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In this article I take a look at some of the prospects in the system, on a somewhat random basis. On the field, there were just three wins, for New Hampshire, Bluefield and the DSL Jays.

Buffalo

Buffalo lost 6-2 with Thomas Pannone taking the loss and perhaps showing he is not ready if Happ gets traded. Pannone went five innings. Louisville hit him around for nine hits and six runs. Pannone's ERA is now 5.33 in AAA. It looks as though Sean Reid-Foley might be next in line unless the Jays opt for an experienced pitcher like Matt Tracey or Taylor Guerreri. Buffalo are well back and not in line for a playoff appearance.

In general it has not been a great year for the hitters in AAA. Danny Jansen has been the best hitter but he is in a slump right now, his average has dropped from .292 to .264 over the last three weeks. Richard Urena hasn't hit and Rowdy Tellez has hit a bit better recently but not at a major league level. Tellez did have two hits on Wednesday. Anthony Alford has had a tough season but he did have three hits on Wednesday including his fifth home run. Alford can't get his batting average above .220. Alford might feel the pressure from his brother in law, newly arrived in Buffalo. Two of the better hitters, in small samples, have been Jonathan Davis, said brother-in-law, and Dalton Pompey.


New Hampshire

The Fisher Cats won 5-2. They lead their division and with the top two teams qualifying they are seven games ahead of the third place team. Vlad Jr. picked up his usual two hits. Cavan Biggio hit his twentieth home run. Biggio was red hot in April and May but slumped in June. His July numbers are back in decent levels, his OPS for July is 930. Harold Ramirez had two hits. His OPS by month is .599; .782; .823; 922. Ramirez is still 23 years old so he does have time to build on this. The most disappointing hitter must be Max Pentecost who is hitting .198 and hasn't hit above .227 in any month this season.

Taylor Saucedo got the win, he has been pitching well since his first AA start when he was hit around. Travis Bergen recorded his fifth save in six opportunities. Bergen was a WHIP of 1.16 and 29 K's in 23.1 innings and is in line for a lefty out of the pen role by the middle of next year. It is a small sample but Bergen has done better against right handed hitters than lefties.


Dunedin

Dunedin lost 6-2. After a poor first half the Jays have a one game lead in the second half. There are few Jays having stand out seasons. Kevin Smith is having a good season but is striking out at around a 30% rate. It is his first full season of pro ball. Logan Warmoth and Riley Adams haven't hit. Josh Palacios hit very well in April but since then has settled into average levels.

Patrick Murphy has been the best of the pitchers and has been getting better each month. Angel Perdomo hasn't pitched enough and came out of the bullpen two nights ago. Yennsy Diaz is holding his own as a 21 year old, as is Zach Logue who is 22. The D-Jays have promoted several pitchers to AA.


Lansing

Lansing lost in 11 innings. After qualifying for the playoffs in the first half, the Lugnuts are off the gas in the second half. They have lost several players to high A, hitters Kevin Smith, Kacy Clemens, Brock Lundquist and pitchers Yennsy Diaz, Zach Logue and Maverik Buffo. Chavez Young and Ryan Noda are their top offensive hitters now.

With all the promotions among the pitchers, the remaining pitchers are not that exciting. Maximo Castillo pitched six shutout innings on Wednesday.It is one of his best starts in an inconsistent season.



Vancouver

Vancouver lost in extra innings. They just missed the first half playoff spot and have just started their second half. Three hitters are leading the way, Griffin Conine who is hitting OK at .262 but has big power. Tanner Kirwer who had three hits on Wednesday to bump his average to .315. And Otto Lopez who has hit all season with Bluefield and now Vancouver. McGregory Contreras has been disappointing. Some were surprised when he did not get assigned to Lansing this year but he hasn't yet shown why he should have been.

Sean Wymer, a 4th round pick this year, started on Wednesday, gave up a couple of runs and has a 4.42 ERA. Joey Murray, a 8th round pick this year, pitched two innings and has been dominating with a zero ERA and 22 K's in 14 innings. None of the other starters have elevated their prospect status this year.


Bluefield

Bluefield split a doubleheader. Bluefield are one game in the lead and 5.5 games ahead of a playoff spot. Bluefield's offense has been strong all year. Alejandro Kirk hit his sixth home run on Wednesday. Cal Stevenson, Dominic Abbadessa and Rafael Lantigua are all hitting above .300. Stevenson and Kirk have walked more than they have struck out. Luis De Los Santos and Davis Schneider have played well but not as well as one would hope.

Eric Pardinho is the cream of the crop of the pitchers with a .249 ERA and a WHIP under one. The other starting pitchers are generally young latinos, getting valuable experience, and seeing who might develop into a prospect.


GCL Jays

The GCL Jays lost 4-3. They are fourth in the standings, 5.5 games behind the leaders. They would need a very strong finish to get into the playoff picture. The Jays are slightly better than average in both hitting and pitching. Based on their run differential their record should be better. The Jays have two players in the top ten in offense, as defined by OPS. Gabriel Moreno is the third youngest hitter on the roster. Moreno is hitting .400 and has not walked yet this season. He has just four strikeouts so he swings early and often. Jordan Groshans was 2-5 on Wednesday. Groshans is hitting .372 and he is the fifth youngest hitter on the roster. Groshans has done everything you could hope for in his first year. The youngest hitter is Leonardo Jimenez, who is only 17, and is hitting .273. Jimenez has more walks than strikeouts. Another hitter worth watching is Steward Berroa who turned 19 last month. Berroa is hitting .274, is a switch hitter, but struggles against right handed pitchers but is killing lefties. How log will he continue to switch hit?

Pitchers in the GCL don't get many innings and the jays have just three qualified pitchers for the ERA title. Rafael Monsion has pitched well with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. He is 18 years old. His K9 is at 7.8. Juan Diaz started Wednesdays game. His WHIP is around 1 and he has an ERA of 2.10. His K9 is the same as Monsion at 7.8. He is 20 years old, a little older for the GCL.


DSL Jays

The DSL Jays won 4-3 but they are are well off a playoff spot. Their top DSL prospect is Miguel Hiraldo who was pulled from Tuesdays game and didn't play on Wednesday. Other than Hiraldo there are several average players with none standing out. The leading pitchers are Lazaro Estrada, a Cuban, and Santos Moreno, a Mexican. I am not sure if any Jays pitcher will make the end of season top prospect list for the DSL.


3 Stars

3rd star: Norberto Obeso

2nd star: Maximo Castillo

1st star: Luis De Los Santos


Boxes

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The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
whiterasta80 - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 11:21 AM EDT (#362357) #
Off topic but the Oh trade is very intriguing to me, especially now that it appears to be Spangenberger, Wall, and a PTBNL.

Spangenberger is a little old for his level but looks like at least a lottery ticket with his power (.264 ISO).

Has Forrest Wall really fallen so far as a prospect that he is a throw-in? I still think there's potential there, despite the hiccup at AA.

I'll admit I'd prefer to be adding arms to the system right now, but this is pretty good value for a reliever we signed for nothing in the offseason.
hypobole - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 11:43 AM EDT (#362358) #
Jason Woodell was at the Dunedin game yesterday, primarily to scout Tigers pitcher Matt Manning, but also had a few Jays notes on Smith (including a terrific slo-mo on one of his swings) and this on Adams:

Riley Adams #Bluejays
Big solid frame, quick release, strong arm. Moves well behind the plate. Flexible hips.
As a hitter: bat speed is slow, swing has a small hitch getting to load. Struggles with pitch recognition, will expand the zone on breaking stuff. Long swing. No lower hf

Here is the Kevin Smith link

https://twitter.com/JasonAtTheGame/status/1022278334745661440
Gerry - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 11:47 AM EDT (#362359) #
I forgot to mention that Hagen Danner hasn't played in a couple of weeks but is not on the DL. He must be banged up.
Mike Green - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 11:52 AM EDT (#362360) #
Thanks, hypobole.   I noticed how nice Smith's swing was before, but it looks even better slowed down.
whiterasta80 - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 11:53 AM EDT (#362361) #
Just noticed that Wall is rule 5 eligible this year. That likely played a role in his availability.
whiterasta80 - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 03:53 PM EDT (#362427) #
Now Happ for Brandon Drury and Billy McKinney.

This return seems light but maybe I'm underrating McKinney.
Regardless, I am still puzzled by the lack of arms coming back in these deals.
GabrielSyme - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 04:28 PM EDT (#362435) #
I'm not shocked by the lack of arms returning in these deals, but I am a little annoyed that the Jays decided that two low-ceiling players with MLB experience in return. Where are the high-variance younger prospects?
PeterG - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 04:44 PM EDT (#362437) #
Maybe that was not available for Happ?

I am wondering who will start on the mound the rest of this season and next. More deals to come I assume.
whiterasta80 - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 04:48 PM EDT (#362439) #
Also a very good point GS
GabrielSyme - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 05:19 PM EDT (#362440) #
Gabriel Moreno goes 3/5 with 3 2B, but strikes out for just the 5th time this season.

Addison Barger, one of our few HS picks this year (6th rd) has had a slow start to his pro career, but went 3/4 with a double, an intentional walk, and a strikeout today. He's not hitting well, but there's enough there to have some hope.
hypobole - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 05:40 PM EDT (#362442) #
Gerry, Hagen Danner was hit on the hand a couple of weeks ago, immediately removed and hasn't played since.
Mike Green - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 06:25 PM EDT (#362449) #
Moreno now has 14 XBH vs 5 Ks  in 75 ABs. Those are great numbers for an 18 year old.

His 3 doubles today were all line drives.
mendocino - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 07:37 PM EDT (#362457) #
Danner also dropped from MLB's Jays updated Top 30

http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2018?list=tor
scottt - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 07:42 PM EDT (#362458) #
Borucki seems to have dropped? Maybe performing at the MLB level is a negative?
Gerry - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 07:57 PM EDT (#362460) #
Forrest Wall home run....against his old team.
greenfrog - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 09:22 PM EDT (#362464) #
Harold Ramirez has had a nice month-over-month progression offensively this year. Here are his monthly slash lines entering tonight's game:

April: .242/.296/.303
May: .310/.378/.405
June: .308/.351/.473
July: .342/.388/.534

Tonight he's 2/4 with two doubles.
Gerry - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 10:05 PM EDT (#362467) #
Interesting about Ramirez, I believe the same information is in the game report above.
greenfrog - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 10:35 PM EDT (#362468) #
Oops, that information was indeed redundant. I hadnít read the above game report when I wrote my post.
Spifficus - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 10:43 PM EDT (#362469) #
It's OK, it works better for me - I tend to read down, not across.

Seriously, though, I wonder if it's just someone finally taking advantage of a three-peat of AA, or if there's actual honest to goodness improvement in his game. More than the results, what has me wondering that is his decreasing groundball to flyball rate. It'd be interesting to hear from scouts or other eyes-on if there's been a noticable change in his swing, or if he still has a cut that makes him look like (if I remember the quote right) he's been punched in the gut.
Gerry - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 10:54 PM EDT (#362473) #
That raises an interesting question. We wonder if these MLU's should just be a holding spot for comments. Several of you have posted highlights from tonights games. Do I need to do a write-up or should we be like twitter and have people comment in real-time?
Spifficus - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 10:56 PM EDT (#362474) #
Well, I was kidding. Personally, I'm probably 30/30/30 between reading, skimming, and skipping, dependant of what time or focus I have available. I have no idea what I'm doing the other 10% of the time.
Nigel - Thursday, July 26 2018 @ 11:23 PM EDT (#362475) #
Gerry, FWIW I like the short format reports the crew does. Some nights I have the chance to follow the minor league games and I donít read the summaries and I just read the comments. Others I do not, and the summaries are helpful. I appreciate the work. Just my 2 cents.
scottt - Friday, July 27 2018 @ 08:33 AM EDT (#362489) #
Chris Rowley was the Buffalo leader with 101 innings and an ERA of 3.30.
It's a tough loss for the Bisons. I wonder how the fans there feel about that.
Mike Green - Friday, July 27 2018 @ 11:09 AM EDT (#362511) #
Well, I was kidding. Personally, I'm probably 30/30/30 between reading, skimming, and skipping, dependant of what time or focus I have available. I have no idea what I'm doing the other 10% of the time.

Perhaps you are on the Tug McGraw plan, and you're wasting the other 10%.  "Reading, skimming and skipping" is the sedate version of "wine, women and song". 
bpoz - Friday, July 27 2018 @ 11:11 AM EDT (#362512) #
The writeups are good. But as the games are played day game GCL and DSL and then the night games comments are made on the current thread. ie Vlad hit a HR, P Murphy is dealing. Those are highlights. I am constantly checking who is doing what as the games are being played.


As I post this I have not caught up on all the posts. Todays post about top 30 prospect changes are interesting. I hope it stimulates some discussion. I already checked Z Logue and Y Diaz have not made the top 30. S Wymer got #25 which allowed me to see his tools. I now hope he can become S Marcum.


If you want to cut down on the game description I have no problem. I value your input and others on someone is adding a new pitch for example. Boxscore tells FB/GB outs.
GabrielSyme - Friday, July 27 2018 @ 11:12 AM EDT (#362513) #
Hi Gerry, as one of the occasional posters of highlights, I can say that I mention them when those players are of particular interest to me, and (hopefully) to generate a little conversation about them. I appreciate the write-ups, and enjoy reading them even when I've seen the boxscores.
bpoz - Friday, July 27 2018 @ 11:13 AM EDT (#362514) #
I love the humor too. Mike Green good one. Thumbs up and a salute.
CeeBee - Friday, July 27 2018 @ 11:21 AM EDT (#362516) #
I enjoy the writeups as well. Quite often there are little tidbits in there that are both interesting and useful :)
Spifficus - Friday, July 27 2018 @ 02:52 PM EDT (#362536) #
Well, I'm nothing if not sedate.
By happy coincidence, my real life initials are MEH, which makes for a great monogram.
Gerry - Friday, July 27 2018 @ 03:01 PM EDT (#362537) #
By the way, I am all for people posting highlights as they happen in the thread. It is the Twitter era, and possibly the way of the future.
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