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Now that we've had an amazing 2025, what does the future hold for this team?  Let's look at projections and top free agents to start

Using FanGraphs (easy to do mergers of multiple data sources there via assorted ID's they provide). Blue Jays current and 2025 players first.
A Y under 26 means they are still with the team as of today.  Projections are from Steamer (not the best imo, but only one fully available at the moment).





Real stats Projected '25 Spread Playoffs Projected '26
26 Pos B Name G AVG OBP SLG wRC+ WAR wRC+ BsR WAR wRC+ WAR wRC+ wRC+ A/O/S WAR
Y DH R G Springer 140 .309 .399 .560 166 5.2 107 0.7 2.2 59 3.0 147 107 .241/.322/.396 2.2
Y C R A Kirk 130 .282 .348 .421 116 4.7 113 -0.9 3.8 2 0.9 132 114 .267/.344/.394 3.8
Y 1B R V Guerrero 156 .292 .381 .467 137 3.9 147 -1.4 4.4 -10 -0.5 241 147 .291/.371/.500 4.4
-- 2B/SS R B Bichette 139 .311 .357 .483 134 3.8 120 -0.9 3.5 14 0.3 165 120 .286/.330/.444 3.5
Y 3B/2B R E Clement 157 .277 .313 .398 98 3.2 95 0.1 2.1 2 1.2 171 95 .263/.294/.395 2.1
Y CF L D Varsho 71 .238 .284 .548 123 2.2 106 0.1 3.3 16 -1.1 97 106 .225/.297/.432 3.3
Y RF/3B L A Barger 135 .243 .301 .454 107 2.2 110 -1.1 2.5 -3 -0.3 188 110 .245/.316/.417 2.5
Y C S T Heineman 64 .289 .361 .416 120 2.1 76 0.0 0.9 44 1.2 -100 76 .215/.305/.290 0.9
Y OF L N Lukes 135 .255 .323 .407 103 1.8 109 -0.7 1.8 -5 0.0 90 109 .272/.333/.392 1.8
Y OF R M Straw 137 .262 .313 .367 91 1.8 78 2.0 1.5 13 0.3 -26 78 .238/.301/.314 1.5
Y LF/2B R D Schneider 82 .234 .361 .436 127 1.3 111 -0.1 2.6 16 -1.3 110 112 .220/.323/.411 2.6
Y SS/2B L A Giménez 101 .210 .285 .313 70 1.0 109 2.4 4.6 -38 -3.6 73 109 .266/.328/.398 4.6
Y OF L J Loperfido 41 .333 .379 .500 148 0.7 99 -0.2 1.7 48 -1.0 -100 100 .230/.300/.403 1.7
-- 1B R T France 37 .277 .320 .372 92 0.2 113 -1.0 1.7 -22 -1.4 37 113 .262/.340/.398 1.7
Y IF R M Stefanic 9 .182 .280 .182 40 0.0 109 -1.0 2.0 -70 -2.0 -- 109 .277/.354/.359 2.0
-- IF R IKF 19 .233 .258 .367 72 -0.1 81 0.2 1.0 -8 -1.0 7 81 .262/.307/.346 1.0
Y OF S J Clase 34 .210 .288 .300 69 -0.3 90 1.6 2.0 -21 -2.3 -- 90 .223/.293/.369 2.0
Y IF R L Jiménez 18 .069 .129 .172 -19 -0.3 105 -0.7 2.1 -125 -2.4 -- 105 .234/.339/.355 2.1
Y DH/LF/RF S A Santander 54 .175 .271 .294 61 -0.9 128 -1.1 3.3 -68 -4.3 29 128 .249/.321/.489 3.3

Now for the top free agent hitters and projections - I'm sure I'll have missed someone but I tried to limit to those with a 1+ fWAR projection.  Murakami is Japan stats for 2025 of course with his projection from ZIPS.
I split off the DH/1B only types as obviously the Jays won't be after those no matter how good they may be. I was tempted to cut off the catchers too as I can't imagine they'll go for a new backup but one never knows.
FYI: there are tons of others, you can find the ML free agents at Free Agent Tracker on FanGraphs. The * after their name indicates they have a Qualifying Offer thus cost draft picks. Jays made a QO to Bo but that doesn't affect them with signing him.




Real stats '25 Projected '26
Pos B Name G AVG OBP SLG wRC+ WAR G wRC+ WAR
RF L K Tucker* 136 .266 .377 .464 136 4.5 125 136 3.7
3B R A Bregman 114 .273 .360 .462 125 3.5 143 119 3.6
2B R B Bichette 139 .311 .357 .483 134 3.8 131 120 3.6
3B/1B L M Murakami 56 .273 .379 .663 210 n/a 122 126 3.4
2B R G Torres* 145 .256 .358 .387 113 2.6 143 112 2.8
OF/1B L C Bellinger 152 .272 .334 .480 125 4.9 137 115 2.7
3B R E Suárez 159 .228 .298 .526 125 3.8 141 108 2.4
CF L T Grisham* 143 .235 .348 .464 129 3.2 110 106 2.0
IF R H-S Kim 48 .234 .304 .345 82 0.3 120 100 2.0
2B/3B S J Polanco 138 .265 .326 .495 132 2.6 111 114 1.9
C R J.T. Realmuto 134 .257 .315 .384 94 2.1 103 94 1.6
CF R H Bader 146 .277 .347 .449 122 3.2 108 92 1.2
CF L C Mullins 133 .216 .299 .391 94 1.3 98 92 1.2
UT S W Castro 120 .226 .313 .366 92 0.6 120 91 1.1
UT R A Rosario 63 .276 .309 .436 106 0.4 70 96 1.0
UT S L Rengifo 147 .238 .287 .335 73 0.0 88 94 1.0
C R D Jansen 98 .215 .321 .399 103 1.3 76 99 1.0
OF L M Yastrzemski 147 .233 .333 .403 106 2.3 98 102 1.0
C/1B S V Caratini 114 .259 .324 .404 104 0.8 65 102 1.0

DH/OF L K Schwarber* 162 .240 .365 .563 152 4.9 143 130 2.7
1B R P Alonso 162 .272 .347 .524 141 3.6 147 125 2.3
1B L J Naylor 147 .295 .353 .462 128 3.1 133 119 2.2
1B L L Arraez 154 .292 .327 .392 104 0.9 128 109 1.4
DH R M Ozuna 145 .232 .355 .400 114 1.2 113 116 1.1
1B/DH L R O'Hearn 144 .281 .366 .437 127 3.0 102 111 1.1

So, with that info what do we see as possible improvements? Jays are likely to get one top player for one of 2B/3B/LF/RF (Clement & Barger's flexibility enables this) but after doing that we'll have a few guys left hanging = you can't have Straw/Loperfido/Schneider/Lukes all on the bench after all. There is a 13 batter limit meaning just 4 on the bench. One bench slot is for Heineman, then comes an IF and an OF with 1 last slot probably for another OF (although Schneider has the advantage of being both OF and 2B thus very useful off the bench, I expect them to work on his defense at 3B and 1B in spring as well). Straw is the only backup who has a guaranteed contract for 2026 which gives him a major leg up, mixed with his high end CF defense (highly valued by this club). So I expect at least one of Lukes/Schneider to be traded if not both. With IKF, a spring invite yes, but guaranteed deal? The other guys on the market who are super-utilty types would probably be better suited (Castro can play everywhere but had a poor year on defense after being solid in the past, Rosario has historically been a negative on defense but has a 100 wRC+ bat, Rengifo had a poor year in all respects but had 3 years of 100+ OPS+ before that mostly at 2B/3B). In truth the more I look at it the more I like just using Jiménez as the backup infielder with IKF in AAA if he'll take it.

Now, sign 2 hitters and suddenly Clement probably becomes a super-utility guy and lots of shuffling goes on.  Or you deal Barger to get some high end pitching.  Or any of 1001 other possibilities. The ways this puzzle can be made had me go back and forth on how to write this up.  Jays current payroll (Cot's) is at $237,038,723 vs last years $278,806,692 (payroll tax payroll that is). So in theory the Jays have $41 mil left over to spend. The threashold went up by $4 mil year over year so that makes it more like $45 mil. You want a star starting pitcher, a solid hitter, and a closer ideally. Each costs $20-$30 mil for top end talent, perhaps as much as $40 if you want Tucker. Bo right now is expected to be around $25-$30 mil per for 8 years, I could see the Jays going for a lower per year but for more years (ages 28-40 perhaps - so 13 years at $20 per = $260 mil, seems high but would lock him and Vlad together for their careers no matter what while reducing the tax burden today, if he'd take some deferred it'd go down further - $260 would tie him with Nolan Arenado for 21st all time, ahead of A-Rod's first contract, Cano, Yelich, Correa to name a few infielders). Note: BR has Dante Bichette as lifetime $42.8 mil while Bo is at $33.6 right now so he is a lock to make far, far more than his Dad did - and he'll likely lock in more than Vlad Sr made lifetime ($125.5 mil).

So, the big question is how will the Jays navigate this winter? Will they do big long term lock in's hoping to lock up a long term team regardless of cost? No one knows what the market will look like next winter (lockout likely) or if there will be a 2027 ML season (if owners decide they want a salary cap or nothing then we all get nothing) or how the luxury tax or whatever is setup post negotiations will work. Lots of variables. I just hope they go for it in 2026.

Note: I didn't add minor leaguers who didn't have ML time in 2025 as few hitters are that close (Brandon Valenzuela will get some catching time, Charles McAdoo or Josh Kasevich might get some IF time, RJ Schreck or Yohendrick Pinango could get some time in the OF, but that's about it and only as injury cover). I'd be very shocked if any of them got more than 50 PA outside of a major injury situation or the team collapsing.
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