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The first real practice game is played today, after two intra-squad games on Thursday and Friday.  Brett Cecil takes the mound against the Tigers in a agme that is on the Fan in Toronto and might be available elsewhere on the Canadian network.  In a B game this morning the Jays beat Philadelphia 8-1 behind Scott Richmond, Chad Jenkins and Deck McGuire.

The pre-games stories for the Jays have focused on the new staff, primarily John Farrell and Don Wakamatsu.  "Wak" has been working with the catchers including Arencibia, Jeroloman, d'Arnaud and Jimenez.

Jays catchers reap the benefit of experience - National Post

Another big area of discussion so far is the Adam Lind conversion to first base as well as Lind changing his hitting.   Most writers have been impressed with Lind's play so far although Richard Griffin (quelle surprise) thinks Lind needs help.  Brian Butterfield has been battling a bad case of the flu and has missed this week in camp.  Lind reworked his swing this winter with his high school coach.  They throught Lind had gotten bigger in the chest and that lengthened his swing.  A new swing awaits.

Griffin: Jays need Butter to soften Lind's hands - Star

There are a lot of kids in camp and they give the writers something to cover.

Jays in search of Knecht big thing - Star

Stewart off to promising start - Post

Hechavarria settles in with Blue Jays - Globe and Mail

Gose isn't raw, he's medium rare - Post

 

The initial word on Hechavarria is that he appears to be trying too hard, making some plays too quickly in the field and swinging early and often at the plate.  Zach Stewart caught everyone's eye with his first start.   Gose's new swing will be interesting to watch in the spring.  If the Jays believe Gose has mastered it he could open the season in New Hampshire, otherwise he will stay in Dunedin with Justin Mashore to continue to refine his swing.

 

Travis Snider, Aaron Hill, Scott Podsednick, Frank Francisco and Jon Rauch are each battling minor injuries.

 

Anything I missed?

Spring Is Here - OK Blue Jays, Let's Play Ball | 62 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Chuck - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 01:28 PM EST (#230873) #

And we're off!

The stupidspeak has already commenced. WPIX is showing the Mets-Braves game and the Mets' broadcast team found themselves wondering what exactly all the fuss over Jason Heyward was last year given his paltry 72 RBI. Ron Darling, perhaps Yale's least articulate graduate not named George, then went on to cite a number of rookies other than Posey who may also have had a better year than Heyward. I do loves me some good objective reporting.

Alex Obal - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 01:46 PM EST (#230874) #
Cecil throws 11 pitches to 8 batters. Coke throws 9 pitches to 7 batters. Is this how the first few games typically work?
Alex Obal - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 01:50 PM EST (#230875) #
Upon deeper contemplation, Gameday counts 3 pitches for a strikeout, 4 for a walk, and 1 for anything else. Well. That's useless.
Gerry - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 02:23 PM EST (#230877) #

First time out pitchers are primarily throwing fastballs.  Hitters like fastballs so they swing early.

On the other hand a good fastball hitting player can get everyone excited over the first couple of weeks of the spring, become the talk of camp, then fail over the last two weeks to a diet of breaking balls.

Jdog - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 02:24 PM EST (#230878) #
John Lott has a picture on his twitter.

http://twitpic.com/4414rm

Jenkins looks like he enjoys a good buffet
wacker - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 02:37 PM EST (#230879) #
http://www.leaguelineup.com/lancerbaseball/photos/PalmSpringsFeb2011_218.jpg. http://www.leaguelineup.com/lancerbaseball/photos/PalmSpringsFeb2011_181.jpg. A couple of blue jay minor leaguers at an off season charity event. Can you guess who they are?
Chuck - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 02:38 PM EST (#230880) #
Jenkins looks like he enjoys a good buffet

I wonder if he knows the words to Paradise by the Dashboard Light.
wacker - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 02:40 PM EST (#230881) #
Dang I suck at posting links!!! Sorry
Flex - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 02:58 PM EST (#230882) #
I wonder if he knows the words to Paradise by the Dashboard Light. Brilliant! I was trying to think of who Jenkins looked like and Chuck just nailed it.
earlweaverfan - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 04:55 PM EST (#230884) #
Does anybody know what factors determine the labeling of a game as a 'B' game?  Sometimes they use the expression 'split squad' - is that the same thing?

Its not a distinction that is intuitive to me, as lots of players are minor league in the A games, as well as the B games.

Is there anywhere to get the box score for a B or SS game?

raptorsaddict - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 06:32 PM EST (#230886) #
Far be it for me to all someone else fat, as I myself am a sexy 245, but my god, Chad Jenkins is big as a house. He appears to have gotten considerably fatter too since the draft time pics, if my memory serves. That said, there is definitely historical support for fat players doing just fine.
Gerry - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 06:50 PM EST (#230887) #

I am not sure of the difference between a B game and a split squad game other than a SS game is considered a major league game and you have the requirement that there will be at least four major leaguers on the team.

Also B games are played in the morning whereas SS games are at 1pm or 7pm.

There are no available boxscores for B games.

TamRa - Saturday, February 26 2011 @ 11:35 PM EST (#230890) #
John Lott has a picture on his twitter.

http://twitpic.com/4414rm


Jenkins looks like he enjoys a good buffet


For totally irrational reasons (?) Jenkins just crashed downward on my list of favorite prospects. I find that pic disturbing.

Original Ryan - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 01:25 AM EST (#230893) #
B games are very informal affairs.  Apparently in the B game that the Blue Jays played against the Phillies on Saturday, there were a couple of instances where the inning ended before three outs were recorded.  In another inning four outs were recorded.  I suppose the pitchers could have pitched from second base had the two teams agreed to allow it.

Split-squad games are regular spring training games, only with a divided roster.  They're played by the standard rules and the statistics are kept.

92-93 - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 05:15 AM EST (#230895) #
Everything I've read over the past year suggests Jenkins had a pretty limited ceiling anyway, that of a back end starter. If anything, his new weight makes me more optimistic about the chances of his becoming a dependable back-end guy, not less so. I'm thinking of Joe Blanton.
greenfrog - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 09:26 AM EST (#230897) #
I'm not a huge Jenkins fan, but it's still early in his career. The 2009 draft was a tough one for the Jays - not only did they miss out on Shelby Miller (#19 overall), who was chosen just ahead of Jenkins (#20) and looks like a stud prospect for the Cards, but Mike Trout (#25) was chosen by the Angels five picks later...
brent - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 09:53 AM EST (#230898) #

Who else thinks Drabek will be starting the season in the minors? It has to be tempting to GM AA to keep him cost controlled an extra year, right?

I think GM AA is also going to be busy dealing pitchers early in the year. There are just too many MLB quality arms on the 40 man roster.

christaylor - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 10:26 AM EST (#230899) #
I hope not -- I really don't want Drabek to see any time in LV if it can be helped. Also, I tend to think such behavior is penny-wise but pound foolish. If I were Drabek, I know I'd remember a gaming of my service time when it comes time to sign a long-term deal.
ayjackson - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 11:24 AM EST (#230900) #
If you want to compete in 2012 and 2013, I think you play Drabek in the majors this year.  He`s ready to learn to get major leaguers out.  He`ll be a Super 2.  Hopefully that`ll cost the Jays $7m in 2014 salary.
92-93 - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 11:31 AM EST (#230901) #

It has to be tempting to GM AA to keep him cost controlled an extra year, right?

The team shouldn't concern itself with preventing Drabek from Super-2 status, but it definitely should go after an extra year of control if Morrow-Romero-Cecil-Litsch-Rzepczynski are healthy and on schedule when ST is over.

China fan - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 12:51 PM EST (#230902) #

I agree with 92-93 that there's no need to rush Drabek if others are pitching just as well or better.   It won't be considered "gaming" the system if any two of Litsch/Zep/Richmond/Reyes/Mills are having strong springs and are deemed ready for the majors.

Having never pitched at the AAA level, Drabek could benefit from two or three months in the challenging environment of Las Vegas.  Drabek should get a job in the majors when the team needs him and when he's the best option -- he shouldn't get the job just because he might benefit from the major-league experience (which would benefit any young pitcher, after all, not just him).  The Super 2 issue is just one of many considerations, not necessarily the determining factor.

On the other hand, if Drabek has clearly won the competition for a starting job, if he's clearly the best choice, then give him the job -- but it shouldn't just be a reward for potential.

mamboon - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 06:21 PM EST (#230904) #

Ryan, In my experience,  B games are indeed informal affairs as you descirbe. Split-squad games are as you note as well.   Went to the B game in Clearwater on Saturday morning. There were about 500 folks in the stands.  No tickets were sold.  Three umps, not a full squad.  The Phillies did get four outs one inning.  The game only went 6 innings.

The Jays looked great in the B game and the typical Split-squad game has nothing on the B game on Saturday.  Richmond, Jenkins and McGuire looked great on the mound.  Jays bats were humming, I think there was only 1 maybe two unearned runs out of the 8 scored.  Gose was impressive on the bases and in the field.  See the Bluejays.com site for some stories about John Farrell getting his feet wet on the B game and how he values aggressive base running.

At one point, in the 4th inning, I counted five 2010 New Hampshire and two 2010 Dunedin players on the field.  Shows how well the Jays farm is being developed.  They  looked great. 

The Jays grabbed their bags and went right to the bus for the 10 minute ride back to Dunedin.  At least 6 of the B game players (Mastrioanni, McDade, Sierra, Cooper, Thames, Diaz) saw 4 or 5 innings of work in the morning game and then did the same in the Spring Training opener against the Tigers.  Too bad the A game boys couldn't come up with any lumber against the Tigers on either Saturday or today in Lakeland.

 

jerjapan - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 08:15 PM EST (#230905) #
Interesting blurb from Richard Griffin on Anthony Gose.  Quite the exciting element Gose brings - we haven't seen speed like this in a long time. 

SPEED THRILLS: Jays rookie Anthony Gose worked a walk off hard-throwing right-hander Brayan Villarreal in the ninth inning Sunday to put the tying run on first.

Before each pitch, Gose measured off a 12-foot lead, challenging the pitcher to throw over. The battle drew an audience of interested Tigers coaches, one of whom had a stopwatch, down the right-field line near the clubhouse. Gose took off on a full-count strikeout and stole second easily.

“The whole thing was 3.24 (seconds),” one impressed Tigers coach said. “That’s Rickey Henderson territory. It’ll be tough to throw him out.”

Gose proceeded to steal third easily as well, but was stranded to end the game.



Mike Green - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 08:26 PM EST (#230906) #

Sounds good.  I like the 3.24 seconds, but I also like the "drawing the walk" part.  He did a lot of that in Dunedin.

It sounds as though the club's development people have been working hard with Gose on the basestealing aspect of his game, and that he has been absorbing the lessons.  Gose is the first centerfield prospect who has captured my interest and attention since Alex Rios.

 

Mike Green - Sunday, February 27 2011 @ 08:34 PM EST (#230907) #
Duke Snider died today.  Others here will have "Boys of Summer" stories, but for me, he was Dave Van Horne's partner on the Expo broadcasts of the 70s.  I remember him as knowledgeable and understated.  Just the way I like a colour guy to be.
ayjackson - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 01:00 AM EST (#230912) #

What year did Ken Singleton replace Duke in the Expos booth?  I`m thinking it was well into the 80`s.  There was no one else in between was there?

China fan - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 04:51 AM EST (#230913) #
For anyone who's following the competition for the starting rotation:  Farrell is now saying that it's basically a 4-man race for 2 slots.  He's lining up the pitching opportunities (in the upcoming games) to favor Litsch, Zep, Drabek and Reyes.   He's not excluding others, but he's clearly saying that those 4 are the frontrunners.  I'm not surprised that Brad Mills has fallen behind, but I'm a little surprised to see Richmond being basically knocked out of the race so early, given his major-league experience.  I guess they like what they see in Reyes -- and of course Reyes is out of options, so they're giving him a long look.  Does anyone know if Richmond still has options?  I assume he does, and maybe that's why he'll be sent to Vegas.
92-93 - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 07:31 AM EST (#230914) #
Richmond does indeed have an option remaining.

Jerry & Alan were practically laughing at the size of Gose's lead yesterday, one of them saying he'd never seen anything like it.

ramone - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 09:56 AM EST (#230915) #

Just a note for XM suscribers, on the MLB network channel (175) they will be coveing the jays today from Dunedin, it starts at 10:00 AM eastern time.  Also the Phillies apparently are broadcasting the spring training game against the Jays from their website today (so I've read anyway). 

Sorry, back to your regular scheduled programming, enjoy your day!

bpoz - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 10:59 AM EST (#230916) #
It was nice listening to the games this weekend.
I am pretty sure my understanding about early ST is correct.The pitchers are working on arm preparation so pitching may be weak. Concerning the hitting, I don't know what to say. Sorry.
But surely defense is sort of legit. B Lawrie made some very good fielding plays & M Seirra made a great running catch in one of the games. So then 3B conversion for Lawrie looks promising & M Sierra may be healed, I believe his 2010 injury was a leg injury.
Brent S - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 11:33 AM EST (#230921) #
Now that spring training is upon us and writers are starting to dig into their assignments, we will start to see the slow trickle of anecdotes from a busy off-season.<br><br>Case in point: <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/los-angeles/mlb/news/story?id=6165963">Rod Barajas</a>.<p>
According to ESPN, Barajas was moments away from signing a one-year deal with Toronto for slightly less than $3.25M, before accepting a similar deal with the Dodgers. Barajas described his feelings on the deal as follows:</p><p>
<i>"I know [Blue Jays general manager] Alex [Anthopoulos] well," Barajas said. "I have a great deal of respect for him, I think he is a great guy, and I get along with him well. I think he does things the right way. If it was going to be the same money [the Dodgers offered], I would have said, `You know what, I owe it to them, because they did all that work.' We were pretty much down to signing the deal."</i></p><p>
It's somewhat surprising to me to see the extent at which AA searched for a primary catcher this off-season. It's pretty apparent that his comfort level with Arencibia as the primary catcher is not that high.</p>
Brent S - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 11:36 AM EST (#230922) #
Apologies on the formatting. Looked good in the preview.
MatO - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 11:42 AM EST (#230923) #
Again.  All AA had to do was exercise the Olivo option if JPA was an issue.
China fan - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 12:04 PM EST (#230925) #
If AA had exercised Olivo's option, he wouldn't have got the compensation draft pick that he clearly craved.  If he signed Barajas or Russell Martin or someone like that, it wouldn't have cost him a draft pick at all.  Isn't that the likely explanation for why AA was looking at catchers such as Barajas or Martin, rather than Olivo?  I think by now we do have pretty strong evidence that AA was seriously considering the acquisition of Martin or Barajas -- unless everyone is lying about it.
MatO - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 02:04 PM EST (#230928) #
Not according to you at the time.
Ryan Day - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 02:20 PM EST (#230929) #
According to this interview, Martin says the Jays never offered him the starting catcher's job - he would have been splitting the job with Arencibia. And there's nothing in that ESPN piece that says the Jays were offering Barajas a starting job.

I think Anthopoulos likes to have as many options as possible, and the Jays are a bit thin at catcher - no one wants to see Jose Molina end up as the everyday catcher. And really, if the Jays have so little faith in Arencibia that they'd promise the starting job to the likes of Barajas and Martin, I'm not sure why they'd even bother with him to begin with. And if they were really desperate, they could have easily shelled out a bit more cash to sign a replacement.
christaylor - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 02:26 PM EST (#230930) #
What Ryan Day said...

Plus as was established in another thread, 120 games is high bar to set for playing time for any catcher, let alone a rookie. Does anyone seriously think that it is a good idea to have Molina one foul tip off JPA's thumb away from being the Jays' starter?
smcs - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 02:48 PM EST (#230931) #
Does anyone seriously think that it is a good idea to have Molina one foul tip off JPA's thumb away from being the Jays' starter?

If this team was planning on going deep in the playoffs, then yes, it is probably a bad idea. Molina did start 42 games with the Yanks in 2009 when Posada got hurt, and Cervelli started 25. I would bet that if JPA does get hurt for a significant amount of time, Jeroloman and Molina would split the duties. Pretty much in any scenario possible, I think Molina still will not top 60 starts behind the plate this year.
Mick Doherty - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 03:03 PM EST (#230932) #

If this team was planning on going deep in the playoffs,

It''s February. EVERY team is currently planning on going deep in the playoffs.

#2JBrumfield - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 03:28 PM EST (#230934) #

The Jays have scored a run!  Only took them 24 innings if my math is right!  Eric Thames scores on Mike McCoy's double in the sixth to put the Jays in flight.  However, they're losing 6-1 against Philly today in Dunedin.  Back to your regularly scheduled programming.

Mike Green - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 03:37 PM EST (#230935) #
Personally, I would be totally fine with a Jeroloman/Molina platoon if Arencibia is unavailable. 
Original Ryan - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 03:43 PM EST (#230936) #
Most teams would be in trouble if their primary catcher went down with an injury.  I don't see how Molina is significantly worse than the other backup catchers around baseball.
John Northey - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 04:22 PM EST (#230938) #
An interesting tidbit from Baseball Prospectus. They have their playoff odds up with a new look (much nicer imo). The problem is what they see the Jays doing.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/

74-87 won lost record, behind the Orioles and everyone else in the AL East. Ick.
Mike Green - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 04:36 PM EST (#230939) #
BP has really upped their game in the last year or so.  It took a while after Nate Silver left, but they are producing some good stuff now.

I agree with most of their figures.  I would take the Rays over 83 and the Giants under 90, but aside from that, there are no obvious choices, to my eyes. 

Original Ryan - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 04:39 PM EST (#230940) #
BP's sim doesn't expect any team to have a big year -- the highest projected win total is the Red Sox with 93.5  At least one team has exceeded that number in every non-strike year since the introduction of the 162 game schedule.  Usually multiple teams exceed it.
Mike Green - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 05:12 PM EST (#230941) #
Sure.  The White Sox won 99 in 2005, in part by out-performing Pythagoras 99-91.  It is undoubtedly true that some team is likely to win 95 games in 2011.  I suppose that if somebody asked me whether one of the Red Sox or the Phillies is likely to win 95 games in 2011, I would say yes.  That does not mean that the projections are in any way flawed. 
Chuck - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 05:48 PM EST (#230942) #

BP has really upped their game in the last year or so.  It took a while after Nate Silver left, but they are producing some good stuff now.

It's funny that you say that. I just received this year's book and my first reaction, 10 minutes in, was not positive.

On Casey Janssen: "He moved to the bullpen in 2009 and gained comfort there in 2010."

My first reaction was that their downward spiral of recent years had not abated. Not only was the author in question not terribly familiar with the Blue Jays, he was apparently lacking in the schoolboy skillset of being able to decipher the back of a baseball card. Did the year 2007 not happen? Did Bobby Ewing just dream it?

Obviously I can't use this to bias the BP team as a whole, but as far as I am concerned, they are still very much on parole.

scottt - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 08:15 PM EST (#230943) #
What I find interesting, is the starting lineup of today's game.

1. Davis
2. Escobar
3. Lind
4. Bautista
5. Rivera
6. McDade
7. Arencibia
8. McDonald
9. Mastroianni

Will this year's formula be Davis/Escobar at the top followed by Bautista sandwiched between Lind and Snider followed by the rest--with often the reservist in 9th?

bpoz - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 08:34 PM EST (#230944) #
I find AA very interesting. Some of his deals I find dramatic,my reaction is surprise, "how did he do that", eg V Wells.
So I am "doing my best" to keep score on him. Reading the comments here on why he did this or that add to my interest.
I find many of the comments here more thought out than some of what the "professionals" are writing.
I am trying to make a few conclusions about his master plan.
1)IMO he loves the extra draft picks for departing FAs so much that he asks for the moon in July 31st trade talks.So its unlikely that an A or B type FA will be successfully dealt. But ineligible for FA and "not qualifying" for comp picks FAs can be dealt.
2) Media & public relations are tricky. They ask questions that he may not want to answer. R Davis's role when acquired... Did B Morrow really out pitch Zep, Cecil & Mills in ST 2010. Who did Accardo & M Valdez out pitch in 2010 ST.
3) Thin/Naked at catcher? Are there enough ABs to develop JPA & sign R Barajas for a possible comp pick next year. He already had a pick for M Olivo. But a 3 hour conversation with his agent still had some value that I have not figured out yet. Please Help.

There is much more to say & understand, especially about the bullpen additions. But IMO the performances of relievers is too uncertain from year to year.
Mike Green - Monday, February 28 2011 @ 08:49 PM EST (#230945) #
That's interesting, Chuck.  I have seen good stuff from Colin Wyers and Mike Fast recently, and the PECOTAs were much more realistic in 2010 than in 2009.  I expect them to be better in 2011 than in 2010 with Wyers at the helm.  I guess that I'll have to buy the book and take a closer look.
VBF - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 01:11 AM EST (#230947) #

Sheesh, you guys are tough on Jenkins based on a picture on Twitter. He must be the first overweight baseball player...

Jenkins just finished his first year in pro-ball. His first year eating on the road, being away from family -- this all counts into the equation. And he put up nearly identical numbers (if only a few more hits) that he did in Kennesaw and was promoted to high A. This isn't enough to pull out the "Oh I knew he was a bust all along!" card.

TamRa - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 01:30 AM EST (#230948) #
To be clear, speaking for myself - i DON't think Jenkins is an obvious bust-potential guy (though I've always thought his ceiling was kinda low for a
first rounder) and i said a lot on the blog referring to the idea that he pitched well last year until he passed his previous high in IP.

That said, the whole "away from home/eating on the road" thing doesn't work. if he had looked like this on Labor Day, then yeah. But he's had five months since then to maintain a healthy weight. Which he's very well paid to do.
I don't write him off for that but it does affect my opinion of him.

Forkball - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 08:46 AM EST (#230950) #
That said, the whole "away from home/eating on the road" thing doesn't work

I agree with this.  That's just searching for an excuse.

Having said that, there have been many successful overweight pitchers and I'm not sure that has a big impact on his performance (it's not like this is a new thing).  I'd be more curious to how the Jays viewed it.
MatO - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 10:24 AM EST (#230952) #
I seem to recall stories last spring training about Jenkins losing quite a bit of weight over the off-season by cutting back on fried foods.  Maybe he thought that last season's mediocre performance was due to his weight loss and decided to put it all back on.
85bluejay - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 11:27 AM EST (#230954) #

MatO,

That's true - Jenkins was quoted in a story I read that he felt he lost too much weight last year and it contributed to his lack of stamina - it's interesting especially when contrasting with Ricky Romero's espn video of his strenuous offseason workout and Romero saying he needs that to maintain his stamina during the season. Interesting sidebar, Jenkins apparently spoke with former Expo Steve Rogers in the offseason regarding using his sinker (Rogers best pitch), so maybe that advice will be helpfull.Of course if Jenkins has a tough seasons, many will blame the weight issue regardless.

christaylor - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 12:11 PM EST (#230956) #
I don't know if I'd call the projections flawed, but the issue of being conservative on the variance of team records jumps out every year. I'm not sure there's a way to correct for it but it is good to be aware that for the top/bottom teams PECOTA tens to be conservative/liberal with win totals.

Yeesh. I don't see why Jenkins is taking such heat. He's a heavy set guy. He's got the sort of frame that can carry the weight. As long as the trainers are on him and he's doing his work, if that's the weight he stabilizes at on a healthy (in both portion and content) diet. Go with it. Some folks just naturally have more body fat and need to starve themselves to get rid of it.

On Drabek, given the comments in the past few days, I'd be shocked if Drabek did open in the rotation. The super-2 issue is a red herring, it might be gone in the next bargaining agreement, it is a moving target, and Rogers has shown the willingness to lock players up. Take your pick. A poor spring shouldn't knock him out of the 4th spot, he's the Jays 4th best option and I'd like to hear a convincing argument why being sent to LV would be good for him.
Mike Green - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 12:27 PM EST (#230957) #
On Drabek, given the comments in the past few days, I'd be shocked if Drabek did open in the rotation. The super-2 issue is a red herring, it might be gone in the next bargaining agreement, it is a moving target, and Rogers has shown the willingness to lock players up. Take your pick. A poor spring shouldn't knock him out of the 4th spot, he's the Jays 4th best option and I'd like to hear a convincing argument why being sent to LV would be good for him.

It looks like there is a "not" missing from your first sentence.  A reverse Odaism, I'd say. 
China fan - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 01:12 PM EST (#230959) #

.....A poor spring shouldn't knock him out of the 4th spot.....

I don't really agree with this.  Unless you're an established major-leaguer, a poor spring can always knock anyone out of the rotation, especially if other contenders are having a strong spring.  Drabek isn't established in the majors yet -- he still has to show that he can do it.

Now I suppose this also depends on what "poor" means.  A pitcher with a poor ERA might be having a good spring, despite the numbers, if he had a couple of unlucky outings in the early part of the spring.  If Drabek does poorly in his first couple games, and then impresses in his last two or three outings, he could make the rotation.  But if he has a whole series of poor games in the spring, I don't see how he makes the rotation. You can't reward a pitcher purely for "stuff" and potential.

christaylor - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 02:44 PM EST (#230962) #
Heh. Reverse Odaism. I won't lie about making the error too...

On my comment about a "bad spring", I should specify, I mean stats-wise... having watched ST games on mlb.tv the last few years, I've really become convinced that they are entirely meaningless -- I used to think it was just lip service. It is usually really easy to spot what the pitchers are working on. It is more difficult to tell visually, but from comments they and the coaches make they too are working on things (taking the ball the other way).

If Drabek's bad spring consists of him not complying with the coaches and refusing to do his work. Then sure, put him back in the minors. If he fails to get a feel for a change-up this spring and is lit up? I don't think that ought to lose him a rotation spot.
Matthew E - Tuesday, March 01 2011 @ 04:11 PM EST (#230963) #
If he fails to get a feel for a change-up this spring and is lit up? I don't think that ought to lose him a rotation spot.

Unless the team determined that he'd be ready to break camp with the team if he mastered the change-up, and if not, not. Which I think is a good use of spring training.
China fan - Wednesday, March 02 2011 @ 04:46 AM EST (#230970) #

.....I'd like to hear a convincing argument why being sent to LV would be good for him....

Here's a convincing argument from John Farrell (quoted on the Jays website) about why LV would be good for Zach Stewart:   "We're going to make sure that he makes every stop along the way," Farrell said. "Sometimes in those offensive environments, pitchers learn more about themselves with the conditions they find themselves in."

(Of course Stewart is not in exactly the same situation as Drabek, the subject of the above comment by christaylor, but there are enough similarities between Stewart and Drabek to give us pause to consider Farrell's comment and whether it might apply to both of them, not just to Stewart.)

christaylor - Wednesday, March 02 2011 @ 08:19 AM EST (#230971) #
Farrell has certainly forgotten more about pitching than I'll ever know, but even he doesn't seem entirely convinced when he says, "Sometimes"... because other times pitchers over-compensate, change their mechanics, and lose confidence in their abilities in those environments. Not just developing minor leaguers, I don't think it unreasonable that major league pitchers want to avoid COL.

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