Batter's Box Interactive Magazine Batter's Box Interactive Magazine Batter's Box Interactive Magazine
Alexis Rios has been struggling badly at the plate for the last two weeks. I decided to do some investigation to see if there was a pattern to his hitting.


The chart below shows how Lexi was doing before the slump and during the slump. I have focused on where he is hitting the ball, I have not distinguished hits from line outs or fly balls, so a single to centre is listed as CF, as is a fly ball to centre.


Period 27/4-6/5 7/5-16/5
Average .324 .081
H/AB + BB 12-37 + 3 3-37 + 1
G1 0 1
G3 1 1
G4 2 1
G5 4 5
G6 8 12

Total GB 15 20

LF 2 2
CF 7 4
RF 9 3

Total OF 18 9

K swinging 2 6
K looking 2 2

Total K 4 8


So what does this tell us? When Lexi was going well he was hitting to centre and right fields a lot. In the last ten days he has not been hitting as many line drives or fly balls and has hit a lot more ground balls, especially to the shortstop. So he is either trying to pull the ball, or his mechanics are off and he is just missing the ball and swinging over it slightly. The number of flyballs has reduced and the number of ground balls has increased. Strikeouts are also up somewhat. Lets hope he gets back on track soon. I believe if Lexi puts together a couple of weeks of .350 to .400 hitting we will see him in Toronto. The Jays will bring him up when he is hot, not when he is cold.


Although the Jays minor league teams have an overall winning record, their teams have been losing more often than winning over the past few weeks and the organizational record is moving closer to .500. I decided to look to see where the Jays teams ranked in their leagues. I used a simple count ranking, I did not prorate for games played.

Offense

Team # Teams Average Runs HR's BB Fewest K's
Syracuse 14 14 13 11 8 9
New Hamp 12 10 9 11 5 5
Dunedin 12 10 6 7 2 7
Charleston 16 8 8 12 2 4


Pitching

Team # Teams ERA BB Allowed K's
Syracuse 14 8 4 8
New Hamp 12 1 3 6
Dunedin 12 11 2 3
Charleston 16 4 4 1


In summary, Charleston have an average Offense. Dunedin have a low batting average, but walk a lot, and their run scoring is league average. New Hampshire and Syracuse have below average offense's. Most Jays teams are walking a lot, Syracuse less so.

The pitching in New Hampshire and Charleston has been good. Syracuse are average but Dunedin is below average. Approx. half of Dunedin's pitchers have poor ERA's. Neomar Flores, Tommi Ozuna, Santo Valdez, Chad Pleiness and Vince Perkins have poor ERA's for a pitching friendly league. Some of the ERA's are high after the 20+ run game, but in general pitching has been mixed for Dunedin.

Alexis Rios and other Minor Matters | 6 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
_Ducey - Monday, May 17 2004 @ 02:11 PM EDT (#65210) #
Anyone know the average age of Syracuse relative to their competition?

Seems to me they have less of the 4A type veterans but more younger prospects than some other AAA teams. If so, this may mean that while short term help for injuries is sparse, and the team may not be as strong, the longer term major league outlook for the Syracuse players may be better than some other teams.
Mike Green - Monday, May 17 2004 @ 02:37 PM EDT (#65211) #
Gerry, that's a very helpful chart on Rios' slump. He's strong enough to hit the ball out to centre and right centre on a consistent basis so there is no need for him to try to pull.
Thomas - Monday, May 17 2004 @ 05:49 PM EDT (#65212) #
Where did you get that data, Gerry?
Gerry - Monday, May 17 2004 @ 11:04 PM EDT (#65213) #
Minorleaguebaseball.com has game logs.
_R Billie - Tuesday, May 18 2004 @ 11:03 AM EDT (#65214) #
I think it's a case of Rios being pitched inside a lot more. His strength is out over the plate, much like a guy like Juan Gonzalez. Pitchers in AAA have been quick to make an adjustment to him it seems and they're probably staying hard in on his hands with soft stuff away off the plate. Nothing hard away and nothing up. Rios will roll over those pitches away and jam himself on a lot of pitches inside and hit the ball on the ground to the left side.

The other thing you'll notice about Rios is that he grounds into a tremendous number of doubleplays. This is a trend this year but it was also a trend last year when he had his big season. It seems he hits a lot of tailor made double play balls, probably grounders with reasonable force since he runs well. Maybe he needs an adjustment to get a little more loft on his swing but that can be a dangerous adjustment to make as well as swinging down on the ball allows him to make consistent contact.

It's all about pitch selection and adjusting to how he's being pitched. This is probably the first time Alexis has faced experienced pitchers who can pick out his weaknesses and have the command to pitch to those weaknesses.
Mike Green - Tuesday, May 18 2004 @ 11:53 AM EDT (#65215) #
I agree with your analysis R. Billie. There are many ways of adapting, learning to turn on the inside fastball (opening up), standing further off the plate a la Clemente, laying off the soft stuff off the plate. Choosing the right approach(es) is Rios' work for this year with the help of Kenny Landreaux. If he succeeds, it'll make him a better hitter in 2005 in Toronto.
Alexis Rios and other Minor Matters | 6 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.