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Yup, the expensive guy is down, the kid (OK, not so young but I just turned 41) is up.

Update: Encarnacion has been designated for assignment (could be traded, released, or just assigned to AAA) and Scott Richmond has been reinstated from the 60-day DL and optioned to Dunedin(A).

Encarnacion was told this was a short term thing, until he gets things back in gear (Update: guess not). Of course, the same was told to Luis Leal back in 1985 and he is still waiting for that call-up. Stat call... Hoffpauir: AAA 328/378/532 this year, 293/365/448 career in AAA (1362 PA), just 16 PA in majors Encarnacion: 200/298/467 this year (141 PA), 257/339/449 career in majors (2038 PA) Encarnacion has been close to what should be expected but with fewer balls hitting the ground. I suspect the Jays hoped he'd make a breakthrough this year but a 106 OPS+ that is slugging heavy isn't what they need. Hoffpauir's 15 K's in 260 PA I'm sure got Cito's attention.
Encarnacion Down, Hoffpauir Up | 88 comments | Create New Account
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Mike Green - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 11:37 AM EDT (#217308) #
Maybe it's Monday morning blues, but I am more persnickety than usual. It's Hoffpauir, John.  He's also not really a kid, having turned 27 on Friday. 

Do the Jays have a third baseman for the next 3-4 years among Hoffpauir, Emaus and Bowman?  The search begins. 

John Northey - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 11:52 AM EDT (#217309) #
Thanks Mike. That's what I get for copy/pasting from an online source.
Denoit - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 11:52 AM EDT (#217310) #
I would have liked to see what Emaus could do. He has hit pretty well everywhere he has been. He may not have the big power numbers but a guy who can get on base and hit with a decent average could be useful at the bottom of the order.
China fan - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 12:20 PM EDT (#217313) #

I'm assuming that the Jays are just being wisely patient with Emaus and Bowman.  Give them another month or two at their respective levels, then promote them.  By the end of this season, I hope we've seen the following:  a 2-month tryout for Hoffpauir in the majors; a 2-month tryout for Emaus in the majors; and a 2-month tryout for Bowman at AAA.   Depending which of them impresses, any of those tryouts could be extended, or Bowman could even get a taste of the majors by September.  Then the Jays will have a much better sense of their 3B options for 2011.

Of course if Snider is fully recovered by the all-star break, Bautista could be switched back to 3B and the prospect tryouts could be curtailed.  But given the frustrating slowness of Snider's recovery, I have a feeling that there's plenty of time for look-sees at Emaus and Hoffpauir.

John Northey - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 12:29 PM EDT (#217314) #
Emaus just got to AAA, give him a little time at least :)

Of course, hitting 339/409/542 is encouraging but that is just 66 PA's. Emaus is probably scheduled for May/June of 2011 but if he can keep hitting like that he could speed it up. For now it'll be nice to see what Hoffpauir does.
92-93 - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 01:24 PM EDT (#217319) #

I'm with China Fan. Hoffpauir is a utility guy that the Jays are looking to capitalize on recent strong play ; Emaus is an actual prospect they are still looking to develop. Jarrett is the better place holder until Snider returns, at which point you'd assume if everyone is healthy that Bautista gets moved to 3B the majority of the time unless Encarnacion has shown a new dedication by then and is called back up. I love Hoffpauir's K zone control, and in light of the fact Richard Griffin keeps writing and saying on radio interviews that Aaron Hill would prefer not to bat #2, here's the order I'd go with.

Lewis, Hoffpauir, Hill, Wells, Lind, Bautista, Overbay, Gonzalez, Buck

jerjapan - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 02:41 PM EDT (#217323) #
This is an interesting move - I can't recall the last time we moved a highly paid vet to the minors to work through issues.  If it works, we'll be calling AA a genius.  At the very least, I appreciate the effort to maximize our resources by thinking outside the box. 

AA seems serious about rotating through minor league depth to see if anyone sticks- McCoy, Reed, Ruiz, Valdez, Rommie Lewis, Eveland, Green, Wise and now Hoffpauir.  Can't hurt our chances of landing quality AAAA talent if the players think their chances of getting a call-up are solid. 

I also like the possibility of seeing some OBP at the top of our order.  I know what they say about lineup construction being irrelevant, but our lineup is so unusual - with so much power and so few players getting on base regularly - that injecting some OBP in the number 2 spot could mean a few extra runs for us.


Mike Green - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 03:06 PM EDT (#217324) #
I, of course, love the move.  Hoffpauir may indeed be a utility player, but I'd like to see how he looks out there at third base. 
Ryan Day - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 03:47 PM EDT (#217328) #
Encarnacion's been designated for assignment, according to Bastian on Twitter. I wonder if they're working out a deal for him, or if someone just reconsidered the move to AAA.
DH - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 03:58 PM EDT (#217329) #
Speculation isn't worth much but one can be forgiven for assuming that EE didn't like the thought of going to Vegas.

AA's comments on the move seemed to indicate that EE "took it like a pro" but perhaps someone's perspective changed over night. And really, one can't blame either party for wanting to move on - it's been rather clear from the outset of his arrival in TO that he wasn't viewed as the definite incumbent at 3rd - that can't be good for player or manager.



John Northey - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 04:00 PM EDT (#217330) #
One would hope it is a trade for Encarnacion and not an outright release as he still has some value one would think.

Just checked the Jays twitter and got...
3B EDWIN ENCARNACION has been designated for assignment. SCOTT RICHMOND has been reinstated from the 60-day DL and optioned to Dunedin(A).
rpriske - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 04:08 PM EDT (#217331) #
Hey, if someone will claim him, why not expose his contract... but straight release? Is that wise?
92-93 - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 04:31 PM EDT (#217332) #

What's the benefit of the DFA? Richmond had about another 3 weeks before he needed to be added to the 40...

John Northey - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 04:52 PM EDT (#217333) #
Richmond appears to have been removed from the 40 man as well, optioned to A, not assigned. I'm guessing the Jays were tired of paying the ML minimum to a guy who wasn't in their long term plans. It also was eating up service time for him so if he is in the plans this could cut down the future cost (arbitration).

The DFA opens a 40 man roster slot for Hoffpaiur I suspect. 17 hitters, 22 pitchers plus Encarnacion though which suggests there was room unless Richmond actually is using up a slot rather than being assigned to A ball.

Also, DFA was not needed as Reed could've been removed from the 40 man with no risk I suspect, as could a few others I'm sure. Maybe we'll be lucky and a trade is coming.
Denoit - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 04:56 PM EDT (#217334) #
Personally i would be pretty surprised if there wasn't a trade. I think Encarnacion has lots of pontial to turn his career around, I think he just needs the right situation. I would think there would be some GM out there willing to take a flier on a guy who could hit you 25+ HR.
Moe - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 05:14 PM EDT (#217336) #
Richmond appears to have been removed from the 40 man as well, optioned to A, not assigned.

If he is optioned, he would still be on the 40 men roster. I don't think they can move him from the 40 men roster without exposing him to waivers.
China fan - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 05:23 PM EDT (#217337) #

Is this an Alex Rios situation, where the Jays will give Encarnacion to any team that is willing to pay his salary?

Alternatively, will the Jays agree to pay the rest of Encarnacion's salary if the other team coughs up a prospect?

China fan - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 05:26 PM EDT (#217338) #
Also, with the departure of Encarnacion, does this open up a slot for Bowman to be promoted to Vegas?   With the promotion of Hoffpauir to the majors, I would think that Emaus and Bowman would make a good combination at 2B and 3B for Las Vegas, as they did in New Hampshire.   On the other hand, McCoy might block Bowman, but it might make more sense to put McCoy at SS -- although Diaz is currently there.
stevieboy22 - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 05:33 PM EDT (#217339) #
but it might make more sense to put McCoy at SS -- although Diaz is currently there.

AA has said they want a chance to see McCoy as an everyday shortstop.. That being said, AA is a big talker, I will bet he quickly learns to slow to his speech once the media starts to turn on him, which happens with most GMs eventually.... I don't think Diaz is exactly considered a priority...

EE needs to make some major change, if he is ever going to come back to the MLB as an everyday third baseman.. I don't know if his defense is acceptable at this level....
Moe - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 06:37 PM EDT (#217340) #
This looks like a cost savings measure: By putting Richmond back on the 40 men roster and optioning him the Jays save his salary. If EE is going to get claimed in the process, they save even more.

EE has one more year of arb left but given that in arb salary can't really go down, the Jays may plan to non tender him in the off-season anyways. So if they lose him now, they save some money at the cost of not being able to recall him in a month. Not a big loss (assuming they plan on non tendering him). If he clears waivers, as AA says the Jays expect him to, nothing is lost.

Makes sense to me. Again, assuming he was gone after this season anyways. And given his play, I don't see the Jays wanting to offer him arb and pay him 6m next year.

Gerry - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 09:15 PM EDT (#217342) #

I heard Alan Ashby on the Fan today and he was debating with McCown whether Encarnacion was sent down because of lack of hustle, as well as his poor play.  They had noted several instances of EE not running out pop-ups or foul balls.

Everyone is saying that EE is going to Vegas but if someone is interested they might as well trade him for something.  I believe EE is a free agent at the end of the year and he won't be back.  If the Jays have to eat his salary to trade him they would have to do that anyway if he goes to AAA.

TamRa - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 09:41 PM EDT (#217343) #
This is an interesting move - I can't recall the last time we moved a highly paid vet to the minors to work through issues.

That would be Tony Bautista, no?

Original Ryan - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 09:55 PM EDT (#217344) #
I was thinking Josh Towers.
Gerry - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 09:57 PM EDT (#217345) #
Mike McCoy, home run and a walk tonight in his first two at-bats.
ComebyDeanChance - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 10:00 PM EDT (#217346) #
Is this an Alex Rios situation, where the Jays will give Encarnacion to any team that is willing to pay his salary? Alternatively, will the Jays agree to pay the rest of Encarnacion's salary if the other team coughs up a prospect?

Even though they've been posed as alternatives, I think the answers to both questions, is 'yes'. I think the overwhelmingly most likely scenario is that EE simply ends up signing somewhere else at the minimum with the Jays coughing up his salary. I doubt other teams would give up a 40 man roster spot, let alone his salary or a prospect for him.
Alex Obal - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 10:19 PM EDT (#217347) #
I think that's right. To claim Encarnacion, someone would have to be totally desperate for a DH, or oblivious to the importance of fielding (the ship has sailed by now), or confident you can get him to realize his offensive potential. It's a long shot.

Maybe we can get Scott Boras to spread rumors about the teams that want to get in on EE. I hear the Mets, Yankees, Angels, Cubs and Orioles have been linked to him, but you always have to watch out for the mystery team.

Mike Green - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 10:32 PM EDT (#217348) #
I overheard that Ken Rosenthal mentioned that  */.&- Encarnate 6^7%(@ Joe Torre...Damn, the interwebs haven't been the same since Al and Tipper split.

EE has been an average defensive player according to both UZR and Dewan this year, and was a tolerably below average one last year.  His batting average sits on the Mendoza line, courtesy of a .167 BABIP (which might be slightly higher if he ran out ground balls).  To have a BABIP that low takes a fair bit of bad luck.  The major problem would not be the objective stuff, but the subjective "motivation/chemistry/attitude" aspect of it. 

Alex Obal - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 10:39 PM EDT (#217349) #
EE has been an average defensive player according to both UZR and Dewan this year, and was a tolerably below average one last year

Yeah, that's true, but how much of the apparent improvement is really just Overbay's ability to pick it? Does either stat account for throwing accuracy beyond errors?

92-93 - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 10:41 PM EDT (#217350) #
And my faith in advanced fielding metrics wanes by the minute...
mamboon - Monday, June 21 2010 @ 10:59 PM EDT (#217351) #

China & Stevieboy,

Diaz is on his way back to AA. He is joining New Hampshire in Harrisburg tomorrow, according the the Fisher Cat web site.   

http://www.nhfishercats.com/news.php?a=371

His glove, not his hitting, will bring him back to AAA eventually, I predict.

electric carrot - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 12:29 AM EDT (#217353) #
In case people missed it a nice father's day story about John MacDonald that's much better told in the Boston Globe than in the Toronto Globe ...

http://www.boston.com/yourtown/news/scituate/2010/06/scituate_major_leaguer_marks_f_3.html

katman - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 01:37 AM EDT (#217354) #
What I read from AA is that they think t' safe to expose EE, because given his salary and performance, no team is likely to claim him. That's probably a good bet.

Here's hoping EE finds his hustle in Vegas, and becomes an MLB-worthy 3rd baseman. If his defense can go to average, and he can hit .260 with 25 homers, that's a valuable player who would be part of this team's future.
85bluejay - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:04 AM EDT (#217356) #

Good riddance - not only lousy performance but lousy attitude.He has no future with the Jays - if he is still with the team at season's end, he will be

non-tendered.

martinthegreat - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:15 AM EDT (#217357) #
I never really liked him anyways. I hope they get someone to take his salary, or a pay salary/mediocre prospect deal.

And losing faith in advanced fielding metrics is right... did anyone here have the impression that he was an average fielder?
85bluejay - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:43 AM EDT (#217358) #
Maybe the Jays can trade EE to the Angels for someone whom the Angels have given up on, out of options Brandon Wood
Kelekin - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 06:14 AM EDT (#217361) #
Diaz deserves to be in AAA, but with McCoy back there now, he needs playing time.

I still like Diaz.  Solid defender, can get on base.  He's an upgraded Johnny Mac.
Dave Till - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 09:55 AM EDT (#217366) #
If EE's fielding metrics have improved, that's probably mostly because of Overbay. From what I've seen of EE, his range isn't bad, but his throwing arm is inaccurate. Overbay can field just about anything thrown in his direction, so has probably saved EE a bunch of errors.

One thing I've noticed over the years is that players who are traded here tend not to do well. Toronto is a foreign country, with unusual artificial turf and limited chance of post-season success; for some players, being traded here would seem like being exiled to Siberia. Of the recent acquisitions through trade, Glaus and Rolen eventually indicated that they were unhappy here, and EE has never seemed to enjoy being a Blue Jay.

Of course, the move is a good one from the Jays' perspective: EE is not hitting, he's not fielding, and he (apparently) isn't hustling.

Mike Green - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 10:02 AM EDT (#217368) #
There's no question that EE's throwing is pretty weak and inaccurate.  But the job is getting done (albeit inelegantly and with a big assist from Overbay).  If your third baseman doesn't get to the ball, there is nothing that a fine defensive first baseman can do to help.  My point is that a club with a fine fielding first baseman might think that it will work for them too, and that his BABIP will go up.  It's the subjective stuff that is more of a barrier, in my opinion. 
Matthew E - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 10:04 AM EDT (#217369) #
Dave: Maybe that should be, established players who are traded here tend not to do well here. Hungry guys who need another chance can sometimes do very well here; look at Morrow and Fred Lewis.
92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 11:40 AM EDT (#217376) #
Except for the fact that Rolen and Glaus were excellent.
92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 11:49 AM EDT (#217377) #

This looks like a cost savings measure: By putting Richmond back on the 40 men roster and optioning him the Jays save his salary.

Saving around 40k by shipping him out 2 weeks early reeks. If this team with a heavily reduced payroll was so worried about the bean-counting that it would lead to slap in the faces like this they had no business tendering E5 a contract. There's utility in keeping your soldiers happy.

Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 12:18 PM EDT (#217380) #
They might be pushing back his FA if he's down for about a month and a half.
Dave Till - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 12:28 PM EDT (#217382) #
I guess I should have phrased it better: established players that are traded here tend not to like it here. Some players, just because they are very good, can help the team anyway: Glaus and Rolen made positive contributions while they were here (obviously). But they wanted to go elsewhere.

Players that weren't getting a fair shot elsewhere and are getting more playing time here are a different case - good point. Credit to AA for spotting Lewis and Morrow, and putting them in situations where they are doing better. It's a sign of a good organization when players play better here than they did elsewhere (Bautista might be another example).

Original Ryan - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 12:33 PM EDT (#217383) #
Dave: Maybe that should be, established players who are traded here tend not to do well here.

Even then I'd be inclined to disagree.  In addition to Glaus and Rolen, there have been a number of established players over the last decade who have reasonably performed within expectations.  I'm thinking of guys like Lyle Overbay, Justin Speier, Ted Lilly, Raul Mondesi, David Wells, and maybe even Marco Scutaro.  There have been a few notable busts like Joey Hamilton and Cory Lidle, but that sometimes happens in baseball.  I doubt Toronto's record with traded players is worse than average.
TamRa - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 12:33 PM EDT (#217384) #
^^^
True but Richmond is unlikely to be here for six years anyway.

Might be gaining a year on the arbitration clock if he were to stay down all year but that's a small savings too.

I doubt this was money related. I could almost see it being an opportunity to say "he's healthy" to any potentially interested trade partner (albeit alone, he surely only has marginal value - but if we got something for Eveland it seems entierly plausable we could get something for a healthy and productive Richmond)


Regarding EE: I have no basis for drawing conclusions about "attitude" - all the allusions to that I see are very vague and non-specific.
And none of them are from Anthopoulos who has pledged to us that he will not lie - and everything he has affirmed would seem to contradict the notion that EE was giving them "bad attitude" or a poor work ethic or whatever. He's said pretty much the opposite and, again, AA insists that he will withold comment if necessary but not lie about a situation.

SO

For now, I take the attitude issue with a grain of salt - in the mean time, i would hope that there are teams willing to take a chance on turning around his bad luck IF they have a power need and IF they have a solid defensive 1B.

My suggestion would be the Twins. It's pretty widely reported that they don't like the offensive production at 3B.

I'd also venture to say that the Jays might eat $2 million or so of the $2.7 remaining to be paid to him if they got a little somethin-somethin in return.


John Northey - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 12:46 PM EDT (#217387) #
Lets check our third basemen for how they did in Toronto vs elsewhere...

Encarnacion: 100 OPS+ in Toronto, 103 OPS+ in Cincinnati

Glaus: 121 OPS+ in Toronto, 121 OPS+ lifetime, 119 in St Louis (where he went after leaving), 135 so far in Atlanta this year

Rolen: 115 OPS+ in Toronto, 125 lifetime, 129 in Cincinnati since leaving Toronto, but just 105 in the 3 years pre-Toronto (1258 PA).

Glaus hit pretty much what one should've expected, Encarnacion was pretty much what he always was, and Rolen was lower than his career and since but better than the 3 years pre-Toronto.

It is hard to say any of these 3 played worse in Toronto than one would've expected, in fact I'd put all 3 pretty much in the 'as predicted' camp. Like Toronto or not all did what one should expect.

So with the forced trades each guy caused what did we get?

Troy Glaus was acquired (along with Sergio Santos who was later lost on waivers) in exchange for Miguel Batista and Orlando Hudson

Glaus was traded for Rolen in a classic challenge trade.

Rolen was traded for Zach Stewart, Edwin Encarnacion and Josh Roenicke.

Thus, in the end (so far) it works out to Batista & Hudson for Stewart & Roenicke plus a few years of Glaus/Rolen/Encarnacion.
China fan - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 12:49 PM EDT (#217388) #
Scott Richmond, when fully healthy, has the potential to strengthen the Jays bullpen in 2011.   He shouldn't necessarily be dumped to another team in exchange for a marginal prospect.  Given the likely departure of Scott Downs and Jason Frasor to free agency, the Jays shouldn't be tossing away every pitcher who doesn't crack the starting rotation.  A decent pitcher like Richmond, if he's given the proper nurturing and bullpen experience, could be a useful piece in 2011, if only as a stopgap until the younger pitchers come up.
Flex - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 12:50 PM EDT (#217389) #
Joe Carter and Robbie Alomar did all right after being traded here.
Mike Green - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 01:16 PM EDT (#217391) #
they had no business tendering E5 a contract

I thought that he was signed to a 2 year-contract in 2009 and that the Jays were stuck with his salary for 2010 regardless. 
92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 01:23 PM EDT (#217393) #
That's a good point, and as Manute Bol would have said, my bad. It misses the point, however, and I can just as easily say the Jays should have traded E5 for whatever they could get and assume the majority of his salary - I'm sure a team would have given them a body and more than 50k in relief if Rogers was so desperate for $. Caring about Richmond's status in 2015 is puzzling and shouldn't be a reason.
Ryan Day - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 01:26 PM EDT (#217394) #
I wonder if the Jays might be better off switching Encarnacion to first, DH, or LF at AAA. His best-case scenario with the glove is probably "almost average", but I still have some faith in his bat: He was hitting for power and drawing some walks, even though he struggled to make contact. Perhaps removing the stress of being a lousy third baseman would be beneficial to his offensive game; Eric Hinske seemed to blossom once everyone gave up on the idea he could play third.
John Northey - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 01:40 PM EDT (#217396) #
Checking the Jays site it seems Richmond is still on the 40 man roster (Encarnacion has been removed). This suggests I was wrong on my reading of the data - he is on rehab and still getting his ML salary and service time. Hopefully he does well and is pitching up here shortly after the AS break.
92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 01:42 PM EDT (#217397) #
He was optioned to Dunedin and is making the MLB minimum.
Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 01:57 PM EDT (#217399) #

Caring about Richmond's status in 2015 is puzzling and shouldn't be a reason.

Well, if you have a chance to gain a year control and save $40k or whatever and ferret out interest in an expensive player that doesn't fit into your plans long term, why not?

92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:02 PM EDT (#217400) #
The 20 days doesn't gain them an extra year of control, and you can place Encarnacion on waivers or trade him without taking him off the 40. There's utility in keeping your soldiers happy and not screwing them over for what amounts to bubkas in the grand scheme of things, and the team hasn't been looking to cut costs at every corner in other areas so I'm left puzzled when they do it with Richmond, a Canadian kid they are best off treating as well as possible lest the media latch on and cry afoul.
Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:05 PM EDT (#217401) #
In a more conspiratorial vain, it's possible they wanted to DFA Encarnacion to check interest but wanted to minimize bad blood in case he clears and they assign him to Vegas. To do that, they decide to move up a coming roster decision so that the 40 man spot is used.

Ok, it's not likely... really not likely... but it's fun to test the limits of plausibility.
Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:09 PM EDT (#217402) #
Oh, I wasn't thinking just 20 days, but more like a month and a half or so, putting it a bit after the deadline (presumably after they thin out their relief corps with trades if they fall further back).
Mike Green - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:14 PM EDT (#217404) #
That's a good point, and as Manute Bol would have said, my bad. It misses the point, however, and I can just as easily say the Jays should have traded E5 for whatever they could get and assume the majority of his salary

Yeah, they could have done that.  I guess that they wanted to keep their options open at the start of the season with Bautista as an outfielder and to see whether Encarnacion might develop defensively, and if nothing else, improve his marketability.  It's a different situation now with Lewis here and Snider having more or less declared that he is up for good, and the minor league options at third base looking more reasonable. 
92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:17 PM EDT (#217405) #

Yes but it's the 20 days MLB pay Richmond is being screwed out of for no apparent reason that concerns me - they could still have depressed his service time by keeping him down in the minors for as long as they wanted after the 30 day injury exemption. And since we love talking options here, they potentially burned one on Richmond if over the next 3 starts he proves something and the Jays wanted to call him up for a start in place of one of the current starters due to injury.

Anders - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:18 PM EDT (#217406) #

Checking the Jays site it seems Richmond is still on the 40 man roster (Encarnacion has been removed). This suggests I was wrong on my reading of the data - he is on rehab and still getting his ML salary and service time. Hopefully he does well and is pitching up here shortly after the AS break.

Not to get too off topic or be unkind, but why? Obviously one should want players to succeed, and there is certainly no reason to root for them to fail (A-Rod excepted, of course) but Richmond is a 31 year old journeyman who has barely performed at replacement level in 160 major league innings, There is no way he fits into the team's long term plans, certainly not as a starter. The team is, at the moment, rolling out five starters in their age 24, 25, 26, 26, and 29 seasons, all of whom are doing well and have at least two more seasons of being under team control left. This is not to mention Zep and Mills, 25, Stewart, 24, Drabek, 23, Jenkins 23 and Henderson Alvarez 20.  I shudder to think that the Jays might somehow see fit to put Richmond back in the rotation, just as they briefly did with Tallet when he came back from injury. Whether this is a rebuilding year or not, why go with proven mediocrity over potential goodness? This was something the team sort of figured out by the end of the JP era; lets hope its not soon forgotten.

uglyone - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:33 PM EDT (#217408) #

This is the first thing AA has done yet that really has me mystified.

I don't get this move at all.

EE has been far from bad this year - and the only bad thing about his performance (his batting average) has likely been due to horrendously low Babip luck.  Other than that likely Babip-savaged AVG, his walk rate and power have been excellent.

And his much-maligned defense has been at least average by any measurement not just this year, but ever since he came to the Jays.

Pretty harsh for EE - he gets waived while outperforming our two "young stars" Hill and Lind, at the same age as them, with a similar track as theirs, and a better contract.

bad move. first time I've said that about anything AA has done.

Hoffpauir better be able to perform, or else we just made our team worse for no reason at all.

Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:34 PM EDT (#217409) #

Yes but it's the 20 days MLB pay Richmond is being screwed out of for no apparent reason that concerns me

No offense to Richmond who seems like a great guy, but this isn't exactly one of the great injustices in the world. As for creating turmoil amongst the soldiers, it didn't seem to affect Romero or Janssen last year who had the same thing happen last year for 7 and 18 days respectively.

Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:43 PM EDT (#217411) #
On a presumably unrelated note, his GO rate in his first two starts was abnormally high for someone who's usually been a fly ball pitcher. Is he working on something (maybe working down in the zone more, throwing his two-seamer more, a different changeup, etc)?
stevieboy22 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:56 PM EDT (#217413) #
EE has been far from bad this year - and the only bad thing about his performance (his batting average) has likely been due to horrendously low Babip luck.  Other than that likely Babip-savaged AVG, his walk rate and power have been excellent.

We must be watching two different players... I don't see him constantly hitting into bad luck.. I was at the game on Sunday, and I remember him crushing a ball that went straight upwards. It looked like he squared the ball up and it was infield fly.. He needs to rework his swing, and a month or so in the minors might help him keep his bat through the zone....

Sometimes when people have a low BABIP, it is because they aren't hitting well... I know, this might shock some people on this board.. But bad hitters have bad BABIP, not bad luck... Right now, EE is a bad hitter, he needs to fix some stuff....
92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 02:57 PM EDT (#217414) #
John never said he wants him to start. Richmond has been VERY effective vs. RHB over his career, and would have been an ideal reliever to bring in the 6th inning of Sunday's game when you potentially want 2 innings from your RP and the Giants had Renteria (R), Rowand (R), Whiteside (R), Torres (S), and Sanchez (R) due up.
92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 03:03 PM EDT (#217415) #

 As for creating turmoil amongst the soldiers, it didn't seem to affect Romero or Janssen last year who had the same thing happen last year for 7 and 18 days respectively.

I really hope you don't think it didn't affect those guys because of their performances this year, because that really isn't proof of anything. As well, Janssen & Romero have each made significantly more $ from the Blue Jays than has Richmond, who presumably feels the 45k loss much more. If the Jays really wanted to save money they could have optioned Richmond immediately, I don't understand waiting for the EE situation to do so. And please don't tell me it's to make sure other teams don't scoop up Reidier Gonzalez.

China fan - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 03:20 PM EDT (#217417) #

....the only bad thing about his performance (his batting average) has likely been due to horrendously low Babip luck.....

I know you've been defending EE for the past 12 months, but I'm surprised that you're clinging to this defence in the face of the near-universal acclaim for AA's decision to demote him.  If you want to talk about luck, it's much more likely that EE's supposedly good OPS is due to the fluke of those three games in May where he hit 5 home runs.  Subtract those three games, and his season looks pretty dreadful, no matter which number you choose to use.  In fact, it's interesting to compare his Reds season in 2009 and his Jays season in 2010.  The numbers are frighteningly similar, and in both cases the Reds and Jays decided to get rid of him.  

Encarnacion in 2009 for the Reds:  165 plate appearances; .209 batting average; .333 OBP; .374 SLG; .707 OPS.

Encarnacion in 2010 for the Jays:  141 plate appearances; .200 batting average; .298 OBP; .467 SLG; .765 OPS.

The only real difference between the two seasons is the higher SLG this season, and that's almost entirely due to his 3-homer game on May 21.

....pretty harsh for EE - he gets waived while outperforming our two "young stars" Hill and Lind.....

Outperforming?   I suppose if you take the small sample size of 2010 and ignore the big sample size of 2009, you could "prove" a lot of things about Lind and Hill.  Personally, I would tend to accept the Jays assessment of EE's performance in 2010 and the likely future performance of Hill, Lind and Encarnacion.

Lind OPS in 2009:  .932.

Hill OPS in 2009:   .829.

Encarnacion OPS in 2009:   .748.

Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 03:31 PM EDT (#217419) #

I really hope you don't think it didn't affect those guys because of their performances this year, because that really isn't proof of anything.

That's quite presumptive. I was reasoning that since there was no outward turmoil indicated, they (especially Romero) have spoken positively since, and any behind the scenes stuff would have been known by the organization and yet they still decided to demote him, I feel ok with my assumption in this case.

As for the Richmond, EE, Gonzalez situation, this afforded opportunity with benefits. I'm sure Gonzalez won't be a major roadblock if something else comes up, but why turf him right now if there's another option?

92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 03:46 PM EDT (#217421) #

So you want Richmond to come out to the media and complain about this? That will do him a lot of good....

I must have missed the articles where Romero spoke positively about losing his MLB pay for a week for no reason. And you ignore the fact that Janssen/Richmond are a lot more financially secure (or at least should be) than Richmond.

uglyone - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 04:04 PM EDT (#217423) #

Outperforming?   I suppose if you take the small sample size of 2010 and ignore the big sample size of 2009, you could "prove" a lot of things about Lind and Hill.  Personally, I would tend to accept the Jays assessment of EE's performance in 2010 and the likely future performance of Hill, Lind and Encarnacion.

Lind OPS in 2009:  .932.

Hill OPS in 2009:   .829.

Encarnacion OPS in 2009:   .748.

 

Yes, if we look at last year, and only last year, then Hill and Lind are better. But why would we do that?

2010

  • EE (27): 141pa, .765ops, 106ops+, .329wOBA
  • Lind (26):  285pa, .634ops, 72ops+, .280wOBA
  • Hill (28): 247pa, .659ops, 79ops+, .295wOBA

Career

  • EE (27): 2322pa, .788ops, 102ops+, .344wOBA
  • Lind (26): 1664pa, .799ops, 111ops+, .342wOBA
  • Hill (28): 2880pa, .761ops, 100ops+, .332wOBA

Two of these guys are young building blocks, and the other gets waived. weird.

Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 04:27 PM EDT (#217428) #
Yes, I said that Janson and Romero were praising the organization for having demoted them... Oh, no, wait. I didn't. I said they spoke positively (towards the team in general), the implication (though a little opaque) being that they have not shown any disgruntledness towards the organization.

Spelled out more succinctly, I was saying that this has been done in the past, with no public discontent, and the people who would know if there was private discontent or not decided to demote Richmond.

But really, where's your sympathies for poor Reidier? Being on a 40-man roster increases the likelihood that he'll be called up. If a spot start's necessary, or an extra arm in the bullpen for a week, or a September call-up... All these are more likely if he's already on the roster. Richmond's already earned a half-million dollars or more playing ball, and EE's going to get paid regardless... Reidier-hater!
bpoz - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 04:31 PM EDT (#217430) #
Interesting stuff.
Options management:- I am still figuring out how they fully work and thereby how best to not waste them.
Some people on da box seem to have lowered their expectations about Brad Mills. I want to use him as a test case.
1) In 2009 he almost won a SP spot out of Spring Training.
2)IMO ST 2010 was not fair competition. I accept as fair that Tallet & Zep had the team made based on 2009 performance.But Valdez did not win his spot he was given it to not risk losing him and at the expense of Rommie Lewis (Cito's choice IMO).
3) Cecil got called up first(I am OK with that) but Mills & L Perez were better than him after 2 games played to start the season. I would have been OK choosing Mills or Perez instead of Cecil.

SO I valued Mills equal to Cecil at the start of 2010 and am afraid the Jays ownership of Mills time wise is getting dangerously too little for proper evaluation.

For various reasons I think all 5 current starters are basically equal (15-17 wins/year), with a slight edge to Romero.

Any ideas on what to do to let Mills have his shot at showing he is as good as our current 5. My statement probably sounds ridiculous or wishful thinking but he is in the same unproven boat that Romero/Cecil/Morrow were in quite recently.
I don't want to lose him before he gets 25 games with the Jays to show what he has got.
China fan - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 04:32 PM EDT (#217431) #

....two of these guys are young building blocks, and the other gets waived. weird...

It's not weird at all.  The career numbers don't tell you anything about the current status of these guys.  Encarnacion had decent hitting seasons from the ages of 23 to 25.  Then he went into steady decline, and he's shown nothing (aside from a single game on May 21) to suggest that his decline is over.   Lind and Hill, on the other hand, weren't so good at the age of 23 or 24, but they've had excellent seasons as recently as 2009.   Obviously AA considers that 2009 is a more significant year than 2006, especially when projecting the future.  What's weird about that?

By the way, it's a bit weird to argue that EE should stay on the team because he's performing the same as the worst-hitting players in the lineup.  Everyone knows that Hill and Lind are having terrible seasons.  If they fail to improve within a month or two, obviously they're going to be in trouble -- Lind in particular, since he's the easiest to replace.  Lind and Hill are getting a bit more leeway than EE because both of them had monster seasons in 2009, and EE hasn't had a monster season since 2006.  When you claim that Lind and Hill are regarded as "building blocks", you're introducing a red herring.  Most critics of EE aren't necessarily defenders of Hill and Lind, especially in their 2010 incarnations.  It doesn't logically follow that a critic of EE must somehow be a defender of the 2010 seasons of Lind and Hill.

uglyone - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 04:37 PM EDT (#217432) #

I don't even know what you're arguing about now. What the heck does "defender of Hill and Lind" have to do with anything?

And how do career numbers not matter for three players the same age? and how does this year's performance not matter for three players the same age?

I think the numbers I posted make a perfectly clear case as to why waiving the guy is silly.  Just like waiving Lind or Hill would be silly.

and you can keep harping about EE's "one big game", but if you give that same "one big game" to Lind and Hill, their numbers STILL aren't as good as EE's.

 

 

Flex - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 05:19 PM EDT (#217436) #
At the very least, uglyone has summed up why EE was angry at being demoted, and articulated the argument his agent would have made in his defense.
China fan - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 05:44 PM EDT (#217437) #

....I think the numbers I posted make a perfectly clear case as to why waiving the guy is silly.  Just like waiving Lind or Hill would be silly....

You're completely ignoring the points that I made.  Just to summarize again:  Encarnacion hasn't had an excellent season since 2006.   He's been in steady decline since then.  By focusing on career numbers, and a couple months of 2010, you're ignoring the obvious fact that Lind and Hill have improved since 2006, while Encarnacion has declined.

But I'm glad you've at last revealed your main point:  you believe that Encarnacion is actually as good as Lind and Hill, based on numbers that are weighted heavily to the early years of their careers.  Interestingly, in previous discussions of the Rolen trade, you argued that Encarnacion was as good a hitter as Scott Rolen, and the only significant difference was their salaries.  It seems that the Jays and the Reds must be both equally "silly" for failing to understand that Encarnacion is as good as Lind, Hill and Rolen.  So, according to you, there should be a clamor of baseball managers who are eager to trade for Encarnacion. Let's see what happens on the waiver wire -- unless all the other managers, too, are as "silly" as the Jays and Reds.

92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 07:20 PM EDT (#217439) #

But really, where's your sympathies for poor Reidier?

Now you've lost me, because I'm the one who DIDN'T want Richmond counting towards the 40 before he had to be.

Spelled out more succinctly, I was saying that this has been done in the past, with no public discontent, and the people who would know if there was private discontent or not decided to demote Richmond.

And therefore we should trust that there was no private discontent in those cases? What if there was, and the Jays management just doesn't care? How is that not a possibility? I assure you when Scott Richmond got the call from his agent and was told he was officially optioned to A he asked him why and was told this will save the Blue Jays 45k on his salary. The facts that Romero & Janssen didn't publicly complain (which would be insane) and that the Jays continue to employ this practice speaks nothing towards the sensibility of the decision, unless you just assume that everything a MLB office does is correct.

Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 07:38 PM EDT (#217440) #

The Reidier sympathies thing was your position taken to an absurd and humorous (to me, anyway) degree. A straw-man to do battle with your hay-hominid, if you will.

As for the rest of your points: a) why are we to assume that your behind-the-scenes look is the most obvious when there is no evidence anywhere? b) It's not just that they're not complaining, everything they say regarding the franchise and the team are positive, Romero gushingly so. I don't see any evidence of unhappy soldiers in those two... They're not Accardo, after all.

Could there be an issue? Sure. Given a complete lack of knowledge of the inner workings, no signs outwardly, precedent (and experience as to whether this issue typically raises conflict), why are your assurances gospel?

92-93 - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 07:54 PM EDT (#217441) #

The Reidier sympathies thing was your position taken to an absurd and humorous (to me, anyway) degree.

And has no relevance, because nobody suggested Reidier should have been removed from the 40. I merely mentioned him to explain that once the team doesn't care about the player, which is clear as evidenced by how they treated Richmond, they wasted 22k paying Richmond an MLB salary for the first 10 days of his rehab, because there was no reason he couldn't be immediately added to the 40. If you're going to cut corners, do it right!

why are your assurances gospel?

My assurance wasn't related to how the player feels - it was only about it being explained to him why the Jays optioned him 20 days earlier than they needed to.

You ask for instances of player discontent with management - well Accardo is clearly one of them, and I remember Erik Bedard being pissed at the Orioles for the way they manipulated his service time, leaving him exactly one day shy of being eligible for free agency.

Moe - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 10:00 PM EDT (#217443) #
they wasted 22k paying Richmond an MLB salary for the first 10 days of his rehab, because there was no reason he couldn't be immediately added to the 40. If you're going to cut corners, do it right!

One thought: I don't know what the time table for his possible return was but it could be that the Jays expected to have him up in 20 days and now see that this is not going to happen and decided that if you option him anyways, you might as well option him now.
Spifficus - Tuesday, June 22 2010 @ 10:20 PM EDT (#217445) #
Accardo had done enough to earn his demotions, or at least there were enough performance-related issues to make it justifiable. Just because he was acting entitled and crotchety doesn't make him a good example of optional discontent.

As for Reidier, it was labeled a straw man for a reason... yeesh. You brought him up on the periphery of the discussion. I ran with the tangent. This Richmond travesty really has hit you hard!
uglyone - Wednesday, June 23 2010 @ 12:51 AM EDT (#217449) #

You're completely ignoring the points that I made.  Just to summarize again:  Encarnacion hasn't had an excellent season since 2006.   He's been in steady decline since then.  By focusing on career numbers, and a couple months of 2010, you're ignoring the obvious fact that Lind and Hill have improved since 2006, while Encarnacion has declined.

You're making grossly oversimplified generalizations about trends to try and paint a picture that's not reality.

There has been no "steady decline" from EE - he was good, then he was injured and bad, and now he's bounced back to somewhere in between in a very small sample since injury.

There has been no "steady improvement" from Hill and Lind either, both have been good, then bad, then good, and now back to bad again.


But I'm glad you've at last revealed your main point:  you believe that Encarnacion is actually as good as Lind and Hill, based on numbers that are weighted heavily to the early years of their careers.  Interestingly, in previous discussions of the Rolen trade, you argued that Encarnacion was as good a hitter as Scott Rolen, and the only significant difference was their salaries.  It seems that the Jays and the Reds must be both equally "silly" for failing to understand that Encarnacion is as good as Lind, Hill and Rolen.  So, according to you, there should be a clamor of baseball managers who are eager to trade for Encarnacion. Let's see what happens on the waiver wire -- unless all the other managers, too, are as "silly" as the Jays and Reds.

Well, I'll ignore your childish mis-characterizations of my previous arguments in your childish attempts to beat your chest, and agree with you that absolute yes, any GM would be wise to pick up EE for free right now, just like AA was wise to pick up Fred Lewis for free a couple months back (and yes the GMs' decisions to let Lewis go for free and/or pass over him were also "silly").


katman - Wednesday, June 23 2010 @ 02:49 AM EDT (#217453) #
Gaston has publicly said EE wasn't about attitude, and actually offered an explanation for some of the things we've been seeing:

"What you guys probably heard on the radio, I mean, we don't tell you guys who's knees are hurting them or who's legs are hurting, because then the opposition knows about it. Edwin, he's been beat up a little bit, sore in his legs and stuff, because he didn't have Spring Training. When guys don't run the ball out, sometimes it's got nothing to do with their effort. It's got something to do with we tell them to pull up. [The move had] nothing to do with that. If a guy's not running or playing up to what I think he should be doing, if he's healthy, then I will say something to him. So it's got nothing to do with that."

http://toronto.bluejays.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100622&content_id=11450888&notebook_id=11452536&vkey=notebook_tor&fext=.jsp&c_id=tor
China fan - Wednesday, June 23 2010 @ 04:08 AM EDT (#217454) #

.....now he's bounced back to somewhere in between....

It's pretty hard to debate with someone who's convinced that a .298 OBP is evidence that EE has "bounced back" to "somewhere in between."

92-93 - Wednesday, June 23 2010 @ 01:27 PM EDT (#217467) #

What you guys probably heard on the radio, I mean, we don't tell you guys who's knees are hurting them or who's legs are hurting, because then the opposition knows about it.

What is the opposition going to do if they know E5 has wonky knees, take a bat to them? How is this any sort of an explanation? And how did the Jays not learn their lesson from Vernon last year, who apparently played injured the entire year and provided negative value on the field? Why is a non-contender running out players who can't play at 100%?

One thought: I don't know what the time table for his possible return was but it could be that the Jays expected to have him up in 20 days and now see that this is not going to happen and decided that if you option him anyways, you might as well option him now.

Certainly plausible, but this basically assumes the Jays were planning on demoting Janssen for Richmond, because I can't see any other spot in the bullpen he could take. It also makes no sense in light of the fact they were stretching him out as a starter and having him throw every 5 days. I think it's way more likely the Jays decided to use E5's demotion as a chance to save 45k at the expense of Richmond.

martinthegreat - Wednesday, June 23 2010 @ 02:56 PM EDT (#217471) #
Encarnacion has sucked for the last two years. OBP of .320 and .298 are not good. His fielding has always been fairly poor. This year he has 7 errors in 37 games (maybe advanced fielding metrics avoid this stat so much that they don't even consider it?) which prorated to the total number of games is pretty bad... in fact it adds up to 30 errors in a 162 game stretch, which is quite bad. His hitting has also been in decline for two years running. Even if the OPS totals don't look horrible, they are inflated by the SLG%. I think I have heard that many guys (ie: Sabremetricians) think that OBP is more valuable than SLG, so the weight should not be the same. Based on what I have seen, I would agree, but of course that should be researched more fully.

It's quite likely that AA just doesn't value this player type. A poor defender at 3b, he'd likely have to move to first at some point. First is usually a big hitting position, so he'd have to hit even more to justify playing. He'd likely still be a mediocre fielder. Also, it's hard to tell what he's like in the clubhouse, and so on, which also contributes to these decisions. And it's possible that someone will claim him, freeing us from paying him. In the end, I doubt he has much trade value right now, and he's not really helping the team, and he's not likely in our future plans, so it's best to cut him and see what younger, unproven guys like Hoffpauir and Emaus can do.

So yeah. I look forward to the non-Encarnacion era.
TamRa - Wednesday, June 23 2010 @ 03:42 PM EDT (#217475) #
re Richmond - my assumption would be that the team envisions him as a potential reliever if/when they start trading from the surplus in July.

I assume they would want him fully ready for promotion by the break (which is the schedule he was on regarding his rehab)


martinthegreat - Thursday, June 24 2010 @ 01:05 AM EDT (#217491) #
According to Rotoworld, Encarnacion has passed through waivers and been optioned to AAA, which makes some recent comments quite amusing in retrospect.
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