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Three hits from both Chris Hawkins and Chris Schaeffer led to the only win on the day for the Blue Jays affiliates.


New Orleans 7 Las Vegas 3

Starter Aaron Laffey struggled by allowing seven hits and five walks over 3.2 innings of work. He gave up three runs. Bobby Korecky also allowed three runs but that came in just one-third of an inning. Fellow relievers Jerry Gil, Jim Hoey, and Chad Beck worked a combined three innings of scoreless ball. At the plate, Adeiny Hechavarria went 3-for-3 at the top of the order. He also walked once and stole a base. Moises Sierra went hitless but he walked and stole two bases. Yan Gomes was 1-for-2 with a solo homer. He also took a rare free pass.

Binghamton 7 New Hampshire 6

The Fisher Cats' woes continue allow they were a little more competitive in this game. Randy Boone received the start and allowed four runs (two earned) in 5.0 innings of work. He gave up five hits, no walks and struck out three. Danny Farquhar struck out three batters in 1.1 innings of work but he blew the save with one run allowed on three hits. Aaron Loup was tagged for two unearned runs in two-thirds of an inning. Ron Uviedo worked the final two innings and did not allow a hit, a walk or a run. He struck out three batters. At the plate Mark Sobolewski hit his eighth home run in 113 at-bats (He had that many last year in 400 ABs) and he's now two taters away from his career high. Unfortunately he made two errors in the field at third base. Brian Van Kirk went 3-for-4 with two doubles and three RBI. Justin Jackson had two hits at the bottom of the order.

Dunedin - off day

Lansing 6 Dayton 3

David Rollins received the start and he allowed just one run in 5.0 innings of work. He allowed four hits, one walk and struck out one batter. Blake McFarland worked two scoreless innings in relief. Ajay Meyer made things interesting in the ninth inning and gave up two runs one three hits but eventually closed the door. The Lansing base runners stole five bases in the game, including Kenny Wilson who nabbed two despite failing to record a hit in the game (He walked once and struck out twice). Chris Hawkins had three hits, drove in three and stole a base. Catcher Chris Schaeffer, just activated off the disabled list, had three hits - including two doubles.  Kevin Pillar, who had six hits the other night, went 0-for-5.

Three Stars:
3. Chris Hawkins, three hits and three RBI
2. Chris Schaffer, three hits and two doubles
1. Adeiny Hechavarria, three hits and a walk
Lansing Records Lone Win on the Farm | 17 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Mylegacy - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 09:59 AM EDT (#256304) #
Marc, as always - love your stuff - wherever I can find it!

On Adeny - man this guy is getting close. The magic glove, the Lawrish range (only actually magnified to an elite SS level), and now a bat that just might be a serious plus(ish). Marc - is this guy ready to contribute or on the verge of being ready to actually dominate? IF - he is...does Escobar move to SS or get traded? Does Hech move to 2nd or get traded? Does Johnson get traded? Should I buy a few contracts of covered calls on TCK - or is it going to fall too far to make it worth holding the stock?

John Northey - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 10:13 AM EDT (#256305) #
Adeiny isn't a plus bat yet. Remember, Vegas inflates OPS drastically. 316/374/462 - 836 are wonderful numbers but the general rule (iirc) is to cut 10% off AAA stats to convert to majors and from Vegas you can probably cut another 10% off. That cuts his OPS from 836 to roughly 668 which, for a premium shortstop is good but isn't a plus bat. A 1000 OPS there would be roughly an 800 here. That is if my memory on how to translate Vegas to majors is right. Given that only Snider is impressive with his 1008 OPS while Gose's 700 would be a total disaster. But also don't forget age. Gose is in his age 21 season, d'Arnaud is 23 (742 OPS), Adeiny is also 23 as is Sierra. Gomes, Snider are both 24 while Cooper is 25. The rest are 27+ and no longer prospects but AAAA guys at best.

Vegas pitchers are all 27+ except for Carreno (here now) and Crawford (was here).
Ryan Day - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 12:13 PM EDT (#256312) #
I wonder if Vegas and the PCL affects Hechavarria the same way it affects other hitters. He's not much of a power hitter, unlike Snider or even Cooper, so the small parks shouldn't be too beneficial to him. The Vegas infield has been described as being bad for fielders, and therefore good for hitters, so that might come into play.

Either way, Hechavarria isn't likely to be an impact bat. It's just a question of whether he can hold his own with the bat while he saves games with his glove. He seems to be developing his eye at the plate - 14 walks in just 36 games this year, compared to 33 in 136 games last year.

I'm getting more and more convinced he can be good enough with the bat to stay in the lineup and wow us with his glove.
Mylegacy - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 12:48 PM EDT (#256314) #
Small sample size but -

Adeiny Hechavarria overall stats: .316/.374/.462/.836

Home: (83 at bats) .325/.387/.482/.869
Away:  (75 at bats) .307/.358/.440/.798

Not too bad for a one armed SS who's pidgeon toed, n'est pas?
(ALERT: for those of you with a humour deficit - I KNOW he's not pidgeon toed and as as to him only having one arm - I believe that may also be untrue.)

uglyone - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 12:57 PM EDT (#256315) #
I agree with you on the general Vegas discount, John. I usually peg it at about .125-.150 ops points as a ballpark.

So adjusted numbers might look something like this:

LF Snider (24): .860-.885ops
UT Gomes (24): .835-.860ops
1B Cooper (25): .730-.755ops
RF Sierra (23): .690-.715ops
SS Hech (23): .685-.710ops
C D'Arnaud (23): .625-.650ops
CF Gose (21): .550-.575ops

.700ish ops is actually pretty good from an elite-defense shortstop in his rookie year I think. Doesn't indicate an impact bat but it is starting to look like he might have a shot at being an MLB contributor. The most encouraging thing about his line this year is his walks - he's up over an 8% BB rate now which is very solid. He's showing the ability to hit for some average, the patience to take walks, and speed on the basepaths. The power isn't there at all, though, which is pretty bad considering that vegas boosts righty power more than most anything else.

It's also worth nothing that Hech's career AAA line now in vegas is an .890ops over 290pa. That translates closer to a .750ish type OPS, which is pretty encouraging from an all-glove rookie SS.
cybercavalier - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 01:46 PM EDT (#256317) #
I agree with both uglyone and John's accounts. Why is Snider still in AAA if his adjusted numbers are in the range of 860 and 885 OPS ?
John Northey - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 02:23 PM EDT (#256319) #
Good question - he was hurt but now appears to be OK (is there a good site for game logs for the minors?). Putting him in LF and moving Thames to DH while EE goes to 1B would seem a smart move as Lind just isn't showing any signs of even a dead cat bounce.

Lind, if released, would cost $8.5 million on top of this years salary (3 buyouts plus 2013's salary - this year is $5 mil).
92-93 - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 02:36 PM EDT (#256320) #
Just use his player page on milb.com. Snider is 0/13 in 4 games since returning from the wrist injury. You'd think the injury has set Snider back to square one, in that he has to show AA prolonged success with his "new" swing before they bring him back.
sam - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 03:05 PM EDT (#256322) #
Mylegacy I always get a kick of your prospect enthusiasm. Keep it up for us more dour types.

I might be in the minority here, but I have really enjoyed watching Kelly Johnson play. He does a lot to help you win, and while there might not be the grace to his game he seems to be the center of all our offence this year. I'd be exploring a contract extension before I'd consider trading him.
hypobole - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 03:40 PM EDT (#256323) #
"Lind, if released, would cost $8.5 million on top of this years salary (3 buyouts plus 2013's salary - this year is $5 mil)."

I don't believe this to be correct. The $1 million buyout for 2015 would only kick in if the 2014 option is picked up, and the 500K option for 2016 kicks in if the 2015 option is picked up. The Jays are on the hook for $7 million after this year (the $5 million 2013 salary and the $2 million 2014 buyout).
Chuck - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 03:55 PM EDT (#256324) #

I might be in the minority here, but I have really enjoyed watching Kelly Johnson play.

Hard to see you being in the minority. Johnson's OPS+ is a splendid 112 (in line with his career 106) and he has looked very good turning the doubleplay. His defense, subjectively, is much better than I was expecting.

I do concede that casual fans might not get far past his mediocre batting average or his very high K rate.

cybercavalier - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 04:01 PM EDT (#256325) #
92-93:

In terms of statistics, if Snider can show AA an adjusted OPS of above .766 (above the average OPS mark) after the injury, can he be brought to Toronto ? An adjusted OPS of above .766 equals to 0.958 OPS in Vegas.

Given the above, Snider has played 23 games, 4 of which were after the injury. So could achieving 0.958 OPS for next 19 games means something to AA ?

We have been using statistics for our discussion; scouting reports by fans and professionals are another stories.

92-93 - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 04:16 PM EDT (#256329) #
Snider's stats don't matter at all. The various scouting reports from the Vegas manager, hitting coach, and roving development heads will determine Snider's return to the majors.
TamRa - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 07:12 PM EDT (#256333) #
regarding the TYPE of inflation in Vegas, it has been stated a few times that the home park doesn't really inflate HR power but BA and doubles/triples


I don't remember the sources but it seemed credible.

Mike Green - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 07:44 PM EDT (#256334) #
One source, for sure, was of marginal credibility, Tamra.  That would be me.  Nonetheless, it does happen to be true.
Gerry - Monday, May 14 2012 @ 08:49 PM EDT (#256337) #
Lansing turned a triple play tonight.

Ryan Wright bunt pops into a triple play, catcher Carlos Perez to second baseman Jonathon Berti to first baseman K. Hobson. Juan Perez out at 2nd. Brandon Dailey out at 1st.
bpoz - Tuesday, May 15 2012 @ 10:01 AM EDT (#256355) #
C Beck is doing very well. Bases loaded none out and he gives up nothing.
Lansing Records Lone Win on the Farm | 17 comments | Create New Account
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