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Over the next couple months, we'll be using the polling station here at the Box to generate collective projections for the 2006 Blue Jays. For hitters, we'll be projecting number of at-bats, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. For pitchers we'll estimate innings pitched and earned run averge. These stats can be used to generate rough estimates of runs created and and runs allowed, respectively. Add these up for an entire team and you come up with the total runs for and against; from this you can calculate a Pythagorean winning percentage; and from this you know precisely how many games the team will win. Okay, maybe not quite precisely. But hopefully it's an entertaining exercise.

For each poll set, the relevant statisical history of the player in question will be included as the first comment in the "AB" or "IP" poll. When in doubt, users are encouraged to refer to these stats before responding. As always, discussion related to the polls is encouraged. Let's begin! What do we think Mr. Roy Halladay will do in 2006?
Boxed Projections | 5 comments | Create New Account
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subculture - Tuesday, January 03 2006 @ 10:31 AM EST (#138454) #
Doc is due for some good luck... and increased run support.
I'd say 218IP (with a solid BP, there's no need to stretch him out as much as 2003), with a 3.30 era. WHIP around 1.08. All-star selection, 22-7.
Pistol - Tuesday, January 03 2006 @ 11:08 AM EST (#138455) #
Doc rarely gets shelled, or at least shelled where he gets pulled early, so he almost always goes 6 innings. If he made it to 6 innings for 35 starts he'd be at 210 innings. 230 is reasonable and isn't necessarily even all that taxing. His pitch counts are always relatively low (he was 10th in pitches/PA at 3.5:1, min 100 innings).

Halladay's innings pitched this year will be more a factor of the number of starts that he makes than anything else.
yoni - Tuesday, January 03 2006 @ 01:14 PM EST (#138469) #
I hope he breaks the 200 level. The jays need it in order to compete (unless a miracle happens and all the rest of the pitchers have career years at once).
I think the jays will tread very lightly with him the year and he just gets to 200 with a 18-7 record.
timpinder - Tuesday, January 03 2006 @ 04:07 PM EST (#138511) #
20-9, 3.06 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 205 IP. (Fewer complete games with a legitimate closer in Ryan, so the IP will be down from his Cy Young year)

That's my prediction.
Pepper Moffatt - Tuesday, January 03 2006 @ 09:06 PM EST (#138562) #
Barring a freak injury, Doc will get at least 200 innings. He's a horse - like the Gaylord Perry of our era. Except without the KY ball and the bad attitude... and the name "Gaylord".
Boxed Projections | 5 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.