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While procrastinating writing my A's column, I spent some time flipping through my newly-arrived 2004 Baseball Prospectus, looking for nothing in particular. And "nothing in particular" really means "anything," and "anything," as any fan of The Zero Effect can tell you, is much easier to find than "something." Or such and such, blah blah blah.

So what did I find, you ask? Well, many things, but for now I'll stick to one. Reading the comments for Detroit's Chris Mears, I learned that 50 players had five saves or more in the major leagues in 2004, which struck me as a bit odd. Not the amount of players saving five games or more, but that Mears was one of them, because I thought the Tigers only won four games all year. OK, so the Tigers are an easy target and saves are a generally meaningless statistic; taken at face value, saves don't tell us much about a pitcher's talents. But what the heck, it's a fun stat, and let's not drift down the path of statistical elitism. So, with "saves" in mind, here's my semi-daily, but really semi-monthly, question for Da Box: who will lead the Blue Jays in saves this year, and how many will he have?

My money, such as it is, falls on … Justin Speier, with 24. If I'm wrong, Speier at least will lead the team in most consecutive vowels in their surnames, which is not yet a real statistic, or even a fantasy one, though we all hope it will be soon. The prize for this sweepstakes, as in the "How much playing time will Alexis Rios get?" game, is once again my enduring love.

(Editor's note: Rules and regulations forbid any Blue Jays employees from entering these fantabulous Gizzi contests. So if Keith Law or J.P. or anybody else has inside info, keep it to yourself. And by "keep it to yourself," I mean pass it on to me in private, because I've got some fantasy leagues I want to win.)
February ennui, in March | 17 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
_JackFoley - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 04:43 AM EST (#76398) #
Qui-Lo with 34.
Pistol - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 08:08 AM EST (#76399) #
Hey, the 500,000 barrier was crossed!

I hope it's Speier (cause I have him at $2!) but for some reason I think that Terry Adams will end up with the most at 27.
_David Goodwin - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 08:18 AM EST (#76400) #
Lopez with 24
_MatO - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 08:26 AM EST (#76401) #
Has Terry Adams pitched this spring? If no, why not?
Mike Green - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 09:00 AM EST (#76402) #
Lopez with 27.
Craig B - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 10:09 AM EST (#76403) #
Terry Adams has started throwing but has not pitched. He is dealing with the aftereffects of his elbow surgery. The surgery was minor (to remove "loose bodies" in the joint) but Adams and the team are being understandably careful.

He threw batting practice earlier this week, and will be pitching very soon, possibly by the weekend!
_Mick - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 10:27 AM EST (#76404) #
Ugueth Urbina, signed in early July, with 18. (File this under "Looking to add a little variety to the guesses." And the previous sentence was not an endorsement of Bob File.)
Gerry - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 10:36 AM EST (#76405) #
Speier with 18
Coach - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 10:43 AM EST (#76406) #
Adams called the surgery his "500-game tuneup."

Two weeks ago, I was pretty sure Speier was the guy; lately it seems like they might try Lopez first. Justin is very intense, while Aquilino appears unflappable, which Tosca may prefer. My hope is that whoever gets the first save will keep the job all year, and end up with 40 of the things. Prediction? When's the deadline? Let's just say I'm glad the BBFL draft isn't tonight.
_Simon - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 10:49 AM EST (#76407) #
I gotta say I'm leaning toward Lopez as the regular. Let's give him 20 saves, and say the rest will be split amongst the others.
_superdevin - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 11:42 AM EST (#76408) #
i'll say lopez with 31.
_Donkit R.K. - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 03:38 PM EST (#76409) #
Lopez, and I'll go out on a limb and say 38 ;-)
_Harry Heatherin - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 04:37 PM EST (#76410) #
Jose Mesa - 29 (you heard me!)
_WillRain - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 06:51 PM EST (#76411) #
'Lino Lopez.

I was going to say 31 but it got taken so I'll say 30
_Rob - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 07:14 PM EST (#76412) #
Speier, 16.
Craig B - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 10:06 PM EST (#76413) #
Justin Speier becomes the team's new star with 39 saves and an All-Star appearance.
Gitz - Thursday, March 11 2004 @ 11:44 PM EST (#76414) #
Wait, Harry, Jose Mesa? JOSE MESA??? If the Jays go the Proven Closer route -- which they won't -- one would expect them to look at UUU, not Mesa, who hasn't been effective in two years. On the other hand, I did say that Keith Foulke would save 55 games last year, so perhaps I'm not the authority on saves I've never claimed to be.
February ennui, in March | 17 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.