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Jordan Bastian reports that the Blue Jays have signed Ben Weber to a minor league contract and have invited him to spring training.

Weber made it to the majors late in his career at age 30. He moved to the Angels in 2001 and had three outstanding years before struggling with injuries the past two seasons.

Here are some of Weber's career stats:

Year Ag Tm	IP	SO	BB	HR	ERA+
2000 30 TOT	22.7	14	6	0	74
2001 31 ANA	68.3	40	31	4	139
2002 32 ANA	78.0	43	22	4	171
2003 33 ANA	80.3	46	22	7	158
2004 34 ANA	22.3	11	15	4	57
2005 35 CIN	12.3	8	9	0	55
Total	       284.0	162	105	19	118

Weber will compete for a bullpen spot in the seemingly full bullpen. If he regains his prior form the Jays will surely find a spot for him on the roster. If he doesn't bounce back it costs the Jays next to nothing. Low risk with some upside - you have to like that.

I don't know who the next player signed to a minor league contract will be, but if the current trend holds it'll be a player wearing goggles.

An interesting bit of trivia about Weber - the Jays drafted him in the 20th round of the 1991 draft.

Thanks to Exit and Huckamaniac for pointing the signing out.

Jays Sign Ben Weber To Minor League Contract | 90 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
MatO - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 04:30 PM EST (#139495) #
Just noticed at rotoworld that Justin Miller has signed a minor-league deal with the Devil Rays. Haven't seen it mentioned anywhere.
John Northey - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 04:31 PM EST (#139496) #
Seems he is coming home...

Via BaseballReference.com

June 3, 1991: Drafted by the Toronto Blue Jays in the 20th round of the 1991 amateur draft

Little bit of cheap insurance that probably won't pay off, but doesn't hurt.
VBF - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 05:25 PM EST (#139504) #
I can't remember if I mentioned it before, but Josh Phelps has signed a minor league contract with the Tigers.

And to think that Tony Batista has an MLB job...
david wang - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 05:35 PM EST (#139505) #
He could be an excellent reliever in the pen, at least he's decent insurance. Another one of the FORMER best set-up guys in the league.
R Billie - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 06:20 PM EST (#139513) #
At 36 with two poor seasons behind him, Weber is very much a long shot. Likely just injury insurance.

Frankly, I would rather that the Jays kept Miller. He's still in his 20's and has a chance of becoming a Weber like pitcher when Weber was still throwing well.
Lefty - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 08:48 PM EST (#139519) #
Ben Weber eh. I hope he pitches well in spring and gets a call-up during the season.

He wears great specs and has about the the funniest funky wind-up of any pitcher I ever seen.

He's a blast to watch.
Gerry - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 08:57 PM EST (#139520) #
In other minor league news the Jays released several players recently. They are:

Acey, Jermy
Badger, Graig
Bernhard, Marshall
Cannon, Ed
Grant, Brian
Grijalva, Jonathon
Cordero, Octavio
Pérez, Juan
Reinoso, Ezemir
Sánchez, Raymon

Each year the Jays draft or sign about 40 players so logically 40 have to go out. Some leave as free agents, although the Jays sign their share of them too, and others are released. In most cases this is the end of the road, the end of a dream. It's time to look for a job.

Most of these players never made it past short season ball. Two of the more highly regarded were Brian Grant and Jermy Acey. Grant was a high school pick of the Jays but never developed past his fastball. Grant will likely sign elsewhere as a free agent as Grant was frustrated with his inability to be promoted within the Jats system. Acey had a good 2004 but was injured for most of 2005 and was passed by others in the system.

Best wishes to all these players.
VBF - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 09:08 PM EST (#139522) #

The Legacy Continues...




And now...

andrewkw - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 09:16 PM EST (#139523) #
I hope Weber pitches the year and comes up in september so we can see his delivery again. If all goes well he won't be needed during the season but as already mentioned he's a great guy to watch pitch. To me he always looked mad.
timpinder - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 09:20 PM EST (#139525) #
The Jays signed Weber as insurance with nothing to lose, so obviously I have no problem with it. But other than the fact that he's 5'10" and 27 years old, could somebody tell me what is wrong with Lee Gronkiewicz????

Here are his total minor league numbers according to www.baseballcube.com:
249.1 IP
2.38 ERA
1.22 WHIP
257 K
85 BB

In AAA last year:
2.22 ERA
1.20 WHIP
9.28 K/9

There's been talk of Marcum, McGowan, League, and now Weber competing with Walker and Chulk for a spot in the bullpen, but I have not seen the name "Gronkiewicz" outside of the minor league affiliate stats page on www.bluejays.com.

Hasn't Frasor proved to J.P. that being "short" does not necessarily mean that you can't be a productive major league pitcher?

If anyone has some insight as to why Gronk appears to be out of the picture, I'd be interested to hear it.
timpinder - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 09:28 PM EST (#139528) #
By the way, he's accumulated 113 saves in the minors, including 30 saves between AA and AAA last year, and the highest his ERA has EVER been is 3.03.
melondough - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 09:28 PM EST (#139529) #
Speaking of adding bullpen depth, it appears Tavarez has signed with the Red Sox for 2 years and $6.7 million.

I think this is a good signing for the Sox. If nothing else, Tavarez is a nasty pitcher. Nasty as in "I'm gonna throw inside and if you arn't quick enough to get out the way then its Gods will". I strongly dislike this guy. I will be the first to predict some fireworks between either the Jays and Yankees this yr sparked by Tavarez.

A bit more off topic but I have to say that I think he comes in 2nd to Randy Johnson as baseball ugliest player. By far, Ron Washington was the funniest looking player..his hair cracked me up. Favourite name had to be Billy Joe Robbado (spelling?).
Mike Green - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 09:35 PM EST (#139531) #
It's Robidoux to you.
GeoffAtMac - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 10:21 PM EST (#139535) #
Ed Cannon is not the same guy as Chip Cannon - right?
GeoffAtMac - Wednesday, January 11 2006 @ 10:25 PM EST (#139536) #
Never mind. The Baseball Cube shows Edward J. Cannon to be a completely separate person from Chip Cannon. Phew!
jamesq - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 12:41 AM EST (#139540) #
This is offtopic- however, I was just thinking (and it hurts) that overall I'm pretty excited about JP's moves this offseason, but I am cautious about this team's chances of winning a playoff spot for one reason-character, as this team has yet to play meaningful late season games.

Who are going to be the guys to step it up in the gritty pressure games against the Yanks, Sox, etc.

Pitching-I am confident that Halladay will meet the challenge. Burnett and Ryan are unknown to me as I've yet to see them pitch in pressure situations.

Zaun is a natural hardnosed leader. R. Johnson and Hillenbrand have the grit, and Glauss, though I've yet to watch him play regularly, has won a Series MVP, so that gives me some hope; but the rest of the crew, including Wells (Wells disappointed me last year-with Delgado gone it was his team to lead, and in my opinion, I don't think he led) will have to prove themselves to be gamers. That being said, Hudson and Koskie (even though Koskie was a minor contributor last year, he was signed because of his leadership qualities and playoff experience) will surely be missed for their leadership abilities and other intangibles.

Contrast this with the Yanks: Rivera, Jeter, Williams, Posada, Sheffield, Matsui, Damon and Johnson, all have proven they can win big games.

I think the Jays will have to get experience playing meaningful games in 2006, and maybe 2007, before they take the next step. To speed up the process they should try and acquire some experienced players like they did in 92 and 93 with Jack Morris, Molitor, Stewart and Winfield.
Oleg - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 03:53 AM EST (#139542) #
absolutely. i couldn't agree more. well put!!! veteran presence is one of the things i think j.p. just doesn't understand fully. its what seperates him from the really good gm's like shapiro and beane in my opinion. i know we have a 1b/dh logjam but i still think eric karros would be a perfect fit for this team, if for nothing else than mentor/2nd hitting coach.
rtcaino - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 04:09 AM EST (#139543) #
I agree. Jeter is so clutch. We need more born winners.
Nick - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 08:42 AM EST (#139545) #
How come when people talk about Jack Morris as a big game pitcher do they leave out 1992 with Toronto? He was a collective 0-3 in that postseason with a 6.57 ERA in the ALCS and a 8.44 ERA in the World Series.
Hodgie - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 09:07 AM EST (#139546) #

absolutely. i couldn't agree more. well put!!! veteran presence is one of the things i think j.p. just doesn't understand fully. its what seperates him from the really good gm's like shapiro and beane in my opinion. i know we have a 1b/dh logjam but i still think eric karros would be a perfect fit for this team, if for nothing else than mentor/2nd hitting coach.

Oleg, to deride JP for not acquiring players of Karros' ilk is in my opinion absurd. Have you not seen what Karros did (or more appropriately) did not do for Beane and the A's in 2004? Wasting roster spots for "veteran leadership" is foolish if the players can no longer perform in any capacity. The players mentioned before hand were HOF's still performing at a very high level (with the possible exception of Morris).

I would also like to know what constitutes veteran presence in your opinion? The last time I looked, Troy Glaus had a World Series ring and MVP trophy, AJ Burnett (although injured at the time) has a WS ring from the Marlins, and Overbay and Ryan are hardly rookies?

Mike Green - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 09:22 AM EST (#139548) #
How come when people talk about Jack Morris as a big game pitcher do they leave out 1992 with Toronto? He was a collective 0-3 in that postseason with a 6.57 ERA in the ALCS and a 8.44 ERA in the World Series.

Hall Watch turns its gaze to Morris next, and I promise that the 1992 post-season, along with the good moments in his career, will not be forgotten.
dan gordon - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 09:55 AM EST (#139551) #
In the 1992 post season, the Blue Jays played 12 games. Morris started 4 of them. In the 8 games that anybody but Morris started, the Blue Jays were 8-0. In the 4 games that Morris started, they were 0-4.

I remember hearing Jack interviewed before his 4th post season start that year, and he jokingly said that the Braves have a chance to win because he was pitching. I thought he was actually right on the money.
Nick - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 10:30 AM EST (#139553) #
Hodgie - Oleg was being facetious.
Mick Doherty - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 10:31 AM EST (#139554) #
Contrast this with the Yanks: Rivera, Jeter, Williams, Posada, Sheffield, Matsui, Damon and Johnson, all have proven they can win big games.

Matsui doesn't belong on that list until he has a ring -- he does not. Sheffield got one in FLorida and Unit in Arizona (and Damon of course in Boston) but four of the eight players listed have not won a title with the Yankees ... and that's a different trick.

Hodgie - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 10:37 AM EST (#139555) #

If that is the case then my apologies Oleg.

VBF - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 10:49 AM EST (#139556) #
I agree. Jeter is so clutch. We need more born winners.

Exactly. The Jays should try and trade for Darcy Tucker. He has heart.

DepecheJay - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 11:45 AM EST (#139557) #
Forget Darcy Tucker or Eric Karros, J.P. needs to sign Tedy Bruschi. The man came back from a stroke. Did I mention he suffered a stroke?! Tedy Bruschi is the greatest human being to ever live and he could probably be a pretty damn good baseball player if he wanted to be one.

Did I mention he suffered a stroke?
Wildrose - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 11:49 AM EST (#139558) #
Canada's World Cup Classic team rounding into shape.
Blue in SK - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 01:00 PM EST (#139559) #
Blair's new blog is up, nothing to report on the trade or FA front. JP to sit down during ST with Doc and VDub to talk about extending their contracts.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20051101.wblai/BNStory/Sports/
Dan H - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 01:26 PM EST (#139562) #
I remember hearing Jack interviewed before his 4th post season start that year, and he jokingly said that the Braves have a chance to win because he was pitching. I thought he was actually right on the money.
Actually, I thought the quote was more along the lines that the Braves weren't going to win because they weren't going to be facing him from that point on.
MatO - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 01:59 PM EST (#139564) #
Dan, you are correct.
braden - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 03:30 PM EST (#139566) #
BA has their Jays Top 10 out.

1 Dustin McGowan
2 Ricky Romero
3 David Purcey
4 Adam Lind
5 Josh Banks
6 Casey Janssen
7 Brandon League
8 Francisco Rosario
9 Curtis Thigpen
10 Vince Perkins
Mike Green - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 03:42 PM EST (#139567) #
BA will be publishing the list tomorrow on their website, and we will have coverage. Please wait to comment until then.
Craig B - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 04:56 PM EST (#139570) #
A propos of nothing, I was trolling the archives looking for material for an article I'm writing last night and I came across what I wrote about Janssen the day he was drafted...

"My favorite Jays pick is Casey Janssen, the fourth-round pick, a RHP out of UCLA who has really blossomed into a superb pitcher since dedicating himself 100% to pitching. A very good pickup at that spot. "

I love myself when I'm right. :)
Glevin - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 05:36 PM EST (#139571) #
"Canada's World Cup Classic team rounding into shape."

I don't think Walker is much of a loss at this point, but we badly need Harden and Gagne.
Chuck - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 06:22 PM EST (#139572) #
The Baltimore Orioles have further distanced themselves from the Jays. They have signed Kevin Millar.
greenfrog - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 07:50 PM EST (#139575) #
Looks like three Jays prospects in the Baseball Analyst's top 75 (plus 25 honourable mentions--I guess that makes it a top 100 list): Romero (honourable mention), McGowan (65), Lind (61). They haven't done the top 25 yet, but I think it's safe to say that no Jays will make it into that tier. All three have pretty nice writeups.

http://www.baseballanalysts.com/
Nick - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 08:59 PM EST (#139577) #
Dayn Perry continues his assault on the Glaus-Hudson and Koskie trades:

http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/5235682

greenfrog - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 10:29 PM EST (#139579) #
Wow--a couple of these commentators (Joe Sheehan, Dayn Perry, sometimes Rosenthal) really have it in for the Jays. A few things Perry doesn't mention:

- Hill's impressive debut at 2B last season--his solid defence, athleticism, makeup, and offensive potential
- Hudson's subpar 2005 (and career) OBP
- Koskie's age and apparent decline at the plate last year
- Glaus's age (29)
- That Glaus put up very good offensive numbers last year *despite* nagging injuries--and can be expected to equal or surpass those numbers when healthy, especially at the RC
- The offensive chasm between the Red Sox/Yankees and the Jays last year--how utterly superior those teams were to the Jays in terms of power and OBP--and the necessity of closing that gap

Also interesting that Perry doesn't use any quantitative analysis--or quotes from respected scouts, analysts, or other commentators--to back up his arguments.

I'm not saying he's completely off-base. (I would rather the Jays had traded Hinske and Batista and acquired a first-rate outfielder--not necessarily in the same transaction.) I'm just not impressed with his simplistic analysis. Groundball pitching staff + trading Hudson and Koskie = third-place team without prayer of taking the flag? Come on.

Someone should archive these sound bytes; it might be fun to re-read if and when the Jays make it to the playoffs.
Michael - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 10:44 PM EST (#139580) #
Also interesting that Perry doesn't use any quantitative analysis--or quotes from respected scouts, analysts, or other commentators--to back up his arguments.

I'm willing to forgive him if he's right, and a number of people including the other people you mention have run the stats.

And it is pretty clear that the Jays are best bet for 3rd place.
Vegas Line on World Series Winner (as of Jan 6)

NYY - 3.5/1
Bos - 7/1
Tor - 17/1
Bal - 80/1
Tam - 100/1

ChW - 4.5/1
Cle - 12/1
Min - 30/1
Det - 70/1
KC  - 300/1

LAA - 10/1
Oak - 15/1
Tex - 50/1
Sea - 70/1


So Vegas sees the Jays chances as pretty darn small, and as a third place team [although I remember some online places in December pre all the trades and pitcher signings had us at 80/1].

I hope everything goes right for us and we do it, but I don't think that will happen soon.
HollywoodHartman - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 10:53 PM EST (#139581) #
Cinci has signed Mighty Mouse to a minor league contract.
jamesq - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 10:58 PM EST (#139582) #
Matsui doesn't belong on that list until he has a ring -- he does not.

Matsui won championships in Japan.


How come when people talk about Jack Morris as a big game pitcher do they leave out 1992 with Toronto? He was a collective 0-3 in that postseason with a 6.57 ERA in the ALCS and a 8.44 ERA in the World Series.

No question, Morris was horrendous in the postseason; however, he did win 20 games in 92 and had a certain swagger that came from being a winner that rubbed off on the team and helped it's confidence overall.

JohnL - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 11:13 PM EST (#139583) #

In the 1992 post season, the Blue Jays played 12 games. Morris started 4 of them. In the 8 games that anybody but Morris started, the Blue Jays were 8-0. In the 4 games that Morris started, they were 0-4.

Close, but not quite. Morris started game 4 of the ALCS, and while he did get hammered, the Jays won. Ask Dennis Eckersley. (I know, I was at that game). Jays lost game 5 with Cone starting.
greenfrog - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 11:30 PM EST (#139584) #
But did Vegas place Toronto ahead of Boston or NYY after the Overbay trade? My guess is that, if anything, Toronto's odds improved after the Glaus trade.

My argument with Perry is that his analysis is skewed: it only looks at part of the picture. If you're going to claim that the team is worse for having acquired Glaus, you need to consider both offense and defense, and look at the overall effect of the deal. Is the team better or worse off? To come up with an answer, you need to consider things like Hudson's anemic OBP, Hill's offensive and defensive potential, the respective ages of the players involved, salaries, the Jays' subpar 2005 offense (vis-a-vis their AL East competitors), and so on. For example, it's naive to think that a lineup of Adams/Cat/Overbay/Wells/Koskie/Hillenbrand/Hill/Zaun/Rios is good enough to win our division. But offensive mediocrity doesn't seem to figure into Perry's dream world, in which Overbay's doubles and opposing batters' groundouts (presumably by Damon, Jeter, A-Rod, Giambi, Ortiz, Ramirez, and the like) vault us into second or first place.

greenfrog - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 11:32 PM EST (#139585) #
Sorry, make that

Adams/Cat/Overbay/Wells/Koskie/Hillenbrand/Zaun/Hudson/Rios
Jonny German - Thursday, January 12 2006 @ 11:37 PM EST (#139587) #
My theory is that this is currently the "smart" thing to say, so everybody's rushing to say it. "The masses don't understand the importance of defense, but I do! Orlando Hudson will be the rightful MVP of the National League in 2005!"

Pah. Ya gotta score runs just as much as ya gotta prevent them. And it gets laughable when Perry nods at the offensive side of the equeation with "Glaus may provide the team with a modest offensive upgrade". That he may. But more likely he'll provide a huge offensive upgrade, not to mention that his acquisition results in an offensive upgrade at second base.
Anders - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 12:38 AM EST (#139588) #
Sports lines merely reflect bookmakers ideas on where the public thought is. They are not based in reality, and it's hardly a stretch of the imagination to think that the lines might be skewed towards the Yanks and Sox - 2 of the 4 most popular teams in baseball. The Jays betting line win total last year was something like 70, for crying out loud.

All the articles by Dayn Perry about the Jays seem to be extremely pessimistic, and I am turning on my Richard Griffin filter.
Ryan C - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 12:43 AM EST (#139589) #
I am really really struggling to understand this line:

"Also, Glaus last season, after correcting for the hitter-friendly nature of his home park, was roughly as valuable at the plate as Chone Figgins"

Now I understand that there is such a thing as park factor, but that just seems like quite a bit of hyperbole there.

Glaus: 538AB .258/.363/.522 37HR
Figgins: 642AB .290/.352/.397 8HR

That's some park factor. If you look at his 3 yr splits his numbers are almost identical in Arizona and Anaheim where he used to play and where (coincidentally) Figgins happens to play. Hillenbrand (who he also compares him to) played in Arizona for almost two years. How come he never put up numbers like that? I dont get it all, except that it's now the sexy thing to highly value defense.
King Ryan - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 01:33 AM EST (#139592) #
Hilarious that some of you are complaining about Perry now that he's criticising a Jays move. This guy has been the biggest American Jays' supporter all off season. Read some of his articles from before the Glaus trade; he was glowing about the Jays in about half of them.

Try this column, where he says:

"The Jays as presently constructed would probably win, say, the NL West by 10 games or so."

Or there's this article, where Perry calls the BJ Ryan signing the most sensible of all the reliever signings. (This after his colleague Rosenthal ripped into the Jays for that contract.)

Here's another quote from Perry, where he called the Jays the second best winner of the winter meetings:

"On an entirely different level, team ownership and GM J.P.Ricciardi have sent a message to Jays fans that the organization once again has a vision that extends beyond "cut payroll." If the Red Sox and Yankees regress much in 2006, Toronto will be right there."

But yep, now that he's critising a Jays move he obviously "has it in" for the Jays and should thus be deemed an axe-grinder and disregarded like Richard Griffin.

Petey Baseball - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 02:22 AM EST (#139596) #
King Ryan you hit the nail on the head.

I am one of the biggest J.P Ricciardi supporters out there, but some people on this site just continue to blindly support him. You are bashing the same sportswriter that complimented the Jays on the A.J. Burnett and B.J Ryan signing. Then as soon as this gentleman questions the motive of our General Manager, some people are critical of it.

Hey, I love Jape. He's a solid baseball man, and a great person well suited for the role. And he's doing a credible job as GM of the Jays. I just wish some people on this site (as well as people who are blindly critical of all his moves ie Richard Griffin) take a more fair and balanced approach to it.
Michael - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 03:39 AM EST (#139599) #
I am really really struggling to understand this line:

"Also, Glaus last season, after correcting for the hitter-friendly nature of his home park, was roughly as valuable at the plate as Chone Figgins"


Let me help you out:

2005 VORP for Chone Figgins: 39.1
2005 VORP for Troy Glaus: 45.4

A difference of 6.3 runs which is about half a win. I think that counts as roughly as valuable.

Now admitedly this is more becuase Figgins is good than because Glaus was horrible at hitting, but still they are in the same ballpark.

Anders - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 03:47 AM EST (#139600) #
The Richard Griffin Filter (TM) just means taking things with a grain of salt. Such as:

"Also, Glaus last season, after correcting for the hitter-friendly nature of his home park, was roughly as valuable at the plate as Chone Figgins — a good player but not the quasi-superstar the Jays may think they're getting."

Now, maybe someone who's a bit smarter at these kind of things can look into this. But from the kind of stuff I can find, this doesnt seem like an apt comparison. I dont have all the 3 year park adjustment figures, but it doesnt seem as if Chone is hurting particularly.

This site has the 2004 park factors from the 2005 Bill James handbook - both Angel Stadium and Bank One Ballpark play as hitters parks - Glaus benefits a fair bit for right handed home runs, BA is a wash, and BOB has more runs.

http://www.sportfanatics.net/Baseball/Fantasy%20Baseball/2005/2005_Baseball_Stadium_Statistics.htm

baseballreference.com has Glaus' 2005 park adjusted OPS+ at 120, Chone's is at 103. From THT, Glaus' gpa is .280 to .267 (albeit not PA, I think) and this is despite Chone's benefitting on BABIP, .334 to .287.

Glaus edges Figgins in Win Shares too (batting), 19.6 to 16.2, with 80ish fewer plate appearences.

It's not that I think that Perry is biased, or stupid. I just disagree. Is the Glaus trade the best thing to happen to the Jays since the world series? No. Is the way he presented the trade represent the way I see it? No.

It's not like Koskie is Brooks Robinson or anything. He had a poor time playing defense in 2005. So did Glaus. In the past, Koskie has been a quite good defensive 3b, while Glaus has been about average. Last year Glaus was horrible. Will he rebound? Well, if he recovers from his knee problem, which he's supposed to, then yes. Will Koskie recover? He's 32, and has begun a steady spiral of injuries that we all know about. Is Glaus going to be a much, much better hitter than Koskie in 2006? I think thats a pretty safe bet.



Named For Hank - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 08:25 AM EST (#139604) #
Gentlemen, I see something that really bugs me in this thread.

A number of posters have suggested that Perry's analysis is poor, citing the reasons they think he's off-base in his current article (he neglects Hill's abilities at 2B; Arizona and Anaheim had very similar park factors; he's overrating Koskie's defense; etc).

To respond to this argument with something akin to "you're just a J.P. lover" is well below the level of dialogue we strive for at Batter's Box.

You are completely free to openly disagree with another poster's opinion. However, when they are backing up their opinion with something, the onus is on you to either take down their support or show that it is irrelevant. To attack their character and pretend that this makes their argument go away is little league, at best. That kind of "dialogue" belongs somewhere else where it can lead to it's natural conclusion: "you're a moron" vs. "no, you're a moron".

I would normally contact the posters privately about this, but I've seen enough of it lately that I thought we could all use a reminder about it. This is not a particularly offensive case of this kind of arguing, it's just the straw that broke the camel's back. Sorry to single you guys out in this thread.
mp - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 08:56 AM EST (#139605) #
Since I cannot hope to compete with the detailed baseball knowledge on this site, can I offer the following (trivial) thought which occurred to me on the way to work this morning?

The last 2 world series champions have had colours in the name of the team. Further more, complete the following sequence: red, white and ----. Surely that has to mean something!
Pistol - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 09:02 AM EST (#139606) #
“My theory is that this is currently the "smart" thing to say, so everybody's rushing to say it.”

I think that’s part of it as well as trying to say something different (which may be the same thing). It’s funny, five years ago you would have heard next to nothing about a player’s defense from the analytical community when a move was made. Now it comes up all the time, especially in light of most people whiffing badly on the White Sox this season. Which is a good thing – the total package should be looked at. The problem is that defense is so tough to measure. Maybe not so much at the extremes like Hudson but for example you can find measures that say Koskie was both above average and below average at 3rd last year.
3RunHomer - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 09:09 AM EST (#139607) #
Re: Gronkiewicz

There may be a prejudice against "short" pitchers. Weren't the Astros exploiting that for a few years? Wagner and Oswalt are 5'11" and 6'.

There's DEFINITELY a prejudice against minor league relievers with a little age on them. There are a bunch of guys in Bronk's age range in the minors with excellent stats in relief: Stephen Andrade, Jeff Bajenaru, Brad Baker, Jeff Bennett, Chris Booker, Mike Burns, Chris Cooper, Vic Darensbourg, Kane Davis, ... and that's only through the D's. They all have excellent MLEs (as presented in the 2006 Baseball Forecaster) with high-strikeout rates. Craig Dingman is their hero -- he got a shot at age 32 last season and went 2-3, 4 saves, 3.66 era in 32 innings with Detroit.

A team that was really serious about "moneyball" might want to take a dip into this big pool of undervalued talent. You could pick up as many as you want for about 50 cents.
Leigh - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 09:13 AM EST (#139608) #
As usual, NFH is right.

I think that what is bothering people the most is that we fear that there may be some truth to what Perry is saying, certainly regarding Hudson's defence.

On the great fig debate:

Player     RC/27   PF   AdjRC/27
T. Glaus   6.60    104     6.47
C. Figgins 4.90     96     5.00
More Importantly:
C. Koskie  4.55    102     4.52

What I cannot use stats to demonstrate is the defensive difference between Koskie v2006 and Glaus v2006. And frankly, any person who tells you that he can authoritatively quantify that difference is either ill-informed or trying to pull a fast one on you. Unless it's Billy Beane.

Ryan Day - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 09:20 AM EST (#139610) #
As I said in another thread, the Jays are unlikely to miss Koskie too much because they only ever had him for half a season - Hillenbrand and Hill combined for 84 starts at third, while Koskie only made 74.

Interestingly, Geoff Baker weighs in on the trade and is less critical of dumping Koskie than he is of signing him for so much in the first place.

Mike Green - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 09:30 AM EST (#139613) #
One thing that all the defensive measures (from David Gassko's Range to BP's FRAR and Rate to Win Shares) agreed upon was that Russ Adams' defensive performance last year was not acceptable, and in fact among the worst in baseball. Despite this, the team defence was, again according to all measures, significantly above average, thanks to superb defence from Hudson and very good defence from the outfield led by Wells and Rios.

If Russ improves, the team defence will be all right in 2006, and the Glaus trade will probably work out OK. If he does not, John McDonald will see a lot of time at short and the trade will be a net negative, as the option of replacing Adams with Hill at short has effectively been foreclosed.

JP personally scouted first round pick Adams (and Hill) thoroughly, and has, I guess, formed the opinion that Adams has the tools, motivation and discipline to improve defensively. I hope that he is right.

Chuck - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 09:58 AM EST (#139620) #
Wagner and Oswalt are 5'11" and 6'.

Those are their listed heights. Short players, pitchers especially, tend to get stretched to 6 feet tall when their height is being documented. Back in the day, I remember seeing Buck Martinez listed at 6 feet tall somewhere. Maybe if you round to the nearest foot, yeah. Maybe.

greenfrog - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 10:33 AM EST (#139625) #
I don't have an issue with writers criticizing JP. I've been quite skeptical of many of his moves myself. What I notice is that some writers get hold of a theory (eg the Jays' are overpaying for players, when they should be following some other (usually unspecified) approach to winning; or the Jays' infield defense is the key to their 2006 playoff hopes) and then get wedded to that theory. I've also been surprised by the intensity of the criticism: a few writers seem personal affronted at some of JP's moves.

I'm not criticizing Perry himself. Just the lack of analytical depth in his article--which may be uncharacteristic of him. I've been equally skeptical of a few of the "Here come the Jays!" articles this off-season, which seem to me more cheerleading than intelligent insight.
Ron - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 12:40 PM EST (#139636) #
From Baker "The Jays, as everyone should know by now, vastly outbid all comers for Koskie. That includes his former Minnesota Twins team, one that refused to offer Koskie more than two years and couldn't match Toronto's average annual wage."

That's incorrect. Koskie stated in an interview with the Team 1040 that the Dodgers offered more money than the Jays. He basically gave the Jays a home country discount.
alsiem - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 02:56 PM EST (#139641) #
I think an important element that is not being considered in the Glaus/Hudson trade is Hudson's salary.

Hudson's salary is about to explode and though that is still a season or two away, Hudson's trade value will decrease as his first FA season approaches.

I just don't think that the Jays wanted to pay $6 million for good defense.

Sell high.
King Ryan - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 03:13 PM EST (#139645) #
NFH, I did a ctrl-F for "J.P. Lover" and only came up with your post. I was just pointing out that Perry does NOT "have it in" for the Jays as one poster suggested and many others have implied.

But yes, IF somebody actually dismissed one's opinions by calling them a "J.P. lover," then that would indeed be bad. Almost as bad as dismissing Dayn Perry's opinion by saying he's just trying to "look cool."
King Ryan - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 03:17 PM EST (#139646) #
I think an important element that is not being considered in the Glaus/Hudson trade is Hudson's salary.

While salary is always important to take into consideration, I do not see this as a particularly valid arguement in this case. Have you seen what Troy Glaus makes? A hell of a lot more than 6 million, I'll tell you that. Even if the WCS happened in Arbitration, there isn't a chance in hell Hudson would get anywhere close to what Glaus makes. So trading him for Glaus because of "salary considerations" doesn't make sense.

Ryan C - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 03:34 PM EST (#139647) #
Well it does make sense if you believe Glaus is worth the money but Hudson isnt. Not saying this is the case, but it isnt necessarily true that money plays no part just because Glaus is more expensive.
Michael - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 03:52 PM EST (#139649) #
Well it does make sense if you believe Glaus is worth the money but Hudson isnt.

Even more you need to believe Glaus is currently worth the money in 2006 and will still be worth the money in 2007, 2008, and 2009.
King Ryan - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 03:53 PM EST (#139650) #
Mea culpa. I realize now that NFH actually used the word "akin" in his post. I missed that the first time, so sorry about that.

Nonetheless, I do not think that anybody in this thread is guilty of the kind of dialogue that you are accusing them of.
MatO - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 03:53 PM EST (#139651) #
At one point, Jeff Blair I think mentioned that negotiations with Hudson's agent were not going well. In other words the Jays thought he was asking for too much money.
greenfrog - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 03:54 PM EST (#139652) #
I stand corrected. Perry's previous articles have actually been quite positive about JP's moves earlier this off-season. His recent article, however, seems to me similar in tone to some of Sheehan and Rosenthal's (to say nothing of Griffin's) recent JP-bashing. They see the big contracts given to AJ and BJ, or the trading of Bush, Jackson, and Gross, or the Glaus deal, and they seem to see red. Each of these deals has come under fire (albeit not by Perry, until today). But they tend to be long on vitriol, short on context. What's interesting to me is that none of the commentators set out a coherent alternative to JP's approach.
alsiem - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 04:16 PM EST (#139653) #
The point that I was trying to make is that the Jays don't want to pay Hudson a lot of money for great defense, average offense.

Glaus'contract is huge and I think it will be regarded as a bad contact in future years but that is irrelevant to Hudson's worth. The Jays love Hudson at 2 million, not so much at 6 million (I've got that number from arb predictions). That fact has to be included in why thinking about why the Jays did this deal.

MatO - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 04:19 PM EST (#139654) #
Arnsberg was on the FAN with Swirsky. Nothing special was said except that Arnsberg is not a fan of the split-fingered pitch. He went into a detailed biomechanical explanation of how it puts strain on the pitching arm (at which point he lost me) while at the same time acknowledging that some "freaks" like Clemens do more than OK with it. I guess it goes to show you that the job of a pitching coach these days is more than "this is how you throw a curveball".
Mike Green - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 04:21 PM EST (#139655) #
$6 million in the 1st year of arbitration for Hudson? Do you have a source for that figure as a likely outcome, or even being asked for?
Named For Hank - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 04:33 PM EST (#139656) #
I was referring specifically to but some people on this site just continue to blindly support him (which suggests that the specifics in the previous posts are dismissable because of who posted them) more than your post, which simply dismissed arguments against Perry's conclusions by saying that he's written positive things about the Jays before.

Neither is good, really, though your point about Perry is valid -- that he's not a one-note Charlie like some of our friends out there -- but it doesn't lessen the specific objections to what Perry wrote. I was trying to be deliberately vague in order to not single anyone out, but I suppose that the flipside is that everyone feels singled out.
alsiem - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 04:37 PM EST (#139657) #
As I said in my first post, the Jays can't expect to keep Hudson until the very last year before FA and get as much in a trade.

$6 is where his salary will end up in his last year of arbitration.

I think 2+ for this year.
Jonny German - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 04:37 PM EST (#139658) #
I was just pointing out that Perry does NOT "have it in" for the Jays as one poster suggested and many others have implied.

I sure hope you're not talking about me here. I implied no such thing, I merely pointed out that Perry used gross exaggeration in trying to talk Glaus down.

If I read an article that's unfairly positive about the Jays, I don't point out the faulty logic. My opinion of the value of the writer as an analyst may fall, but I'm a Jays fan - and not one of those who revel in the inadequacies of his team rather than what's good about it. On the other hand, if I read something that's unfairly negative about the Jays, I'm likely to point out the faulty logic. Again, to me this is just part of being a fan of the team.

King Ryan - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 04:41 PM EST (#139659) #
I wasn't dismissing anything. Perry's arguments may or may not be valid, that's not the point. I was referring specifically to the comments that he (Perry) is an "extreme pessimist" who "has it in" for the Jays. I demonstrated that notion to be false.

Nowhere did I say, or even attempt to imply, that arguments against his latest article are invalid. I agree that his comments about Glaus being as good as Figgins are ridiculous. But to indicate that he's some kind of axe-grinder that just likes ripping the Jays is completely wrong and only started popping up because he criticized the Jays on one transaction.





King Ryan - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 04:48 PM EST (#139661) #
No Jonny, I wasn't talking about you.

If we need to be specific, I was referring to post #139579 in the first paragraph, and Greenfrog has already admitted his mistake. I also feel that Anders, in post #39588 was implying much the same thing, as well as several commenters in other threads.

Does this clear things up? :) I always get into so much trouble when I post --- I'm not trying to stir things up, honest!
Ryan Day - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 04:51 PM EST (#139662) #
Trading Hudson has less to do with Hudson making $X than it does with the fact that Aaron Hill can provide similar value for the minimum salary. In comparison, the Jays don't have a cheaper version of Troy Glaus available, so they've got to pay a lot of money for him.
Mike Green - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 05:01 PM EST (#139664) #
Speaking of Orlando Hudson, the D-Backs signed Brandon Webb to a 3 year contract extension today. Webb is a right-handed extreme groundball (3.99 G/F in 2005) pitcher, and having Hudson around helps him. It's a good plan for the park; the Snakes should be good in 2007-08, with the infusion of all that hitting talent.
John Northey - Friday, January 13 2006 @ 05:38 PM EST (#139667) #
Don't know if anyone else has noticed, but Frank Menechino is now a Cincinatti Red. He signed a minor league deal on Thursday.

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-reds-balfour&prov=ap&type=lgns
clark - Saturday, January 14 2006 @ 02:07 AM EST (#139693) #
Just an interesting note in a wild offseason. Has anybody been watching ESPN Classics lately? Jays and Phillies World Series - Total payroll of both teams.

77 Million.

mathesond - Saturday, January 14 2006 @ 02:16 AM EST (#139694) #
According to the D-Backs website,

"Webb will be receive $2.5 million this year, $4.5 million in 2007, $5.5 million in 2008, $6.5 million in 2009 and the club holds an $8.5 million option for 2010. If Arizona doesn't exercise the option, Webb will receive a $500,000 buyout."

Potentially $27.5M for 5 years. I think it's good deal for Webb - I have faith he'll pitch well enough to convince Arizona (or whomever is employer is at that time) to pick up the option - and a great deal for Arizona. I also think his deal makes for an interesting comparison vis-a-vis the deals Wells and Hinske signed. Assuming Webb's 5th year gets picked up, his deal is worth nearly twice what Vernon and Eric are pulling down, but he's also more of a known quantity. While no one would expect Hinske to get $27.5/5 after his 3rd season, Wells very well might have (If you disregard his brief appearances in 1999 and 2000, and consider 2003 his 3rd season), if not more. On the other hand, Arizona has Webb as a 'sunk cost' for 7 years, with an $8.5 million option for an 8th, that should the option kick in be worth around $28M for Webb's first 8 seasons. When Wells' current deal expires, he will have made around $15M his first 6 season - will a healthy Vernon command $13M over his year 7 and 8 seasons? (and what the heck, folks, adjust for inflation. Give me an inflation-adjusted $US+ value on both deals/potential earnings so I can compare across different eras. Indexing everything against 1977 dollars would be a nice Blue Jay-inspired touch)
Lefty - Saturday, January 14 2006 @ 03:21 PM EST (#139704) #
Note Craig Wilson has re-signed with the Pirates.

One year at $3.5
bladeofnoir - Saturday, January 14 2006 @ 07:07 PM EST (#139708) #
Why all the hoopla over Mr.Wilson anyway? Rios doesn't make half the money he does with more upside, on a team (now) that has more than enough pop to be patient with him finding his power.
einsof - Saturday, January 14 2006 @ 07:18 PM EST (#139709) #
Ken Rosenthal On Fox as of an hour ago--
The Blue Jays balked when the Pirates wanted outfielder Armando Rios for first baseman/outfielder Craig Wilson; Rios is five years away from free agency, Wilson one. The Pirates say they can afford to keep Wilson as a $3,5 million part-time player. Rival clubs are skeptical of that claim.

Perhaps the Rios camp can rest peacefully now.
Mick Doherty - Saturday, January 14 2006 @ 08:02 PM EST (#139710) #
Is that a legitimate cut and paste of the Rosenthal piece? He doesn't usually make mistakes like that -- Armando Rios, of course, last appeared in the bigs in 2003 with CHW.

I suppose Alex can rest easy in his future wehn people STOP calling him that.
Ron - Saturday, January 14 2006 @ 08:28 PM EST (#139711) #
http://tsn.ca/mlb/news_story.asp?id=150823

D-Rays trade Baez and Carter for Edwin Jackson and Chuck Tiffany.

Another Kazmir/Zambrano type trade on our hands?
Gwyn - Saturday, January 14 2006 @ 08:37 PM EST (#139712) #
Is that a legitimate cut and paste of the Rosenthal piece?

It is Mick. The piece is here. Rosenthal also has Todd Walker having a lifetime .789 OBP. Must have been the copy editors night off.

bladeofnoir - Saturday, January 14 2006 @ 09:46 PM EST (#139715) #
I hope I can rest peacefully now as I am a part of the Rios camp... he will live up to his "potential" label this year. Best move JR made this year was NOT trading Rios.
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