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Can the Jays be 6-0 by Wednesday? Is that a jinx? Do you believe in such things?

OK, three games against the worst team in baseball. Baseball is a funny game and it would not be shocking if the Jays did not win all three or even two.



Schedule:


Monday: Tomoyuki Sugano vs Cody Ponce

Tuesday: Ryan Feltner vs Mad Max Scherzer

Wednesday (day game): Kyle Freeland vs Kevin Gausman


Some players need a hit to get going for 2026, namely Schneider, Barger and Lukes. Hopefully the Rockies will cooperate.

Rockies at Jays, March 30 - April 1 | 98 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whoever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
June Northey - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 07:02 PM EDT (#476197) #
Love early stats - Gimenez leads the Jays with 6 hits, he also leads the league in triples. Barger leads the league in sac flies and is tied for 3rd in RBI's (with 2) despite 0 hits. Vlad has twice as many walks as anyone else on the team with 4 (batch at 2 - Barger, Okamoto, and Varsho). Cease leads the league in K's, poor Gausman 1 back (slacker). But Gausman does lead the league in ERA+ (290), WHIP (0.167!), and BB/9 (0). Hoffman, Miles, and Lauer lead the league in wins.
JB21 - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 07:47 PM EDT (#476198) #
Well that's not great
Michael - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 07:48 PM EDT (#476199) #
Hope Ponce is ok, starting pitcher injury not exactly what we need as if he's out we'll basically have a complete rotation injured.
JB21 - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 07:48 PM EDT (#476200) #
(Ponce - didn't mean to directly reply to June's post)
Gerry - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 07:48 PM EDT (#476201) #
Bad play by Ponce. He should have left it for Clement and then maybe he wouldn't have hurt himself.

The injury didn't look serious, it looked like he locked his knee but just in a forward motion, I didn't see a sideways movement.
Shoeless Joe - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 07:54 PM EDT (#476202) #
Ponce to me looked pretty good before he went down for injury.
lexomatic - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 08:00 PM EDT (#476203) #
Ponce fell twice before getting hurt. What are pitcher options to get mound tended by ground crew
Also kids, remember to refuse unsafe work.
TamRa - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 08:12 PM EDT (#476204) #
roster management challenges incoming
SK in NJ - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 08:22 PM EDT (#476206) #
The Jays had limited SP depth the last few years and always found a way to stay very healthy. Now they have 8 legitimate big league starters and they are dropping like flies. No such thing as too much starting pitching depth. Hope Ponce is ok. The pen is going to be on fumes already. The lack of long man in the pen was a mistake.
Glevin - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 08:48 PM EDT (#476207) #
Lots of off days in April so I think Jays could get by with four and anotherlong guy in pen. Don't love Barger's start to the season because it's a lot like when he struggled last season and it looks like he's just guessing up there.
Gerry - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 09:13 PM EDT (#476208) #
I am not a psychologist (really?) but I wonder if Little is broken in Toronto? Maybe he needs a change of scenery.
Magpie - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 09:17 PM EDT (#476209) #
I hear Buffalo is nice.
Glevin - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 09:18 PM EDT (#476210) #
Little needs to be in Buffalo. He's been awful for half a year and keeps looking worse. It's painful to watch him pitch.
Nigel - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 09:24 PM EDT (#476211) #
There’s zero mystery to Little’s issues. Almost none of his pitches end up in the strike zone. As soon as the hitter’s accepted this around August of last year and stopped swinging at pitches out of the zone, he’s been awful ever since. I really don’t think he has a future on the roster.
electric carrot - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 09:26 PM EDT (#476212) #
Don't love Barger's start to the season because it's a lot like when he struggled last season and it looks like he's just guessing up there.

__

Agreed. Drop him in the order and let him get sorted as #7 hitter.
christaylor - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 09:45 PM EDT (#476213) #
Even everything had gone to plan they weren't going to win this one scoring a single run.
Nigel - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 09:56 PM EDT (#476214) #
The small ray of light is that between Fluharty, Fisher and Rogers they have a number of arms that can handle LHHs that they can just bring up the best available arm rather than forcing another LH pitcher. The downside is that there isn’t an obvious replacement in Buffalo.
Shoeless Joe - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 10:01 PM EDT (#476215) #
Once Yesavage, Bieber and Berrios are back, Miles, Little are gone with Ponce on the IL.
TamRa - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 10:37 PM EDT (#476216) #
Macko time?
Glevin - Monday, March 30 2026 @ 10:50 PM EDT (#476217) #
I'm assuming Ponce to IL and hopefully Little down. Two of Estrada, Lee, or Macko who are all on 40-man makes sense.
mendocino - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 12:52 AM EDT (#476218) #
Francys Romero@francysromeroFR

The Toronto Blue Jays have recalled right-hander pitcher Lázaro Estrada from Buffalo, Triple-A, per source.

He is expected to join the team tomorrow.

Estrada, 26, threw 2.2 scoreless innings with 3 strikeouts on Friday in Triple-A Buffalo.
Joe - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 11:04 AM EDT (#476220) #
I suspect the Jays don't cut bait on Miles that quickly, to be honest — you don't break spring training with him unless you want to give him some run.
Cracka - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 12:57 PM EDT (#476227) #
I thought Miles was solid again last night. He got five outs (two Ks) on 26 pitches across the 4th, 5th, and first out of the 6th inning. Normally, that would be a heroic effort from a Rule V guy in his 2nd game. They needed to push him further, and it didn't work. But I think he had a much better outing than the boxscore shows and there's no way I'd consider cutting him at this point.
June Northey - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 02:12 PM EDT (#476230) #
Miles is showing a lot of promise I'd say. He is a fine guy for the back of the pen. Just need to not need him this much (2 of 4 games seems a bit much). Little getting some AAA time seems appropriate as he has been off for awhile (11.25 ERA in the playoffs last year, June 6-end of regular season 4.24 ERA 32 walks in 40 1/3 IP - you can't be walking that many and survive in the majors. 5 in 4 IP in the playoffs, 2 in 1 1/3 IP this year so since June 6th last year he has walked 39 in 45 2/3 IP. That is an insane pace. Then comes Fluharty and/or Fisher as guys come back healthy imo. I suspect once Miles has 90 days in the majors he gets a mystery injury that takes him out for the rest of 2026 (90 days being the magic number to get the Jays control of his rights going forward post '26 regardless of being sent down or not).
Katie - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 02:15 PM EDT (#476231) #
Credit to Heineman for saving the pen, yesterday.

Heineman has thrown more innings than Brendon Little and Mason Fluharty, combined, and has a lower ERA than either of them.
TamRa - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 02:42 PM EDT (#476235) #
I wonder if Estrada is actually being activated or just brought onto the Taxi until they decide about Ponce
Glevin - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 03:41 PM EDT (#476236) #
The handling of Little reminds me of the handling of Bowden Francis last year. Something clearly broken and the fix is simply to send them down but the team absolutely refuses.
Ryan Day - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 04:47 PM EDT (#476238) #
Ponce is out with an ACL sprain. Maybe he'll be back this season, if it doesn't turn out to also be a tear. https://www.mlb.com/bluejays/news/cody-ponce-acl-sprain
scottt - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 04:57 PM EDT (#476239) #
It would make sense to get an extra reliever until Sunday no matter what happens with Little.
Is Estrada the long man and somebody else will make the extra start?
June Northey - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 05:02 PM EDT (#476240) #
My bet is Estrada will be the long man, Ponce on 15 day IL, then come Sunday if he hasn't been used much Estrada gets the start, if he has been used a lot then Macko gets called up for the start and Ponce goes to the 60 day IL to open a slot.

Sigh. Such is life - 8 ML starters and couldn't get through 4 starts before being down to just 4.
Nigel - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 05:08 PM EDT (#476241) #
Its worse than the Francis situation in that Little has been broken for a long time. Francis was coming off an excellent back half of the previous season. I'm just not sure that they think that they have a great option in Buffalo to replace Little.
TamRa - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 05:10 PM EDT (#476242) #
Lukes 5 and Varsho 7 seems kinda weird but Varsh hasn't been hot so...meh
Gerry - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 05:11 PM EDT (#476243) #
In soccer an ACL surgery usually means six months out of action. So surgery for Ponce would see him miss the season.
TamRa - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 05:11 PM EDT (#476244) #
"Macko gets called up for the start and Ponce goes to the 60 day IL to open a slot."

Macko is already on the 40
Gerry - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 05:12 PM EDT (#476245) #
Joe Mantiply has MLB experience and could replace Little, depending on how he is pitching of course.
Nigel - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 05:30 PM EDT (#476246) #
Not surprised that Barger is having a night off and Varsho has been pushed down the lineup. Those are the two hitters who have looked the most "off" so far.
vw_fan17 - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 05:55 PM EDT (#476247) #
Any chance they call up Austin Voth? He was a starter in Japan and has some MLB experience..
greenfrog - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 06:04 PM EDT (#476248) #
Awful news about Ponce. I felt he was primed to have a good season. Hopefully he can make it back by the end of the season (memories of Marcus Stroman).
Glevin - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 06:16 PM EDT (#476249) #
I get the lineup moves but this is a really weak lineup. Jays need Barger and Varsho to be good to have a chance. I don't think trading for a starter makes sense. They have Bieber, Yesavage, and Berrios all coming back fairly soon. You can make it through April with Estrada, Macko, etc...
85bluejay - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 06:38 PM EDT (#476250) #
With the off day Friday, I don't think the Jays need a 5th starter until April 8th against the Dodgers and maybe Yesavage
will be ready by then.
Gerry - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 06:43 PM EDT (#476251) #
90% chance of rain on Thursday and Saturday in Chicago. Thursdays game could be bumped to Friday, I'm not sure if they would try a DH on Sunday if Saturday is rained out.

A rain out would simplify the rotation issues in the short term.
scottt - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 06:58 PM EDT (#476252) #
Having 4 left handed outfielders means someone needs to sit.
Sanchez is hot, Barger is cold. Barger sits for Lukes.

Hitting 5th or 7th doesn't mean anything.
92-93 - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 08:07 PM EDT (#476253) #
It’s a great sign that Gimenez is running again. Even when he returned “healthy” last season it seemed like stealing bases wasn’t a part of his game.
Nigel - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 08:30 PM EDT (#476254) #
The BABIP gods are spitting at the Jays right now.
Shoeless Joe - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 08:59 PM EDT (#476255) #
I am starting to get concerned about the swing and miss in Okamotos game.
SK in NJ - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 09:12 PM EDT (#476256) #
I feel like Nathan Lukes may surpass “Clement vs RHP” from last season in terms of complaining. At least Clement was great defensively at multiple positions. The Jays value Lukes way too highly and unfortunately it may show in his playing time this season.
Glevin - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 10:01 PM EDT (#476257) #
Nice win in the end. Great pitching and a lot of hits for offense.
TamRa - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 10:18 PM EDT (#476258) #
"With the off day Friday, I don't think the Jays need a 5th starter until April 8th against the Dodgers"

The injured guys aren't going to be ready by the Dodgers' series according to all reporting. If the White Sox series goes as scheduled, the logical play is leave your top guys in the LA series and throw a bullpen game on Sunday versus the lowly Sox. If one of those games get postponed, so much the better.

Do that and you don't need to fill the fifth slot again until the 18th and it's at least possible Berrios or Yesavage could be read for that one.

uglyone - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 10:20 PM EDT (#476259) #
Lukes of course is also very good defensively at multiple positions.
scottt - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 10:30 PM EDT (#476261) #
Lefty tomorrow.

Great fielding by Gimenez. Bichette doesn't make that double play.

Lots of hits along the lineup.
Sanchez looks really good.
They attacked Okamoto with the fastball and he handled it.
Now, they're going away. He's going to adjust to that.

I think Diaz was having fun calling a strike on an extremely high fastball after both teams were out of challenges.
First pitch of the AB, so no real impact.


uglyone - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 10:36 PM EDT (#476262) #
I find it hard to grt too worked up about the position player playing time decisions. Reality is that we have lots of good players all the way down. Even the guys who project the weakest - Straw and Heineman - just can't seem to stop producing every time we play them.

There's a reasonable chance that Lukes ends up our best hitting OF this year, and 2nd best defensively. And to tell the truth i'm not super eager to out all our eggs in the Barger basket just yet. Fun player but still has yuge holes and worry spots. He could easily end up the least deserving of playing time in the end.

I know it's natural to want to slot guys in as fulltime starters and very specific bench role guys, but i really don't think this roster needs or even wants that kind of usage.

Tbh the only time i get my back up with the playing time decisions is when i feel like someone is handed a fulltime starting role without really deserving it. Like Santander and Gimenez last year when healthy.
uglyone - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 11:00 PM EDT (#476263) #
Mitch Bannon
@MitchBannon
·
7m
Jesús Sanchez on the #BlueJays, through an interpreter:

“I’ll tell you, the vibes here are unbelievable. I’ve never been on a team like this.”
June Northey - Tuesday, March 31 2026 @ 11:37 PM EDT (#476264) #
Jays win! Always nice to see.

Also, Happy Transgender Day of Visibility to TamRa. We are few but we are visible here that is for sure. I celebrated by wearing my "Yes, I am a Trans Person" t-shirt to the dentist who then used my name and pronouns correctly the whole time (as did the staff there once I told them about the change). I'm one of the lucky ones. Even the City of London Police Force posted a positive message (good reminder I'm living in the right city).
vw_fan17 - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 12:32 AM EDT (#476265) #
If this keeps up, the Loperfido->Sanchez trade may end up being the steal / most underrated trade of the offseason.
TamRa - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 12:50 AM EDT (#476266) #
Mississippi is, of course, a whole different world and while much of this little town knows, I don't make it a point to call attention to myself because it could well be the wrong sort (such as inviting restroom confrontations)

That said, while people vote for bigotry, on an individual level most people still instinctively default to kindness and that goes a long way.
scottt - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 08:21 AM EDT (#476269) #
Nice to see Schwerzer dealing.
Shoeless Joe - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 09:14 AM EDT (#476270) #
At this point should we change it up from Mad Max to the Piano Man?
June Northey - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 10:11 AM EDT (#476271) #
Boy the Max Scherzer signing looks really good now doesn't it? Seemed odd at the time, but damn if that didn't work well quickly. $3 mil is all that is at risk, the rest of his pay is based on innings pitched. Right now the starters have a 2.16 ERA in 25 IP once through the rotation. Nice beginning. Just sucks that we've lost one for the year probably.

4 relievers with 0 ERA's (Nance, Fisher, Varland, Rogers over 12 IP), 1 at 3 (Hoffman 3 IP 1 R), 3 plus Heineman at 10+ (Miles, Fluharty, Little). Miles would've been fine but they pushed him a bit too far last time, Fluharty's were bad luck (2 balls hit in the infield, but guys got on and he got hurt, but Little let him down). Little really has been terrible already - 7 ER, 3 inherited runs allowed also, in just 1 1/3 IP - 4 outs, 6 H 2 walks. I mean you can't do much worse. Heineman got 2 more outs, allowed 2 fewer runs and 0 inherited. walked 1 less - and he wasn't really trying.
Nigel - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 10:55 AM EDT (#476272) #
The ABS strategy continues to be interesting. Last night Okamoto challenged a call with the Jays up 2 in the 5th, bases loaded and one out on a 2-2 pitch. Leaving aside that it looked fairly clearly to be a strike (hence a bad choice by Okamoto), I thought it was one of the rare ish situations you might want a hitter to challenge (given how high leverage the AB was). Except that it was the team’s last challenge. Probably a decent place to challenge if it’s your team’s first challenge but not so good if it’s your last. If your team is “chasing margins” the ABS system offers some opportunities.
92-93 - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 11:08 AM EDT (#476273) #
Bang on. That was a big spot in the game so you don't want your player to hesitate if they think the call was wrong, you just want to see that it was at least a closer call. Okamoto was dead wrong.

Shulman's comment after the Jays' first challenge was along the lines of barely being able to fit a piece of paper between the ball and the strike zone and it got me thinking about the human element. Hitters were historically taught to protect the zone with two strikes, and I'm not sure that a call being missed by a tenth of an inch is all that important to overturn. I wouldn't hate if there was sort of buffer built in where extremely close calls are actually not overturned. Never going to happen, I know, as we are now cruising towards all pitches being called electronically.

As an aside, I was reading about how the K zone is now calculated as X% of a player's total height, which I found odd. People's proportions are different, and it seems like one player's K zone can actually differ from another's with the new rules. Is the bottom of everyone's knees really the exact same % of each human's height?
Nigel - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 11:49 AM EDT (#476274) #
I think over time teams are going to develop some ABS challenge "team rules". I'm not saying that these will be the rules but, for example, things like "pitchers never challenge", "hitters only challenge in x leverage situations", "C's save challenges until the xth inning or later unless its a x leverage AB earlier" etc. Whatever turns out to be the right patterns. Without rules it will be hard for players in the moment to make the right tactical decisions.

As an aside, I really hope that they don't go to an all electronically called game. I like the strategic element of the challenge system.
92-93 - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 11:53 AM EDT (#476275) #
So do I, but is that all that different from one saying they like the human element?

If we are to trust these automated zones (and I don't for now because of the reason above), why allow for erroneous calls at all?
Nigel - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 12:00 PM EDT (#476276) #
For me its two different thoughts. I agree with you on fully autonomous v human and the point you raise. I just think the challenge system puts an interesting strategic decision into the game.
Gerry - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 01:43 PM EDT (#476278) #
Tomorrows game in Chicago has been cancelled already. It will be played on Friday.
Gerry - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 02:03 PM EDT (#476279) #
Daulton Varsho stats:

Spring training OPS: 1.246
Regular season OPS: .417

Exhibit number infinity that spring training stats don't matter.
lexomatic - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 02:10 PM EDT (#476280) #
"zone is now calculated as X% of a player's total height, which I found odd. People's proportions are different, and it seems like one player's K zone can actually differ from another's with the new rules. Is the bottom of everyone's knees really the exact same % of each human's height?"

My recollection is that the zone was not a static box, but knees to elbows or something. This would just be a more accurate way of calculating each individual zone, which can't really be done by eyeball. Which makes your argument for distrusting ABS for above reason unfounded preference. Which is fine, but not great for argument.
lexomatic - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 02:13 PM EDT (#476281) #
https://www.mlb.com/glossary/rules/strike-zone

Here we go.
"The official strike zone is the area over home plate from the midpoint between a batter's shoulders and the top of the uniform pants -- when the batter is in his stance and prepared to swing at a pitched ball -- and a point just below the kneecap."
Since 1996.
uglyone - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 02:32 PM EDT (#476282) #
Also Exhibit infinity that a week of mlb stats don't matter either!
Glevin - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 03:07 PM EDT (#476283) #
Love watching this defense. What a play by Ernie. Barger just swinging at everything right now. Pitchers aren't going to throw strikes until he starts laying off them. Last ab, he faced 6 pitches and only one was in the zone. Two were way out of it. He swung at 4 balls out of the zone including the two that weren't close.
92-93 - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 03:22 PM EDT (#476284) #
The new strike zone is not the old strike zone. The top of the zone is now set at 53.5% of the player's measured height without cleats, and the bottom is set at 27% of that height. The old "bottom of the knees" could be 25% for one player's build and 30% for another's. The strike zone has fundamentally changed because of computers.
Nigel - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 03:33 PM EDT (#476285) #
Fluharty looks fantastic but his arm may fall off by the All Star Break at this rate.
99BlueJaysWay - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 03:36 PM EDT (#476286) #
I think new and old is a misnomer because umps will still call the rule nook zone. ABS essentially creates a second zone.

And on top of those criticisms, the ABS zone is measured from the centre of the plate, not the front as it appears on TV. This means something that clips the front of the plate will likely be missed (heavy breaking balls, for example) as will something with late movement that carries a pitch back into the zone.
92-93 - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 03:42 PM EDT (#476287) #
Which raises another good point - the ump can actually be correct with his call, but the system can claim he's wrong. And both can be right, but the call will be overturned.
christaylor - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 03:57 PM EDT (#476288) #
ABS is now the ground truth that people accept -- people called for robot umps, and now we have one. If the ABS is left as is and not turned into a 3D space, MLB has essentially redefined the zone, and umps will adjust their calls to the ABS to minimize being overturned.
christaylor - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 03:59 PM EDT (#476289) #
There have been far too many exciting games with this ostensibly soft schedule.
Gerry - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 04:26 PM EDT (#476290) #
Definitely a slow start, even though they are 4-2, but its the offense thats the problem so far.
Glevin - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 04:31 PM EDT (#476291) #
That was a horrible series with some concerning signs. Jays need the offense to pick up. A few things I really didn't like
1) using Nance as the eighth inning guy. Why? He's like your 7th reliever.
2) bottom of 9th, tie game, Jays had someone who can't hit lefties, backup catcher, and someone who can't hit lefties due up and couldn't pinch hit for any of them.
3) Kirk's abs challenge. You have to understand the situation. These challenges with nobody on early in the game are just stupid.
SK in NJ - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 04:48 PM EDT (#476292) #
The offense is a little scary because there's a bit of unpredictability involved. We don't know what Barger, Varsho, Sanchez, and Okamoto will look like (Varsho due to inconsistent offense, and the others due to lack of MLB track record). Lukes has been a 89 wRC+ player since the 2nd half of last season. Schneider's performance will be hard to predict. Obviously it's impossible (and pointless) to make any judgments based on six games, but it will be a question that will need to be answered. I'm less worried about the pitching if/when they get healthy.
scottt - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 04:54 PM EDT (#476293) #
There is one thing we do know.
You never start Sanchez against a lefty.
He's always hit like a pitcher against lefties.
You use him off the bench,
Katie - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 05:04 PM EDT (#476294) #
I assume Nance was used because Fisher and Varland had each pitched in three games already and Schneider didn't want to overburden them during the first week. Fisher had thrown more than 20 pitches yesterday, although I'm not sure if there was a specific reason Varland was not used.

I also didn't mind Schneider's thinking, as I assume he used Rogers first with the hope of him getting through the heart of Colorado's order unscathed and leaving Nance with 7, 8 and 9. Unfortunately, a couple of guys got on off Rogers and Nance wasn't at his sharpest and the lead slipped.

The lack of offence seems like a bigger culprit to me.
June Northey - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 05:09 PM EDT (#476295) #
This game was a mess - LH on mound and you start the guy who has the worst track record against LHP in Sanchez. 1-0 game and you pull your 2nd best defensive OF (Straw) who is having a good day (2 for 2) for Barger who gets 1 PA then not long after is pulled to put the catcher in that slot and keep Lukes in the game. Bringing in the reliever who doesn't do well in pressure situations in the 8th inning of a 1-0 game while using your high leverage reliever (Rogers) in the 7th. In the 10th using the wildest pitcher you have in a tie game (of course, probably nothing much left - Fisher & Varland appeared not to be available, and Miles has been used more than any rule 5 guy should be).

Weird game. Felt very poorly managed imo. If you are using lower leverage guys and feel you must then you use them in the 7th not the 8th, in an effort to give the bats the maximum time to recover if they can't do much and to minimize pressure on guys who seem not to do well under pressure.
JB21 - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 05:10 PM EDT (#476296) #
Giving up 1 ghost runner and 1 real runner in 10 innings certainly isn’t the (current) problem.
Nigel - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 05:28 PM EDT (#476297) #
I can't really fault the bullpen management today for all the reasons Katie mentioned. In the bigger picture, if they are going to have two relievers (Miles and Little) that they are somewhat reluctant to use in leverage situations going forward, then they are going to run Fisher, Fluharty, Varland and Rogers into the ground early in the year.

I think the team will have some run scoring issues this year but its early to leap to any conclusions about anything. I do think Barger is the guy I'm starting to worry about. He had a good playoffs but his second half last year flashed some significant warning signs around pitch selection and zone control.
GabrielSyme - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 06:15 PM EDT (#476298) #
Fluharty's velocity is up about 2mph on both his fastball and slider from last year, and he was pretty effective last year. I'd push him up the depth chart. Little has not looked good, but I don't think it's a particularly good idea to push him down to AAA after just three appearances. It's early going yet, you don't want to be too reactive.
uglyone - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 07:24 PM EDT (#476299) #
Offense has a 119wrc+ so far. That's good.
June Northey - Wednesday, April 01 2026 @ 09:46 PM EDT (#476300) #
Early on stats are a nightmare, and fun, but nearly as meaningless as spring stats. Takes time - last year in March/April OPS leaders (1/2 over 1000) were Varsho (2 games ended at 833) and Heineman (30 PA ended at 777). Straw was 4th (680 at seasons end), higher than Vlad. Schneider was at 400 OPS (vs his final 797).

I more look at long term issues - Little has been walking nearly a man an inning for almost a full year now and shows no hope of that stopping. Nance gave up a 667 OPS in high pressure, 375 in mid, 484 in low last year and sucked in the playoffs (2 ER in 1 1/3 IP) and isn't showing signs of changing that this year yet. Sanchez has never hit vs LHP 524 OPS vs RHP 778 - that is over nearly 2000 PA lifetime, that is a strong trend (354 PA vs LHP). To go against those stats seems insane to me. Yeah, maybe the Jays see something and if you are ever going to experiment early in the season is the time, and yeah, Colorado was one of the weakest teams (like the A's and White Sox) so this is a good time to try I guess.

Sigh. Yeah, I get why the Jays gave these guys a shot here, but as others said - score 1 run over 10 innings against Colorado and you are going to lose.
Michael - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 03:47 AM EDT (#476301) #
On the one hand, 4-2 at home against some of the worst teams from last year is not very good. On the other hand a lot of positives in terms of outstanding SP from all the starters so far, the top part of the bullpen has been solid, the new guys Okamoto and Sanchez look pretty good, and Gimenez has been very good even running. On the down side is the Ponce injury, the back of the bullpen, and Barger/Varsho/Lukes/Kirk. Fortunately as Yesavage, Berrios, and Bieber work their way back in then the back of the bullpen can be replaced by these guys and/or others from the rotation pushed to the bullpen.

And the OF hitters is small sample size and Straw/Sanchez/Gimenez/Schnieder/Heineman can balance the Kirk/Lukes/Varsho/Barger as each group has about 64 PA with the top group with a 404/469/597 1.065 OPS while the bottom group has 123/219/175 0.394 OPS. Combine across all of them and you have a much more "normal" 263/344/386 0.730 OPS
hypobole - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 10:03 AM EDT (#476302) #
Vlad is hitting .300 with a .481 OBP which is outstanding, But that's with an ISO of .000. Not having an extra base hit against 2 of the worst pitching staffs is what I was expecting.
hypobole - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 10:04 AM EDT (#476303) #
S/B "not what I was expecting"
vw_fan17 - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 11:29 AM EDT (#476304) #
How many LOB did the top of the order have yesterday? I feel like Springer left 5+ on, Vladdy similar. Bottom of the order seems fine - getting on base, Straw's hitting what - 800 now? Leads the team with 1.600 OPS, tied for 3rd in WAR with 0.2 (Okamoto leads with 0.4, Giminez 0.3). Varsho, Kirk and Barger all have negative WAR.

Yeah, it's early. But last year we BARELY scraped ourselves out of the hole we dug early on. Let's not try to take that same approach again.

Has Yariel totally fallen off the depth chart? I think I would have preferred him to Little/Nance yesterday..
Dr B - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 01:41 PM EDT (#476305) #
Absence makes the heart grow fonder? Yariel Rodriguez was bad last year. He has an average K rate but his BB/9 was 4.2 in 2025 (and in 2026 as it happens). Average strike outs and terrible walk rate won’t do. He’s got plenty of time to figure things out, but something has to change.

Yeah, it's early. 

This.

But last year we BARELY scraped ourselves out of the hole we dug early on.

True, but 4 and 2 probably isn't a hole.
christaylor - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 01:53 PM EDT (#476306) #
It's all vibes when picking over the first six games of a team with a .666 winning percentage, but we saw a couple of years of struggles cashing in runs. Definitely some 2023 and 2024 vibes, which were, of course, not the best vibes.

I feel as if I've seen Springer look good or pop-out. I have this (probably false) memory of pop-outs being Vernon Wells' main trait when the bad version of him showed up. Major leaguers tend to find pop-outs very easy to catch.
uglyone - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 02:50 PM EDT (#476307) #
Yesterday was the 2nd time we were held to less than 5 runs. 1st time we were held to less than 3 runs.

We were scoring 5.2 runs per game heading into yesterday and now down to 4.5. Last year we were at 4.9.
Glevin - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 03:16 PM EDT (#476308) #
We've also faced two of the worst pitching staffs in baseball at home and had more than 5 runs only once and 3/8 of our HR's were hit in a blowout loss after we had put a position player in. It's not all doom and gloom and it's very early but it's a stretch to pretend this offense is clicking. There are real concerns here.
uglyone - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 04:20 PM EDT (#476311) #
Objectively, the offense has been good. The opponents have been weak but the jays have scored more against both opponents so far than their other opponents have.


If we're gonna start accusing people of pretending, then it's probably the ones trying to spin it negatively that are pretending, likely for the sake of preseason takes.
June Northey - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 04:45 PM EDT (#476312) #
I guess like many I was hoping for a 6-0 record after that 3-0 start. But even 119 loss teams win sometimes and sadly the Jays just found that Colorado can play ball. Still #2 in the division as the Yankees are off to a killer start against tough teams (SF and Seattle, both expected to contend).

I guess the question is what could've been done to improve the team that wasn't done? Rogers has been solid in the pen, Sanchez has a 208 OPS+, Okamoto a 161, Cease a 286 ERA+, Ponce a 135 but now on the IL. So the guys brought in have done well. What about the ones we missed out on?
  • Bo Bichette: 3 for 27, a -28 OPS+, -1 DRS already (at 3B he might be as bad as Vlad was)
  • Kyle Tucker: 35 OPS+, +2 DRS in RF already. So great glove, not so great bat.
  • Edwin Díaz: 2 saves in 3 games, 1 run allowed (shifted a 4-0 win to a 4-1 win).
So far Tucker would've been nice, but his bat isn't helping much like Barger's isn't (-60 OPS+), Bo has sucked, and Diaz has been the solid closer he always has been. Overall a solid winter by the Jays, just a shame about Ponce getting hurt (very bad luck), but as time goes by not holding onto Bo I suspect will look like a very smart move (if he went to Philly and was at 2B maybe not as much, but at 3B in NY ... yikes).
uglyone - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 05:49 PM EDT (#476313) #
as always, to counter the tiny sample stats from this year, I like to keep a constant eye on 1) Last 1 Calendar Year Stats, and 2) Updated Rest-of-Season Combined fangraphs Projections.

Lineup choices are my sueprfun opinion only.



Last 1 Calendar Year Stats

1. DH Springer (36): 598pa, .389obp, 162wrc+, 5.4war650
2. (3B Okamoto (30): 27pa, .370obp, 166wrc+, 9.7war650)
3. 1B Guerrero (27): 684pa, .387obp, 139wrc+, 3.8war650
4. 2B Schneider (27): 228pa, .360obp, 131wrc+, 4.3war650
5. CF Varsho (29): 291pa, .282obp, 115wrc+, 4.7war650
6. C Alejandro (27): 508pa, .346obp, 116wrc+, 6.0war650
7. LF Lukes (31): 440pa, .321obp, 103wrc+, 2.7war650
8. SS Clement (30): 603pa, .314obp, 99wrc+, 3.6war650
9. RF Barger (26): 518pa, .296obp, 102wrc+, 2.5war650

X. UT Sanchez (28): 517pa, .311obp, 98wrc+, 1.6war650
X. OF Straw (32): 301pa, .324obp, 98wrc+, 4.3war650
X. IF Gimenez (27): 371pa, .284obp, 66wrc+, 1.8war650
X. C Heineman (35): 179pa, .368obp, 119wrc+, 7.6war650

X. UT Santander (31): 199pa, .271obp, 64wrc+, -2.6war650
X. OF Clase (24): 112pa, .288obp, 69wrc+, -2.3war650



Fangraphs Depth Charts Combined Rest of Season Projections

1. DH Springer (36): 473pa, .338obp, 118wrc+, 2.4war650
2. 3B Okamoto (30): 574pa, .332obp, 117wrc+, 3.3war650
3. 1B Guerrero (27): 654pa, .382obp, 146wrc+, 4.5war650
4. LF Sanchez (28): 377pa, .318obp, 108wrc+, 2.2war650
5. C Alejandro (27): 476pa, .346obp, 115wrc+, 6.3war650
6. RF Lukes (31): 337pa, .336obp, 107wrc+, 2.7war650
7. 2B Schneider (27): 317pa, .328obp, 107wrc+, 2.7war650
8. CF Varsho (29): 573pa, .289obp, 98wrc+, 2.6war650
9. SS Clement (30): 607pa, .311obp, 98wrc+, 2.8war650

X. UT Barger (26): 506pa, .312obp, 105wrc+, 2.2war650
X. OF Straw (32): 169pa, .299obp, 75wrc+, 0.8war650
X. IF Gimenez (27): 586pa, .318obp, 98wrc+, 3.4war650
X. C Heineman (35): 148pa, .313obp, 84wrc+, 3.5war650

X. UT Santander (31): 54pa, .306obp, 104wrc+, 1.2war650
X. OF Schreck (25): 7pa, .318obp, 93wrc+, 0.0war650
X. IF Kasevich (25): 20pa, .295obp, 73wrc+, 0.0war650
X. C Valenzuela (25): 12pa, .273obp, 65wrc+, 0.0war650

X. OF Clase (24): 13pa, .282obp, 81wrc+, 0.0war650
X. IF Lantigua (28): 7pa, .318obp, 83wrc+, 0.0war650
June Northey - Thursday, April 02 2026 @ 10:04 PM EDT (#476316) #
Love the silly projection for Okamoto from his tiny sample size - I think we'd all be very, very happy with a 9.7 WAR season from him - Bo who? - but realistically the 3.3 would be great too.
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