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It's no secret that the Jays have hit a lot of home runs this year. They lead the majors with 181, 20 more than the Boston Red Sox, and are "on pace" to hit around 250, which would put them only 14 back of the all-time record.

Another thing we all know is that the home runs have been very evenly distributed - it seems like everyone is producing. But a closer look into this "everyone is producing" statement tells us that this year's team is approaching historical territory.

The first thing that jumped out to me on the team's B-R Page is that eight different Jays have already hit double-digit homers this year: Bautista, Wells, Lind, Hill, Buck, Overbay, Encarnación and Gonzalez. (Yes, Gonzalez is no longer with the team, but he hit double-digit jacks before he was traded.) On top of those eight guys, Snider and Lewis both have eight on the season, so it's likely that by the end of the season Toronto will have ten hitters with 10+ home runs. That's a lot, isn't it??!

As it turns out, there have been seven teams in major league history with ten double-digit clobberers, all occurring between 1998 and 2004. Let's take a look at them!

1998 Baltimore Orioles: Rafael Palmeiro (43), Eric Davis (28), B.J. Surhoff (22), Brady Anderson (18), Chris Hoiles (15), Cal Ripken (14), Roberto Alomar (14), Mike Bordick (13), Joe Carter (11), Lenny Webster (10). Total Home Runs: 217

Comment: The O's finished under .500 despite their long ball prowess, thanks to a typically tough division that saw an 88-74 Blue Jays team finish third. Also, one of these divisional rivals made this very list...

1998 New York Yankees: Tino Martinez (28), Bernie Williams (26), Paul O'Neill (24), Darryl Strawberry (24), Derek Jeter (19), Scott Brosius (19), Chuck Knoblauch (17), Jorge Posada (17), Chad Curtis (10), Shane Spencer (10). Total Home Runs: 207

Comment: Even though the '98 Yanks blasted ten fewer dingers than the Orioles, the New Yorkers managed to score about 150 more runs. This was partially a result of their team OPS, about 30 points higher than the O's, but you've gotta figure there was some luck involved there; sure enough, they OPSed .860 with RISP, something you've gotta do if you want to win 114 games.

1999 Detroit Tigers: Dean Palmer (38), Tony Clark (31), Damion Easley (20), Juan Encarnacion (19), Gabe Kapler (18), Karim Garcia (14), Deivi Cruz (13), Bobby Higginson (12), Frank Catalanotto (11), Luis Polonia (10). Total Home Runs: 212

Comment: This was not a good team. The Tigers of '99 won 69 games: their offense was actually below average due to a low batting average and on-base percentage. Their best starting pitcher was Dave Mlicki with a 4.60 ERA. Seems the homers didn't help.

1999 Cincinnati Reds: Greg Vaughn (45), Sean Casey (25), Ed Taubensee (21), Mike Cameron (21), Jeffrey Hammonds (17), Dmitri Young (14), Aaron Boone (14), Barry Larkin (12), Michael Tucker (11), Pokey Reese (10). Total Home Runs: 209

Comment: 1999 was a heartbreaking year for the Reds. They won 96 games, and lost the division by one to Houston. So they went to a one-game playoff against the Mets, who had also won 96, and lost. Imagine that: 96 wins and no playoffs.

2000 Cincinnati Reds: Ken Griffey Jr. (40), Sean Casey (20), Dmitri Young (18), Dante Bichette (16), Michael Tucker (15), Alex Ochoa (13), Chris Stynes (12), Aaron Boone (12), Pokey Reese (12), Barry Larkin (11). Total Home Runs: 200

Comment: The Reds were the only team to pull off the feat in consecutive years, and they did it with quite a bit of turnover: four of the '00 sluggers were not on the '99 list, including Griffey.

2000 Baltimore Orioles: Albert Belle (23), Charles Johnson (21), Brady Anderson (19), Mike Bordick (16), Cal Ripken (15), B.J. Surhoff (13), Jeff Conine (13), Chris Richard (13), Harold Baines (10), Delino DeShields (10). Total Home Runs: 184

Comment: Once again, an Orioles team makes the list and fails to break .500. This team hit a remarkably low number of home runs considering their inclusion here (184), and unsurprisingly their top homerer only hit 23. Yet despite all those unimpressive stats, Will Clark was one jack away from making this the first team in history with 11 double-digit sluggers.

2004 Texas Rangers: Mark Teixeira (38), Hank Blalock (32), Alfonso Soriano (28), Kevin Mench (26), Michael Young (22), David Dellucci (17), Rod Barajas (15), Laynce Nix (14), Brad Fullmer (11), Gary Matthews Jr. (11). Total Home Runs: 227

Comment: A distinctly Jays-centric list with Barajas, Young, Dellucci, Mench and Fullmer. These Rangers were also one of three teams on the list who had all their starting position players (according to Baseball Reference) hit in the double digits (the others were the '98 Yanks and '99 Reds).

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So there's your seven teams. But wait just a second... you may have noticed that I never said this was a record. In fact, it isn't. There has been one team in history that has had 11 players hit ten or more home runs. I mentioned before that the 2000 Orioles almost became the first, so it must have come after that...

2004 Detroit Tigers: Carlos Pena (27), Carlos Guillen (20), Ivan Rodriguez (19), Eric Munson (19), Rondell White (19), Dmitri Young (18), Craig Monroe (18), Omar Infante (16), Brandon Inge (13), Bobby Higginson (12), Marcus Thames (10). Total Home Runs: 201

Comment: Once again, we encounter a team who didn't really hit all that many home runs in total (201), and wasn't a very good team (72-90). Also: Dmitri Young is apparently the king of this stat, having appeared on three of the eight teams mentioned. We need to sign that guy.

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It's certainly a pretty meaningless fact, but at least it's fun. At first glance, it seems strange that none of these teams were particularly prolific home-run hitting teams; they just distributed the wealth evenly. This year's Jays are on pace to considerably out-homer every team on the list. Maybe that means they're fated to fall short of the double-digit-double-digit.

I suppose there's a very small chance that Toronto equalizes Detroit for the all-time record: the next contributor after Lewis and Snider would probably be Arencibia, who would have to hit eight the rest of the way. Yunel Escobar is another candidate; he's hit double-digit home runs the last two years, after all, but only has three so far this year.

I used the incredibly useful Lahman Database to compile this list, and if you're familiar, you'll know that it's split up into two different spreadsheets (well, actually three) at the 1960 mark. I considered not even looking at the pre-1960 teams, but eventually I decided to for posterity's sake, and there were in fact two teams that came very close to making the cut: the 1952 Giants (of New York), for whom Willie Mays did not hit 10+ (he wouldn't become a regular until 1954), and the 1958 version of the same franchise, in their first year in San Francisco.
The Blue Jays' Potentially Historic Power | 15 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
mathesond - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 09:08 AM EDT (#220979) #
Nice post, Dave. Very Magpie-esque!
John Northey - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 09:29 AM EDT (#220981) #
Easy to see Snider & Lewis each getting those last 2. Molina is actually next at 4 but 6 HR in a month? Very unlikely given his career peak was 6 in 2005. Escobar is interesting as he did reach it twice (2008/2009) but his all-time total home runs by month has a peak of 7 for August - that is all the Augusts he has played in, not just one. Still, September is the month he has his highest Slg% in so who knows?

Fun to have a few side races like this going on as we reach the end of the season.
Matthew E - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 09:38 AM EDT (#220983) #
This team kind of reminds me of the 2000 Blue Jays. Lots of home runs; nobody on base.
Magpie - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 09:46 AM EDT (#220985) #
Willie Mays did not hit 10+ (he wouldn't become a regular until 1954)

Not quite right - Mays became a regular the day he arrived in the majors, which was 25 May 1951. He actually hit 20 HRs the rest of the way (121 games) for the famous 1951 Giants. But then the Army took him away, in May 1952, and he didn't return until 1954.
Mike Green - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 10:03 AM EDT (#220988) #
Speaking of the 51-52 Giants, I am reading a fine book called Brooklyn about a young Irish woman who immigrates there.  There is a scene where she goes to her first ballgame (in 1952) at Ebbets Field with her boyfriend and his brothers that would strike a chord with many here, for the intensity of the brothers' focus on the game.  The author is Colm Toibin. 
Anders - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 10:17 AM EDT (#220992) #

My takeaway from all of this is that Yunel Escobar needs to start bombing away.

On a more serious note, he is hitting 308/351/433 with 7 xbh and 5 walks in 114 PA, and I believe that John Dewan's +/- has him as the best or one of the 3 or so best fielders in the majors. Works for me.

Dewey - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 12:05 PM EDT (#221012) #
I saw Mays hit his first Wrigley Field homer in June, 1951 (off Turk Lown, I think).  Very exciting day for schoolboy me.  Mays had been absolutely scorching in the minors, and The Sporting News had been hyping him for weeks.
ayjackson - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 12:27 PM EDT (#221018) #

With most of the bonus data in, the Jays are at $10.3m for signing their 2010 class.  That's pretty impressive. 

There's a bunch of data remaining but probably won't add up to more than 500k - 1m.

ayjackson - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 12:31 PM EDT (#221019) #
    Bill (Galloway, New Jersey): Of the top 50 picks in the 2010 draft class that signed contracts, who do you feel has the potential to be the biggest sleeper and go far beyond expectations?

Jim Callis: Based on lack of hype and not draft position (because guys slid for financial reasons), I'll say Jays righthander Asher Wojciechowski. Plus fastball and slider, should move quickly.
Mick Doherty - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 01:57 PM EDT (#221026) #
Terrific piece, Dave. My only comment was going to be about Mays, but I see that the inimitable Dr. Magpie has already posted exactly my point. Great minds think alike -- and so do ours.
uglyone - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 02:08 PM EDT (#221027) #

So what's the record for 20+hr guys? Is it that '04 Rangers team with 5?

Jays have 4 guys who are there or locks to be there - Bautista, Wells, Lind, Hill - and then 3 other guys who are going to give it a go, I think, in Buck (14), EE (13), and Overbay (13).

 

Matthew E - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 02:18 PM EDT (#221028) #
No; the '61 Yankees had 6 20+ guys, and I'm sure other teams have had that many or more.
JohnL - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 02:20 PM EDT (#221029) #
Jays in 2000 had 7: Batista, Delgado, Fullmer, Cruz, Mondesi, Stewart & Fletcher
92-93 - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 04:21 PM EDT (#221043) #
I believe that 2000 team you speak of was the first one to have 4 guys with 20 HRs at the All Star break.
Jeremy - Tuesday, August 17 2010 @ 06:22 PM EDT (#221049) #
4 teams have had 7 players with 20+ HR.  In chronological order, the '96 Orioles, the '00 Jays, the '05 Rangers and the '09 Yankees.
The Blue Jays' Potentially Historic Power | 15 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.