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Spring training games are designed to get players ready for the season ahead. For minor league players spring training gives them a chance to test themselves against the best. For 2004 spring training I tracked the appearances of the Blue Jays minor league pitching prospects. I am particularly interested in minor league pitching prospects and I was curious to see how they fared. All of these pitchers are now back in minor league camp getting ready for their season so now is a good time to review their spring.

Jason Arnold pitched in six games. Arnold and Chulk had the most appearances. Jason allowed eight hits and five walks in 8.2 innings and conceded at least one run in three of his six appearances. Jason's first appearance was his best, two innings with no hits or walks. After that appearance we heard how Jason had changed his arm angle to pick up a couple of mph. Jason then allowed runs in his next three appearances.

Arnold's spring was similar to his 2003 season. He allowed twelve baserunners in 8.2 IP, and most troubling was only four strikeouts in his 8+ innings. Pitchers come to the major leagues with plus stuff or average stuff. Pitchers with plus stuff arrive more quickly because the plus stuff can let them escape with some bad pitches. If Josh Beckett misses his location with his 97 mph heater the hitter might still miss the pitch. If Jason misses his location with his 90 mph fastball it could be in the bullpen in three seconds.

Jason needs to develop a strikeout pitch to make it this year. If he does not have that strikeout pitch he is still a prospect, but he will need more time to refine his control. Right now it looks like Arnold will need a full year of AAA.

Baseball America last week listed Vinnie Chulk as the Jay who is running out of time. Vinnie was sent down over the weekend but said he was not disappointed, he felt he had a good spring. He allowed six hits and four walks in 6.2 innings.

Encouragingly Vinnie had six strikeouts and did not allow a home run. When Vinnie keeps the ball down in the zone his sinker can get him strikeouts or ground balls. Once Vinnie develops more consistency with his location he could be a very effective middle reliever. 2004 spring training was a good confidence builder for Chulk.

Dustin McGowan entered 2004 as the Jays top pitching prospect. He learned that he still has a ways to go. McGowan pitched 5.2 innings in three games allowing seven runs on ten hits and two walks. McGowan's first appearance was his best, one hit and two K's in 1.2 innings. He allowed seven hits in two innings in his last. Reports suggested McGowan tried to throw the ball past the hitters. That does not work with major league players. Hopefully McGowan started to learn the difference between throwing and pitching.

David Bush appeared in four games pitching nine innings. He conceded eight hits and six walks. Bush's reputation entering 2004 was as a pitcher who threw too many strikes. Either he has changed his approach or he was intimidated by the hitters, the six walks were out of character. Bush had seven K's in his nine innings which is encouraging.

Brandon League, who ended 2003 at Dunedin, had an excellent spring for his level. Brandon appeared in five games and pitched 5.2 innings. League allowed seven hits with no walks and four strikeouts. League throws hard and his stuff allowed him to pitch well for an A ball pitcher. A big confidence boost.

Francisco Rosario made his first game appearance in over a year and showed his rust, allowing four hits in his first inning. Next time out he pitched two innings allowing just one hit and one walk. In his last three appearances Rosario conceded no hits or walks in 2.1 IP with FIVE strikeouts. He got rid of the rust pretty quickly. Spring training was very good for Rosario.

Josh Banks pitched twice and allowed six baserunners in three innings. Encouragingly he had four strikeouts.

Adam Peterson was bombed in his first outing but struck out the side in his second.

Bubbie Buzachero, like Peterson, had one good and one forgettable appearance.

Jesse Harper pitched one successful inning.

Jordan DeJong pitched one inning yesterday and was hit around a bit.

In summary spring training 2004 was a learning experience for most pitchers. Vinnie Chulk looks to be close, and Francisco Rosario was very good. The others will have work to do when their season starts.

I did not track the hitters start by start and I did not have the time to go back to add up their walks and strikeouts. MLB's spring statistics do not track BB's or K's. The hitters, in order of batting average (min 10 AB), were:


Ave AB
Sequea .429 21
Chiaffredo .412 17
Hall .282 39
Rios .265 34
Quiroz .263 19
Hill .231 13
Gross .222 27
Griffin .111 18
Adams .091 11


Sequea and Chiaffredo were easily the best. Noah Hall had a long look and the most at bats. But remember it is only spring training.

Blue Jay Prospects - Spring Training Report | 6 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
_Lylem - Tuesday, March 30 2004 @ 12:43 PM EST (#74876) #
Did you hear Werth is a Dodger?

I was watching ESPN Tonight and Harold Reynolds picked the jays 4th behind the Devil Rays. He is high. Peter Gammons picked them 3rd and said that they will be contending if the Sox or Yanks slip up.

Anyway. It's nice to see those arms come up. The cupboard was bare for awhile there.
Coach - Tuesday, March 30 2004 @ 02:40 PM EST (#74877) #
The way Peterson bounced back after his disastrous first outing was one of the most encouraging parts of the spring for me. Adam learned the most valuable lesson there is for a pitcher -- trust your stuff. When adrenalin and anxiety cause you to "try too hard," only bad things will happen. If you are getting out AAA hitters with a 92 mph fastball, and try to throw it at 95 against big leaguers, you're in trouble. Likewise, if your curve "works" at 82, don't try to throw it harder vs. better hitters. Attempting to have more precise control than usual is another recipe for disappointment.

Gil Patterson says that everyone has great stuff in the bullpen. Being able to duplicate those mechanics on the mound is a psychological matter -- your emotions can be your enemy. It's one of the things that makes Roy Halladay great; he is able to ignore the results of the previous pitch and focus only on the next one.

Lilly's sore wrist had the fringe benefit of letting the prospects get more work than anticipated. I wasn't expecting to see Rosario and McGowan on TV this spring -- both are bigger and more poised than I imagined -- and I'm sure the experience was good for their development.

I agree that Chulk is "running out of time" -- like Werth, he may be a victim of the numbers game, with the wealth of young talent rising rapidly through the system. Vinny may be the best option if bullpen help is needed early in the season, but he'll soon be passed on the depth chart as the kids continue to improve.
_R Billie - Tuesday, March 30 2004 @ 03:57 PM EST (#74878) #
Justin Miller is looking like a tough man to hit in the spring time. It would be a nice little bonus if he returns to health although he's out of options too so that may cause another roster challenge.

Reynolds is probably wrong about the Rays but I said it before and I'll say it again. Don't take that team lightly. It could be argued that their bullpen is as good or better than the Jays' pen and while they lack a Halladay type ace, their rotation will probably not be embarrassing depending on how soon Brazelton is ready to contribute. Victor Martinez and Jorge Sosa may be poised to bring their games to the next level. Crawford and Baldelli should take a step forward this year, Huff is an established star, and Cruz and Martinez might contribute more than people suspect. And I don't think guys like Toby Hall have hit as well as they should yet either. I expect them to break 70 wins this year and with a couple of surprises they could be within spitting distance of a .500 record.

That's not even considering that they're likely to add BJ Upton and Delmon Young to the big league roster in the next year or so and will have another very high draft pick this summer. Pinella has had a good influence on the front office I think.
_Dean - Tuesday, March 30 2004 @ 09:24 PM EST (#74879) #
Peterson pitched another inning today giving up a hit and getting a K. I hope he is at AAA by June, if he doesn't start out there, and is making a case for himself by the all-star break. Arnold was a closer in college and the bullpen may be his ticket as well.
_Andrew Edwards - Tuesday, March 30 2004 @ 10:20 PM EST (#74880) #
R BIllie:

I know spring is the time for optimism, but let's not go overboard.

Yes, if every single one of the Rays young players significantly improves, and their prospects all work out as well as possible, they will have an outside shot at .500. Which tells you how totally they suck.

You had D-Ray 7 starters exceeding expectations (and none you mentioned falling short). Think through the same thing for the Jays. I'll put it this way: if Hinske bounces back, Wells continues to improve, Batista and Hentgen play better than expected, and Phelps and O-Dog take their game to the next level, the Jays will have been less lucky than the speculative Rays above, and we'll all be absolutely giddy at our good fortune.

Incidentally, that Harold Reynolds is down on the Jays portends well for the future.
_R Billie - Wednesday, March 31 2004 @ 01:40 PM EST (#74881) #
Well I actually don't disagree. The Rays are still far behind the Jays in terms of overall team quality. I'm just saying that the Rays at their best can take the Jays when they're not at their best. And for whatever reason, be it speed, defence, or whatever, their team matches up very well against the Jays. Although perhaps the solution was as simple as getting a couple of more decent starters and a couple more decent relievers.
Blue Jay Prospects - Spring Training Report | 6 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.