0.0b%, 50.0k%, .400bip, .182avg, .000iso, -5wrc+

Martinez raking to start after his maybe undeserved demotion. I wish we were pushing guys up instead of down.

Pinto excellent but injured. Keys finally starting to show his power. Not a perfect line (needs better contact) but a very good one. Harry hit well enough for a promotion and is holding his own in AA so far. Keys coould probably be doing the same. Parker in a bit of a rut right now.


A

Young for Level

* OF Ramon (19): 6pa, 0.0b%, 33.3k%, .250bip, .160avg, .000iso, -7wrc+

Don't know who this is but he's young and promoted here for a reason.

Age Appropriate

* OF Shaw (20): 108pa, 22.2b%, 24.1k%, .333bip, .268avg, .256iso, 172wrc+
* UT Chirinos (20): 113pa, 11.5b%, 24.8k%, .358bip, .284avg, .179iso, 132wrc+
* OF Joseph (20): 80pa, 0.0b%, 23.8k%, .222bip, .208avg, .221iso, 81wrc+

Shaw's line is getting harder to ignore. He keeps this up much longer and it's hard to see what benefit he's getting from staying at this level. Chirinos starting to add some pop to his solid line, bringing it up to a very good line now. Not quite demanding a promotion but not far off.

Slightly Old for Level

* OF Munoz (21): 71pa, 9.9b%, 29.6k%, .417bip, .323avg, .323iso, 186wrc+
* C Duran (21): 134pa, 10.4b%, 20.9k%, .372bip, .304avg, .191iso, 145wrc+
* OF Aponte (21): 132pa, 6.8b%, 26.5k%, .338bip, .267avg, .225iso, 128wrc+
* IF Beltre (21): 161pa, 12.4b%, 13.7k%, .310bip, .271avg, .107iso, 116wrc+
* IF Toman (21): 115pa, 9.6b%, 27.0k%, .309bip, .222avg, .091iso, 87wrc+

Munoz great but injured.

Duran is starting to get hot now, and show some power to boot. That's a rock solid hitting line through and through. Hard for catchers to get promotions given that there's not always room but I'm thinking he should be in vancouver right now and none of the catchers in any of the higher levels is anything to worry much about him moving past.

Aponte also on a bit of a roll too.





In general there's lots of hitters in A+ and A who look to me like they're in line for promotions soon, and imo there's plenty of borderline types in AA and AAA that they could jettison to make room.

Any idea when Yesavage and Stephen are scheduled to debut?

I was told Yesavage is the probable starter for Tuesday and Sunday in Eugene and Stephen is slated for Thursday.

I'm just glad Yevasage did not skip the C's.

"Schneider and Nunez continue to recover from terrible starts. Rivera continues to surprise just by holding his own at this level. Loperfido not looking like anything."

Loperfido has an .841 WRC+ in May. Schneider's is .819.

I was at the Canadians' 1-0 loss for the first game of the doubleheader yesterday. Thought Watts-Brown pitched well in the loss in five innings with this stat line.

Watts-Brown(L, 0-3)
5.0 2 1 1 2 8 0 3.62

Offence couldn't get going.

hmm interesting I might be underrating loperfido's progression this year. I was seeing him bouncing around league average most of the year but I guess that's wrong.

Looks like Watts-Brown moving up to AA as well.

Pinango is #19 on this week’s BA Prospect Hot Sheet. They note that he’s “one of the most selective hitters in the Eastern League and features the power to punish pitchers with hard line drives.”

Fun fact: both Nate Garkow's ERA and BB/9 are 7.56.

Less fun fact: that's bad

I checked the schedule the DSL season starts June 2nd.

CJ VAn Eyk and Ryan McCarty promoted to Buffalo.

Josh Kasevich is starting rehab in the FCL today.

Congrats to McCarty. Not bad for a UDFA.

Josh Rivera just homered for Buffalo, his second. That brings up the question...who plays where when Leo Jimenez and Josh Kasevich return to AAA?

You'd have to think Rivera goes back to New Hampshire, he's a lower-priority prospect than Orelvis, Kasevich and Jimenez, and even though he's had a nice run in Buffalo, his whiff rate and strikeout rate are both over 30% - you can't really expect him to keep it up.

McCarty has a little Davis Schneider in him (probably a little less power and a little more contact ability). He's probably not even the 5'10" he's listed at but he packs some extra base ability and has a decent range of offensive abilities. They should give him the stop sign as he's not a good base stealer. He's a 2B not a SS and can sort of fight 2B to a draw. He's definitely in the AAAA/bench MLBer conversation.

tbh promoting a guy like mccarty is more frustrating to me than anything else. a 26yr old with not even one interesting tool, or any even mediocre performance (for his age/level) other than his babip-boosted small sample line this year (he's never shown any elevated babip skill outside of his 84pa this year).

I ask as a serious question - why would promoting McCarty be frustrating? Other than Jimenez, there aren't any real position player prospects above Vancouver. There are a whole bunch of "kind of", "maybe's" but no one who "has" to play. I get that McCarty isn't likely to be anything but he's in that range of "maybe's" and he may not even to steal that much playing time. When it comes to position player prospects and this organization - right now just throw stuff at a wall and see what sticks (not literally, McCarty probably would object to being thrown at a wall).

because he's just adding to a logjam of 26+yr old nothings in AAA.

even if he's replacing a younger like Rivera it's annoying, because at least Rivera has some real defensive upside and is still prospect age (as long he's in AAA at least).

and then we have Gimenez about to start rehab starts and Jimenez already started, so why are we pushing a nothing like mccarty up to AAA, when as far as i know he's not even a good defensive 2B.

Just seems like a big old waste of time, in a system where they're already imo overvaluing older players and not promoiting younger guys aggressively enough.

imo they should be jettisoning guys like Tirotta Palmegiani Robertson already and moving up guys with at least some prospect tinge like Pinango and Schreck.

"Other than Jimenez, there aren't any real position player prospects above Vancouver"

Harsh stuff for Orelvis Martinez and Josh Kasevich.

I'm not particularly hot on Ryan McCarty, but he's earned the promotion, and could be useful infield depth if he keeps hitting in Buffalo. He doesn't need to take at-bats from guys further up the prospect lists.

I'd add that he's made more improvements than just lucking into a high babip this year - he's also making more contact, cut his strikeouts a little and increased his walk rate.

I'm with you that they can and should be making some hard decisions on the Tirotta's/Robertson's of the system. I guess I just don't see McCarty as being much different than the other older guys at AAA who really aren't prospects but might, everything going right, turn into something. I also think that there is a small benefit to promoting a UDFA based on performance. The Raptors have gained a small niche in that market by making clear that, post-draft night, draft pedigree isn't the main determinant of prospect development/promotion. I understand that the NBA and MLB UDFA markets are different but still.

I was too harsh - Roden is still definitely a prospect and I should be more open minded about Kasevich. I don't think that he can hit but he's a legit defender on the left side of the infield and he doesn't have to hit a ton to potentially have a role.

The Jays needed to trade the AAA depth months ago. I honestly do not know why they are hoarding so much mediocrity in the upper minors. Some of that could be because they don't have real prospects to fill those spots and someone has to play those positions, but one benefit to that should be quicker promotions for players who might pop out of no where (ex. Pinango). Keeping the latter in AA because there's no room for him in AAA is absurd given the names he's trapped behind. Ironically, the best prospects the Jays have developed in the last 5 years were rushed out of necessity (the pandemic) in Kirk and Manoah. Sometimes you can push talent a little harder (ex. Yesavage) rather than going station to station with them.

Jays should have cleared out some Of AAA depth in offseason. Other than that, nobody is being blocked and AAA for all teams is mostly just depth and career minor leaguer types with maybe a couple of real prospects even for the best systems in baseball.

The system also involves real people and you can't hold someone back who deserves to be promoted because another player has a 2.7% greater chance of being a backup player. You need to reward players in your system for doing well. You don't want to block the best prospects obviously but that isn't happening.

what makes you think mccarty 'deserves' a promotion?

because he had a babip-fuelled 84pa of "good" performance at age 26 in AA?

Honestly, McCarty likely is in AAA because depth is an issue with all the infielder injuries, as well as Stefanic being in Toronto right now, which is the same reason Rivera was promoted in the first place despite abysmal AA numbers. With Wagner getting injured too, they likely couldn't wait for Jimenez to come back to get another infielder up there.

Kasevich and Jimenez are rehabbing, and when they're healthy, both Rivera and McCarty could end up back in AA.

Just figured that was an important point to bring up since I don't think either player was promoted due to 'deserving' a promotion, as much as injury needs.

imo the jays have actual legit prospecty talent that could fill an AAA roster nicely, other than the catcher position, with leftover AA prospecty type behind them still pushing their way through as well:

* CF Clase 23 - 127wrc+ (105 career)
* RF Roden 25 - 171wrc+ (147 career)
* LF Loperfido 26 - 106wrc+ (112 career) - well, this isn't so interesting tbh. no more intersting than, say, Tirotta.
* 3B Jimenez 24 - N/Awrc+ (117 career)
* SS Kasevich 24 - N/Awrc+ (119 career)
* 2B Martinez 23 - 81wrc+ (110 career)
* 1B Wagner 26 - 90wrc+ (144 career)
* DH Schneider 26 - 107wrc+ (134 career)

* UT Nunez 24 - 104wrc+ (104 career)
* OF Schreck 24 - N/Awrc+ (AA: 149 career)
* IF Rivera 24 - 100wrc+ (100 career)


with some interesting-ish guys leftover at AA still:

* OF Pinango 23 - 206wrc+
* IF Paulino 22 - 110wrc+
* OF Bohrofen 23 - 105wrc+
* IF Harry 22 - 100wrc+

with a number of guys in A+ who could easily be added to the AA roster soon enough too.

Interesting. McAdoo sent to development list. Might as well try to change something because he's been useless this year. Arias is back too. Garkow and Miranda also up to AA Bullpen.

"what makes you think mccarty 'deserves' a promotion? because he had a babip-fuelled 84pa of "good" performance at age 26 in AA?"

The fact that he is 26 and not a high-flying prospect means, I think, that you don't hold him back when he's succeeding. For some more talented guys (like Nimmala) you might hold them back because they still have things to work on usefully at their current level. And McCarty is succeeding. Last year he was about average offensively without any babip help; this year he's improved in a number of areas, and would be above-average at the plate even without the higher babip. Sure, because he's pretty marginal his promotion is more subject to the other requirements of the organization than others, but I don't think that's any reason to say he hasn't earned the promotion.