Batter's Box Interactive Magazine Batter's Box Interactive Magazine Batter's Box Interactive Magazine

While one affiliate sang Rain, Rain, Go Away for umpteenth time today, another affiliate blasted its way into the record books. The Buffalo Bisons today recorded 27 runs on 29 hits, both records for the International League. Second basemen Jim Negrych’s cycle was one of many noteworthy performances for Buffalo on the day. Casey Lawrence also had a day to remember, pitching nine and two-thirds of shutout, four-hit ball down in Dunedin. Two of three affiliates went home happy tonight.

Buffalo 27 Syracuse 9

Well just about everyone got in on the act today in Syracuse. Negrych, as mentioned, hit for the cycle. Moises Sierra went for 6/6 and was a HR shy himself of a cycle, Luis Jimenez had 8 RBIs, Ryan Langerhans had two HRs, the list goes on here. Check out the boxscore. Negrych, it should be noted, is hitting to the tune of a 1.446 OPS. Buffalo is twelve games into their season, nine of which Negrych has played. Nonetheless, those are gaudy numbers. Just about every pitcher had a game to forget, save for Alex Hinshaw who worked a clean ninth. The Bisons are 8 and 4 on this young season, placing them a game behind the North Division leading Boston affiliate—the Pawtucket Red Sox.

Binghamton 4 New Hampshire 3

Ryan Tepera took the mound for the Fisher Cats on the night and he was so-so. He yielded three runs on eight hits over five and third innings. The sixth inning was his and the Fisher Cats undoing—he allowed a leadoff double and a hit batter before being relieved with runners on second and third with one out. His relief, a Chorye Spoone, then promptly gave up a double to score those two “ducks.” Before all was said and done, Spoone was touched for another double and run. The Fisher Cats were unable to makeup the run difference and fell on the night 4-3.

Joel Carreno pitched a clean inning, while Ricardo Nanita was a bright spot at the plate, homering and doubling. Kenny Wilson and Kevin Pillar have cooled a bit since their respective hot starts. We’ll start to get a better understanding of who these guys are in the coming months as they settle into the daily grind. They say the jump from A-Ball to Double-A is the hardest and it would be nice if the Jays could get a season out of one of these guys, perhaps make them look like legit prospects and get something in return for them at the deadline. The Fisher Cats are 1.5 back of the Eastern League Eastern leading Binghamton Mets.

Dunedin 1 Lakeland 0

Casey Lawrence was Halladay-esque down in Dunedin tonight. He pitched nine and two-thirds shutout innings, giving up only four hits. He was never really in trouble as well. In the sixth he managed to work around runners on second and third with one out, and then had Blake McFarland clean up runners on first and second with two out in the tenth. Most of his outs were by contact, 13 by groundball, and 9 by flyout. Lawrence was good and probably deserves an extended look at New Hampshire.

Lawrence’s relievers followed precedent and kept it clean until the thirteenth where an Andy Burns triple scored Peter Mooney who had just been hit by a pitch. Burns also walked twice on the night, but outside of that there were no outstanding offensive performances on the night and it should be noted the Baby Jays squandered bases loaded with none out in the first. K.C. Hobson also made his triumphant return to the lineup and needs to put it together soon. In the viewings I’ve had of Hobson I’ve quite liked his tools. He has an eye, power and average potential, and plays a really good first base. Tools are tools and he, much like a number of projectable draft picks of recent years, need to put it together before they’re ultimately passed by. Hobson had a nice year last year, but he’ll need to put up some big numbers at his position to be considered a prospect. Dunedin leads the way in the Florida League North Division by a game.

Lansing’s doubleheader with West Michigan was rained out. The games will be made up in June.

Three Stars

1. Jim Negrych

2. Casey Lawrence

3. Everyone else with a bat in a Buffalo Bison uniform

Box Scores

Records Fell Today | 26 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Richard S.S. - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 02:02 AM EDT (#270593) #

Thanks Sam.

Did any of the 2012 Draft get assigned to Long Season or are they still in Short Season Ball?

Mike Forbes - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 03:20 AM EDT (#270594) #
27 runs? Damn. Good to see the Bisons raking. Wouldn't mind Sierra getting a call up if Bautista has to go on the DL, also.
Richard S.S. - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 04:44 AM EDT (#270595) #
I would prefer Moises Sierra get the first OF callup.   We need to see what his Trade / Asset Value might be.
ISLAND BOY - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 06:23 AM EDT (#270596) #
Did anyone see/hear that Travis D'Arnaud broke his foot ?
Richard S.S. - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 07:17 AM EDT (#270597) #
Other sites and and and and are places that occasionally mention prospect injuries.   More than d'Arnaud are injured.
whiterasta80 - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 07:59 AM EDT (#270598) #
I think the insinuation there Richard is that we may have dealt "Glass Joe" just before he officially picked up that label.

Some players just have a habit of getting injured and Travis seems to be one of them.
Richard S.S. - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 08:40 AM EDT (#270599) #
I agree
John Northey - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 08:56 AM EDT (#270600) #
It would be funny if in the end the Houston deal for Happ is more expensive in retrospect than the deal for Dickey.  For GM's though it is the overall picture that matters.  If the Jays make the playoffs AA is a winner and will be praised even if some of those guys traded become all-stars or HOF'ers (see Pat Gillick and Jeff Kent for an example).

AA sent 7 players to the Marlins, 4 to the Mets, and 7 to Houston for most of the current rotation (Johnson, Buehrle, Dickey, and Happ) plus others including Reyes.  That is 18 players who could come back to haunt him.  Right now though John Buck is the one doing the best at 300/302/680 for a 161 OPS+ while leading the NL in RBI's ... go figure, the guy no one wanted is the one doing the best.
hypobole - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 09:42 AM EDT (#270601) #
There are 4 2012 draft picks currently playing full season, plus Stroman who is serving his suspension. 25 yr old Derrick Chung (32nd round) is catching in Dunedin. The other 3 are in Lansing - 22 yr old RH RP Tucker Donahue (4th round signability pick), 21 yr olds LH SP Alonzo Gonzalez (18th round) and SS Jorge Flores (19th round). I'm guessing Gonzalez is the only one who may possibly be a prospect, the other 3 are almost assuredly organizational filler.

As you can tell by their ages, all 4 are college guys. The bonus babies, other than Stroman, were all HS kids so it's no surprise they are all still at extended.
timpinder - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 10:06 AM EDT (#270602) #
I agree with the suggestion that Sierra should be the first to get the call. With Bautista out Davis and Bonifacio are his replacements in RF. They're both light hitting speedsters, hit lefties better than righties, are poor defenders, and have weak arms for RF. They seem completely redundant to me as they share the same skill set. Sierra on the other hand, while also traditionally showing a better bat against lefties, has more pop, is a solid defender, and has a cannon of an arm. He seems to be a better compliment to Bonifacio than Davis as he has different strengths.
jjdynomite - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 10:54 AM EDT (#270604) #
Agreed with Tim Pinder. After his 6-for-6 last night Sierra has a sweet .949 OPS (was .832 last season before call-up) so maybe he's just a late-bloomer in his age 24 season (25 in September)?

Bonifacio's versatility is great and all, but he's skill set-redundant with Rajai -- and, apparently, KAWASAKI! -- and for all intents and purposes has sucked this season even though he scored a key run last night.

By the way. how about KAWASAKI!

Gerry - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 11:20 AM EDT (#270605) #

Island Boy and Richard:

Yesterday's minor league update discussed d'Arnaud's injury as well as all ther other ex-Jay injuries.

Gerry - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 11:23 AM EDT (#270606) #

There are three 2012 draftees on the Lugnuts....Tucker Donahue (4th round), Alonzo Gonzalez (18th) and Jorge Flores (19th).

Marcus Stroman will also be on a full season team when his suspension ends.


Mike Green - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 11:35 AM EDT (#270608) #
That was a nice DP last night.  Ramirez runs well and the ball was to Kawasaki's right, yet he made a good quick feed and Izturis' turn was equally good so they got him by 1/2 a step.  Give Dickey that kind of infield defence and he's murder.

OPS sometimes doesn't tell you very much.  Sierra has been pretty much the same hitter all the way along (including this year).  He strikes out more than twice as often as he walks.  He has medium range pop. The fact that he's hitting .395 so far in Buffalo with the same other statistical profile means next to nothing.  He probably would hit about as well as Rajai Davis, and is a better defender but a lesser baserunner. 

Speaking of issues about OPS, Arencibia's is .802 and Izturis' is .534, despite Arencibia's poor control of the strike zone.  The odds are pretty good that when the season is over, any measure of offensive contribution which takes into account reach base and slugging in the correct proportion will have them about equal and about in the middle (wRC+ say of about 95). 

John Northey - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 11:35 AM EDT (#270609) #
I know I'm cheering on Tucker Donahue to become something, even if just a September call-up someday.  It'd be fun to see one of those cheap picks (4th to 10th round) of last year actually do something. 
Lylemcr - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 11:51 AM EDT (#270610) #

Dickey pitched well again last night.  Outside of Happ's start, all the starts were good this week.  I am optomistic that things will turn around.  The Jays have a starting staff that is going to keep them in the race.  A little more luck, some better fundamentals and timely hitting, the jays will be back on track. 

Talking about baseball fundamentals.  Do they need to bring someone in to show the hitters how to bunt?

Mike Green - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 11:58 AM EDT (#270611) #
Kawasaki could do the teaching.  A bow after every success.  I suppose that the fans could get into it.  Every time a Jay hitter lays down a good bunt, we bow. A delicate placement deserves a delicate response!
blarry - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 11:58 AM EDT (#270612) #
Since Arencibia currently has a wRC+ of 119 while Izturis wRC+ is 43 I'm confused as to how this statistic argues for or against the relative merits of OPS. At this point both stats agree that JP is having the better season offensively so far.
Mike Green - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 12:10 PM EDT (#270614) #
It's true.  There are two problems, one is that OPS incorrectly weights OBP and slugging percentage, and the other is the simple luck factor involved in BABIP.  The Arencibia/Izturis problem is predominantly of the second type, and as you correctly say wRC+ won't correct it.  What will correct it is time. 
blarry - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 12:46 PM EDT (#270615) #
Agreed luck is probably predominant, although there is reason to hope
that Arencibia has simply improved offensively since so far his BABIP is identical to last
92-93 - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 12:51 PM EDT (#270616) #
His BABIP being the same along with a higher K% and lower BB% means he hasn't improved offensively thus far, he's declined. If his HR/FB% normalizes to his career average the SLG drops and his .250 OBP starts to stand out more.
hypobole - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 01:53 PM EDT (#270617) #
"Sierra on the other hand, while also traditionally showing a better bat against lefties, has more pop, is a solid defender, and has a cannon of an arm."

Agree with the pop and arm, but the Sierra I saw last year was no better defensively than Rajai and doesn't hit lefties any better either.
John Northey - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 02:16 PM EDT (#270618) #
Last year Sierra in 316 innings had a UZR/150 of -15.8.  Not enough to say for certain he is poor, but enough to raise eyebrows.  Meanwhile Davis in RF has 519 innings lifetime with a UZR/150 of +11.2.  Go figure.

Want odd?  in RF for Davis there have been 18 balls 'in zone' and he made outs on 17 of them while reaching 9 out of zone (OOZ).  Bonifacio has a UZR of -87.3 in RF this season (ouch) reaching 4 of 5 outs plus 2 OOZ.  Lifetime Bonifacio is +10.0 in RF over 188 innings.

Far too few innings this year to make any judgement based on the numbers, but interesting none the less.

Mike Green - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 02:27 PM EDT (#270619) #
I don't doubt that 5 years ago, Rajai had above-average range in right field.  As for now, he still runs well enough that he theoretically could have above-average range, but the idea that he has in fact been well above-average over the first 16 games is not consistent with anything anybody has seen. 

Last night's double off the wall would have been counted as out of his zone but was a ball that most right fielders would catch by running back to the wall and waiting.  Rajai misjudged it and cruised back.  Eventually, these misjudgments are reflected on balls in zone and the UZR/DRS will reflect it. 
John Northey - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 03:58 PM EDT (#270622) #
Mike - dead on with that.  The problem with fielding stats is they don't work well over very short periods of time.  Generally they say 3 years of full-time play is needed before they 'make sense'.  Still, they can be indicators to help get an idea.  For example, if a guy is known as a great fielder but has a negative UZR/150 (Sierra) then one has to question why he has that rep and why his ML stats are so different.  I suspect in his case it is the great arm that messes with perception - when you have a cannon people think the rest has to be good too.  Same with speedy guys getting the benefit of the doubt quite often. 

For Davis his speed allows him to be where the ball is often, but he has serious issues once there.  Thus he can look worse than he might be as due to the speed he looks like something should be easy where a slower runner might not get close to the ball.
Mike Green - Friday, April 19 2013 @ 04:13 PM EDT (#270623) #
Yes.  I don't know that Sierra has more range than Davis, or even as much range as Davis.  I do know that he has a much, much better arm, and that given what I know about his minor league defensive reputation and the limited value of 1/4 season statistics, and what I have seen of Davis this year, that it is likely that he is at least somewhat better defensively overall.

When you look at the whole package though- batting, baserunning and defence, it might be too close to call between the two of them. Tie goes to the veteran! 
Records Fell Today | 26 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.