The projections will like change substantially by the start of next season, but I just wanted to gather up the final Fangraphs Combined Rest-of-Season projections for our roster heading into the offseason.
the full projections are only available for guys on the active roster, so the guys not on the active roster i have ROS projections from whenever the last time i updated was.....might not be the very final projection for them but it should be pretty close.
an asterisk means that they are about to be free agents.
The pitching projections are a bit messier because the playing time projections get all weird, and also they don't really know how to handle guys that are both starters and relievers.......i think they key here is to just look at the ERA and FIP projections, and assume that they are projecting mostly on the role that they've been in for the most part, not for the role they might have. i.e. so even though Bassitt and Lauer are projected as relievers here, their actual stats projections are probably no different than if they were being slotted in as SP.
Four seamer, had IKF led off as far as people wanted, there would have been no Varsho ball in play at all, he would have been picked off easily after the first or second pitch. Varsho is a left handed hitter as well. Easy throw for the catcher. This is likely why Febles and IKF agreed before the at bat that he would have a regular to conservative secondary lead.
No offense, but this is nonsense. Nobody is saying that he needed to be halfway down the line. If you look at the screenshot of the play, the 3B was playing farther off the base than IKF was. He needed to be at least as far off the base as the 3B was playing (there is zero reason for him to be closer to the base than the defender that is supposed to be protecting it); and this would have been enough for him to easily score. Furthermore, the likelihood of the Dodgers throwing to 3B to attempt to pick him off is extremely low. You think they were going to risk losing the game on a throw to 3B which easily could be botched? No chance. And it gets even worse once you look at the fact the Varsho basically only pulls flyballs or pulls groundballs - he has one of the most extreme batted ball profiles in baseball. There was zero realistic need to fear him lining into a double play or hitting the ball towards third base.
Everything about that play was a choke-job. From IKF's positioning, to his horrible slide attempt at the end. And even with all of that it ended up being so close it needed to go to replay. He lost the game there. And yes, Varsho should have hit it into the air...but he ultimately made enough contact to score the runner had the runner not choked.
When the final out was made, I was overcome with a feeling that I had wasted my time. I still feel that way. Devoting as much time and energy as I do to something so cruel, and random, just feels arbitrary and pointless. I’m happy to read that others can focus on the positives;
A lot of your thoughts certainly mirror my own.
I watched most of the regular season games this year. And most of the playoffs.
After watching the crushing Gm 7 defeat, I wasn't really angry or saddened. Just mostly numb & disappointed.
The rational part of me started thinking that losing in extra innings in Gm 7 of the World Series is a very off-putting narrative for future fandom.
If the Jays had won, a narrative could be formed that one can get excited about winning the championship and trying to defend it next year.
If the Jays had lost earlier in the playoffs to the Yankees or the Mariners, or even got absolutely curbstomped in the Fall Classic by the Dodgers, one could create a narrative that the Jays had a partially successful season, had made big gains, but still had a lot of room to build & improve.
But losing by a run in Gm 7 seems like a runner-up pinnacle with very little to dream on. The team came just a hair short. It's very unlikely that the lightning in the bottle of 2025 can ever be recreated.
After getting 99% of the way there, then failing spectacularly, what's the point of doing it all over again?
The Jays don’t make money off the secondary market. Those are people selling the tickets they bought from the Jays re-selling them to the highest bidder. The $500 is also too high. By round my tickets in section 127 went 150-300-450. Regular season was about $100 per seat.
