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The Toronto Blue Jays look to stay in first place as the New York Yankees visit the Dome this weekend.


This series will bring back memories of 1985 and the Blue Jays clinching the American League East Division for the first time since 1985. The newspaper here is from The Toronto Star.

The Yankees are coming off an 8-6 win over the Indians yesterday to avert a three-game sweep in Cleveland and a five-game losing streak that started with a sweep by the Blue Jays in Yankee Stadium. Their record of 62-51 leaves them 0.5 games back of Toronto for top spot in the American League East.

The Jays improved to 64-52 after finishing off Oakland in a three-game sweep at The Dome and extend their winning streak to 11. Their 39 home wins tie them with Kansas City for the most in the American League.

Series Schedule / Probable Starters

Friday at 7:07 pm ET - Ivan Nova (4-4, 3.52) vs. David Price (11-4, 2.35)
Saturday at 1:07 pm ET - Masahiro Tanaka (8-5, 3.79) vs. Marco Estrada (10-6, 3.21)
Sunday at 1:07 pm ET - Luis Severino (0-1, 2.45) vs. Drew Hutchison (11-2, 5.26)

The Jays will be wearing this cap for the series finale.

You can continue to go back in time with a look at Blue Jays songs from the past.


On a somber note, former Toronto Blue Jays manager John Farrell has stage 1 lymphoma. Thoughts and prayers go out to the Boston skipper and his family.
Yankees @ Blue Jays - August 14-16 | 257 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Chuck - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 05:38 PM EDT (#308904) #
Just don't see ballplayers wearing turtlenecks any more, though the high stirrups are making a bit of a comeback by a daring few.
Anders - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:00 PM EDT (#308911) #
Edwin DHing and batting 4th, Smoak at 1B, Russ catching.
robertdudek - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:05 PM EDT (#308912) #
Our best possible lineup until Travis returns.
Lylemcr - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:08 PM EDT (#308913) #
Go Jays Go!!!!
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:09 PM EDT (#308914) #
Devon Travis wRC+ (2015): 138
Ryan Goins wRC+ (August 2015): 138
JB21 - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:12 PM EDT (#308916) #
So therefore, let's get Travis back and be thankful Goins was able to help the position stay at a high level throughout 2015, despite Travis' missed time.
scottt - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:16 PM EDT (#308917) #
A 4th outfielder would be more useful than Travis right now. Meh, there's only 2 weeks left before the bench goes to 40.
Chuck - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:23 PM EDT (#308918) #
A 4th outfielder would be more useful than...

C'mon, take the 4th outfielder, 8-man bullpen, Danny Valencia, Matt Hague business to another thread! ;)

greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:27 PM EDT (#308919) #
JB21, I agree. I mentioned a while back that Goins was a pretty good (and improving) temporary substitute for Travis. But Travis is still the better overall player.
hypobole - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:32 PM EDT (#308920) #
Goins swings the bat better when he doesn't.

Goins swing% on the season is 41.8, one of the lower marks on the team.

The past 30 days he's taken it to a new level, swinging at only 33.7% of pitches. Donaldson at 39.1% is the only other hitter under 40. in that timeframe.
hypobole - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 06:45 PM EDT (#308921) #
One other bit of Swing% trivia. Buck loves saying some Jays hitters never swing at bad pitches (Buck doesn't know the word rarely), but he's not far off.

Out of 155 qualified MLB hitters, 3 Jays are in the top 11 for lowest% of swings outside the strike zone.

Martin 8th, Bautista 10th, Donaldson 11th.
Lefty - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 07:04 PM EDT (#308922) #
The Jays simply need to win every series the rest of the way. The streak is unimportant.
raptorsaddict - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 07:41 PM EDT (#308926) #
Does anyone else think that letting Danny Valencia go wasn't a great decision? Anybody? Anybody?   :)
hypobole - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 07:49 PM EDT (#308927) #
Despite some highly questionable umpiring, that was a terrific AB for Goins.
scottt - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 07:54 PM EDT (#308928) #
Streak or no streak, every win against the Yankees counts double.
China fan - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 08:06 PM EDT (#308929) #
After seeing so many wild-and-crazy high-scoring games in the first two-thirds of the season, I'm having a little bit of trouble in adjusting to the pitching duels that we seem more likely to witness these days.
robertdudek - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 08:12 PM EDT (#308930) #
The Pillar-Revere hit and run was a thing of beauty.
China fan - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 08:16 PM EDT (#308931) #
Reverse jinx.  As soon as I talk about pitching duels, the Jays do their best to prove me wrong.
Jimbag - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 08:18 PM EDT (#308932) #
Boots & hearts, Nova.
scottt - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 08:19 PM EDT (#308933) #
I'm not. Those are great games.
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 08:22 PM EDT (#308934) #
Price is such a competitor. He's fun to watch (when he's in a Blue Jays uniform).
Chuck - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 08:46 PM EDT (#308935) #
Brad Mills is pitching for the Oakland Blue Jays tonight.
China fan - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:05 PM EDT (#308936) #
Out of habit, I started to check the AL scoreboard to see what's happening in the other games tonight -- and then I suddenly realized that the other scores really don't matter at all.  Who cares about the teams that are 5 games behind the lead?  The only game that matters tonight is the Jays game.  Their fate is completely within their own control -- they don't need help from anyone.  After so many seasons of perennially checking wild-card standings and the out-of-town scores, it doesn't matter any more.  It's an odd feeling.

(Footnote:  yeah, I guess the Royals matter, for the home-team advantage in the playoffs.  But the pennant is within the Jays control.)

CeeBee - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:19 PM EDT (#308937) #
Price is amazing! Not since prime time Doc have we had a True #1.
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:31 PM EDT (#308938) #
Nova has pitched a pretty good game tonight.
Jimbag - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:36 PM EDT (#308939) #
He has. He's also gotten more of his close pitched get called his way than Price has.
backscratcher - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:42 PM EDT (#308940) #
I would have brought Sanchez in for Headly, he was 2/3 and Price has given up a lot of hits tonight (for him). wanted to post that before the double but too slow
grjas - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:42 PM EDT (#308941) #
Sure hope Hutch watches Price's approach on the mound closely.
backscratcher - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:44 PM EDT (#308942) #
ugh
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:45 PM EDT (#308943) #
I wanted Hawkins.

I like Sanchez, but he makes me nervous with runners on base.
China fan - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:48 PM EDT (#308944) #
Thirteen hits by the Yankees in 8 innings so far tonight.  They were bound to get some runs at some point.  I would have been tempted to pull Price after 7 innings too, but even the high-leverage relievers can't be perfect all the time.
scottt - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 09:57 PM EDT (#308945) #
No, but it's easier for a reliever to come out for a clean inning than with runners on base.
Paul D - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:08 PM EDT (#308946) #
Pillar against Miler in the bottom of the 9th - I think we've found Valencia time.
China fan - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:12 PM EDT (#308947) #
Valencia?  Seriously?  And then who would play CF if there are extra innings?  Or perhaps you've expanded the roster to 26 players?  (Not to mention that Pillar probably did better than Valencia would have done anyway.)
Paul D - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:20 PM EDT (#308948) #
Revere would play centre. 
China fan - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:22 PM EDT (#308949) #
Revere-Valencia-Bautista would be a dreadful outfield.
scottt - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:22 PM EDT (#308950) #
Nice at-bat though.
grjas - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:23 PM EDT (#308951) #
Love the fight in this team. Can't be measured by the statheads.
robertdudek - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:23 PM EDT (#308952) #
Revere looked pretty bad against Miller. Too bad we didn't have a really good right handed hitter available to pinch hit for him.
Jimbag - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:23 PM EDT (#308953) #
Could've used Valencia in relief of Price.
Paul D - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:24 PM EDT (#308954) #
Although I suppose you'd probably use Valencia to pinch hit for Revere, not Pillar.  Although seriously, pinch hitting against LHP relief pitchers is quite literally the role he'd have had on the team - this does not seem like a controversial opinion.
ComebyDeanChance - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:24 PM EDT (#308955) #
Wouldn't Valencia have pinch hit for the left handed Revere? Who got wiped out on a slider. With one out and a runner on third, and on second, I thought that was the key at bat.
Paul D - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:25 PM EDT (#308956) #
Although it's too bad they lost, I thought that Miller did not look comfortable out there - I do like their chances going forward of getting to Miller.
robertdudek - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:25 PM EDT (#308957) #
We're not allowed to say V's name anymore. House rules.
China fan - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:27 PM EDT (#308958) #
The Valencia fans would have used him to pinch-hit for Revere??  Bizarre.  In any event, they've already used him to pinch-hit for Pillar -- but I guess they can keep pinch-hitting him indefinitely until he gets a hit....  Maybe they would have used him to pinch hit for Tulo too....

Predictably, the Jays lose their first game in 12 games and the nit-pickers descend. 




greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:27 PM EDT (#308959) #
Revere had a pitch to hit (1-0 FB) against Miller with runners on second and third and one out, but he took it, then went down on sliders away. That was probably the pitch to turn on.

Nice PA by Tulo. He battled despite apparently being a bit out of sync at the plate at the moment.

Tough loss, but I'm glad the Jays made New York sweat in the ninth. Back at it tomorrow.
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:30 PM EDT (#308960) #
Yes - Valencia for Revere in that situation would have made perfect sense.
Paul D - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:32 PM EDT (#308961) #

China, while I think you sometimes took a little too much abuse here, but I don't think you're being fair here.  Valencia's role was to bat against left handed pitchers.  Even those of who you who think his role would have been limited have acknowledged this.  That was quite literally the situation tonight.

In terms of the outfield defence, A) you could use him in place of Revere in place of Pillar, and B) managing for extra innings is managing scared (this is something I appreciated about Joe Torre, he managed for the win)

Anyways, i didn't realize that the Valencia discussion was over, happy to drop it if that's the deal now.

Chuck - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:33 PM EDT (#308962) #
Andy Fletcher seemed to have a very uncomfortable relationship with the strike zone. Maybe the bases will be easier for him.
robertdudek - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:34 PM EDT (#308963) #
ChinAfan. Painting with a broad brush. Of course no sense in pinch hitting for  Pillar. I'm so glad the Jays have Schultz and Loup for this series instead of the wasteful Rays with their 5 man bench. I mean jeez they even have the audacity to carry a 4th and 5th outfielder.
China fan - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:36 PM EDT (#308964) #
Valencia does have a hit (a single) in his 5 career appearances against Miller, so sure, he was definitely going to save the game for the Jays.
92-93 - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:40 PM EDT (#308965) #
It's really odd to call people questioning the 8 man bullpen after tonight "nitpickers". We have been explaining for a very long time that situations like tonight are exactly why you need more bodies on the bench.

That being said, Revere is a very good contact hitter who had only 4 Ks since coming to Toronto. He is striking out less this season than Danny Valencia vs. LHP. And even with a 3 man bench, I was thinking Gibbons could PH for Revere and go with Pennington in LF and Martin at 2B if the game extended to extra innings.

After a game like tonight, you just have to blame the players. They didn't really hit well all night. Sanchez threw a 1-2 fastball right down the middle, Tulowitzki missed a play he should've made, and Revere couldn't but the ball in play in a huge spot.

Let's get em tomorrow.
TangledUpInBlue - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:40 PM EDT (#308966) #
Bizarre? I'm guessing, ChinaFan, you're the only one who wouldn't have pinch-hit Valencia there. Were he there. Which he wasn't. Because Bo Schultz.
ComebyDeanChance - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:40 PM EDT (#308967) #
I think the bottom of the lineup is pretty susceptible to left-handed pitching.
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:41 PM EDT (#308968) #
CF, five PAs is obviously a tiny sample size. And the Jays simply needed a productive PA in that situation. The LH Revere was overmatched by Miller's sweeping slider, resulting in a K.
hypobole - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:42 PM EDT (#308969) #
Gibby is trying his darndest to prove there is really no point to his 8 man pen.

If he's going to be so deferential to his starters, it's really hard, verging on the impossible, to have an argument in his favour. Price battled despite not having anywhere close to his best stuff. This is the 2nd game in a row I was expecting to see a reliever to start the 8th.

China fan - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:43 PM EDT (#308970) #
"...Revere is a very good contact hitter who had only 4 Ks since coming to Toronto. He is striking out less this season than Danny Valencia vs. LHP..."

Exactly.  Gibbons needed a contact hitter in that situation.  That's why Revere made as much sense as anyone else.
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:44 PM EDT (#308971) #
The Jays can still take this series. Win tomorrow, then go from there.
robertdudek - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:47 PM EDT (#308972) #
Greenfrog. You are likely wasting your time with chinafan, I mean actually asking him to evaluate empirical evidence. He prefers absurd hyperbole. Who cares if Revere was completely overmatched in an extremely important PA. What matters to chinafan is that everything fit into his worldview.
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:49 PM EDT (#308973) #
Revere might be a contact hitter in most situations, but he was overmatched against Miller, a power lefty whose wipeout slider is his best pitch. He never came close to putting the ball in play. Sometimes you just have to close the fangraphs tab on your computer and use common sense.
Kasi - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:49 PM EDT (#308974) #
There still hasn't been any defense about this roster other than its worked since they won 13/14. Well teams will do that when they have a loaded roster and your starters go on a hot run. It doesn't mean you throw away value for a guy whose main appearance in two weeks was pitching the ninth in a 10-3 game. Schultz has s role here, but Loup other than an occasional platoon appearance doesn't. He is hopeless when not in platoon. The reason to have Valencia (or Pompey or Carrera) is to allow for more late inning pinch hits and to spell people occasionally so guys like Donaldson don't play 160 games and can be fresh for the late season.
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:51 PM EDT (#308975) #
Robert - posted before I read your post.
robertdudek - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:54 PM EDT (#308976) #
Broadening this discussion a little, it's too bad there was no one on the bench who could run faster than Pennington. Or someone who could come in for outfield defense if by some weird chance the manager wanted to pinch hit a righty for Revere against a lefty killer. But hey we have 5 incredibly well rested righthanded relievers and one lefty reliever who is even more than well-rested.
TangledUpInBlue - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:56 PM EDT (#308977) #
so sure, he was definitely going to save the game for the Jays.

I can recall those quaint days of yore when we were asked to name a situation where having Valencia would've been useful. Now that it's (predictably) occurred, as it will several more times this year, we're told that he wouldn't "definitely" have got a hit. Now there's a standard.
Kasi - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 10:58 PM EDT (#308978) #
And yes Valencia is clearly a very valuable piece against LHP. I agree that his numbers against RHP are not sustainable and he is not an every day guy. But a guy who can come in and give a .900 OPS against LHP is very valuable for the bottom of this lineup, which is very weak to LHP (despite the top four killing LHPs). He is also an option at multiple positions and while nothing great is not a disaster like Colabello in the field.
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 11:00 PM EDT (#308979) #
The Jays will have more options once Travis is back. And they need him.

I joked about Valencia in the other thread, but truthfully, I was not happy to see the Jays DFA him.
Kasi - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 11:05 PM EDT (#308980) #
Oops sorry, only a .865 career OPS versus LHP. Still 200 points better than Pillar or Revere.
JB21 - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 11:09 PM EDT (#308981) #
SAMPLE SIZE ALERT. Revere was 3 for 6 vs Miller. As well he's a career .300 hitter vs LHP (average is a relavent stat here because all we needed was a single) and almost never strikes out. Pinch hitting him wasn't automatic.
Kasi - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 11:17 PM EDT (#308982) #
Then pinch hit him for Pillar who has been a black hole in the box for a month. Valencia in left and Revere in center is not the end of the world.
greenfrog - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 11:18 PM EDT (#308983) #
Not automatic, I agree. But Valencia would have been a better choice in that situation, in my view. Miller is a much more dominant pitcher than he used to be. He really did make Revere look bad up there.
backscratcher - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 11:19 PM EDT (#308984) #
I'm just a guy with an opinion, dumping Valencia for the 8 man pen was surprising. Gibby is riding his horses so its a weird choice. For this game, you would have had Valencia for Goens and then Colo for Revere (or flip). Maybe
robertdudek - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 11:21 PM EDT (#308985) #
Jb21. Sure it's not an automatic. But maybe a voice in your head says I like a righty's chances here. Oops you dfad your best eighty bat and you only have Navarro sitting on your bench and you can't use him because omg what if Martin gets hurt and we have no one to catch! It's about having OPTIONS. Oh I need a really fast guy to run the bases, but geez all I have us Pennington. Or oh pillar and bautista are looking a little tired, they both had rough games out there on Thursday. But ooops I have no bench player who can competently play the outfield. This goes way beyond V.

backscratcher - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 11:24 PM EDT (#308986) #
I don't subscribe to his bedside manner, but I believe Robert has a strong point. Bring on September roster please!
Kasi - Friday, August 14 2015 @ 11:28 PM EDT (#308987) #
The point was that it wasn't a decisio. That had to be made there. Everyone thought there was another roster move coming, like maybe Pompey coming up. It never happened. Both Loup and Schultz could have been optioned at any time and Tapera or others brought up if the bullpen blew up. But nope we threw away a guy who is now hitting cleanup for the A's because of well I do t know. Travis was already injured so we knew there was a spot filling up from him going on the DL.
StephenT - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 12:10 AM EDT (#308988) #
Would've really liked to have seen the pitches from a straightaway centre-field camera tonight.  (Sportsnet last used it at Rogers Centre in 2003.  They use it in Fenway and Tropicana.)

From the left-centre camera they use, all of Price's pitches "pass through" left-handed batters on the way to the plate.  Obviously we can't accurately see the location or break.  (At least they've had the strike box graphic on the right the past couple years, but it's a shame that we actually need it to know the location.)

An "epic" 12-pitch battle between Andrew Miller and Tulo tonight.  But we couldn't really see the 12 pitches.

C'mon Rogers Sportsnet.  Time to spring for a new camera.  It will improve the broadcast approx 300 pitches per game.
JB21 - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 12:16 AM EDT (#308989) #
All I said was it wasn't automatic, especially when you factor in the pinch hitter penalty. I'm on record for questioning the DFA and obviously would prefer DV was on the team vs the 8th BP member.
JB21 - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 12:18 AM EDT (#308990) #
Judging by that post Robert, it's time for bed. Pop a Tylenol and chug some water and get some rest. (I'm joking BTW)
Jimbag - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 02:36 AM EDT (#308992) #
Tonight's game sort of had that sense of the luck turning right from the start - from Tulo's leadoff foul (by inches) to Donaldson getting 2 outside (by inches) pitches called for strikes to the upheld safe call at first...add up a few little things like that and they can change the outcome. But hats off to Nova - he hung in there when it looked like the seams were starting to pop in the 3rd, and to the Yankees in general for hanging in there until they finally caught a break.

The Jays were in it right to the end, they fell short (by inches). They get another chance tomorrow.

Richard S.S. - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 09:14 AM EDT (#308995) #
This was expected, just not when. The next one can start today. Please note, The Jays have won more than a few games with less than seven hits as a team, mainly as they know when to take advantage of lesser performances by opponents.

There were some questionable decisions made. I'm unsure if bringing Price out for the eighth inning was a good one. I don't think I would, but I wouldn't bring out Cecil, Lowe, Sanchez, Hawkins or Osuna. With a three-run lead bringing out Loup, Hendricks and Schultz and going out by out if necessary would be a more productive use of assets. But that's being counterproductive, Price, Sanchez and Gibbons blew the game.

That being said, even trailing they had chances. There needs to be more of an effort made to not make an out by the 3, 4 and 5 hitter In the Eighth. That was poor. But with the 6, 7 and 8 hitters getting two runners on, they did their jobs. However, runners on second and third with just one out needs to be handled better, no matter the pitch count.

Next game is a day game so they don't have a lot of time to think about it. They just have to understand they can get beat, and relax, have fun and play better.
Gerry - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 09:18 AM EDT (#308996) #
I was at the the game. The atmosphere was great, the crowd was really into it especially in that last at-bat. As my wife said after the game "it was the best of times, it was the worst of times".

But I do I think Gibby went one hitter too far with Price. While Price can throw 155 pitches, in this game he had to battle out of tough situations a few times. I remember about three times when the crowd were on their feet exhorting Price to get the final out.

Its usually not the number of pitches that matter to a pitcher, its how many stressful situations he has had to deal with. At least three times on Friday, Price had to reach back for the final out of the inning. That's why I thought Price should have been pulled after the McCann hit.

I also wonder how Sanchez was able to handle the atmosphere and the fired up crowd. Price has pitched before that kind of crowd before but I don't think Sanchez has. Hopefully its a learning experience for him.
Chuck - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 09:52 AM EDT (#308999) #

Chuck - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 09:53 AM EDT (#309000) #
There needs to be more of an effort made to not make an out by the 3, 4 and 5 hitter In the Eighth

You don't think they were making a suitable effort to not make an out? Are you basing this on the results or on some specific observations? Did they exhibit a blase, laissez faire comportment that most of us were not skilled enough to discern?

jerjapan - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 10:04 AM EDT (#309001) #
Could've used Valencia in relief of Price.

cracked me right up Jimbag. 
Mylegacy - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 11:50 AM EDT (#309011) #
Well - we lost a game. We didn't get beat/slaughtered/embarrassed - we just lost - A - game. Even during the sainted years of 92 93 we lost games. Several, at least, if my memory serves.

We discuss the final batter, the final strike by the #9 hitter.

My oh my - we have a WONDERFUL team! What this game teaches me - is - just how spectacular this 25 man unit is. All these guys have to do is keep believing, keep plugging and keep their heads in the game. We may not win the WS - heck - a lot of teams won't win it this year - BUT - we are real, honest to goodness, serious, contenders. Sit back, relax, and enjoy - sometimes it's a long time between glories. Life's a journey - the destination involves worms, decay and a very uneventful eternity. Chill little ones, chill.

Richard S.S. - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 12:54 PM EDT (#309015) #
Let's see. The Toronto Blue Jays are one of the most highly scouted teams in Baseball. Pitch-by-pitch and every twitch is being reviewed. If it's not, people should be fired for not playing enough attention to the hottest Team in Baseball.

In the eighth inning, it should not be a surprise to any Baseball fan on the Planet that Bautista, Encarnacion and Smoak are trying to hit a homerun. If any of the three think Dellin Betances is going to make that type of mistake, they need to be talked to. Trying not to make an out is priority number one in the eighth. Bautista might still strike out. Encarnacion and Smoak might still fly out to Ellsbury. But, they might not, they might just pay more attention to detail.

This shouldn't have to be an issue, but in too many games they don't hit well.
Last night Yankees 13 hits; Jays 6 hits, 2 BBs.
Thursday Athletics 8 hits, 2 BBs; Jays 6 hits.
Tuesday Athletics 6 hits, 2 BBs; Jays 6 hits, 1 BBs.
Sunday Yankees 3 hits, 4 BBs; Jays 5 hits, 3 BBs.
Saturday Yankees 3 hits, 3 BBs; Jays 7 hits, 2 BBs.
Friday (10 innings) Yankees 8 hits 2 BBs; Jays 8 hits, 3BBs.
Wednesday Twins 10 hits, 2 BBs; Jays 8 hits, 6BBs.
Tuesday Twins 2 hits, 3BBs; Jays 7 hits, 3BBs.
Monday Twins 3 hits, 2 BBs; Jays 8 hits, 4 BBs.
Sunday Royals 4 hits, 2 BBs; Jays 7 hits, 6 BBs.

Last night was the only game where hitting poorly cost them the game. Last night was the only night that hitting really mattered because Pitching let them down.
robertdudek - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 12:59 PM EDT (#309016) #
Richard,

You should probably include the two missing games, otherwise people might wrongly think it is a complete list.
Mike Green - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 01:19 PM EDT (#309018) #
I'm not a fan of the batting order today, and in particular placing Goins and Revere back-to-back.  With Betances and Miller having both pitched yesterday and the day before, the Yankees may very well be playing much more of a platoon match-up game in the middle to late innings.  It's best to make it harder for them to do so.
Richard S.S. - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 01:46 PM EDT (#309021) #
Include two games where they hit well and crushed the opponents? Why? The whole object of the post is the Jays are winning despite regularly hitting poorly, and that I thought they should have been better last night.
greenfrog - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 02:15 PM EDT (#309023) #
The Jays are not having very good PAs so far today. They're taking hittable pitches and swinging at balls well out of the zone.
hypobole - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 02:30 PM EDT (#309024) #
Huge opportunity here. C'mon Josh.
greenfrog - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 02:41 PM EDT (#309025) #
Estrada is having a marvellous season for the Jays, considering he was supposed to be a swingman.
greenfrog - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 02:45 PM EDT (#309026) #
Beltran just hit a HR off Estrada *as I was writing that post*. Ridiculous.
greenfrog - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 02:48 PM EDT (#309027) #
Teixeira, I mean.
Chuck - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 02:54 PM EDT (#309028) #
He is pitching well this season and certainly better than many expected. But he did get a little lucky today. Were he to be asked again to permute 3 walks, one triple and 2 homeruns in 6 innings, he'd not likely give up just 2 runs.
Mike Green - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 02:57 PM EDT (#309029) #
Tanaka has not earned the strike zone he is getting this inning.
Chuck - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 02:58 PM EDT (#309030) #
Bird plays first base like a DH.
Mike Green - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:05 PM EDT (#309031) #
The late Bird never catches the ball. 
Mike Green - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:11 PM EDT (#309032) #
Buck has Derek Lowe on the brain.  Understandable, I guess. Don't think that he'll confuse Alex Rodriguez with Henry Rodriguez though.
Chuck - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:21 PM EDT (#309033) #
I hope I see robot umpires in my lifetime.
robertdudek - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:22 PM EDT (#309034) #
Intentional walk to tex is in order.
Mike Green - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:24 PM EDT (#309035) #
Good call, Robert.  The shift has its limits.
robertdudek - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:28 PM EDT (#309036) #
Can someone explain why Hawkins is ahead of Hendriks on the depth chart?
Mike Green - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:31 PM EDT (#309037) #
Hendriks has had poor results, mostly due to bad luck in my view, in high leverage situations.  As a result, Gibbons doesn't trust him compared with the veteran Hawkins. 
robertdudek - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:39 PM EDT (#309038) #
With the pitching matchup tomorrow, a Yankees sweep is highly probable.
Jonny German - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:44 PM EDT (#309039) #
Why is it so very hard for Gibbons to understand that Loop is a LOOGY??
robertdudek - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:44 PM EDT (#309040) #
Putting Loup in is akin to conceding the game.
Mike Green - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:45 PM EDT (#309041) #
Highly probable, Robert? ZIPS and Steamer both have Severino with an ERA/FIP of about 4 over the rest of the season.  He's obviously a great prospect, but I doubt that any advantage he has over Hutchison is so large that the difference in the lineups and the home-field advantage makes a Yankee victory tomorrow highly probable. 
robertdudek - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:47 PM EDT (#309042) #
I'm looking at the current form of the Jays and Yankees bats. I expect the well rested Yankees regulars to eat Hutch alive. Wonder if Gibbons will reconsider and start Dickey.
Mike Green - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:51 PM EDT (#309043) #
Severino is a different type of cat than Nova and Tanaka.  They've benefited from the expansive strike zone more than I think Severino will.  Actually, it'll probably help Hutchison more than  Severino, I think.

We'll see, I guess.


snider - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:52 PM EDT (#309044) #
I assume gibbons has called an Uber for Loup to Buffalo now.
greenfrog - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 03:57 PM EDT (#309045) #
It's unfortunate that Tulo has cooled down of late (3/31 with one XBH). It puts a damper on the offense as a whole.
Mike Green - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 04:01 PM EDT (#309046) #
Hendriks did look very good despite the tight strike zone he received.  I don't know that he's thrown 97-98 before this year.
Chuck - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 04:01 PM EDT (#309047) #
Could be worse. Tulo could be hitting like Reyes: 214/237/268 with 3 CS as a Rockie.
greenfrog - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 04:08 PM EDT (#309048) #
Slowly, almost imperceptibly, a couple of problems may be starting to mount for the Jays:

- Some of the regulars may be tiring (Donaldson, Bautista, Martin, Pillar), but the team's roster construction provides little or no way to rest them. Smart teams keep their starters fresh; they don't run them into the ground "old school" style.

- The bench lacks versatility and depth.

The team needs Travis back. They could really use (a healthy) Stroman and Saunders as well.

Last thought: the Jays have a lot of games left with the Yankees. The team is right there, despite these two losses (they really should have won yesterday's game, at least). They need to turn the page and get back to playing winning, disciplined baseball.
robertdudek - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 04:08 PM EDT (#309049) #
Is Jesse Chavez a different cat too? Because he looked pretty good against the Jays as well. I worry because unfamiliarity is usually an advantage to the pitcher.
robertdudek - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 04:14 PM EDT (#309050) #
Greenfrog. The problems were there the whole time, exacerbated by a certain dfa decision and the farming of Carrrera without the promotion of an outfielder. It's just that an 11 game wn streak papered over all that and anyone who pointed these things out was scolded for not enjoying the great team the Jays had become. Of course enjoying a team and pointing out its flaws are not mutually exclusive. Some people just don't get that.
Kasi - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 04:22 PM EDT (#309051) #
Yeah this is why you have a decent bench. So that you can spell Donaldson and Bautista from time to time. This week would have been a good time to do that with EE out, but since we had no bench and couldn't move anyone around we had to play them in games against Oakland. We couldn't even take them out in a game we were up 10-2 in the second. You know who would look good here? A guy who could play 3b and OF passably. I wonder who that might be.
christaylor - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 05:04 PM EDT (#309052) #
Two games and the moaning comes out. I will take a should have won game, a loss, and hopefully a win.

The Valencia non-sense is really getting old. If that is AA's biggest mistake of the year the team is way ahead of other teams.

We knew the team would hit a rough patch and now we get to see whether they respond like a team capable of winning a championship. Let's hope that is exactly what we see tomorrow.
Kasi - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 05:19 PM EDT (#309053) #
I think biggest mistake was keeping Gibbons around. I wish we had Cash. But obviously nothing is changing with that now so let's not start that argument again.

Valencia I agree isn't the biggest issue. The issue is the thin bench and eight man bullpen that's not being utilized. Valencia was one solution to it. Travis being healthy is another. There are more. Having a bench like Robert says gives time for a player to have a day off or to bat at DH. It also gives more opportunities for exploiting late game pinch hitting. Thirdly it gives a bit more insurance and flexibility against injuries and such.
rtcaino - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 05:24 PM EDT (#309054) #
Agreed on the Valencia non-sense. It is distracting us from discussing the real issue this season, Matt Hague being blocked.
Jonny German - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 05:28 PM EDT (#309055) #
I don't think Travis being healthy does much for the bench. No huge difference between Goins and Pennington.
Kasi - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 05:37 PM EDT (#309057) #
If Travis is back than presumably Goins is on the bench. He's quick enough to be a pinch runner and he can play several IF positions and possibly even OF if he had to. (Would feel much better playing him in left than Martin at second) He can also spell Tulo or Travis when they need days off.
scottt - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 05:54 PM EDT (#309058) #
Tomorrow you'll probably see Hutch. He's not championship caliber. We already know that.
It's not fair to hope Hutch will come out and blank the Yankees. So the hope is that Severino will get shelled. That's a tall order.  The Jays are playing well.  Estrada was good, but Tanaka was better.

robertdudek - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 05:59 PM EDT (#309059) #
I thought Tanaka was mediocre for the first 5 innings. Give him credit for getting out of jams and never grooving anything to any of the big boppers. He was Cy Young level the last 4 innings, though.
Chuck - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 06:36 PM EDT (#309060) #
I don't think Travis being healthy does much for the bench.

Indirectly it does. Having Travis starting in place of Goins means one less player to have to pinch-hit for, meaning fewer demands of the bench.

Chuck - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 06:38 PM EDT (#309061) #
Two games and the moaning comes out.

Just as it would for any fan site for any team for any sport. Welcome to earth.

hypobole - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 06:40 PM EDT (#309062) #
Lots of off days coming up and Sept just around the corner.

Good point about Tanaka early being mediocre, somewhat like Price yesterday. Really good pitchers can work through stretches of mediocrity with a bit of luck.
Alex Obal - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 08:24 PM EDT (#309063) #
When did "barrel up" go mainstream as the verb of choice for making solid contact?
Chuck - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 09:01 PM EDT (#309064) #
When did "barrel up" go mainstream as the verb of choice for making solid contact?

A good long time. You miss that one? I missed "cowboy up" by about a decade. Guess I wasn't paying attention.

JB21 - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 09:35 PM EDT (#309066) #
So Chris Davis is sorta hot right now.
John Northey - Saturday, August 15 2015 @ 11:51 PM EDT (#309071) #
In the 'what do you know' category - Ichiro now has more hits between Japan and the majors than Ty Cobb.  I see it more as trivia than anything but it also makes one wonder 'what if' with Ichiro.  Imagine he got to be in the majors from the start of his career then we'd be seeing all kinds of stuff right now about him closing in on the big numbers (odds are he would've started a bit later in the majors and might have had fewer hits early on, but the Japanese league seasons are shorter so who knows).  I'd like him to pass Pete Rose on the overall hit total just to help cut down the Rose mystique a bit. 
Richard S.S. - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 11:41 AM EDT (#309076) #
Leading off with Tulowitzki must stop. He needs to be in the On Deck Circle watching a new Pitcher(s), to him, pitch to someone else. That just might increase his efficiency when facing that Pitcher - any advantage helps. Lead off with a sacrificial hitter first if necessary, use anyone. While the Pitching is now better, I thought I'd take a look at our big boppers since the off day, July 27th, where the Jays are 5-4 since the All Star Break, with 3 Relief-credited losses and 3 poor Offensive games. This is right at the time of the Reyes departure and the start of the A.A. Adventure.

Troy Tulowitzki has hit .216 since arriving here and basically leading off since Devon Travis went on the D.L.. He's had 1.75 days off (pinch hit BB, August 1st).
60 AB, 14 Runs, 13 hits, 07 RBI, 1 HR, 8 BB, 3 HBP.

Jose Donaldson has hit .309 as number two hitter and done everything he's been needed to do. He's not had a day off since the ASG, but that shouldn't continue long.
68 AB, 15 Runs, 21 Hits, 18 RBI, 7 HR, 11 BB, 1 HBP, 1 SF.

Jose Bautista has yet to heat up and might not, just hitting .274. He's not had a day off since the ASG. I don't know how healthy he is.
73 AB, 13 Runs, 20 Hits, 14 RBI, 4 HR, 2 BB, 1 SF.

Edwin Encarnacion has hit .396, but has missed 5 Games due to his finger. Is he hot yet, it's hard to tell with that time off?
46 AB, 09 Runs, 19 Hits, 09 RBI, 2 HR, 5 BB, 1 HBP, 1 SF.

Ben Revere has hit .229 mostly as the number 9 hitter, but is (small sample warning) 5 for 14 with a BB in last 4 games.
48 AB, 04 Runs, 11 Hits, 01 RBI, ----, 2 BB, 2 Sac, 1 SF.

Revere is less than ideal as a Leadoff Hitter, but it sure beats putting Tulowitzki up for the slaughter every game. My suggestion is Revere leads-off and Tulowitzki hits 5th, keeping Donaldson, Bautista and Encarnacion where they are in the lineup. The whole idea is to get Tulowitzki hitting better and really see what Revere can be.

These Jays are not hitting well, because the opposition has learned how to pitch to them, as is. Changing things up might mess opponents up. Defense is very good. Pitching is very good. It will occasionally have an off-day, but it will still be very good.
jerjapan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 12:40 PM EDT (#309079) #
I do agree that dropping Tulo in the order against righties might be an offensive spark if it combined with a Pompey promotion to hit leadoff versus righties.  Pompey could be platooned with Pillar to minimize Pillar's platoon weakness and mixed and matched with Revere at times to give both our scuffling regular OF some time off.  this leaves at least one extra base running / pinch hitting threat (or a defensive sub for Bautista if desired) on the bench. 

Does anyone know if there's a measurable 'bullpen rust' affect?  Id be interested to see the numbers.  It certainly would be yet another reason to go with a 7 man bullpen and a Pompey promotion with the starters pitching so well

Jimbag - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 01:02 PM EDT (#309081) #
Here's hoping the Jays don't need 27 outs today.
scottt - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 01:34 PM EDT (#309083) #
No excuse for that.
JB21 - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 02:07 PM EDT (#309084) #
Joey made up for it ;)
Mike Green - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 02:26 PM EDT (#309088) #
Nice piece of hitting by Smoak foiled by Headley.  Otherwise it probably would be bases loaded, no out.
China fan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 02:36 PM EDT (#309089) #
"....I expect the well rested Yankees regulars to eat Hutch alive...."

One hit by the Yankees in 5 innings so far.
JB21 - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 02:43 PM EDT (#309090) #
Fully expecting something in baseball is not a good idea.
Chuck - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 02:57 PM EDT (#309092) #
"Watching" a game while doing things around the house has gotten a lot more difficult. Fans are generally very poor at gauging flyballs and scream inappropriately (either too optimistically or too pessimistically). Now, add in all the casual fans filling the stadium these days, and the screaming has become even less reliable. I don't know how many times I've rushed to the TV to watch a 280-foot flyout generating the enthuasiasm warranted by a 500-foot homerun.
China fan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 03:07 PM EDT (#309093) #
Beautiful pitch by Hutchison to strike out A-Rod there.
China fan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 03:17 PM EDT (#309094) #
That's two excellent games in a row by Hutchison.  Too early to assume that he has turned the corner, of course, but it's a very positive sign -- not just for this season but for next season too.  He's still just 24, and I'm willing to have faith that there's plenty of potential for improvement in the near and medium-term future.
jerjapan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 03:26 PM EDT (#309096) #
Agreed China fan. Just imagine if we get the "breakout" hutch many were calling for preseason down the stretch. Just as significant - and entirely possible - as a stroman comeback
scottt - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 03:50 PM EDT (#309098) #
I don't know why they keep asking Revere to bunt. He's only hit into 4 double play this year, all with Philadelphia. He only had 2 sac bunt with the Phillies and now he's up to 4 and he's botched a few.
robertdudek - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 03:59 PM EDT (#309099) #
Carlos Beltran giveth, Carlos Beltran taketh away.
JB21 - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 04:00 PM EDT (#309100) #
I keep wondering the same thing, especially with Tulo/JD/Joey/EE coming up there's no need to bunt.
JB21 - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 04:01 PM EDT (#309101) #
Well, the sun may have had a little to do with that.
China fan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 04:04 PM EDT (#309102) #
"....He only had 2 sac bunt with the Phillies...."

You're forgetting about the bunt singles, of which Revere has had quite a few.  He's quite capable of bunting for a hit, and I think the Jays were hoping for a bunt single there.
China fan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 04:07 PM EDT (#309103) #
From an article about Ben Revere in May 2014:

"...Over the course of his career, one out of every 12 of his hits has been a bunt single. Revere had four successful bunt singles in six tries this year and 25 in his career. One out of every 17 of his hits has been a bunt single....."

China fan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 04:10 PM EDT (#309104) #
Aaron Loup optioned to Buffalo.   Everyone happy now?
finch - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 04:15 PM EDT (#309105) #
YES!
Now if they can call up Chad Jenkins.
Jonny German - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 05:05 PM EDT (#309108) #
When they win the World Series, that's when we can say The 8-man Pen Was No Harm No Foul Even Tho It Was Patently Stupid.
Jonny German - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 05:09 PM EDT (#309109) #
As for the here and now, FREE DALTON POMPEY. Heisey or Carrera would be a big upgrade over reliever #8, but Pompey has far far more upside than those two.
greenfrog - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 05:41 PM EDT (#309112) #
Big win for the Jays. They could easily have won game 1 of the series as well. Wonderful job by the pitching staff today.

Watch out for the pesky O's, who are only 3.5 GB of the Jays.
James W - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 05:47 PM EDT (#309113) #
Wilner said that Pompey is battling an ankle ailment, and to expect either Thole or Heisey.
hypobole - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 05:57 PM EDT (#309114) #
Pompey turned his ankle trying to break up a double play Friday night.
Magpie - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 06:57 PM EDT (#309115) #
Fans are generally very poor

Watch the outfielders! They know.
Chuck - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 07:01 PM EDT (#309116) #
They know.

Oh, would that were true. They don't know. They do not flippin' know. Somebody should tell them.

StephenT - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 07:51 PM EDT (#309119) #
1985 Toronto Blue Jays, Wins Above Replacement Leaders:

Stieb 6.8, Barfield 6.8, Key 5.1, Alexander 4.9, Bell 4.1, Fernandez 3.9, Mulliniks 3.2, Moseby 3.1, Whitt 2.5, Upshaw 2.2, Clancy 2.0, Iorg 1.8, Garcia 1.5, Lamp 1.3, Henke 1.1, Acker 1.1, Caudill 1.1, Lavelle 1.0

Ref: http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/TOR/1985.shtml
robertdudek - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 08:00 PM EDT (#309121) #
I'm confused. Does Chinafan disagree with this demotion, assuming a position player comes up? Is he against the 7man pen - is he neutral about it? Does it depend what AA says? Maybe Chinafan will wait to see if AA has really forsaken the 8 man pen. Must wait for the dear leader to speak.

Chinafan revelled in his contrarian support of the 8 man pen. That no other position players were needed over the last two weeks. What does he say now? What has changed?
jerjapan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 08:29 PM EDT (#309127) #
Come on.  This last comment has to be over the line in terms of picking fights, no?  I don't think ChinaFan has the moderator status required to make an entire post to articulate his ideas, unlike Robert Dudeck. 

Moderators, of all people, should have a higher standard of discourse.  This is getting ridiculous. 

cruzin - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 09:02 PM EDT (#309130) #
Very impressed and mildly surprised by Hutchison's performance today. I had anticipated a higher scoring game for both teams.

While this could be simply speculation on Richard Griffin's part, the Blue Jays could go down to a 4 man rotation during the upcoming road trip. Avoid having Hutchison pitch on the road and keeping the other starters from having too much time between starts. He further speculates that Hutchison could even be optioned since having Hutchison in the pen is likely not useful.

Thoughts?
ComebyDeanChance - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 09:09 PM EDT (#309133) #
Come on. This last comment has to be over the line in terms of picking fights, no?

Perhaps there are different lines for different people. Reads like simple abuse to me.
Mike Green - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 09:10 PM EDT (#309134) #
You have to happy about the home and home series with the Yankees.  The Jays went 4-2.  Here's another way to look at it.  If you just look at the first 6 innings of each game, the Jays were ahead by 2 runs or more in 4 of them, were tied in 1 of them, and were behind by 1 run in one of them.  They outscored the Yankees 14-4 in the first 6 innings.  They were full value for the record. 

The recent upgrades to the defence are obvious and important.  Hutchison may be the most obvious beneficiary.  His BABIP has been falling, and now sits at a still-high .339 for the season. Pitching to Martin is a real plus for him; this year opponent baserunners are 14-7 as compared with 27-4 over the previous 2 years.  It changes the dynamics with runners on base.  If he can get the BABIP down to .300 or .310 by the end of the year, he'll have an ERA not much higher than 4. 
robertdudek - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 09:28 PM EDT (#309135) #
Not abusive. Just challenging what I perceive as fetishistic "contrarianism" and an implied "AA must know what he's doing" in place of reasoned argument. He pollutes my thread (see 3-man bench etc) with his nonsense and so he doesn't deserve any respect from me.

If the owner of this site wants to censure me or ask me to leave that's fine, but I won't ever censor myself.
jerjapan - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 09:31 PM EDT (#309137) #
Sorry man, and I read your comments respectfully every time, but you are the fetishistic contrarian right now
robertdudek - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 09:38 PM EDT (#309138) #
I wasn't referring to you jerjapan.
eudaimon - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 09:55 PM EDT (#309139) #
Yeah that comment was pretty much just picking a fight. Frankly pretty immature.
ayjackson - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 10:03 PM EDT (#309140) #
Well if we're all chiming in, I understand where Robert is coming from.
robertdudek - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 10:04 PM EDT (#309141) #
I didn't realize maturity is a prerequisite around here. Thanks for letting me know dad, I'll work on it.
Kasi - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 10:06 PM EDT (#309143) #
I also understand where Robert is coming from.
StephenT - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 11:16 PM EDT (#309147) #
Just to followup on the '85 Jays, according to the WAR numbers above, the best 3 of the same type on that team were not actually the top-3 outfielders, but the top-3 starting pitchers.
dalimon5 - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 11:17 PM EDT (#309148) #
This is exactly why other blogs describe our threads as "watching paint dry." Check the egos at the door, it's a baseball blog.
JB21 - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 11:18 PM EDT (#309149) #
You sound like you are 12 years old, FYI.

Winning and all of the hype/excitement has brought a lot of posters back to this site, for better or worse, I'm not too sure.
robertdudek - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 11:19 PM EDT (#309151) #
It was really great seeing a lot of the 85 jays interviewed. Especially Henke, who deserves to be added to the level of excellence as the greatest closer in team history. Key deserves it too, and If Doc isn't there within a couple of years, it will be a travesty. We need more pitchers up there. Moseby and Barfield would be next in line.
robertdudek - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 11:22 PM EDT (#309152) #
Hooray for non sequiturs!
JB21 - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 11:23 PM EDT (#309154) #
The Royals came back and tied it in the 9th and won it in the 10th vs the Angels, which means the (currently on fire) O's move into the second WC.
dalimon5 - Sunday, August 16 2015 @ 11:54 PM EDT (#309157) #
"JB21," If I sound like I'm 12 years old then I'm a helluva find with Section 121 Seasons at the Dome, and the patience to follow some very slow discussions not at all about baseball at times on this blog, for close to a decade, if not longer.

There's a running narrative on this site that only those who post ad nauseam are "beauxites" and that everybody else who posts sparingly, if at all, is on a lower level...this isn't directed at all posters, because, clearly, there's some gem posters on this site who know what they're talking about and give great information that readers like myself simply can't get anywhere else. Then there's others who post a lot...score updates, epistemological rants, etc...
jerjapan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:03 AM EDT (#309158) #
What dalimon said. Love this site, but very tired of the condescending. Especially in this case ... You guys understand where Robert is coming from? That means, I assume, you agree with him. Fine, no problem. However, he relentlessly picks fights with chinafan, posts an entire thread to continue his argument, after we all agreed to no lalonger discuss the issue...

Robert himself agreed to drop it, then we check the site the next day to discover a new thread, dedicated to proving that robert it right.

hypobole - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:03 AM EDT (#309159) #
Interesting scenario I read today:

Runners on second and third, one out. Fly ball is caught for second out, with runner at third tagging and coming home. Runner on second doesn’t tag; he takes off for third and outfielder throws behind him, successfully doubling him up for third out. Runner who tagged crossed plate before out was recorded at second.

Does the run count?
jerjapan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:07 AM EDT (#309160) #
Last time I reached out to the box for advice, I got mockingly compared to pat tabler.


I also got a bunch of great feedback which I've been following up on and appreciate very much, so thanks those with sincere advice!
Four Seamer - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:12 AM EDT (#309161) #
hypobole,

I would have to consult my rule book to be sure, but my intuition tells me that as the out at second is a force play (no tag on the runner required), it ends the inning and the run doesn't count.
robertdudek - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:13 AM EDT (#309162) #
Jerjapan. You seem to have got the wrong idea about a few things. We agreed to not mention a certain dfa'd player, never the concept of an 8 man bullpen.

And what I did is I posted an essay, which everyone is free to read or not read. Judging by the many comments, almost all of which were cordial on that thread, I conclude that it was a somewhat interesting topic. It is a very multifaceted topic, as evidenced by the wide ranging discussion. At the risk of being again accused of being an egomaniac, I will note that that thread reminded me of the best days of this site.

It really has nothing to do with post activity. My nemesis, Chinafan, is far from a newbie here and in truth is a much more frequent poster here, as I tend to disappear for months at a time. It's not his status here I object to but rather his content and style (I'm sure the feeling is mutual).
BlueJayWay - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:16 AM EDT (#309163) #
run would count

robertdudek - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:17 AM EDT (#309164) #
It's not a force play with runners at second and third. The runner wasn't forced, he failed to tag and got doubled off. Run counts if it touches plate before third out is made.
ComebyDeanChance - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:21 AM EDT (#309165) #
Hypobole, the run counts. Sure the runner who was on second needs to be back in order not to be out, but he is simply the third out of the inning in this case. He did not need to advance to third and made the third out when he was caught off base.
hypobole - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:51 AM EDT (#309166) #
I got that from Dave Laurila, who has an excellent notes column each Sunday at FG.

"I queried a handful of people in the Fenway Park press box on Friday and Saturday. Three of the five, including a big-league executive, thought probably no.

The majority was wrong. Using rule book terminology, the occurrence would be a “time play” as opposed to a “force play.” The runner at second was not compelled to advance, and while he was technically “forced,” the rule book differentiates between a force play and a force out."

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/sunday-notes-eatons-pop-rules-brewers-cubs-more/
Jonny German - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 01:55 AM EDT (#309168) #
Complaining about Robert's "Three Man Bench" post is absurd, in my opinion. That was the best, most substantial article posted to the site in nearly 2 weeks.
Jonny German - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 02:38 AM EDT (#309169) #
the Blue Jays could go down to a 4 man rotation during the upcoming road trip... Hutchison could even be optioned since having Hutchison in the pen is likely not useful.

It is an interesting possibility but ultimately I don't think they'll do it, nor should they. It's tempting fate to say "Things are so good we don't even need the 5th starter" - especially this late in the season, when one expects that all the starters could use some extra rest. Dickey is the oldest starter in the AL, Buehrle was reportedly "a little beat up" recently, Estrada is on pace for his highest innings total ever.

What should definitely be done, in my opinion, is to line things up such that Price & Dickey pitch 4 of the remaining 7 games against the Yankees. Dickey being the only guy on the staff with a solid history of pitching well against the current Yankees.
China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 04:37 AM EDT (#309170) #
".... He pollutes my thread with his nonsense and so he doesn't deserve any respect from me....."

Until now I thought everyone on Batters Box respected each other.  It's basic human decency to respect people even if you disagree with their words.  I certainly respect Robert as an intelligent commenter on this site.  The way that we respect people is to debate them.  We take their ideas seriously, which is a sign of respect, and we take the time to disagree with them if we feel that we disagree.  This is a democracy, not some fascistic state where disagreement is considered "pollution."

The idea that someone "polluted my thread" by daring to disagree is undemocratic and insulting.  If Robert wants everyone to chime in with praise and hallelujahs to every word he says, he should please start his own website and control the membership.  Alternatively he can ask his friends on this website to ban everyone who disagrees with him.  It's their site, not mine.  They have the right to ban anyone if they wish.  Until that day, I assume that the owners of this site would welcome debate, rather than deeming disagreement to be "pollution."

Robert obviously hasn't spent much time on this site over the past year.  If he had, he would know that I have often disagreed with Anthopoulos.  In July, for example, I suggested that Loup should be demoted, so obviously I disagree with AA's decision to wait until mid-August to demote the guy who has had the most blown saves.  I have often criticized AA for not prioritizing the bullpen in the off-season. I said in the early months that he was making a mistake by cobbling together a bullpen from castoffs, and I said that he should have spent money on bolstering the bullpen in the off-season, rather than waiting until the trade deadline.   I often criticized AA (and Rogers) for a payroll which I consider inadequate for a team in a big market.  (Canada is a big market.)  I know that AA doesn't control the payroll, but I feel that he could have done much more to make the case to Rogers for a bigger payroll. 

In the other thread, both Jerjapan and I have provided empirical evidence to suggest that the 8-man bullpen is not automatically a bad thing, and that many teams do it. Instead of debating point-by-point with the evidence that we gave, Robert goes to a different thread and attacks me for "nonsense" and implies that I am nothing more than a slavish follower of AA who is incapable of "reasoned argument."   In fact I provided the most detailed response to his argument, but his only response is to call it "pollution" and to refuse to even comment on it.  That's fine, I still respect him, but I have less respect for his argument when he resorts to insults instead of data.

Just for the record:  I think it's perfectly legitimate to suggest a smaller bullpen and a bigger bench, and I respect the viewpoint. What I disagree with is the claim that it is "stupidity" to have an 8-man pen, and the sweeping generalization that "it sucks" without providing data to prove that it hasn't worked.  If the 8-man bullpen is always a stupid idea, it should be easy to point out many cases where a bench hitter would have been much more valuable than the 8th reliever.  Instead people have found only one example in the past few weeks: the 4-3 loss to the Yankees, where some people thought Pillar should be replaced and some people thought Revere should be replaced.  My response (in the other thread) is that the data doesn't necessarily support this conclusion, and I went into a lot of detail about it.  Robert refuses to debate it.  Okay.

My point is simply that the 25th man is rarely used on any team, whether the 25th man is a reliever or a hitter.  I don't think that a team should be called "stupid" because the 25th man isn't used very often.  Replace the reliever with a hitter and he would still be rarely used and the outcome of the games probably wouldn't change.
China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 04:41 AM EDT (#309171) #
As for a 4th outfielder:  of course it's a good idea, especially now that the Jays are heading into a series of games against an NL team.  I have been suggesting for weeks that the Jays would soon be promoting a 4th outfielder.  I've talked about Carrera, Pompey, and most recently Heisey.  If Robert thinks that I am avoiding the issue, or waiting for AA's approval, he hasn't been paying attention.
China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 05:09 AM EDT (#309172) #
"....While this could be simply speculation on Richard Griffin's part, the Blue Jays could go down to a 4 man rotation during the upcoming road trip..... He further speculates that Hutchison could even be optioned since having Hutchison in the pen is likely not useful....."

Griffin's article is worth reading.  Here's the link:  http://www.thestar.com/sports/bluejays/2015/08/16/and-then-there-were-four-in-the-blue-jays-rotation-griffiin.html

I don't think he is just speculating.  I think he is reporting that the Jays are seriously considering the idea.  It might not happen, if they change their mind after further discussions today, but they are definitely considering it, according to Griffin and his sources.

And I think Griffin makes a strong case for the logic of it.  If Hutchison isn't going to be used for 11 days, why not let him pitch a game in Buffalo to keep him sharp?  Why not option him and call up a hitter or reliever who has a chance of being useful?  For example, Russell Martin might be tired, and he might be beat up from trying to catch Dickey's pitches, so you could promote Thole to catch Dickey's next two games.  More useful than having Hutchison sitting on the bench for 11 days.

The main disadvantage to optioning Hutchison is the potential bruising to Hutchison's ego, creating the perception that he is being "demoted" for poor performance (which would actually be incorrect, since his last two starts were excellent).  The Jays might simply decide that it sends the wrong signal and it's not worth the trouble.

The other disadvantage is that it would use up an option year.  But Hutchison is basically a major-league pitcher who shouldn't need any optioning in future years, so this shouldn't be an issue.  If he needs to be optioned in future years, it means that his performance is deteriorating, and the Jays would probably give up on him and trade him, just as they traded Travis Snider when his option years were used up.

There are arguments on both sides of the issue, so the Jays might not option Hutchison.  But we'll find out later today.  Should be interesting.
85bluejay - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 08:05 AM EDT (#309173) #
We always think of the Yankees as old, but Tanaka, Pineda, Eovaldi, Nova and Severino are all under 30 - that's a very solid starting rotation that could be together for years.
hypobole - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 08:16 AM EDT (#309174) #
"Last time I reached out to the box for advice, I got mockingly compared to pat tabler."

I believe I remember the comment. You asked a serious question and received a flippant comment from one poster. But my take was the comment was mocking Pat rather than you.
Chuck - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 08:21 AM EDT (#309175) #
If that poster was me, then yes, I was mocking Buck and Pat and not JerJapan. I then did provide a serious answer.
cruzin - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 08:57 AM EDT (#309176) #
"What I disagree with is the claim that it is "stupidity" to have an 8-man pen..."

"I don't think that a team should be called "stupid" because the 25th man isn't used very often..."


Hmmm...I wonder if this part of the issue with how Chinafan reacts to certain posts and vice versa. I think many posters who post that someone was "stupid" are posting about what in there mind was a "stupid" decision, act etc. While one could imply that means the person committing said action is stupid, I don't most people mean it that way or just say it in the heat of the moment. I'd like to think I'm a fairly intelligent person and I've made some stupid decisions, but that doesn't make me stupid IMO.

Based on what I've gleaned over the short time I've been a posting member, simply lurked before. It seems Chinafan's default position is that the people running the team aren't stupid and more likely to be smarter and more experienced than the posters on this forum and takes great exception when posters call into the intelligence of those running the team. However, as fans of the Blue Jays, while there will be posts about how well the team is doing, there will be plenty criticizing the team be it the front office or players because...well it's simply the nature of the beast. Likely we have a need to second guess and everyone has their own preferences on how things so work so you'll like see more critical posts than positive posts when a decision may have not worked.

Well that's my 2cents on the subject FWIW.

Now let's get back to debating the merits of whomever the Blue Jays decide to call up after optioning Loup and perhaps the possible 4 man rotation.

John Northey - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:08 AM EDT (#309177) #
These are fun times.  One has no idea which way AA will go but with a division title on the line anything could and should happen.  I'm sure they are talking with Hutch about if he would be good in the pen or if 2 minor league starts would be better for keeping him sharp for September.

I'd probably go with demoting Hutch and having a long talk with him and the team about how it is to keep him sharp for September and to maximize the teams potential options during this two week stretch.  Carerra and Thole called up to allow Gibbons a lot of flexibility until near the end of the month, then one goes down (Carerra) and Hutch comes back.  Knowing that just a couple more days and it is September when Pompey would come up.  You keep Thole up as the 3rd catcher since no other decent 3rd catcher options are in the system right now.  The question becomes Carerra or Pompey basically. 

Dave Till - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:16 AM EDT (#309178) #

It's been a while since I read anything by Richard Griffin. I tend to avoid doing this, as I just get annoyed, and it's probably bad for my blood pressure or cortisol levels or something.

I don't think the Jays gain anything by sending Hutchison down to Buffalo. If they need to keep him sharp, they can have him throw a simulated game on his rotation start day, or give him a chance to work on pitches in a couple of bullpen sessions. And he is available in long relief should somebody else blow up.

And, despite his ups and downs, Hutchison just beat the Yankees to avoid a morale-sapping sweep (the fans' morale, if not the players'). If anyone deserves a few days' R&R at the major league level, he does.

However, I think that what is not good for the gander might be good for the goose, so to speak. I suggest that, when the Jays have days off, the Toronto Star should send Griffin to Buffalo to report on Bisons games. Torontonians have fallen in love with baseball again, and would probably enjoy reading more about the Jays' possible stars of the future. (How about an extensive interview with Dalton Pompey, for example?) And it's important for him to keep his writing skills sharp during what looks like will be a tough and demanding pennant race.

JB21 - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:23 AM EDT (#309179) #
Sorry dalimon5, that comment wasn't for you, I was talking about the below comment. We posted at the same time and your comment snuck in before mine.

"I didn't realize maturity is a prerequisite around here. Thanks for letting me know dad, I'll work on it."
JB21 - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:25 AM EDT (#309180) #
As well, this comment was brutal IMO. MY Thread?

"He pollutes my thread (see 3-man bench etc) with his nonsense and so he doesn't deserve any respect from me."
Jonny German - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:25 AM EDT (#309181) #
Dave Till's proposal is considerably more coherent than Griffin's prediction that the Jays will struggle over the next week. What makes Griffin so confident? Well you see, the Jays have had 5 winning streaks of 10 games or more in franchise history, and each time they went on to be less than great in the following 10 games. And history repeats, don't you know.

I am stupider for having made the mistake of reading that buffoon.
Jonny German - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:29 AM EDT (#309182) #
"As well, this comment was brutal IMO. MY Thread? "

How so? He was the one who posted the thread, if it's not his, whose is it? And it wasn't a simple 2-line topic starter either, it was a proper thousand-word essay.
Chuck - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:33 AM EDT (#309183) #
Now let's get back to debating the merits of whomever the Blue Jays decide to call up after optioning Loup and perhaps the possible 4 man rotation.

Had Hutchison been shelled yesterday, I think the decision to pull him from the rotation for the next two weeks would have happened. His start yesterday, and the one before it, likely change things, however. I would be surprised to see the organization not opt to stick with 5 SP and just use the off-days for rest.

Hutchison would have presumably been replaced by a 4th OF or Thole.

Now, was Loup destined for AAA regardless of the Hutchison decision (i.e., had Hutch been sent down, would Loup have stayed)? We'll probably never know. It would seem that he, now, is the one to be replaced by a 4th OF or Thole. And perhaps the thought, before Sunday's game, was to ship both Hutchison and Loup down for a 4th OF and Thole.

I am assuming that Hutch stays and that only one player will get the call-up. Who will that be?

Revere has stumbled out of the gate for the Jays and that may push him into a platoon role (despite his reverse L/R career splits). At the very least, since the Jays don't face much LH SP, Revere may start being pinch-hit for. Heisey would seem like the frontrunner (being RH, Pompey having the ankle woes and perhaps being protected from a pennant race) but he has reverse L/R career splits himself. Also, he seems little more than a warm body at this point. I'd just as soon see Travis Snider in the 4th OF role though I can't see that happening (the sideshow might be too distracting with the narrative of the Jays having "destroyed" him as a young player sure to resurface).

While not addressing the OF shortage, Thole would arrive with an obvious role: spare Martin the wear-and-tear of catching Dickey. Martin's offense has been sliding. Fatigue may be an issue. Or it just could be plain ol' regression -- he did seem to be hitting over his head for a good while. Nonetheless, the poor guy needs some relief (he's on pace for his most PAs since age 26).

Frankly, I had hoped that Navarro would have been moved by now. He's a better player than Thole, to be sure, but does seem to get in the way on this roster. He is rarely used as a pinch-hitter and no longer DHs. He is simply a backup catcher and the drop to Thole would be offset by Thole assuming the high maintenance Dickey duties.

Prediction: Hutch stays. Heisey gets called up.

Mike Green - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:34 AM EDT (#309184) #
The Blue Jays play consecutive games on August 25-31.  Hutchison is the logical choice for one of those starts.  He could be sent down to Buffalo for a start in the middle to keep him sharp or you could give him one outing in long-relief in the major leagues.  The Jays have five games and three off-days before August 25, so it is probably not desirable to run out a five man rotation until then. 

There is some merit to giving him a long-relief outing.  He might be the Jays best option for that in the post-season and a little practice never hurt. 
hypobole - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:35 AM EDT (#309185) #
cruzin, I agree with CF on this one. People shouldn't toss around the word stupid without expecting, and deserving a response. I strongly disagree with some of what you posted here, but I would never call you or your comment stupid. And if I did, I would deserve whatever retribution I received.

I'm still upset about Gibbons decision to leave Price in for the 8th in Fridays game. I could have labelled it stupid when I was seething, but that comment would have been more a reflection on me than on Gibbons.
hypobole - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:42 AM EDT (#309186) #
Jonny G, I had already copied that ridiculous bit of logical fallacy prior to reading your comment. Here it is for those who are even less inclined to read Griffin than we are.

"One should always be capable of learning from history, whether in life or sports, and the history of the 39-year-old Jays franchise hints strongly that in the wake of any long win streak, in that 11-game follow-up stretch following the club’s six longest runs — all of 10 games or more — they have never been capable of rebounding with another positive, short-burst, follow-up streak."
Mike Green - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:48 AM EDT (#309187) #
Subjectively, I believe that Hutchison may be the club's 2nd or 3rd best starter the rest of the season. You certainly do want to keep him sharp, at least so he can take a starting role in the playoffs should an injury make it necessary.

As for an outfielder, my preference would be Pompey but I anticipate that it will be Heisey.

hypobole - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:51 AM EDT (#309188) #
In fact, if one trusts Fangraphs pitcher WAR, Hutch has been the Jays best starter this year.

Mike Green - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 09:55 AM EDT (#309189) #
Thanks, hypobole, for that choice quote from the Griffin article. I'll give that one a miss. For what it's worth, in 1989, the Blue Jays won 6 in a row from August 22-27, lost one, then won 5 in a row, lost one, and then won 4 in a row.  The breaking of a streak was obviously not too much for that club...


JB21 - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 10:00 AM EDT (#309190) #
How so? He was the one who posted the thread, if it's not his, whose is it? And it wasn't a simple 2-line topic starter either, it was a proper thousand-word essay.

My understanding is that Da Box is an interactive magazine where posters contribute to the on going discussion of Baseball, and more specifically, the Toronto Blue Jays and nobody owns any thread, or threads. For example the images that are posted don't say JBrumfriend on them, but instead battersbox.ca.
Chuck - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 10:01 AM EDT (#309191) #
if one trusts Fangraphs pitcher WAR, Hutch has been the Jays best starter this year.

FG calculates WAR based on xFIP. Hutchison has underperformed his xFIP by 0.70 for his career. Time will tell, but there does seem to be an argument that xFIP overstates his ability.

By contrast, xFIP seems to undervalue both Buerhle and Dickey, whose career ERAs are about 0.30 lower than their xFIP. In Buerhle's case, his defense, his ability to shut down the running game and to induce the DP do not get captured by xFIP. And in Dickey's case, I don't think that standard BABIP rules apply to knuckleballers.

JB21 - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 10:01 AM EDT (#309192) #
*JBrumfield
China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 10:03 AM EDT (#309193) #
If I can just clarify Griffin's article: it's not purely an opinion piece.  Some of it is actual fact-based reporting, based on what he is hearing from Blue Jay sources.  So even if you disagree with Griffin's opinions (as many people do), the article is still worth reading because he seems to be reporting what the Jays are thinking about Hutchison.  And he makes it clear that the Jays haven't made a decision yet, but he still reports the idea that they are considering.

And one additional point from me:  by optioning Hutchison to the minors for 11 days, the Jays could actually have a five-man bench.  I believe there may be some people around here who think a five-man bench is a good idea.  So perhaps worth considering, even if you don't like Griffin. 
China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 10:11 AM EDT (#309194) #
"....It seems Chinafan's default position is that the people running the team aren't stupid and more likely to be smarter and more experienced than the posters on this forum..."

Not quite true.  I'm certainly not saying that the Jays management are always right.  All of us, including me, have sometimes disagreed with a team decision.  What I'm often doing, instead, is pointing out that there are two sides to the argument about a management decision.  One side is the criticism, which fans are perfectly entitled to do, even in strong language.  The other side is the rationale for the decision, which often gets totally lost in the rush to criticize. For a proper debate, both sides need to be considered.  When fans attack a decision as "stupid", it's often worth considering the rationale for the decision, so that the debate can properly flourish -- not just a rush to attack and insult. 

My belief is that we reach a better understanding of reality from a good debate, not simply from a rush to judgement.  So, if it seems that I'm being "contrarian," it's more likely that I'm trying to bring out the other side of the argument, so that the debate is happen.

Personally I find that I learn a lot more about an issue when there's a debate, not merely a one-sided opinion.
Mike Green - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 10:19 AM EDT (#309195) #
In projecting a player with 375 major league innings, you probably want to use a combination of FIP (or xFIP) and RA/9+.  ZIPS has Hutchison with an ERA of 4.24 over the rest of the year.  That strikes me as a tad generous objectively, but subjectively I think that he is going to do a lot better than it.  The defensive strength of the club will, I anticipate, lead him to walk fewer batters while maintaining a good but not great strikeout rate. 
Richard S.S. - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 10:26 AM EDT (#309196) #
I was extremely disappointed when Gibbons let Price start the Eighth. At this time of year with a three run lead go to the pen and save Price for when it matters. Win that game and I think it's another sweep.

Right now, Toronto is 65-54 0.5 GBL for A.L. East and holding Wild Card One by 3.5 games. They play only five games next week while New York and Baltimore play seven, so big changes could happen even when Toronto has a very good week.

Aaron Loup going down was the most logical move to make. First we see if A.A. has acquired/traded anyone. Then we see if any more people are being sent down. Then we will finally see who gets called/comes up.

Until such time, relax people, stress builds up naturally. Don't add extra to your life needlessly.

P.S. I work long hours; often; occasionally have a life. I don't always respond to questions and stuff. It's not because anyone's being ignored, it's because everyone is being ignored.
China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 10:33 AM EDT (#309197) #
For those who think Griffin is a buffoon, please note that Jeff Blair is reporting the same thing today:  Hutchison MIGHT be optioned to Buffalo.  (Note:  he doesn't say that it WILL happen.  He's just reporting, as Griffin did, that the Jays are considering the idea.)  The link:

http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/hutchison-demotion-still-on-table-despite-strong-outings/

China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 10:38 AM EDT (#309198) #
"....Heisey would seem like the frontrunner...."

Just to expand the debate a little:  it's speculative, but Bob Elliott suggested that the Jays might replace Loup's roster spot by promoting one of the following:  Heisey, Ty Kelly, Carrera, or Matt Hague.  (The latter would be purely if the Jays wanted a pinch-hitter for the NL games, rather than a 4th outfielder.)
China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:02 AM EDT (#309199) #
Fascinating stuff from Jeff Blair today on the extraordinary persistence of the "urban myth" which claims that the Jays have a "man in white" in centre field who is stealing signs and tipping off the Jays hitters -- a myth that even John Gibbons briefly believed!  (He was a bench coach for the Royals and his suspicions were focused on the guy who was running the centre-field camera at Rogers stadium....)

http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/hutchison-demotion-still-on-table-despite-strong-outings/

Lylemcr - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:18 AM EDT (#309200) #
Let's give Hutch credit today. He showed up yesterday. Way to go. I can step off the edge.... Whew :)
Gerry - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:27 AM EDT (#309201) #
The topic of an owner of Batters Box has come up in this thread and that is an interesting question. Who is the owner of Batters Box? Coach, aka Kent Williams, was the founder of Batters Box and so he could claim ownership. Joe Drew, our tech mastermind, keep the registration going so is he the owner? In practice if a decision is required it is made through the roster, a changeable group of those who post articles. I tend to take the lead in communicating roster decisions but that is likely due to my longevity here and/or my age. I don't think we have an owner as it is commonly understood.

Some seem to be wondering why someone, or the "owner", is not stepping into this dialogue we have going here.

I have noted over the years that posters use different styles to communicate. The ones who generate the most backlash are those who are most opinionated and forceful in their comments. This is true all over the internet, I guess its the squeaky wheel syndrome. Others then have different styles in responding to these opinionated posters. For myself I make my point and move on, I have no interest in trying to persuade someone, who I may never meet in real life, how he is wrong and I am right. I am happy to have my own opinions.

We do try and keep the discussion here civil. And like most things what is civil for one is uncivil for others. Another thing I have learned over the last 12 or so years is that coming down on someone will get some praise and a lot of criticism. Some really like the back and forth of a good argument, they come here for that good argument as Monty Python fans know. Some don't care for it. I think the best approach is if you think someone is out of line then don't be afraid to say it but then let it go unless you want the argument. Because of the high bar we have to censor someone it is unlikely to happen unless there is something close to consensus. If you think someone is trolling then don't feed him.
hypobole - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:28 AM EDT (#309202) #
CF - Don't read Blair much either, but the story on Hutch was very informative, with more than a few interesting tidbits.

The potential demotion for Hutch reminded me a bit of something that occurred earlier this year prior to a series vs the O's, when Chen was optioned.

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/wei-yin-chen-is-not-happy-about-his-demotion-and-he-may-have-a-point-005152575.html

Chuck - FG WAR uses FIP, not xFIP.
cruzin - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:32 AM EDT (#309203) #
If Hutchison had imploded like some might have anticipated, I'd lean strongly to a 4man rotation and option him for another bench player. However, since he really proved his worth yesterday, I'd still lean to a 4man rotation and consider put him in the pen. The simple reasoning is that you don't want starters pushed back too many days by enforcing the 5man rotation.

I think you're basically down to putting in either Hutchison or Estrada in the pen. Given Estrada has outperformed Hutchison this year, especially with respect to road games, Hutchison would be the one going to the pen.

China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:33 AM EDT (#309204) #
Thanks Gerry, those are very wise words.
Mike Green - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:37 AM EDT (#309205) #
Well said, Gerry.

As September 1 is approaching, who do you think that the club will call up? I imagine that there will be more than usual this year.

China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:51 AM EDT (#309206) #
Thole, Pompey, Carrera, Loup, Tepera, Delabar, Hague and Kawasaki are the most likely September call-ups. (Most of those are near-certain.)  Others could include one or more of Rowen, Heisey, Jenkins, Francis, Copeland, Burns, Kelly etc. 
cruzin - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:52 AM EDT (#309207) #
As for the player replacing Loup on the 25man, I would like the answer to be Pompey, but given he rolled his ankle that puts that possibility as practically NIL. Then do you call up Thole for Dickey's starts and wait to see if Pompey has recovered. Or do you give Heisey a chance, but he needs a roster spot on the 40man.

As for the Sept call ups. I'm hoping they call up Pompey by Aug 31 at the latest to be eligible for the playoff roster. Loup may even make it back by then if Gibbons is uncomfortable with only 1 lefty in the pen. Otherwise, I'm thinking possibilities include:

Jenkins
Wolf
Copeland
Tepera
Hague
Kawasaki
Carrera
Fields
Burns
Alford (if he needs to go on the 40man this off-season)


cruzin - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 11:59 AM EDT (#309208) #
Interesting tweet by Bob Elliott, that Blue Jays are leaning towards Hague. I hate to bring up the Valencia topic again, but wouldn't that be essentially what they would be doing by bringing Hague up?

China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:02 PM EDT (#309209) #
"....I'm hoping they call up Pompey by Aug 31 at the latest to be eligible for the playoff roster..."

This is actually incorrect.  Pompey is already eligible for the playoffs because he's on the 40-man roster.  He doesn't need to be called up by Aug. 31.   Anyone on the 40-man roster is eligible, plus anyone on the DL.
John Northey - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:08 PM EDT (#309210) #
September callups...
Locks: Thole, Pompey, Carrera, Loup, Delabar, Kawasaki, Tepera
Once Healthy: Travis, Stroman
If anyone else is called: speedy pinch runner, someone who can pound the ball to hit for Goins whenever possible, maybe defensive wiz ala Diaz (unlikely), 4th catcher just because.

So I see a CA, 2 OF, 1 IF, 3 relievers, plus 2B and a starter.  No real need for more unless a very specialized role (pure pinch runner, 4th catcher just so Gibbons never has to worry about running out).
John Northey - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:14 PM EDT (#309211) #
Guys not mentioned by me...
Also on 40 man are pitchers Copeland, Hynes, Jenkins, Rowen  - give Gibbons a dream 15 man bullpen :)

Hitters: Ty Kelly (easy cut if space needed, OF/2B/3B with 642 OPS in Buffalo), A.J. Jimenez (a whatever happened to guy with a 618 OPS in Buffalo and 190 OPS in  New Hampshire), Matt Hague.

Forgot Saunders will be once healthy also.  Izturis is probably DL'ed for the season.
jerjapan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:20 PM EDT (#309212) #
I agree with your locks list John.  Hopefully Saunders is back.   Recently signed AAA George Kottaras might be your fourth catcher, Jeff Francis as another lefty perhaps?  My sleeper would be Blake McFarland if the team needs to make a decision about putting him on the 40 man, he's had quite a season in relief. 

i feel for them, but to me scott copeland and chad jenkins are just org guys who won't get the call. 

Chuck, super happy to have been wrong about that.  Bring on the Pat and Buck mockery! 

Mike Green - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:23 PM EDT (#309213) #
I thought that I should mention something more in relation to Hutchison's BABIP.  His currently sits at .339, which is down from earlier in the year but is still very high.  The league average is .294; the Blue Jays pitchers average .282, which makes sense given the strength of the team defence and the slower turf at the RC. 

Hutchison's issue in previous years was performance with runners on base.  This year, with Martin catching and acting as a deterrent to would-be base thieves, it has not been a significant problem.  Rather, it is the BABIP and this, it seems to me, is very likely to regress in a good way. 

China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:25 PM EDT (#309214) #
Thanks John, I forgot about the injured guys -- Saunders, Travis, Stroman -- who will clearly be called up if they are in good heath.   But the clock is ticking, and all of them will need minor-league rehab stints before returning to the majors.   And the minor-league seasons end around Labour Day, if I recall correctly.  If the injured guys aren't close to the majors by the end of the minor-league season, it might be difficult to promote them onto the major-league roster, since you can't be confident that their timing will be up to the major-league standard.  For this reason, I'm more skeptical about Stroman than some people are.  He's a great comeback story, but will he actually be useful to the Jays in September?  I'd be pretty cautious about that.  Anthopoulos says they would want him to return as a starter, but the Jays don't really need a starter in September (unless Hutchison implodes) and I can't see how Stroman will be stretched out by early September.  Maybe late September in the bullpen?  But so many pitchers will be ahead of him by then.
jerjapan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:28 PM EDT (#309215) #
Forgot to add Hague to the list - it would be pretty unkind to leave him in the minors after the crazy good season he's had, and those OBP skills could help the team as a pinch hitter. 

Jiminez hasn't  played since early June.  He seems to have lost his prospect status to me. 

cruzin - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:33 PM EDT (#309216) #
"This is actually incorrect. Pompey is already eligible for the playoffs because he's on the 40-man roster. He doesn't need to be called up by Aug. 31. Anyone on the 40-man roster is eligible, plus anyone on the DL."

I don't believe so, it's anyone on the active 25man roster, not the 40man, plus anyone on the DL.

Otherwise, the only way a player outside of the 25man + DL gets to appear in the playoffs, is if they replace a player that gets DL'ed during the payoffs.
hypobole - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:40 PM EDT (#309217) #
On the pitching side, the only things our staff seems to lack are a quality lefty, even a LOOGY and much less so a true long man (much less so because the expanded roster minimizes that need).

Unfortunately, the minor league roster is littered with long men and ROOGY's, but I don't see one pitcher I would trust to face a tough left handed MLB hitter.

FWIW, Loup's performance vs LHB's has gotten worse each year since he arrived in 2012.
cruzin - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:45 PM EDT (#309219) #
To be more accurate the playoff roster consists of:
25man roster
players on DL
players on suspended list
players on bereavement
players on other types of leaves?


The one gray area I'm not sure about and hence my suggestion on Pompey coming up on Aug 31, is whether or not Pompey could replace Izturis, who is on the DL and never comes off the DL during the playoffs. Under the premise that Pompey doesn't come up on the 31st.
Chuck - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:45 PM EDT (#309220) #
Forgot Saunders will be once healthy also.

Yeah, and I'll have a 32-inch waist again.

China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:48 PM EDT (#309221) #
Cruzin, the rule was changed last year.  Under the new rule, it's the 40-man roster, not the 25-man roster, which determines playoff eligibility.

Here is Ken Rosenthal's report on the rule change:
 http://www.foxsports.com/mlb/just-a-bit-outside/baseball-joe/blog/more-players-to-choose-from-for-postseason-roster-090114

And here is a discussion of the new rule at Baseball Think Factory:
  http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/newsstand/discussion/rule_change_means_more_players_to_choose_from_for_postseason_roster

cruzin - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 12:56 PM EDT (#309222) #
Chinafan,

I stand corrected then. I guess that's what happens when Blue Jays playoff roster discussion wasn't a realistic option for so many years. Appreciate the updated info.

whiterasta80 - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 01:08 PM EDT (#309224) #
Interesting, I didn't know about the rule change either but I think its a good development. Teams shouldn't be forced to make callups on Aug 31 just to cover their bases and it just encourages liberal use of the DL.
hypobole - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 02:23 PM EDT (#309227) #
If there is a huge surprise September callup, my guess is Chad Girodo. He seems to be the closest thing to a lefty killer the Jays have in their high minors.
Mike Green - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 02:28 PM EDT (#309228) #
Apparently, it's Hague and Carrera up and Hutch down.  Meh.
JB21 - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 02:29 PM EDT (#309229) #
Wow, just saw the moves. Hutch optioned, Hague & Carrera up. I know a certain BB member that is going to be pretty happy... congrats Cyber!

Assuming Pompey would've been up if he didn't hurt himself. Too bad.
China fan - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 02:32 PM EDT (#309230) #
Our long national nightmare is over.  Matt Hague has been promoted to the majors.  The Jays have a five-man bench.

In other news, cybercavalier has been appointed Director of Player Personnel for the Jays, and Robert Dudek has been named General Manager.

Kasi - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 02:45 PM EDT (#309231) #
Carrera is up too. Hutchison got optioned and they're going with a 4 man SP group til end of month.
Jonny German - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 03:23 PM EDT (#309236) #
Pompey is playing for Buffalo tonight. Russell Martin and his .043 August OPS are catching R.A. Dickey tomorrow. MLB needs to send its drug testers around to the Blue Jay front office, someone in a position of power is high as a kite.
eudaimon - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 03:52 PM EDT (#309239) #
With 2 days off in the next 10 and a 4 man rotation of which Navarro catches two of the pitchers (Buehrle and Estrada) I think Martin's actually going to get a decent little rest in. 6 days off in the next 10 by my count. No need to call up a no-hit catcher at this point.
Magpie - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 04:02 PM EDT (#309240) #
Which tells me that the theory needs to go back to the shop for a little fine tuning.
James W - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 04:27 PM EDT (#309244) #
If you want to count today, it's actually 3 days off in the next 7 days (17th, 20th and 24th.)
Chuck - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 04:32 PM EDT (#309245) #
Hutch stays up? Wrong.
Heisey called up? Wrong.
Thole called up? Wrong.

Anyone want me to do their horoscope?
Alex Obal - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 05:43 PM EDT (#309260) #
Sagittarius.
Chuck - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 07:10 PM EDT (#309272) #
Mike Green - Monday, August 17 2015 @ 07:43 PM EDT (#309273) #
You'd be no fun in a fantasy league, Chuck.  Alex, pay no attention to him.  Your horoscope for tomorrow is:

"Usually you want to be up and in or down and away, but not today.  They're looking there.  Change it up instead and throw it right down Broadway.  Over and over and over again."

uglyone - Tuesday, August 18 2015 @ 02:45 PM EDT (#309321) #
missed this one. no connection in algonquin.

sounds like this series hinged on the understandable call to try and push Price through just one more inning.

ah well.

i like the decision to send a starter down now with all the offdays. after a couple of solid mlb starts in a row a couple good AAA starts might have hutch feeling a whole lot better, too.

Hague is interesting, and might be another reason why valencia was so expendable. And carrera never really deserved to go down.
China fan - Tuesday, August 18 2015 @ 02:50 PM EDT (#309323) #
It's amazing how a series loss is so much less frustrating after the passage of a a couple of days, once perspective has been restored.

Compared to where they were a few weeks ago, the Jays have had an incredible run.  And most of it has been without much contribution from two-thirds of the hitters in the lineup -- which will inevitably change soon.
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