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The 2018 MLB Draft continues with rounds 3-10. The #BlueJays selected third baseman Jordan Groshans from Magnolia High School in Texas with the 12th pick and outfielder Griffin Conine from Duke with the 52nd selection.


The draft can be followed right here and the Jays draft tracker is here.
3rd round  - 88th overall - RHP Adam Kloffenstein, Magnolia HS (Texas) - Bats Right - 6-5, 220 lbs. Born August 25, 2000  Pick Value $652,900.

MLB.com Scouting Report

He kicked off the summer showcase last June with a strong two-inning outing at the Perfect Game National and hasn't let up since. Kloffenstein can work in the low 90's with heavy sink on his two-seam fastball and hit 96 mph with his four-seamer. He has advanced feel for a breaking ball, showing the ability to morph his sharp slider into a bigger breaking curveball or a harder cutter. He also has a deceptive changeup with tumble.that lacks consistency but also can be his best pitch at times. At 6-5 220, Kloffenstein has a frame built for durability and also the room to add more strength. He's athletic and repeats his delivery well, allowing him to throw strikes. He's a tough competitor who can get overly animated on the mound, but the only real knock against him is that he may be difficult to sign away from Texas Christian.

Twitter Reaction

@KeeganMatheson Kloffenstein is a high-value pick for the if they're able to sign him away from his commitment to the University of Texas. A top-50 prospect in this draft.

@NathanRode Adam Kloffenstein would've been my bet for the top high school guy to go today. Easily could've gone yesterday. Young for class, plus stuff. Great pick for the
@StevensonFWST #TCU commit RHP Adam Kloffenstein has been selected by the #BlueJays with the No. 88 overall pick. #GoFrogs He's likely to be headed to #TCU.

@B_Sakowski_PG Blue Jays going with Adam Kloffenstein. Was #52 on our board, very young, physical, stuff jumped this spring, shows mid-90's with good offspeed stuff. TCU signee, going to be interesting if he'll sign. If they get him signed, big time pick.

@CarlosACollazo Just getting into the office now, but like the pick from the Blue Jays to take Adam Kloffenstein. Might be a tough sign but they could get it done after taking Jordan Groshans No. 12.



4th round - 116th selection - RHP Sean Wymer, Texas Christian University 6-1 190 lbs. Bats Right. Born March 19, 1997 Pick Value $478,600.

MLB.com Scouting Report.

Wymer served as a troubleshooting reliever on Texas Christian's College World Series club in 2017, the fourth straight year the Horned Frogs reached Omaha. Though he was extremely valuable in that role, retiring 35 of the 39 batters he faced while recording two wins and a save during the NCAA postseason, TCU shifted him into its rotation this spring. Though his stuff hasn't been as crisp as it has in the past and he missed time with back issues early in the season, he has still shown enough to factor in the first three rounds of the Draft. Wymer has four quality pitches and there's little consensus as to which is his best. He'll flash a well-above-average curveball at times, though there are other times when his hard slider is his superior breaking ball. He doesn't worry about radar guns, working at 89-92 mph with a quality sinker, though he can reach back for 95-96-mph heat when he needs to. As if that's not enough, Wymer can also unveil a solid changeup and fully trusts the pitch. Though he's not big, he's athletic and repeats his delivery, allowing him to throw a ton of strikes and boding well for his durability. He has advanced feel for pitching and mixes his pitches masterfully.

Twitter Reaction

@jeffMLBdraft
2018 MLB Draft - Day 2 | 81 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Gerry - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:23 PM EDT (#359243) #
The Jays take Adam Kloffenstein in the third round. The RHP is from the same high school as Groshans and is listed at 6'5".
Marlow - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:24 PM EDT (#359244) #
It makes me wonder if there is a pre-draft arrangement between the Jays and Gorshans ad Kloffenstein.
Gerry - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:24 PM EDT (#359245) #
Tristan Pompey goes the pick after the Jays to Miami.
uglyone - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:26 PM EDT (#359248) #
that's a really, really good prospect....if they can sign him.
Shoeless Joe - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:26 PM EDT (#359249) #
Looks like the Jays really trusted the scout that covers Magnolia Texas and it likely we've the money they've saved on Groshman went to his HS teammate Kloffenstien.

Marc Hulet - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:29 PM EDT (#359251) #
The Jays would definitely know what it would take to get him signed... the third round picks almost always sign because teams have had 24 hours to line up desired candidates and gauge how much it would cost to get them... I'm sure they're saving money on Groshans, which will in turn go to Kloffenstein... with Conine likely to sign at (or slightly over) slot. Look for the Jays to sign some modest college picks and college seniors in rounds 4-10 to save some budget to make runs at a couple raw-but-promising guys later in the draft.
uglyone - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:32 PM EDT (#359252) #
On the drafted teammates:


http://www.sportingnews.com/ca/mlb/news/2018-mlb-draft-mock-news-rumors-order-jordan-groshans-adam-kloffenstein-exclusive-two-first-round-picks-magnolia-texas/1iuusrlrz8bx21w8ttozc8gugn
uglyone - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:34 PM EDT (#359253) #
things I like:

- one of the youngest players in the draft
- already touching 96
- 3-4 potential plus pitches
- plus command
- in my Buck Voice: "He just...LOOKS like a starting pitcher".
codyla - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:36 PM EDT (#359254) #
Kloffenstein was #43 on MLB.com so looks like some good value at this spot.
#2JBrumfield - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:40 PM EDT (#359255) #
Here's a story on Kloffenstein indicating he'll be a tough sign.
hypobole - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:42 PM EDT (#359256) #
Plus the Jays should already have his MRI.
Marlow - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 01:56 PM EDT (#359257) #
Looks like AA is up to his old tricks again.  ATL just took Tristan Beck at pick #112
Gerry - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:01 PM EDT (#359258) #
Round 4 - Sean Wymer, 21 y.o. RHP:

Wymer served as a troubleshooting reliever on Texas Christian's College World Series club in 2017, the fourth straight year the Horned Frogs reached Omaha. Though he was extremely valuable in that role, retiring 35 of the 39 batters he faced while recording two wins and a save during the NCAA postseason, TCU shifted him into its rotation this spring. Though his stuff hasn't been as crisp as it has in the past and he missed time with back issues early in the season, he has still shown enough to factor in the first three rounds of the Draft. Wymer has four quality pitches and there's little consensus as to which is his best. He'll flash a well-above-average curveball at times, though there are other times when his hard slider is his superior breaking ball. He doesn't worry about radar guns, working at 89-92 mph with a quality sinker, though he can reach back for 95-96-mph heat when he needs to. As if that's not enough, Wymer can also unveil a solid changeup and
Marlow - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:06 PM EDT (#359259) #
The Jays are really big on players from Texas this year. 
uglyone - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:25 PM EDT (#359262) #
Local paper says Kloff is signing:

http://www.star-telegram.com/sports/college/big-12/texas-christian-university/article212580294.html

"Two sources confirmed the Blue Jays are offering Kloffenstein a first-round level signing bonus of about $2.5 million and he will forgo his commitment to TCU.

The slotted amount for the No. 88 spot is just over $650,000. The Blue Jays are offering almost $2 million more than that."
braden - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:31 PM EDT (#359263) #
So we can expect some College Senior $10k signs in the next few rounds.
PeterG - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:34 PM EDT (#359264) #
Probably saved a good chunk of that on 1st rounder as well and may have been package deal
codyla - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:44 PM EDT (#359265) #
5th Rounder: Chris Beck, Catcher.
The MLB analyst spent the whole time slot talking about the other Blue Jays picks, so yeah, I'd say a money-saving pick. Nothing wrong with that if it gets the big guys signed.
#2JBrumfield - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:45 PM EDT (#359266) #
MLB.com had nothing to say about Bec. Just talked about Vladdy to fill the time until the next pick. That sound you hear - PUNT!
Marlow - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:48 PM EDT (#359267) #
The 3rd slot value is $652,900.    Meaning we have to look for savings of $1,847,100

The 4th round pick seems to be a decent prospect, so likely he would sign for slot.

Rounds 5 to 10 have value of  $1,298,700
5th - 357,5006th - 271,1007th - 211,9008th - 168,6009th - 149,40010th - 140,200
Assuming a bunch of senior drafts @ 10,000 each, means a savings of  $1,238,700
So, it looks like Goshans likely agreed to an underslot by at least $608,400
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:51 PM EDT (#359268) #
Chris Beck three yr stats total: .348 .420 .502

Baseball Cube "Active Talent Rating": Durability: 100, Contact: 98, Hitting: 94, Speed: 90, XBH: 65, Power: 58,
uglyone - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:54 PM EDT (#359269) #
So the top-3 picks were all in the Top-50 conversation. I think they all made mlb's top-50.

And while he was our last pick, I think I like Kloff better than all of them. Heck, I think I like Kloff as much as some of the bigger name high school pitchers who went early on in the first.
Mike Green - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:55 PM EDT (#359270) #
It's a classic Shapiro/Atkins draft so far- spreading out risk among three players.  The package deal part of it is both different and amusing. 
Gerry - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 02:58 PM EDT (#359271) #
MLB don't have a write up on Bec and he is a 4th year player so he has no leverage.
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 03:35 PM EDT (#359275) #
Barger Addison Round 6
Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 45 | Run: 45 | Arm: 60 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45

King High School has had its fair share of high Draft picks, dating back to former big leaguer Derek Bell, a second-rounder in 1987 and up to 2012 supplemental first-round pick Keon Barnum. Barger doesn't look like a top-two-round guy at this point, but his skills on both sides of the ball could land him in the top five.

Barger is a left-handed hitting middle infielder who has shown some plus bat speed at times this spring. It's more of a line-drive approach at present, but there is raw power for him to tap into as he progresses in the game. Defensively, Barger has a strong arm and good hands, though with fringy speed, at best, the question remains whether he can stick at shortstop long-term. Scouts think Barger can begin his career at the premium position and let him play his way off, with second or third a more likely landing place.

Seeing Barger end up as an offensive-minded second baseman from the left side of the plate might be the best scenario, and he could profile best as a super-utility type who can hit. There is some offensive upside, and that could be enough to entice a team to sign him away from his Florida commitment.
codyla - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 03:36 PM EDT (#359276) #
MLB Network analysts' loved the 6th Round pick in regards to the spot he was taken.
hypobole - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 03:39 PM EDT (#359277) #
Barger pick kinda surprising. Wasn't expecting any HS kids till 11.
Mike Green - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 03:50 PM EDT (#359278) #
I wonder about the Groshans/Kloffenstein arrangement.  The total slots between the two amount to 4.85 m, and they play on the same high school team, and they are about the same level of prospect (maybe late compensation or early second).  Could they have effectively agreed to share the first and third figures provided both were signed (i.e. Groshans agrees to take way under slot provided Kloffenstein gets it)?    If so, that would explain why there might be money around for the Barger pick. 

I also have a beef with the scouting report on Barger.  His sprint speed is a minor issue.  He's got the Grade A arm for shortstop and may have the overall athleticism.  If he's got a good quick first step, then he's got a good chance to stick.  Arm, athleticism and first step are what I want to know most about for infielders. 
John Northey - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 03:58 PM EDT (#359281) #
Don't forget the value picks (seniors for $10k) can sometimes work out - Kendall Graveman was a bargain pick and has 5.5 WAR so far.  6th round bargain pick was Matt Boyd who has 3.2 WAR so far.  Both were parts of big trades (Donaldson & Price).  Those are the top 2 in WAR so far from that draft.  They were drafted and signed cheap to create space for later picks like Tellez.  To see how we all reacted check here.
#2JBrumfield - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:11 PM EDT (#359283) #
TampaBay.com has a story on Barger who can also pitch.
Gerry - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:16 PM EDT (#359284) #
Ian Parmley was another $5k sign.
hypobole - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:17 PM EDT (#359285) #
Yeah, Boyd and Graveman Were pretty well best case scenarios.
Boyd's velocity jumped not once but twice after signing, which would have been excellent outcome for a HS draft pick, but almost unheard of for a guy signed as a college senior.

And Graveman learned a cutter by accident in a middle of a game while pitching for Dunedin and took off from there.
sam - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:18 PM EDT (#359287) #
I've not been the biggest fan of the Atkins'/Sanders' drafts, but I think there is a lot to like in this draft and a strong(er) commitment to premium tools and upside.
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:20 PM EDT (#359288) #
Round 7 206 overall

Podkul, Nick Notre Dame (IN), Junior, Infield 6'1" 198

2018 Batting .321 .442 .515
2017 batting .285 .386 .439
hypobole - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:24 PM EDT (#359289) #
sam, Atkins/Sanders have only had one draft. They fired the 2016 draft scouting director (Parker?).
Gerry - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:25 PM EDT (#359290) #
7th Round, Nick Podkul, Notre Dame, 3B:

The Notre Dame second baseman hit .312 with a .433 on-base percentage and .525 slugging percentage this year -- leading the Fighting Irish in all three slash line categories -- while adding eight home runs and nine stolen bases in 11 tries. Podkul doesn't wow you with his tools, but he's hit in the ACC, he has a good feel for the game, and he's a solid defende
Mike Green - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:33 PM EDT (#359291) #
Podkul's a junior and just turned 21.  I like players with his profile, a good balance of skills including control of the strike zone.
Mike Green - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:36 PM EDT (#359292) #
Blue Jays were scouting Pena at Main when they found Bec. They love bloodlines which is why they were mostly there checking out Maine

#2JB,  I read this and wondered whether John Maine had a son in the draft, I didn't know about...They were checking out Pena, of course.
hypobole - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:37 PM EDT (#359293) #
Pillar was a $1K sign
Marlow - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:38 PM EDT (#359294) #
Mike,  it looks like your theory is a good one.  So far the Jays have punted only the 5th round pick.  So between the 1,3 & 5th picks, that is about $5.2 million.  So it looks like the 2 teammates will get $2.5 million each.
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:42 PM EDT (#359295) #
A Chicago Tribune story on Nick Podkul (March 23rd 2018)

Andrean graduate Nick Podkul producing breakout season as Notre Dame's second baseman

Notre Dame vs Miami
Former Andrean shortstop Nick Podkul has been a mainstay as a junior this season for Notre Dame as a second baseman and No. 3 hitter. (Eric Espada/Fighting Irish Media photo)
Michael Osipoff
Post-Tribune

Depending on his position in the field, and depending on his spot in the batting order, Nick Podkul will make minor adjustments accordingly.

But in general, the Andrean graduate and Notre Dame junior takes the same approach.

"It doesn't matter to me — as long as I'm out there, I'm happy," Podkul said. "Stick me anywhere, I'll have a smile on my face."

Podkul, who starred at shortstop as the 59ers won back-to-back Class 3A state titles in 2014 and 2015, likely has been smiling especially broadly this spring, enjoying his best season yet with the Irish.

He's become established as their second baseman and No. 3 hitter, having started all 19 games entering this weekend's series against Wake Forest . He was batting a team-high .343 with three home runs and a team-high 18 RBIs.

He also was leading the team in slugging percentage (.612), on-base percentage (.483), walks (15) and triples (two), ranking second in runs (16), doubles (five) and stolen bases (five). He's reduced his errors to two after committing nine last season.

"I've tried to shorten up my swing a little bit, cut down on strikeouts, get on base more," Podkul said. "But for the most part, I just try to keep things simple — see the ball, hit the ball.

"I'm just going out there and having fun. That's the biggest key for me. We have a close team on and off the field, and it helps to perform with all of your buddies."

Podkul has been a significant contributor since he began his Notre Dame career.

As a freshman, he appeared in 40 games, starting 36 among third base, first base and designated hitter. He hit .288 with 11 RBIs.

He was one of two Irish players last season to start all 58 games. He opened playing third base and batting sixth, before shifting to second base in the sixth game. Before the midway point of the season, he settled into the leadoff role after also having occupied the fifth, third and second spots.

He hit .285 with five homers and 20 RBIs as a sophomore — including making the ACC all-tournament team by going 6-for-10 with two homers, a double and three RBIs in two games — and has continued to progress this season.

Podkul's performance has caught the attention of former Andrean teammate and middle infield partner Chase Dawson, now Valparaiso University 's junior second baseman.

"He did really well the last two years, and I've seen what he's been doing this year and it was, like, 'Wow,'" Dawson said of Podkul. "It's great, I'm really happy for him. At the same time, it motivates me because I want to do what he's doing.

"I like to challenge myself with him. We're best friends at heart, but we're the most competitive guys I know."

Podkul's competitive spirit hasn't waned since his time at Andrean. After having grown up as a shortstop, playing second base simply has provided a slightly different outlet.

"I was bouncing around for a little while there, but I've found a home at second," Podkul said. "I like it there.

"At the end of the day, it's pretty much the same thing — try to help the team win, have fun, respect the game and give your best effort."

mosipoff@post-trib.com

Twitter @MichaelOsipoff
Gerry - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:57 PM EDT (#359297) #
8th round, Joey Murray, Kent State, RHP, Jr,:

Murray’s fastball typically runs from 87-88 mph and can touch 91, and the right-hander features a good curveball and decent slider and changeup. All of those pitches are made much better by a deceptive delivery that confounds opposing hitters, particularly the fastball, which seems like it’s coming in much hotter than the upper-80s.
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:59 PM EDT (#359298) #
Round 8 pick # 236

Murray, Joey Kent State (OH) RHP R/R 4YR JR 6'2" 195

Kent State junior right-hander Joey Murray has been named Mid-American Conference Pitcher of the Year for the second straight season, while Jeff Duncan was selected Coach of the Year after leading the Golden Flashes to the 2018 MAC regular season title.

Murray is the first back-to-back MAC Pitcher of the Year since 2000-01, when Ball State’s Bryan Bullington accomplished the feat. Murray set the single-season KSU record with 132 strikeouts while walking just 31 in 88 1/3 innings of work. He finished the regular season 8-1 with a 1.63 ERA, holding opponents to a .146 batting average.
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:09 PM EDT (#359300) #
Joey Murray, 8th Round Kent State

2018 stats:

G:14 GS:14 IP:88 H:44 R:17 ER:16 HR:0 BB:31 SO:132

WHIP:0.85 H9:4.48 BB9:3.16

Nice BB to SO ratio.
#2JBrumfield - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:13 PM EDT (#359301) #
Murray was teammates with 2016 Jays draft pick and current Dunedin Blue Jay Andy Ravel at Kent State.
Mike Green - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:14 PM EDT (#359302) #
Kent State means something other than baseball to people of my age. 

Anyways, Murray looks interesting to me.  I didn't care for the first pick, but when you look at the whole package, it's been a good draft. 
Gerry - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:19 PM EDT (#359304) #

Kent State means something other than baseball to people of my age.

Dirk Hayhurst?

John Northey - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:20 PM EDT (#359305) #
Of note: of all the drafts the Jays have done with GM's ranging from a HOF'er to a few flops we see 1 who was over 35 WAR (Halladay), with 8 who were 20+ WAR (star level) and another 3 in the 10's (low 10's at that) - one who didn't sign (Paxton) and one who was traded before he did anything (Syndergaard).    Stroman, Romero, and Sanchez are in the 9's.  Many others had half decent careers but mostly were role players or guys who had one or two solid years and lots of 'meh' or 'blech'.  (Felipe Lopez, Brett Cecil, John Cerutti, Billy Koch, Ed Sprage).  In all 45 of 72 have reached the majors.

2nd round: David Wells over 50 WAR, Derek Bell 13, the rest under 5.
3rd: a nice set - John Olerud, Jimmy Key (two near HOF), Shaun Marcum, Adam Lind , David Weathers - all 10+, all in all a nice result but that is over 44 players - a total of 5 really good results.
4th - none over 10, best is Casey Janssen
5th - Dave Stieb (drafted as OF), Pat Hentgen, Michael Young, Mike Timlin, and a ton of 'so what' (sub 3's). 
6th: none over 4.
7th: Casey Blake and tons of crap
8th: Kendall Graveman the only one over 0.5 WAR
10th: Yan Gomes, Ryan Freel , and Josh Phelps the only ones with a 3+ WAR.

So yeah, punting after the first few rounds makes a ton of sense if it frees up cash to sign your best picks.  The Jays got very, very lucky in the 5th over the years but getting Cy Young contenders at that stage is rare (like once every 20 years rare).  I hope the Jays have found a few surprises but it is hard to get more than 2 or 3 players who actually will contribute a lot of value (10 WAR minimum) after the 1st.  10 players with 10+ WAR from round 3-10 over 40+ years so 1 every 4 years is all you should expect.
Mike Green - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:26 PM EDT (#359306) #
Kent State still means this to me.
Shoeless Joe - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:26 PM EDT (#359307) #
The Podkul pick is my favourite past round 5. He seems versatile and can control the stick zone with ok power. He actually hit pretty similar to Cavan Biggio did at Notre Dame in his junior year.
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:34 PM EDT (#359309) #
Mike, and always will.
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:39 PM EDT (#359310) #
Round 9 Pick 266

Jake Brodt 1st Base, Santa Clara U , 4 YR SR, 6'4" 220

When the Cardinals' Fernando Tatis smashed two grand slams in one inning off the Dodgers' Chan Ho Park, he made Major League history. No one in big league history has ever pulled off the feat. (Also, how weird is it that Park was the pitcher for both of them?)

On college baseball's opening weekend, Santa Clara's Jake Brodt pulled off the rare feat -- though this time it was against two different pitchers. With Santa Clara trailing, 9-7, in the seventh inning, Brodt gave the Broncos the lead with a homer off Boston College's John Witkowski. When he stepped to the plate later in the inning, his smash against Mitch Bigras gave Santa Clara a 20-7 lead.

Yeah, that'll work:

"How often do you come up with that type of situation twice in an inning?" Brodt asked after the game. "I just tried to stay comfortable in the box and not try to do too much with it. I knew right off the bat when I hit it."

While two grand slams in an inning isn't an NCAA record, it's still incredibly rare. Brodt's two-salamis-in-a-single-inning game was only the seventh time it's been accomplished in Division I since the NCAA began keeping records in 1957. Louisiana Tech's T.J. Soto last did it in 2000.

Of course, Brodt didn't just hit two grand slams in a single inning: He drove in a run with a sacrifice fly and homered in the sixth to give him a three-dinger, 10-RBI day.
CeeBee - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:41 PM EDT (#359311) #
and this
https://youtu.be/68g76j9VBvM?t=22
jerjapan - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 05:48 PM EDT (#359313) #
Me too Mike, and I'm not old enough to remember it.  A defining, tragic moment in US history. 

John Northey, that link to Graveman's draft isn't working?
JB#2 (and the rest of the Box crew), thanks for the draft updates.  In a year that went off the rails fast (I'm pretty sure it's my fault for having said there are no clear candidates for regression back in April) the draft coverage is a lot of fun. 
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 06:09 PM EDT (#359314) #
Mike and Gerry

Kent State to Trump. Good Grief.

My thoughts on America Today:

https://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=23935664#editor/target=post;postID=4645901009535986717;onPublishedMenu=allposts;onClosedMenu=allposts;postNum=0;src=postname
Mylegacy - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 06:18 PM EDT (#359316) #
Round 10 296

Cal Stevenson U Arizona OF L/L SR 5'10" 175

Arizona Wildcats senior Cal Stevenson strives for happier, healthier ending to 2018

By Michael Lev Arizona Daily Star May 23, 2018 Updated May 31, 2018

Cal Stevenson was playing for the Cotuit Kettleers of the Cape Cod League when the Arizona Wildcats made their run to the College World Series finals in June 2016.

Stevenson knew he’d be coming to Arizona at that point, and he envisioned making a trip to Omaha as a Wildcat. It hasn’t happened yet, but there’s still a sliver of time and a glimmer of hope.

“Fortunately, we’re still in a position to do that,” said Stevenson, Arizona’s senior center fielder. “Some of that vision is still playing in my head. I think about it when I’m in the outfield. All those hopes and dreams are still there.”

The 2018 season hasn’t gone exactly the way Arizona or Stevenson had hoped.

Coming off a second straight NCAA Tournament appearance, which ended in the regional round, the Wildcats are sitting on the bubble entering their final regular-season series at Oregon. Arizona might need a sweep to make the tournament.

Coming off a season in which he earned All-Pac-12 honorable-mention status, Stevenson has been slowed by illness and injury. He hasn’t been quite right since getting hit in the right hand by a pitch at USC on April 15. He missed most of the next two weeks.

Stevenson’s batting average stood at .331 at the time of the injury. It has fallen to .296.

“I felt like I could have controlled some things better and helped this team a little bit more. I’m kind of disappointed in myself for that,” Stevenson said. “But we’re still in this thing. I can control what I do this weekend, and I’m going to do what I can to get us into the tournament.”

Stevenson said his hand still isn’t 100 percent. He said it isn’t affecting his hitting, even though he feels it on certain swings.

The injury happened on the second pitch thrown by USC’s Quentin Longrie in the series finale in Los Angeles. Stevenson didn’t think much of it at first. But while he was standing on second base after a single by Alfonso Rivas III, Stevenson began sweating.

“My hand got huge,” he recalled. “I could feel it blow up in my batting glove. That’s when I knew something was wrong. I tried to go out and play center field, but I couldn’t even catch the ball.”

Stevenson, who throws left-handed, had to leave the game. He returned six days later against Stanford, but the comeback was short-lived. Stevenson sat out the next five games.

He came back for the May 3 game against UCLA and has been in the lineup ever since. With the hand still not fully healed — and the MLB draft fast approaching — Stevenson could have elected to sit out. But he felt an obligation to his teammates. He would fight through it.

“It tells you everything you need to know,” said UA coach Jay Johnson, who first coached Stevenson at Nevada in 2015. “The guy’s a competitor. He’s a warrior.

“Some guys know how to play through injuries or pain, and some guys don’t. I think he’s just exhibiting his toughness and how badly he wants to win and continue playing baseball. It just speaks to his commitment to his team.”

Unfortunately, the hand injury isn’t the first time Stevenson has had to play through something. He came down with a stomach ailment earlier in the season that lasted about two weeks. He missed the Feb. 27 game against New Mexico State and was limited during the Pac-12/Big Ten Challenge the following weekend.

Stevenson had to watch what he ate, and he had to curtail his workout regimen. It wasn’t an ideal situation for the 5-9, 170-pounder.

“I felt like I had cramps all the time, and I couldn’t do anything about it,” Stevenson said. “It was a hard two weeks.”

After the Pac-12/Big Ten Challenge, Stevenson found his form. He went on a 12-game hitting streak that raised his average from .226 to .329.

Despite the stomach bug and the hand injury, Stevenson leads the team with six triples and eight stolen bases. He has a 32-15 walk-to-strikeout ratio and a .417 on-base percentage.

Stevenson should get drafted next month and plans to pursue a career in baseball. He’d like to be a coach someday.

In the meantime, Stevenson said, “I want to be a kid as long as I can.” In other words, he doesn’t want his college career to end Saturday in Eugene.

“That’s what I’m hoping for,” Stevenson said. “Enjoy the last few moments I have with these guys. I just want to do what I can to help (us) get into the postseason.”
Mike Green - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 06:28 PM EDT (#359317) #
Stevenson is bunting from the right side in the picture. Is he a switch-hitter or he does have the Rickey thing-bats R,  throws L- going on?
bpoz - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 06:45 PM EDT (#359318) #
I will be very impressed if we sign all the picks.
scottt - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 06:55 PM EDT (#359319) #
Yeah, it looks like a really solid draft if they can sign them all.
PeterG - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 06:57 PM EDT (#359320) #
Why not? It's usually known what it's going to take to sign
a player before drafting him. As Groshans is signing for 1.8 mil under slot and Kloffenstein for 2 mil over, that's pretty much a wash. The college seniors should save sufficient funds to handle other over slot signings.
bpoz - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 07:02 PM EDT (#359322) #
PeterG the optimist. Cheers my friend.

But if we cannot sign them all ... this is a disaster.

Cheers to all.
bpoz - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 07:16 PM EDT (#359323) #
Tomorrow round 11-40.

The FO knows more or less what is left in the budget. I wish they would tell us. So that I know.

They now must draft accordingly. Be careful of the over spending penalties.

jerjapan - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 07:24 PM EDT (#359325) #
Is it fair to say that the Jays aren't really going for the best player available under Steve Sanders, but rather are targeting position players, particularly up the middle guys?  3 pitchers in the top ten last year, 3 again this year.  They actually drafted 22 pitchers last year out of 41, but 8 of those were in the last 10 picks of the draft. 

Out of the top ten in two drafts, one 1st rounder, one 3rd, one 4th, one 7th, one 8th, one 9th spent on pitchers.  If you go by bonuses, last year the Jays spent $3,343,200 on pitchers total, most of that on Pearson, out of a bonus pool of $9,779,500.  A bunch of late round pitchers got $1,000. 

Blue Jays from away is calling the same pattern:
https://bluejaysfromaway.com/chicago-cubs-copycats-are-the-blue-jays-following-the-cubs-draft-strategy/
I certainly don't know enough about non-professionals to have a strong opinion, but I do like that the team seems to have a clear strategy.  Sanders has the Red Sox pedigree and a pretty good draft in 2017, so I have a favorable impression of him and I'm optimistic thus far about the 2018 class.  Here's an interview with him from TSN a few days ago, but TBH, he has clearly studied at the 'Mark Shapiro's how not to say anything to the media' school. 

https://www.tsn.ca/the-man-in-charge-of-stocking-blue-jays-pipeline-talks-2018-mlb-draft-1.1100060


hypobole - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 07:31 PM EDT (#359326) #
On the subject of signing bonuses, in 2010, the 2 High School pitchers the Jays took as 1st Round comp picks, Sanchez and Syndergaard, signed for $1.35 Million COMBINED.

This allowed the Jays to toss $1.5 Million at Dickie Joe Thon.
whiterasta80 - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 08:53 PM EDT (#359334) #
That, of course, was before the bloodlines thing started to work.
sam - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 10:05 PM EDT (#359340) #
Hypobole,

Appreciate the clarification. Atkins has now had three drafts with the Blue Jays. I'm also generally including his and Shapiro's drafts with Cleveland.
hypobole - Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 11:37 PM EDT (#359341) #
We talk about AA's drafts and now Atkins drafts, but how much influence did/do they have? How many picks were made by the GM himself and how many by the scouting director?

This is 7 years old, but its hard to find anything on this subject:

Chris Antonetti -- Cleveland Indians: The scouting director makes the final call on the draft with input from the GM and assistant general manager. Antonetti does not personally scout any players. He tries to approach the draft the same way he approaches trades. He takes all of the information from his evaluators, challenges them by asking the right questions and lets them do their job. The Indians will take the best player available in the first round, after that, draft strategy factors into the scouting director's decisions. These draft strategies could include but are not limited to: positional needs, signability, makeup, physical attributes and the possibilities of a certain player not being available in the next round based on club intelligence.

Theo Epstein -- Boston Red Sox: In some years, he will scout as few as five to 10 players. Other years, when they have multiple picks, he might see as many as 20. He has input on the first couple of rounds, but he doesn’t overrule the picks the scouts feel strongly about. Epstein will participate in the meeting and is part of the process and that is where his influence is heard. He has always viewed it as the scouting director's call, but the Red Sox usually somehow get consensus, and as GM he maintains veto power that he rarely uses. The Sox will take the best player available unless that player is simply not going to sign.

John Mozeliak -- St. Louis Cardinals: Mozeliak tries to have the scouting director make all of the selections, although he will weigh in, but allows him to manage his department. Mozeliak does read reports and studies video but does not spend much time seeing potential draft picks in person. The Cardinals' philosophy is to take the best player available.

Doug Melvin -- Milwaukee Brewers: Melvin will only see the players that are brought to Miller Park for pre-draft workouts. If the Brewers were picking in the top 5, he would normally see the short list. The scouting director makes the final decision for the Brew Crew, but Melvin has input on one or two players he will say they are NOT taking due to character. The Brewers will select the best player at their turn, as well.

Kevin Towers -- Arizona Diamondbacks: Towers scouted roughly 10 prospects this year, only prospects that he would consider taking for their No. 3 and No. 7 picks in the first round. The picks will be determined by their scouting director, Ray Montgomery, and vice president of scouting and player development, Jerry Dipoto. Towers does gives his opinion on how he sees the players if asked. Montgomery and Dipoto are held accountable for the draft, so he doesn’t think they should be influenced by his opinion, unless they choose to be. The scouting director will make the decisions in all the rounds and will carry out Towers' philosophy of taking the players with the highest ceiling for potential, with probability of reaching those projections.
John Northey - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 12:17 AM EDT (#359344) #
Funny thing is it is still too soon to know for certain about drafts as far back as 2010.  Some picks are 100% clear as good - Bryce Harper, Manny Machado  for example at #1 and #3.  #2 was Jameson Taillon who still looks good and is just in his 3rd ML season now and his team (Pittsburgh) has him through 2022.  105 ERA+ over 55 starts so far.

Barret Loux was a flop with the 6th pick, never reached and has been out of pro ball for 2 years now and was last seen in 2016 in indy ball with a 4.52 ERA.  Ouch.  Major mistake not signing right away I'd say.  Next was Matt Harvey who looked like a star but over the past 3 years has a 70 ERA+ and a -1.3 WAR. 

The highest WAR so far in round 1 is Chris Sale  at 38.7 The Jays with a pick 2 slots higher took Deck McGuire.  Sigh.  Noah Syndergaard ranks higher than Matt Harvey in WAR now but with his injury issues he might become the Devon Travis of pitchers.

So yeah, the story isn't done for 2010's draft but it is fairly set.  More a juggling of ranks at this point but 'flop' vs 'success' is pretty much known.

Btw, in 2010 Cleveland took Drew Pomeranz with the 5th overall pick.  5 guys have more WAR (would be 6 if Noah could stay healthy).  A LHP he is a free agent after this season and has already been traded 4 times.  He is getting his butt kicked in Boston this year.  That was a bad draft for Cleveland as only 2 guys they signed came up - Pomeranz and Tyler Holt (negative WAR), Tony Wolters  is listed as unknown if signed but he did play in Cleveland's minors first and was lost on waivers to Colorado where he is a CA/2B with 0.7 WAR lifetime over 3 seasons with great defense and no offense.Cody Allen  was a 16th round pick who didn't sign but has 9.3 WAR in the majors (for Cleveland as he signed the next year).

It is hard to compare as the Jays have generally given the GM the money to sign everyone while Cleveland works on a tiny budget.
SK in NJ - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 12:49 AM EDT (#359345) #
I doubt GM’s have much impact on draft picks aside from maybe the first round. Scouting directors are put in place precisely to do that job (along with individual scouts). I’m sure Shapiro and Atkins have a specific idea of the type of players they want to target and it trickles down from there, but my guess is Sanders and the scouting team did most of the work. Certainly in the mid to late rounds.
greenfrog - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 04:07 AM EDT (#359347) #
Jim Callis says that of all MLB teams, the Jays had the second-best Day 2 of the draft:

"2. Blue Jays
Texas high school right-hander Adam Kloffenstein (third round, No. 43) has an athletic 6-foot-5 frame and a wide variety of promising pitches: a heavy low-90s two-seam fastball, a four-seamer that reaches 96 mph, a sharp slider that he can turn into a bigger-breaking curveball or a harder cutter, and a tumbling changeup. Righty Sean Wymer (fourth round, No. 85) also has a deep repertoire and succeeded in multiple roles at Texas Christian. Florida prep shortstop Addison Barger (sixth round, No. 143) may wind up at second base, but he has a strong arm and the potential for at least average tools across the board."

https://www.mlb.com/news/best-hauls-on-mlb-draft-day-2/c-280001366
uglyone - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 09:05 AM EDT (#359351) #
Imo gms have a huge impact on who is selected.

The scouts do all the grading, but the decisions as to what kind of prospects are deemed the best investment - I.e. risk v reward, upside v readiness, pitcher v hitter - are all gm decisions.
James W - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 09:34 AM EDT (#359353) #
The GM also hires the scouts. If you're displeased with a draft, you cannot just say "It's not the general manager's fault, they don't actually make any picks! Blame the scouting director!" -- I'd easily retort that it's the general manager's fault that the scouting director has their job.
hypobole - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 10:18 AM EDT (#359356) #
"but the decisions as to what kind of prospects are deemed the best investment - I.e. risk v reward, upside v readiness, pitcher v hitter - are all gm decisions."

Once again, you're stating opinion as fact, with nothing to back it up. I posted facts earlier. GM's are not cookie-cut, as you make it appear Some are more involved, some minimally, some have philosophies i.e. Epstein not drafting pitchers early. So no - they are not all GM decisions.

James W is right though- the GM's main area of control is hiring and firing scouts and especially the scouting director.

sam - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 10:26 AM EDT (#359357) #
I tend to agree that GM's have a fair bit to say on who gets selected. I think to say otherwise would be a bit of a fallacy. In speaking to scouts in times past, GM's will often see these players or at least video. GM's also set general policy with respect to the "type" of player the team should be selecting and investing scouting resources in following. Memory serves me correctly, this was a major plank of J.P. Ricciardi's tenure. Also, most GM's were scouts or involved in player development. They have biases and bring those to bear in their scouting and amateur drafting. Finally, on a more practical level.
Drafting costs money and any executive presumptively needs to show value for that cost. I find it hard to believe that any executive of an organization would simply not review that costing.
sam - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 10:32 AM EDT (#359358) #
Hypobole,

Thanks for providing those resources. They are certainly helpful. I appreciate your input.
uglyone - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 10:37 AM EDT (#359359) #
Hypo - you provided many facts...but many agree with me:

- "The Indians will take the best player available in the first round, after that, draft strategy factors into the scouting director's decisions. These draft strategies could include but are not limited to: positional needs, signability, makeup, physical attributes and the possibilities of a certain player not being available in the next round based on club intelligence."

- "The scouting director will make the decisions in all the rounds and will carry out Towers' philosophy of taking the players with the highest ceiling for potential, with probability of reaching those projections."

- and all the other ones say "we take the best player available", which a) is a strategy given by the GM, not the scouts b) is actually a loaded phrase, as "best player available" can mean many different things, depending on the club's analysis of various risk v reward factors, which are, again, GM decisions, not scouting decisions.
PeterG - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 10:45 AM EDT (#359360) #
Jim Callis says that of all MLB teams, the Jays had the second-best Day 2 of the draft:

"2. Blue Jays
Texas high school right-hander Adam Kloffenstein (third round, No. 43) has an athletic 6-foot-5 frame and a wide variety of promising pitches: a heavy low-90s two-seam fastball, a four-seamer that reaches 96 mph, a sharp slider that he can turn into a bigger-breaking curveball or a harder cutter, and a tumbling changeup. Righty Sean Wymer (fourth round, No. 85) also has a deep repertoire and succeeded in multiple roles at Texas Christian. Florida prep shortstop Addison Barger (sixth round, No. 143) may wind up at second base, but he has a strong arm and the potential for at least average tools across the board."

https://www.mlb.com/news/best-hauls-on-mlb-draft-day-2/c-280001366
bpoz - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 10:57 AM EDT (#359361) #
We have a very involved president. Shapiro. He added Atkins, B Cherington and S Sanders from Boston I believe. LaCarver and Tinnish. So a solid staff.

Boston has produced good position players for many years. My opinion was superstitious J Rice, D Evans all the way to the present. It seems like that is their drafting philosophy. They don't seem to produce good/great pitchers.

For the Jays, my superstitious opinion is that we produce good/great pitchers and OFs. We cannot produce many catchers.

But maybe it is drafting philosophy that was the major factor.
PeterG - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 11:17 AM EDT (#359362) #
Here is an article by Keegan Matheson on Jordan Groshans and the Jays new draft strategy:

https://www.thescore.com/news/1515547
hypobole - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 11:26 AM EDT (#359363) #
Yeah, they partially agree with you, I do also.

GM's do have macro level philosophies that are adhered to - I agree. Beane, Riccardi with their moneyball are examples.

Some GM's are more hands on with the high picks, some less so - J. P. seemed very hands on, overruling his scouts on Tulo and Russ Adams, but that type of GM seems to be the exception rather than the rule (and also seemingly for good reason).

In Towers case, the type of player is what mattered, but from what he said, the actual player taken was the scouting director - Towers wasn't saying hitter vs pitcher.

PeterG - Wednesday, June 06 2018 @ 01:08 PM EDT (#359379) #
#BlueJays 6th-rounder, SS Addison Barger, will sign with Toronto and forgo his commitment to Florida, the Tampa Bay Times reports. Wasn't a sure thing when he was selected.
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