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The Dunedin Blue Jays currently have a 16-14 record and sit in third place of the West Division of the Florida State League. The D-Jays are 1.5 games of Fort Myers. In this monthly review we’ll recap seven Dunedin prospects that caught my eye and see what this month has revealed.




Danny Core, RP

0-0, 2.29 ERA, 19.2 IP, 12 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 17 K, 0.71 WHIP

Core is 24 and his time is quickly running out. It’s not out of the question for him to make the majors one day, but the odds are certainly against him. Core struggled last year at Lansing as a starter and was moved to the pen late in the season for Dunedin. He’s continued in that role this year and is pitching very well. If he continues to pitch like this at Dunedin he’ll got a promotion before too long, but he’ll need to pitch well in New Hampshire to prove himself as a prospect. His home run total and his four hit batters are the only negatives on his stat line, although they both matter less than his age.

Connor Falkenbach, RP

2-0, 2.77 ERA, 13 IP, 14 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 10 K, 1.23 WHIP

Falkenbach’s on here less for his prospect status and more because I have a soft spot for him, as I drafted him in a really really deep keeper league I used to be in, because I thought he was a legitimate prospect. He pitched three full years for the University of Florida, mainly in relief, and posted ERAs of 3.86, 3.34 and 3.15. He was a rare 43rd round pick who actually signs, but his status as a prospect is apparent in the fact he was a 43rd round pic in the first place. Falkenbach had a 1.38 ERA in 13 innings for Pulaski last year and has been the second-best arm out of the pen behind Core for Dunedin. I’m happy to see him doing well in the low minors, as he’ll always have this success to remember.

Ryan Klosterman, SS

.252/.303/.441, 111 AB, 28 H, 19 R, 6 2B, 5 HR, 7 BB, 30 K

Klosterman made it onto the “Rising and Falling” feature of the year-end minor league coverage as someone that fans should keep their eye on. The story is that Klosterman does a lot that becomes clear when one looks past his batting average. After spending last season at Lansing, Klosterman has struggled at Dunedin. His walk rate has fallen and he’s striking out a lot more than he has in the past. Not uncommon for a minor-league shortstop, he’s had a rough go in the field, making six errors. He’s continued his fine baserunning as he’s 5/5 in stolen base attempts and he’s displaying good power. However, unless he can get his batting average higher or display a better batting eye, his usefulness as a player will be limited.

Jesse Litsch, SP

2-3, 4.73 ERA, 32.1 IP, 36 H, 3 HR, 5 BB, 34 K, 1.27 WHIP

Litsch showed some promise last year with Pulaski and Auburn. He finished with a 2.85 ERA and a 74/16 K/BB ratio over 14 starts. One warning sign was that he did allow seven unearned runs to score, but Litsch only allowed 62 hits. The Jays were hoping the 21-year-old Litsch would continue his step forward this year and he was promoting aggressively, as he pitched 10 innings at Auburn and, in effect, skipped over both Auburn and Lansing. He’s not pitched incredibly well at Dunedin, but considering his age and the fact he’s been thrown into the deep end one has to be impressed. Litsch is allowing more hits than he did last year, but he still has a strong K/BB ratio. He leads the team in strikeouts and the only starter to allow less walks than him is 25-year-old non-prospect Brian Wolfe. A draft-and-follow, Litsch has put himself on the map and if he continues to hold his own at Dunedin it will be a successful year.

Dustin Majewski, OF

.269/.387/.387, 93 AB, 28 H, 15 R, 82B, 1 R, 18 BB, 14 K

The only regular at Dunedin to have more walks than strikeouts, Majewski is repeating High-A after putting up an .825 OPS for Stockton last year. He’s always possessed a pretty good batting eye, so it’s not a surprise that he’s doing well there, even if the BB/K ratio is going to fall from its current levels. The lack of homers is a concern, however. Majewski hit 20 last year for Stockton and he’ll need to display some power to keep pace with the more highly-regarded outfield prospects. His place on the organisational depth hart is apparent by the fact that he was asked to repeat a level despite a relatively successful year. He has played CF for Dunedin and has held his own, despite below-average range.

Ryan Patterson, OF

.283/.331/.469, 113 AB, 32 H, 20 R, 6 2B, 5 HR, 8 BB, 19 K

Patterson’s first full season will do a lot to determine whether the Box’s ranking of him as the #17 prospect in the system was too high, too low or just right. Patterson’s average has dropped about 50 points, which has caused his OBP to take a similar dive. His power has also dropped, quickly disappointing anybody who thought he might duplicate his .595 slugging percentage at Auburn. High-A will often bring players who dominate short-season ball down to earth and this is no exception. Patterson still has the 3rd-highest OPS on the team, behind two 24-year-old non-prospects in Josh Kreuzer and Ron Davenport, who failed his New Hampshire audition last year. He’s been holding his own, and that’s fine for a player’s first month in High-A.

Robert Ray, SP

2-2, 3.21 ERA, 28 IP, 30 H, 2 HR, 9 BB, 21 K, 1.39 ERA

Ray was ranked as the 25th best prospect in the Jays system at year’s end by Batter’s Box. It was speculated that he’d get a trip to Lansing as his reward, but the Jays bypassed that and promoted him to High-A. While there’s been no combined no-hitter yet this year, Ray has put up solid numbers for Dunedin. His numbers are comparable with Litsch, although he’s not striking out batters at the same rate. When one combines Ray, Litsch, Eric Fowler and Orlando Trias, who is currently in his first full-season in America, Dunedin has several starters worth tracking.

Dunedin: April Review | 7 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Anders - Tuesday, May 09 2006 @ 01:26 PM EDT (#146571) #

What a difference a couple of games can make. Patterson went from

.283/.331/.469, 113 AB, 32 H, 20 R, 6 2B, 5 HR, 8 BB, 19 K to

.323/.364/.581, 124 AB, 40 H, 25 R, 8 2B, 8 HR, 8 BB, 19 K

Not bad.


Casual Viewer - Tuesday, May 09 2006 @ 05:19 PM EDT (#146591) #

Just for fun I was looking at his line, 1.000/1.000/2.833 for an GPA of 1.158!

I was debating with a friend, whether only elite or great players have great individual performances like this.  Looking at baseballs major records, almost all are held by Hall of Famers, perhaps by definition.  I am not talking about records like amount of HBPs in a game or other externally influenced numbers, but individual performances.  Rollins never really had a chance at DiMaggio's hitting streak in my mind; it was inevitable he would fail.  Looking at Pujol's rookie season, and certain games by David Wright, Felix Hernandez you see them achieve something no one else comes close to. 

There is a huge difference between Aaron Mathews going 6 for 7 with 6 singles and Patterson hitting 3 HRs and 2 doubles.  My question is, do you think in any individual game a player can break out with numbers like Patterson, or does it take a special player to do something like that and is it predictive of future success?

Craig B - Tuesday, May 09 2006 @ 05:23 PM EDT (#146592) #

Falkenbach is a wild card, though, prospect-wise.  Yes, he is not a typical prospect (5-11 and 185 pounds for a RHP, four-year college player, throws in the low 80s, 43rd-round pick) but he is also a submariner, where all of those disadvantages count for much less.  I would not be surprised to see him move up and be effective because of his delivery.

Falkenbach is exactly like Colter Bean, only photocopied on the 80% setting.  Because he's not 6-6 like Bean, he doesn't have the same extreme "crossfire" effect to his delivery, but he's also a wildly effective soft-tossing, side-arming college reliver who eats innings and is very tough to hit.  There's a considerable prejudice against such guys in the majors but Bean has been a terrific pitcher for three straight years at AAA and if he weren't in the Yankees organization he might have found a place in a big-league bullpen by now.

flbball - Tuesday, May 09 2006 @ 09:11 PM EDT (#146599) #

Patterson is certainly one to watch.  While his physique isn't ideal, he has what the old timers called "moxie."  Moreover, I know its only high-A ball, but when I saw him in two games this year (Ft. Myers and Tampa), he was willing to play small ball, trying to lay down the bunt despite the power potential.

I know Davenport is not a true prospect, but he has had a few nice games of late.

As I mentioned in another post, I think Orlando Trias has real potential.  Realize in Venezuela he pitched in BIG TIME pressure situations and picked up wins against teams with 6 to 7 major leaguers on their roster (not all premium major leaguers, but major leaguers nonetheless).  He throws at least 4 effective pitches, tends to get a lot of ground outs, and seems mentally tough (you have to be to pitch in Caracas!!!!!).

I also will be watching Litsch.  I see a good year brewing for him.

 

Gerry - Tuesday, May 09 2006 @ 09:19 PM EDT (#146600) #

flb Ball, how about a scouting report on Trias.  What 4 pitches does he throw?

Why the good felling for Litsch?

FisherCatFan - Tuesday, May 09 2006 @ 09:29 PM EDT (#146601) #
Hello Everyone,
                          I finally uploaded the pictures of the Fisher Cats/Bowie Baysox twinbill from last Thursday the 4th. The Baysox took both games :( . The Fisher Cats had game two in hand, but some sloppy fielding lead to a few runs for the Baysox.

I plan on attending the game  this Thursday  versus the Sea Dogs when the Fisher Cats return home from their current road trip. Stay tuned for more snap shots.

Enjoy!

Any requests?



Mike Green - Tuesday, May 09 2006 @ 09:45 PM EDT (#146602) #
Thanks, Fisher Cat Fan.  There are some nice Chip Cannon shots and one Adam Lind shot in there.  It would be nice to have a shot of Curtis Thigpen throwing to second.
Dunedin: April Review | 7 comments | Create New Account
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