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The 2025 MLB Draft begins with rounds 1-3 beginning at 6:00 pm Eastern time in Atlanta this evening. Rounds 4-20 will take place at 11:30 am Eastern time on Monday. You can follow the draft on MLB.com, MLB Network and ESPN.

The Toronto Blue Jays have the eighth pick this year but they do not have their second-round pick after signing outfielder Anthony Santander as a free agent. Their next pick will be in the third round at 81. The Blue Jays have a bonus pool of $10,314,600.

Baseball America believes the Blue Jays will select shortstop JoJo Parker from Purvis High School in Mississippi. Jim Callis and Jonathan Mayo from MLB.com both predict the Jays will draft lefthander Jamie Arnold from Florida State. Kiley McDaniel from ESPN.com thinks Toronto will take shortstop Aiva Arquette from Oregon State.


Image from Mississippi Scoreboard.

Round 1 - 8th overall. SS JoJo Parker, Purvis HS (Mississippi). Bats Left, Throws Right. 6-foot-2, 200 pounds. Born August 8, 2006. Slot Value $6,813,600.

MLB.com Scouting Report - The Parker twins are the best high school position prospects in Mississippi. Outfielder Jacob has more raw pop, but infielder JoJo offers a more enticing package with superior hitting ability and athleticism and has played his way into the first round with a strong senior season. Multiple scouts have compared him to a more powerful version of Carter Johnson, an Alabama prep shortstop who signed with the Marlins for a well-over-slot $2.8 million as a second-rounder last July. Parker has a chance to be a plus hitter with average power. He has a sound left-handed swing, manages the strike zone well and employs a gap-to-gap approach. He shows some feel for driving balls in the air and is posting more impressive exit velocities as he continues to gain muscle. While Parker will get the chance to play shortstop at the next level and his solid arm strength, his actions and quickness are just average. That likely will dictate a move to second or third base in the future, though he should provide enough offense to profile at either position. The twins are committed to playing together at Mississippi State if they don't turn pro. Video

Baseball America

Reaction: Parker has been one of the biggest high school helium players of the last year. That’s because of the belief many scouts have in his hitting ability with a sweet, adjustable lefthanded swing and impressive barrel accuracy with an all-fields approach and good strike-zone judgment. There are questions about where he ends up defensively, but the Blue Jays are betting on one of the most advanced high school hitters in the nation.

Scouting Report: Parker, whose given name is Joseph but goes by Jojo, has steadily climbed draft boards by hitting, hitting and then hitting some more. He’s a strong athlete with a powerful 6-foot-2, 195-pound frame. He has a picturesque lefthanded swing and a nose for the barrel. Parker has a case as one of the best pure hitters in the class, with real power to go with his polished hit tool. He starts with a narrow and open lower half, with the bat resting on his shoulder before taking a standard stride with a simple and quiet hand load to get the barrel into a good hitting position. The swing itself comes with solid bat speed and strength, and Parker does a nice job getting the barrel into different hitting zones depending on how he’s pitched. He has an eye for the zone, will take pitches when he needs to and is a proven hitter against both velocity and spin. He’s got all the ingredients to be an above-average hitter with above-average power. Parker is typically an average runner, but he has turned in some plus run times in workout settings in 2025. A shortstop now, he might slide off the position because he lacks typical quickness and actions. He does have an advanced internal clock, above-average arm strength and the work ethic to earn a chance to prove himself at the position. He could fit at third base, second base or an outfield corner. Parker is committed to Mississippi State but is expected to be a first-round pick. His twin brother Jacob is his Purvis High teammate and also a talented 2025 prospect. Video

Batter’s Box Instant Analysis - It’s the second year in a row the Jays have drafted a Parker, selecting catcher Aaron Parker in the 6th round out of UC-Santa Barbara. Also, the Jays drafted righthander Parker Caracci from MIssissippi State in 2018 (37th round) and 2019 (21st round). Hall of Famer Dave Parker played for the Jays in 1991.

Twitter Reaction

Zach Worden - The #BlueJays pick JoJo Parker at No. 8, landing the prep SS after a bit of a chaotic start to the draft. Potential is there to be an impact bat from the left side. Will be fun to follow his development in the years ahead.

Adam Heisler - One of my favorite high school bats in the draft JoJo Parker @Parker2Jojo Elite bat to ball skills. A hitter, that hits for power. Reminds me of a smaller (6”1 vs 6”3) Gunnar Henderson. Future all star. #MLBDraft25

Damon - Still recovering from Joe Doyle sending me on an emotional Rollercoaster but JoJo Parker is a phenomenal pick in his own right. Has an argument for best overall hit tool in the entire draft class. Chris Clegg has him as the best prep bat in this draft.

Ben Nicholson-Smith - Rival scout likes lefty hitting SS Jojo Parker, taken 8th overall by Blue Jays. Describes Parker as an ideal two hole hitter who likely ends up at 3B. Hit/power combo with advanced bat to ball, strong arm, fringy speed. Seen as a high character person as well.

@bnicholsonsmith Jojo Parker, the Blue Jays' first-round pick, has a twin brother named Jacob, who's also a well-regarded prospect (OF with power). Their father is a lawyer & judge who was paralyzed after sustaining a football injury in high school. Remarkable story.

Peter Flaherty III - With the 8th overall pick, the Toronto Blue Jays have selected SS JoJo Parker. Strong, athletic frame. Enticing hit-power combination. Present bat speed, gets barrel to all parts of the zone. 55s for both hit/power. AA arm, could slide off SS.

Andrew Abadie - Jojo Parker, the No. 8 overall pick in the MLB Draft, tells me that he plans to sign with the @BlueJays.

Blue Jays Avenue Podcast - The #BlueJays select with the 8th pick Jojo Parker out of Purvis HS (MS) Great pick, massive upside with his bat from the left side, probably moves off SS as he progresses through the system but a high upside INF which this organization loves! #LightsUpLetsGo 

Blue Jays Nation - Jojo Parker, selected out of Purvis HS, is an athletic middle infielder with an elite hit tool. He'll likely hit for more contact than power as a professional but features 20-HR potential. (1/2) While Parker has mostly played SS, most draft experts expect him to move to either 2B or 3B long-term. ESPN had Parker -- whose twin brother, Jacob, is also draft eligible this year -- was ranked as the 7th-highest amongst the 2025 class.✍️: @Hall_Thomas_ (2/2)

Eric Cross - Well-rounded offensive profile with plus raw power and a good feel to hit. Could wind up as a 55-hit/60-power player who adds 10+ steals annually. My #1 for FYPD. #LightsUpLetsGo 

Thomas Nestico - Jojo Parker has an extremely advanced hit tool for a prep bat. He has a sharp eye and ran strong contacts which is supported by a good bat control. He has above average power potential which makes him one of the most well rounded hitters in the draft.

SABR Hanlan’s Point Chapter - JoJo Parker is the 1st "JoJo" in the Blue Jays organization since LHP Joseph Albert "JoJo" Reyes was a team member from July 14, 2010 to August 1, 2011.

@MitchBannon #BlueJays director of amateur scouting Marc Tramuta on JoJo Parker: “This was one of the best, if not the best, hit-power combo with plate discipline in the draft.”

@MitchBannon A rival talent evaluator on #BlueJays No. 8 pick JoJo Parker: While defensive questions could push him to a corner INF spot, the pick has "as good of shot of getting offensive value out of a high schooler as anybody."

@MitchBannon From Keith Law's live draft blog at @TheAthleticMLB: Parker "could easily end up one of the top 3 players in the class with the right help at the plate."

@PineBeltSPORTS When Jojo Parker was in second grade, he wrote in a school assignment that his dream was to become a Major League Baseball player. That dream became a reality on Sunday as the Blue Jays selected him in the top 10 of the MLB Draft.

@TaylorBlakeWard #BlueJays 1-8: JoJo Parker, SS, Purvis HS (MS) -- impact offensive upside, gap-to-gap hitter w/ high BA/OBP projection, budding pwr that projects abv/plus, well-rounded bat likely profiles at 3B defensively w/ above-average arm.

@Hall_Thomas_ Jake Cook has an effortless, simple swing from the left side. Easy to see why #BlueJays brass like his profile. .350/.436/.468, .426 wOBA & 131 wRC+ in 60 games.

"The dude is going to hit, the bat is going to be the carrying tool... you want to put this type of player into your farm system because it's an elite skill set." @ShiDavidi on the #BlueJays drafting JoJo Parker with @BlakeMurphyODC & @juliackreuz. #LightsUpLetsGo


Image from Southern Miss.

Round 3 - 81st overall. OF/LHP Jake Cook, Southern Mississippi. Bats Left, Throws Left. 6-foot-3, 185 pounds. Born July 13, 2003. Slot Value $993,900.

MLB.com Scouting Report - Cook may have the biggest dichotomy between tools and track record of any position player in the Draft. Recruited as a two-way player by Southern Mississippi, he focused on pitching and reached 96 mph with his fastball, but his inability to throw strikes led to him redshirting in 2023 and working just two innings last year. Converted to a center fielder this spring, he batted .350 with a 7 percent strikeout rate and displayed some of the best speed and outfield range in college baseball. Cook didn't look like a hitter who hadn't faced live pitching in an official game for two years, using a disciplined approach to consistently put the ball in play to all fields. He has a slappy left-handed stroke and generates a lot of his contact on the ground and to the left side, which yields infield hits but not much power. He has some strength in his 6-foot-1 frame but will have to rework his swing path to do damage at the next level. A legitimate top-of-the-scale runner, Cook can get from home to first in less than 3.8 seconds and turned in the best 30-yard dash (3.51 seconds) and long jump (10 feet, 8.25 inches) of all players who participated in athletic testing at the Draft Combine. He has yet to develop any basestealing acumen, swiping just three bags in eight attempts this spring. His quickness plays much better in center, where he covers both gaps with ease and has a stronger arm than most at the position.

Baseball America Scouting Report - Cook is a 6-foot-3, 185-pound outfielder who has a light college track record but some of the better athleticism in the draft. After pitching as a reliever in a limited capacity for Southern Miss in 2024, he focused on hitting full-time in 2025 and broke out. He worked his way into the leadoff spot and slashed .350/.436/.468 with three home runs, a 6.7% strikeout rate and a 10.9% walk rate. Cook is a contact hitter who rarely swings and misses and almost never misses a fastball. He slaps the ball around to all fields but has well below-average raw power— though he does have a solid frame that could add more strength in the future. Cook is a double-plus runner who turned in the best 30-yard dash and long jump at the MLB Draft combine’s athletic testing. He has a chance to be an above-average defender in center field, where he also has an above-average arm. Despite his speed, Cook went just 3-for-8 (37.5%) on the bases. He has an up-the-middle profile with loud supplemental tools, though his scarce collegiate track record might be enough to concern some clubs.

Twitter Reaction

@BaseballAmerica Jake Cook is selected in the third round by the Blue Jays. The outfielder had an excellent first full season as a hitter, slashing .350/.436/.468 with 32 RBIs. Sleeper prospects to watch in the draft.

@Hall_Thomas_ Sounds like #BlueJays just drafted the second coming of Kevin Kiermaier. 10/10 on names between JoJo Parker & Jake Cook, too. Look out, Daulton Varsho & Myles Straw -- you've got some company! Jake Cook, who transitioned to a full-time CF in 2025, features elite speed & plate discipline (insane 6.7% K% in 60 games with USM !!) #BlueJays

@Ryley__Delaney It's Jake Cook's birthday today.

@TaylorBlakeWard 38m #BlueJays 2-81: Jake Cook, LHP, Southern Miss -- anomaly speed/athleticism w/ off charts upside, green arm who has been up to mid 90s on mound w/ limited strike throwing track record, slap/dash hitter w/ 80 speed, best runner in class, multiple outcome project w/ plenty of upside.

"There was a team picking almost directly behind them, and that was their pick on the board, and their reaction was,' Oh F-word, they just took [Jake Cook].'" @GeoffPontesBA on Cook being drafted No. 81 overall with @BlakeMurphyODC and @juliackreuz #LightsUpLetsGo

2025 MLB Draft - Day 1 | 67 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
jgadfly - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:10 PM EDT (#463540) #
for my 2 cents ... if they wanted Shohei Ohtani for however many millions they were willing to spend then I hope they've done some due dilligence on Kruz Schoolcraft... a 6'9 with body control, upwards to 100 mph with location, also HR power with athleticism at 1st base ... only drawback ... high school and youth ... but if he works out, perhaps worth it
Glevin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:19 PM EDT (#463541) #
One of the least predictable drafts I've ever seen. Hopefully someone falls to Jays! (hopefully a hitter).
Kelekin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:24 PM EDT (#463543) #
Should be fun! I hope they take the best player, and not the worst player! Looking forward to reviewing this draft with overreactions in one year's time.
Spifficus - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:25 PM EDT (#463544) #
Willits first was a bit surprising but not shocking. Bremner at 2 is definitely both.
Shoeless Joe - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:41 PM EDT (#463545) #
I would love Arnold to fall to the Jays, but Arquette is such a Jays pick.
greenfrog - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:45 PM EDT (#463546) #
Interesting situation for Toronto at #8.

I’ll guess Ike Irish, also most people seem to think they’ll pick Arnold or a SS.
mendocino - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:46 PM EDT (#463547) #
Arnold
Glevin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:49 PM EDT (#463548) #
Looks like Parker.
mendocino - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:49 PM EDT (#463549) #
nope Parker
Glevin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:50 PM EDT (#463550) #
Joe Doyle had then at Arnold which would be my least favourite pick and then changed it to Parker. Much better. Wonder if they'll take his brother later too.
mendocino - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:51 PM EDT (#463551) #
that's who I was following
Gerry - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:52 PM EDT (#463552) #
Looks like a big boy, don't think he will end up at short.
Glevin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:53 PM EDT (#463553) #
Best high school hitter in class is something I like to hear.
John Northey - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:54 PM EDT (#463554) #
So JoJo Parker - ranked #9, with #4 (Jason Arnold) and #7 (Billy Carlson) both still out there. The Angels going for Tyler Bremner (ranked #18, taken with pick #2) tells me they either A) love him or B) are spreading cash out throughout the draft or C) are going cheap - I'm leaning towards B at this point, but we'll see who else they draft.

Long wait for pick #81, the Jays next one.
Kelekin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:55 PM EDT (#463555) #
Parker had a lot of helium heading into the draft, seemed more interesting than Carlson.
greenfrog - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:56 PM EDT (#463556) #
Law says on The Athletic that JJ “may not stick at shortstop, projecting as more of an average-ish defender there who has better instincts and hands than agility or range, but will be above-average at second or third.” Also, he “could easily end up one of the top 3 players in the class with the right help at the plate.”
Shoeless Joe - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:58 PM EDT (#463557) #
It’s a good pick, and the Jays keep drafting for upside in the early rounds.
John Northey - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 06:58 PM EDT (#463558) #
MLB.com's summary of JoJo...

Scouting grades: Hit: 60 | Power: 55 | Run: 50 | Arm: 55 | Field: 50 | Overall: 55

The Parker twins are the best high school position prospects in Mississippi. Outfielder Jacob has more raw pop, but infielder JoJo offers a more enticing package with superior hitting ability and athleticism and has played his way into the top 10 picks with a strong senior season that earned him Gatorade state player of the year accolades. Multiple scouts have compared him to a more powerful version of Carter Johnson, an Alabama prep shortstop who signed with the Marlins for a well-over-slot $2.8 million as a second-rounder last July.

Parker has a chance to be a plus hitter with 20-25 homers per season. He has a sound left-handed swing, manages the strike zone well and employs a gap-to-gap approach. He shows some feel for driving balls in the air and is posting more impressive exit velocities as he continues to gain muscle.

While Parker will get the chance to play shortstop at the next level and his solid arm strength, his actions and quickness are just average. That likely will dictate a move to second or third base in the future, though he should provide enough offense to profile at either position. The twins are committed to playing together at Mississippi State if they don't turn pro.
His twin - Jacob Parker - is ranked #109 so the Jays might have a shot at him with #81.

Scouting grades: Hit: 40 | Power: 55 | Run: 55 | Arm: 55 | Field: 55 | Overall: 45

While his twin brother JoJo has surpassed him as a prospect this spring, rocketing into the first round, Jacob is more physical and could go in the second or third round to a team that believes in his bat. Some scouts think he'll make enough contact to tap into his well-above-average raw power, while others have swing-and-miss concerns. The siblings will play together at Mississippi State if they attend college, though that's unlikely.

Parker packs plenty of strength in his 6-foot-3, 215-pound frame and puts on one of the best batting-practice shows in the high school class. He produces high exit velocities when he makes contact. He can mishit balls out of the park and is at his best when he lets his all-fields power come naturally. But his left-handed swing gets too long and uphill, and he gets too pull-happy when he hunts home runs, leading to strikeouts, and he hasn't faced much quality competition or had much success when he has.

Parker moves very well for his size, displaying plus straight-line speed and more solid quickness on the bases. He has pushed his fastball to 90 mph when pitching, and that arm strength adds to his right-field profile. He could be a solid defender on the corners and could get the chance to show what he can do in center field at the next level.
hypobole - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 07:12 PM EDT (#463559) #
Guest
6:54 if you had to guess below/at/above slot for Jojo?

Eric A Longenhagen
6:54 slot
John Northey - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 07:15 PM EDT (#463560) #
Interesting to see the A's took #4 Jason Arnold who some thought the Jays would go for (got him with #11). Texas going the Angels route, drafting #22 overall with pick #12.

There have been 59 drafts before today, of those pick #8 was a shortstop 13 times, the first 2 didn't reach (in the 60's), best is easily Francisco Lindor, with Jay Bell easily the #2 shortstop taken with the 8th overall pick (37.2 bWAR). The Jays Felipe López is 4th best by WAR (reasonable slot for him among this crew) - just cracked 1 WAR twice in his career, basically a good backup/replacement level guy who had 2 hot years (both over 110 for OPS+, both over 3 WAR in value).

I'm hoping for a Bo type SS, thus the 3rd best ever drafted 8th overall. That'd be sweet.
John Northey - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 07:22 PM EDT (#463561) #
The next pick, #81 overall, has only had someone crack 5 WAR twice in 59 years. Jerry Mumphrey (22 taken in '71), and Eric Sogard (7.0 taken in '07).

3 times the Jays have had pick #81 - Andre Robertson, Chase De Jong, and Andy Dziadkowiec being those 3 picks. Basically what I'm seeing says, why not take the guys twin if you can then? Odds are low of a big success and if taking his twin gets him to sign cheaper or quicker why not? FYI: pick #109 (his twins rank) has some damn fine names (Dwight Evans, Brett Gardner, Alex Cobb, and LaMarr Hoyt) so by #81 basically the spread is minimal in quality for guys 10-20 rankings lower.
greenfrog - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 07:25 PM EDT (#463562) #
Any chance the Blue Jays get Jacob Parker with their next pick? Maybe the twins would be happy to play in the same org?
John Northey - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 07:25 PM EDT (#463563) #
Love that ‪Ben Nicholson-Smith‬ quote on "Seen as a high character person as well" as those tend to be nice to have in the system - much prefer cheering those types on over guys like our 2015 closer and the Red Sox closer.
Marc Hulet - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 07:34 PM EDT (#463564) #
I wouldn't be surprised to see Jacob Parker get floted down to the Jays in the 3rd - telling other teams he's going to U Mississippi... with JoJo taking a little less $ for it to go to his brother.

Parker wouldn't have been my pick but I don't hate it. Boston got Witherspoon and I think that's an outstanding pick by them.
Kelekin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 07:42 PM EDT (#463565) #
Yeah, I don't love that Boston got Witherspoon.
Kelekin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 07:43 PM EDT (#463566) #
I also don't love Irish falling to the Orioles.
Glevin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 08:07 PM EDT (#463569) #
https://www.mlb.com/news/jojo-parker-jacob-parker-brothers-2025-draft-prospects?t=mlb-draft-coverage

This is MLBs story on the twins and their dad.
Kelekin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 08:20 PM EDT (#463571) #
Laviolette all the way down to 27th. What a drop.
Kelekin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 08:43 PM EDT (#463573) #
Baltimore hoarding all the catchers.
Katie - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 08:55 PM EDT (#463574) #
Keith Law is salivating over Baltimore's draft and it's hard to argue with him when the Orioles have landed Irish, Aloy, de Brun and Caden Bodine with their first four picks.
mendocino - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 09:01 PM EDT (#463575) #
Canada to LA
Katie - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 09:20 PM EDT (#463576) #
Kade Anderson has already agreed to a below slot deal with the Mariners that saves Seattle $700,000. That's a hefty saving on a top talent.

It's being reported that fourteen different Jays scouts/front office people saw Parker this spring.
John Northey - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 09:36 PM EDT (#463578) #
Interesting to see how few top prospects are falling completely so far. At the moment #34 is the highest ranked not drafted, then 35, then 5 in the 40's after pick #56 was made. Normally there are a couple high ranked guys who fall (high school kids normally). Only Detroit has gone weird drafting rank #219 with pick #34 (Michael Oliveto a HS catcher). It'll be interesting to see what is there when the Jays get to pick again.
Kelekin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 09:49 PM EDT (#463579) #
Baltimore did great with their picks on paper. They really hate pitchers, though!
hypobole - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 10:11 PM EDT (#463581) #
From FG:

Once a two-way high schooler, focused on pitching during the early part of his Southern Miss tenure but couldn't throw strikes, moved to the outfield in 2025 and broke out with a .350/.436/.468 line and microscopic 6.7% K%. Blazingly fast. Double-stealing gap-to-gap range, top 30-yard dash (3.51) and broad jump (10'8") at the Combine (for context, Tyreek Hill broad jumped 10'9" at his NFL Combine). Gangly and explosive, huge strides. Still needs technical polish on defense. Ball skills and communication with the other outfielders will hopefully improve with reps. Future impact center field defender. Slash-and-dash style hitter with natural jailbreak leaving the box, will post sub-3.9 run times to first. Likely low-impact offensive player barring total overhaul in approach and swing. Of all the athletes who might be able to do something like that, the recently converted guy is as likely as anyone. Fun spring pop-up guy with part-time outfielder projection, plus a little extra context-based upside.
John Northey - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 10:18 PM EDT (#463582) #
I like Jake Cook's profile there - someone who probably would've gone higher if he hadn't spent a couple years trying to be a pitcher. Like his MLB.com grades - Hit: 55 | Power: 30 | Run: 80 | Arm: 60 | Field: 65 | Overall: 45. Low on the power but the run and arm are nice - we might be looking at a new Shannon Stewart type but with an arm. Solid leadoff guy in the future, who can play CF. Get him to Kevin Kiermaier ASAP.
Glevin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 10:18 PM EDT (#463583) #
Interesting pick. Incredible athlete with all sorts of skills (all-time draft combine records) but also incredibly raw. Needs a ton of work so let's see what Jays' development team can do.
mathesond - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 10:20 PM EDT (#463584) #
" Incredible athlete with all sorts of skills (all-time draft combine records) but also incredibly raw."

Getting Anthony Alford flashbacks...(just kidding)
Kelekin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 10:21 PM EDT (#463585) #
Agreed. Huge bust potential but also intriguing. Definitely a departure from the last draft group, which did not value speed.
John Northey - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 10:39 PM EDT (#463586) #
Yeah, that is a good point about Alford or about 90% of the Gillick draft picks where some worked (Moseby) and many failed (Augie Schmidt). The risk is high, but so is the reward - exactly what you should do with most picks imo. Guys in 81 and lower picks are rarely going to become stars or even semi-regulars. 60 picks all time, 16 reached averaging 2.2 WAR per guy who reached. Why not take a risk on a guy who might be a star if he puts it together? Perfect world he becomes Tim Raines with a cannon arm. More likely he busts in the minors, never figuring out how to hit enough.
John Northey - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 10:47 PM EDT (#463587) #
Day 1 done - highest ranked still on the board is #35 Mason Neville (OF HS), then #44 Jack Bauer. The top 9 ranked undrafted are all high schoolers (no shock there). Top college is Henry Ford (#73, 1B). Top Canadian is Tim Piasentin (#160, a 3B from an Alberta high school). Top PR is Gustavo Melendez (#140 a SS in high school), top non-USA is Micah Bucknam (New Zealand, #131 at a Texas College).
Kelekin - Sunday, July 13 2025 @ 11:18 PM EDT (#463588) #
Bucknam was drafted by the Jays in 2021, btw.
GabrielSyme - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 12:12 AM EDT (#463589) #
Good contact ability and defensive value in centre seems like a high-floor type pick, but Cook is also 6'3 and a crazy athlete, so I would not be shocked if he can develop some useful power.

Seems like a better profile than DJ Davis, who had similar athleticism but more question about his hit tool, and we took Davis 17th overall.
hypobole - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 12:21 AM EDT (#463590) #
The write-up of Cook's hitting style/home to 1st times/microscopic K rate is reminiscent of Ichiro much more than Alford.

That K rate would look a look a lot better if he had played against SEC pitching rather than Sun Belt. Tennessee, an SEC team, already has 5 pitchers drafted in the 1st 3 rounds today. I believe the entire Sun Belt Conference has 1.
ISLAND BOY - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 06:07 AM EDT (#463591) #
Special Agent Jack Bauer hasn't been selected yet? I thought he would have been taken at 24.
Glevin - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 06:38 AM EDT (#463592) #
Cook's profile reminds me a bit of Chandler Simpson with more risk and more upside (better fielding, more power) . He'll be a very interesting player to track in the minors.
Ryan Day - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 08:06 AM EDT (#463594) #
Alford wasn't just raw (lots of players are when drafted), but he didn't even commit to baseball full time until a couple years after being drafted. It's hard to develop professional baseball skills when you're also trying to be a professional football player.
Shoeless Joe - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 08:36 AM EDT (#463596) #
Not really a fan of the cook pick, but the Jays have been trending more towards hit over power with good defense types the last few years in both the draft and majors I.e. Clement, Rodon, Giminez, etc.
scottt - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 08:58 AM EDT (#463597) #
I like the Parker pick.  Not crazy about Cook. They've tried to draft a speedy CF many times before and it has never panned out. At least it's only a 3rd round pick and the guy has a good hit tool.
The hit tool has always been the problem.

The Orioles basically punted this year to make sure they didn't lose any of their precious compensation picks.
And they'll be picking high again next year.
I'm not sure if the ownership will ever be willing to spend prospects to go all the way rather than just let the top guys leave and bring in the new recruits.

Boston is doing its thing. They swept the Yankees, dumped Devers tailspinned for a while and then swept the Rays.
If anything a tough AL East is better for the Jays than just having to fight off the Yankees.

After firing the GM, the Nats make a seemingly random choice for first overall.
The Angels go for the pitcher who's closer to the majors.

Holliday to the Rockies with the 4th pick. Fans there must be really happy.
Cubs picked a guy coming out of shoulder surgery.
The Mariners got Kade Anderson with the 3rd pick. They were lucky in the lottery.
I expect Dipoto to trade some pitching prospects to improve his team's offense.
mathesond - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 09:22 AM EDT (#463598) #
Funnily enough, the one thing about Cook that reminded me of Alford was that since started out as a pitcher, he didn't commit to hitting/OF full-time right away. Well, that and the athleticism.
Marc Hulet - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 09:44 AM EDT (#463599) #
The Cook pick might save them some slot $$$...
hypobole - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 09:58 AM EDT (#463601) #
They've tried to draft a speedy CF many times before and it has never panned out.

How many times? Dasan yes. Cam Eden 6th round 177th. Who else?
lexomatic - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 10:33 AM EDT (#463602) #
Question is, does 6'3 mean room for power growth. Maybe not a ton, but some.

"Get him to Kevin Kiermaier ASAP."

And Raines. Seriously. Learn as much about base stealing / getting on base as Raines can teach.

Is the K rate hand-eye coordination/ fouling stuff off? Is it holding back on swings (room for power?) Is it low chase/low swing?
hypobole - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 10:39 AM EDT (#463604) #
I already alluded to one factor for the low K rate - quality of competition. I watched a short clip of his highlights. About half of them were bunts, which will bring the K rate down.
hypobole - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 11:10 AM EDT (#463605) #
I want to mention a pet peeve, something a number of us, including myself, have done. Listing one sites evaluation as gospel.

A kid got drafted by the Rockies at 74. Pipeline ranked him 34. What a steal! Or maybe not. FG ranked him 117th. Profile shows the dichotomy. Great junior season. Big 12 player of the year. 17% K rate. Was not good at wood bat Cape. K rate spiked to 25% this season. How much should each of these factor into an evaluation? Seems the junior season success swayed Pipeline, while the wood bat/present season struggles highly influenced FG. Rockies seem to have split the difference.

One point Gerry made here years ago applies. Pretty well every team passed on him at least once relative to Pipelines evaluation. That just makes it highly likely their evaluation was wrong.
Gerry - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 11:51 AM EDT (#463609) #
Good point hypobole. I also see articles saying this team did really well and this other team was a puzzle. Does anyone go back in five years to see if the great draft really panned out....I don't think so.

The draft has such a low hit rate that you just need one or two unexpected guys to play well to have a great draft, but is it luck or skill? Gage Stanifer was a 19th round pick, did the Jays pick him because of skill or luck? I will agree there is some skill involved as some evaluators have a long track record of success but there is luck too.

Bottom line, I tend not to get too excited until the players have at least a half season of performance.
scottt - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 12:28 PM EDT (#463620) #
Generally, Baltimore has drafted very well. Boston has done well also.
The Yankees mostly do well in the international draft but they manage to find talent here too.
Tampa hasn't impressed recently.
Brandon Lowe, 3rd round.
Josh Lowe 13th overall.
Nathaniel Lowe, 13th round.
Good record on drafting Lowes, but lots of duds lately.
greenfrog - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 12:31 PM EDT (#463621) #
I agree. I mostly tune out the “winners and losers” commentary. It takes time to evaluate the strength of a particular draft class. I do find it interesting to read the various scouting reports on the players selected.
John Northey - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 01:20 PM EDT (#463627) #
Drafts are a very long term thing - if you look back Gillicks were far better than they seemed, as he flopped in round 1 often, but found massive gems later (Stieb, Wells, Key, Kent, etc.). JPR's seemed meh at the time but in retrospect were terrible (2008 had 0.8 net WAR for example). Aaron Hill is really the only big success he had in a decade of drafting. Ash's were amazing in round 1 but he failed to do anything with it. Atkins had a strong '16 (Bo & Biggio), but poor ever since - with luck Nimmela and Yesavage will make his later drafts look good but the 17-21 drafts I can't imagine will ever work out to look even decent.
scottt - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 01:35 PM EDT (#463634) #
I doubt Atkins is involved much in the drafts.
This is the first draft of scouting director Marc Tramuta, who was the Mets scouting director.
Tramuta worked with Shane Farrell in drafting Yesavage, Stephen and King.
They were also involved in last year's trade deadline acquisitions.
Tramuta drafted Jarred Kelenic, Brett Batty, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Kevin Parada, Jett Williams, David Peterson and Kumar Rocker.
He also picked Mark Vientos, Tylor Megill, Simeon Woods-Richardson and J.T. Ginn.

They hired Shane Farrell early in 2020. 

Previous drafts were done by Steve Sanders who followed Ben Cherington to Pittsburgh.
metafour - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 01:37 PM EDT (#463635) #
2017 produced Davis Schneider. Ryan Noda was the second piece in the Ross Stripling trade. Kevin Smith was the second piece in the Matt Chapman trade. Nate Pearson obviously developed into an elite prospect, but never put it together at the MLB level. Even still, he returned Pinango who himself is an interesting prospect.

2018 produced Addison Barger. This looks like a potential All-Star talent.

2019 did produce Alek Manoah who despite injury/derailing has still produced 5.5 fWAR to date and a Cy-Young contending season. Spencer Horwitz also came out of the 2019 draft.

2020 was the 5-round COVID draft which sucked, but they still flipped Martin for Berrios. Nick Frasso was also a hyped prospect from this draft, who they traded for Mitch White in what was supposed to be a Stripling-esque trade (which didn't work out).

2021 is still hanging on Ricky Tiedmann's recovery. Gunnar Hoglund was the primary piece in the Matt Chapman trade and has reached the majors for Oakland.
scottt - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 01:46 PM EDT (#463638) #
The problem with the Sanders drafts is some of the early rounds were questionable.

2016: Zeuch, Woodman
2017: Warmoth, Danner
2018: Groshans, Connine, Kloff
2019: Kendall Williams, Dasan Brown

I find it very hard to give much credit for drafting Horwitz in the 24th round. If they thought he was a future MLBer, they would have drafted him earlier.


metafour - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 02:01 PM EDT (#463639) #
But now we're arguing semantics. We're talking about players of value that were drafted and developed. Horwitz qualifies considering that he produced nearly 2 fWAR last season in under 100 games played and was then traded for a legitimate MLB player who himself has had a 6 fWAR and 4 fWAR season (Gimenez).

Does Boston get credit for drafting Mookie Betts in the 5th round? Why didn't they draft him in the 1st round? Clearly they got lucky as they passed on him how many times before finally taking him?

Bringing up Kendall Williams is silly. He pitched just 16 innings for our system before being traded for Stripling. Stripling was a key acquisition who put up a 3 fWAR season for this team. Why should I care that the Dodgers didn't develop Williams into anything? At the time of that trade everyone was scared shitless that the Dodgers fleeced us for an elite pitching prospect, so Williams clearly had value.

If you draft and develop a player who then becomes an interesting enough prospect that he is flipped for an above-average MLB season(s) of production, then it was a successful pick.
Michael - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 02:56 PM EDT (#463641) #
"If you draft and develop a player who then becomes an interesting enough prospect that he is flipped for an above-average MLB season(s) of production, then it was a successful pick."

Agree 1000%. The goal of the draft picks is to get ML talent (especially surplus ML talent - I.e., worth more than the salary) and it doesn't matter if the talent is the people you drafted or the people you trade the drafted people for (be it traded for other teams prospects that become ML talent or traded for actual ML talent).

If you view it that way AA's drafting was very good since he was able to trade lots of the prospects mid-way through their development (most as they were about to flop, a few that did reach the ML) for better ML talent and/or prospects.

But similarly if we trade a bunch of our prospects for a #1 ace, it will not matter if those prospects flame out or end up as borderline ML talent or end up as HOF ML talent they will have been hits for us.
John Northey - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 03:14 PM EDT (#463646) #
The challenge sometimes in evaluating a draft is how much was raw talent (or lack thereof), and how much was bad development (another part of the organization), or just old bad luck. For an example of bad luck you have Augie Schmidt - fractured wrist at some point, his career collapsed after that - 790 OPS year one, 696 year two when it happened iirc, 607 year 3, traded as part of the deal for Gary Lavelle pre-1985.

So technically even Schmidt was useful as he was part of getting a key reliever for that '85 team. If you mix in trades/etc. then it becomes very hard to evaluate drafts which is why I tend to go the easy way of "what did that player actually do as a ML'er". For a full evaluation you do need to mix in trade value and the like. Kendall Williams (and Ryan Noda) being traded for Stripling was important to the Jays efforts in 20-22 (2 playoffs and 1 near miss). The fact Williams never reached the majors (peaked with 1 game in AAA) and Noda had 1 good year then a 38 OPS+ ever since (156 PA) also is irrelevant for the Jays - for the Jays the 2 of them produced a solid starter for 2022 and decent swing man for 20/21 worth a total of 3.7 WAR during a key time in Jays history (without him they don't make the 2022 playoffs I suspect given the 24 starts he made would've been made by lord knows who - Mitch White had 8 starts for that team after all with a 50 ERA+).

I see later picks as a sign of a strong scouting department - they looked at marginal guys and saw what was there, and what wasn't (thus pushing them down past the top few rounds) and said 'yeah, that won't be a problem' and 'that can be expanded on' leading to stuff from Dave Stieb (an OF when drafted in the 5th round, then became a WOW pitcher) to useful parts like Spencer Horwitz (24th round) who developed while here. Heck, Mike Piazza - a HOF catcher - wasn't drafted until the 63rd round, and then only as a favor to the teams HOF manager who was his godfather. You still need to give credit to the GM/team that drafted these guys as they decided not to skip over them but to take a shot at them, and then to the development team that worked with the kid to build him up so he could succeed. And of course, the player himself who did all the work and listened to the right people.
scottt - Monday, July 14 2025 @ 05:02 PM EDT (#463656) #
I guess your valuation of Stripling is different than mine.
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