Parker just missed a HR off of a 101 MPH fastball in the Futures game. Beautiful swing on it.

Fangraphs was pretty complimentary towards Parker's performance, though they do suggest 3B is in his future.

"JoJo Parker, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays

Parker turned around a 101-mph fastball at the knees and lined it off the top of the right field wall in the seventh. It was the most impressive moment a hitter had all day and, as much as any single at-bat or pitch can, strengthened my conviction that he can hit. He also had a couple good takes on fastballs just off the plate and stayed back on a slider on another occasion, all of which made for a good day at the plate. Defensively, he looks destined for third; that’s not just my opinion either, as two scouts I spoke with also have him shifting away from short in the long run."

Two more hits for Casanova today. Meanwhile Gabriel Porras drove in six runs in the DSL, including a three run home run

Is it too soon to say we love Casanova?

Asterisk = promoted
Double Asterisk = demoted

(only minimum 50pa at level shown)


AAA

(3B Keys* (23): 77pa, 14.3b%, 19.5k%, .262bip, .281avg, .438iso, 178wrc+)
UT Schneider (27): 110pa, 29.1b%, 19.1k%, .327bip, .268avg, .183iso, 170wrc+
IF Harry (23): 116pa, 6.9b%, 18.1k%, .354bip, .314avg, .248iso, 143wrc+
OF Pinango (24): 123pa, 12.2b%, 26.0k%, .380bip, .292avg, .208iso, 131wrc+
3B McAdoo (24): 295pa, 13.9b%, 21.7k%, .310bip, .265avg, .197iso, 124wrc+
C Simoneit (29): 119pa, 12.6b%, 30.3k%, .371bip, .267avg, .218iso, 123wrc+

Schneider has really started to hit again in addition to all the walks. Pinango right back to hitting again in AAA. McAdoo keeps on trucking too.


UT Jimenez (29): 96pa, 8.3b%, 17.7k%, .382bip, .318avg, .082iso, 114wrc+
OF Schreck (25): 229pa, 17.0b%, 19.2k%, .263bip, .230avg, .175iso, 113wrc+
OF Munguia (27): 87pa, 10.3b%, 5.7k%, .304bip, .297avg, .108iso, 109wrc+
IF Kasevich (25): 378pa, 10.6b%, 11.4k%, .317bip, .283avg, .087iso, 103wrc+
IF Mendoza (26): 302pa, 18.2b%, 15.9k%, .266bip, .231avg, .092iso, 101wrc+
C MacIver (29): 255pa, 10.2b%, 26.3k%, .346bip, .260avg, .155iso, 100wrc+
OF Ward (26): 185pa, 8.6b%, 35.1k%, .333bip, .241avg, .193iso, 90wrc+

all hitting well enough to stay somewhat interesting.


(OF Clase* (24): 217pa, 12.9b%, 24.9k%, .281bip, .223avg, .136iso, 82wrc+)
IF Rivera (25): 300pa, 9.3b%, 32.0k%, .303bip, .222avg, .178iso, 81wrc+
C Stubbs (29): 81pa, 12.3b%, 34.6k%, .317bip, .211avg, .099iso, 70wrc+

Clase's awful start keeping his line down, but he's been hitting pretty well for a while now. Rivera and Stubbs falling off the pace tho.




AA

Very Young for Level

IF Nimmala (20): 88pa, 11.4b%, 23.9k%, .396bip, .303avg, .132iso, 127wrc+

Power coming now, just as we expect the babip to normalize.


Young for Level

nil

Age Appropriate

OF Arias (22): 199pa, 6.0b%, 22.6k%, .313bip, .263avg, .199iso, 101wrc+
IF Coffey (22): 260pa, 10.8b%, 33.8k%, .336bip, .219avg, .114iso, 72wrc+

Still just good not great from Arias. Still just struggles for Coffey.


Slightly Old for Level

OF Perez (23): 85pa, 17.6b%, 21.2k%, .326bip, .290avg, .319iso, 168wrc+
(3B Keys* (23): 209pa, 13.4b%, 24.4k%, .327bip, .285avg, .297iso, 158wrc+)
(IF Harry* (23): 179pa, 3.9b%, 23.5k%, .392bip, .325avg, .254iso, 140wrc+)
C Parker (23): 203pa, 13.8b%, 28.1k%, .343bip, .272avg, .225iso, 131wrc+
OF Burgos (23): 250pa, 12.0b%, 18.4k%, .313bip, .269avg, .176iso, 112wrc+
IF Pinto (23): 116pa, 13.8b%, 13.8k%, .275bip, .245avg, .194iso, 110wrc+
UT Gleed (23): 93pa, 12.9b%, 18.3k%, .288bip, .247avg, .156iso, 109wrc+

Hedbert Perez continues to crush it. And Parker's line just keeps getting better and better. All of Burgos Pinto Gleed good but not great so far.


Old for Level

OF Bohrofen (24): 197pa, 11.2b%, 34.0k%, .333bip, .253avg, .324iso, 139wrc+
IF Goodwin (24): 249pa, 11.6b%, 20.1k%, .290bip, .261avg, .232iso, 122wrc+
OF Micheletti (24): 345pa, 11.3b%, 17.7k%, .265bip, .246avg, .205iso, 108wrc+

Anyone know what Bohrofen's injury is? Goodwin and Micheletti still hitting but not excellint.


Too Old for Level

(OF Munguia* (27): 68pa, 11.8b%, 10.3k%, .360bip, .345avg, .109iso, 130wrc+)
OF Cunningham (25): 107pa, 15.0b%, 34.6k%, .400bip, .250avg, .167iso, 124wrc+
C Winkel (26): 111pa, 8.1b%, 30.6k%, .354bip, .257avg, .158iso, 92wrc+
IF Doughty (25): 97pa, 9.3b%, 27.8k%, .339bip, .244avg, .105iso, 81wrc+
1B Hornung (25): 227pa, 7.5b%, 30.4k%, .324bip, .230avg, .129iso, 72wrc+

Cunningham hitting, but with large holes in the line. Needs to do much more at his age to be interesting.



A+

Young for Level

(SS Nimmala* (20): 105pa, 15.2b%, 22.9k%, .283bip, .241avg, .241iso, 123wrc+)

Age Appropriate

OF Shaw (21): 96pa, 25.0b%, 21.9k%, .244bip, .239avg, .296iso, 157wrc+
3B Chirinos (21): 185pa, 10.3b%, 30.8k%, .294bip, .206avg, .106iso, 70wrc+
C Sprock (21): 8pa, 12.5b%, 25.0k%, .000bip, .000avg, .000iso, -56wrc+

Shaw's line isn't just great, but it's coming with a very low babip which makes it even more impressive.


Slightly Old for Level

IF Toman (22): 288pa, 12.8b%, 26.0k%, .361bip, .276avg, .172iso, 128wrc+
IF Snow (22): 109pa, 10.1b%, 8.3k%, .314bip, .313avg, .156iso, 126wrc+
IF Beltre (22): 213pa, 6.1b%, 22.1k%, .287bip, .245avg, .156iso, 85wrc+
C Duran (22): 119pa, 3.4b%, 19.3k%, .281bip, .230avg, .106iso, 61wrc+

Tomasn just having a very nice year all around. Snow hitting well so far too.

Duran is finally starting to hit a bit again, though he dug himself a big hole with a horrible start back from injury.


Old for Level

OF Hernandez (23): 277pa, 10.5b%, 20.9k%, .307bip, .267avg, .216iso, 127wrc+
(UT Gleed* (23): 202pa, 9.4b%, 20.3k%, .302bip, .269avg, .194iso, 116wrc+)
OF Casey (23): 59pa, 8.5b%, 23.7k%, .258bip, .213avg, .170iso, 114wrc+
UT Freethy (23): 322pa, 14.9b%, 24.2k%, .314bip, .238avg, .117iso, 102wrc+
IF Latta (23): 289pa, 14.2b%, 19.7k%, .310bip, .248avg, .087iso, 98wrc+

Nothing astonishing here at these ages but really all good enough to be at least somewhat interesting. Casey's line the most promising given the smaller sample and the low babip.


Too Old for Level

OF Vallee (25): 47pa, 12.8b%, 14.9k%, .469bip, .385avg, .128iso, 174wrc+
(UT Cunningham* (25): 223pa, 15.7b%, 31.4k%, .343bip, .250avg, .261iso, 139wrc+)
UT Williams (25): 237pa, 13.5b%, 20.7k%, .322bip, .261avg, .146iso, 112wrc+
C Sharp (24): 191pa, 8.9b%, 18.8k%, .272bip, .247avg, .198iso, 105wrc+
C Stone (24): 44pa, 2.3b%, 15.9k%, .182bip, .190avg, .190iso, 56wrc+

meh.



A

Very Young for Level

IF Sanchez (18): 274pa, 7.3b%, 27.0k%, .282bip, .214avg, .121iso, 68wrc+

In a deep funk at the moment, though at his age that's still nothing to worry about.


Young for Level

IF Parker (19): 328pa, 17.1b%, 24.7k%, .311bip, .242avg, .185iso, 119wrc+
OF Bullard (19): 330pa, 8.2b%, 27.0k%, .354bip, .268avg, .155iso, 104wrc+
IF Gregg (19): 25pa, 4.0b%, 36.0k%, .429bip, .261avg, .000iso, 67wrc+

Parker starting to shine more but still not a wow line. Bullard not far behind him.


Age Appropriate

OF Bonilla (20): 48pa, 6.3b%, 33.3k%, .407bip, .289avg, .156iso, 107wrc+
IF Ramon (20): 261pa, 11.1b%, 15.7k%, .285bip, .244avg, .120iso, 104wrc+
IF Gaxiola (20): 242pa, 4.5b%, 29.8k%, .294bip, .228avg, .179iso, 83wrc+

Ramon remains promising but not exactly exciting.


Slightly Old for Level

(C Sprock* (21): 280pa, 17.5b%, 11.1k%, .332bip, .306avg, .135iso, 144wrc+)
IF DeLosSantos (21): 153pa, 13.7b%, 31.4k%, .383bip, .246avg, .077iso, 94wrc+
OF Joseph (21): 45pa, 13.3b%, 17.8k%, .323bip, .263avg, .026iso, 85wrc+

Sprock earned his promotion before the trade.


Old for Level

C Lasaracina (22): 53pa, 15.1b%, 26.4k%, .333bip, .262avg, .190iso, 130wrc+
(IF Snow* (22): 182pa, 11.5b%, 17.0k%, .344bip, .285avg, .076iso, 103wrc+)
OF Licourt (22): 194pa, 16.0b%, 44.3k%, .343bip, .194avg, .206iso, 97wrc+
OF Cook (22): 184pa, 15.2b%, 26.6k%, .343bip, .240avg, .067iso, 94wrc+
C Cresswell (22): 120pa, 11.7b%, 41.7k%, .321bip, .175avg, .049iso, 48wrc+

Gotta love Lasarcina's start to the level. If he can keep it up then he's definitely interesting.


Too Old for Level

C Hackenberg (26): 140pa, 8.6b%, 20.7k%, .383bip, .308avg, .100iso, 114wrc+
UT Tibbitts (23): 111pa, 14.4b%, 27.0k%, .339bip, .231avg, .077iso, 92wrc+
OF Smith (23): 189pa, 15.3b%, 18.0k%, .237bip, .193avg, .060iso, 75wrc+

meh.

The FCL Jays beat the Yankees today and that has guaranteed them a place in the playoffs. There are less than two weeks left in the regular season.

Bleacher Report updated Jays Top 10:

1. SS JoJo Parker (Tier 2)
2. SS Arjun Nimmala (Tier 2)
3. LHP Johnny King (Tier 3)
4. RHP Nolan Perry (Tier 4)
5. RHP Gage Stanifer (Tier 4)
6. 3B Sean Keys (Tier 4)
7. OF Blaine Bullard
8. LHP Cole Carlon
9. 3B Juan Sanchez
10. LHP Ricky Tiedemann

Top 100 26-50 is tier 2, 51-100 tier 3, 101-200 tier 4

I like their aggressive placement for Bullard.

Seojun Moon threw 93 4S FB, CH, CU and SL. Turned 19 in May.

ESPN updated Top 10

1. Jojo Parker, SS
2. Arjun Nimmala, SS
3. Johnny King, LHP
4. Nolan Perry, RHP
5. Sean Keys, 3B
6. Cole Carlon, LHP
7. Will Brick, C
8. Blaine Bullard, CF
9. Ricky Tiedemann, LHP
10. Jake Bloss, RHP

In the recent lists I am surprised at the continuing high ranking of Stanifer and Tiedemann (for different reasons). Tiedemann (like Barreira) has moved past the point where his arm injury history can be considered a blip - we're into "if they can come back healthy its found money" territory. With Stanifer there are two big issues - he only really has two pitches (FB/SL) so he's far more likely a reliever even in the best case scenario and his control is beyond playable. I understand that the stuff can be electric - I saw him live in back to back 4 inning stints with Yesavage one day and he looked like the better prospect - but he just doesn't harness it nearly often enough.

I think with Stanifer, Tiedemann and Bloss their Top 10 ranking may not be a testament of how highly they are thought of. I think it's more a case of who has shown enough to pass them?

I think Sam Shaw would be one guy who might have deservedly passed some of those guys.

There's a number of others i'd put in that mix but none is exactly a clearcut case.

On talent/production Shaw has a legitimate argument, but he hasn't been the picture of health either.

Some of those rankings are being hedged by level/talent. Bloss has been getting hit around, but he is coming back from injury and he is in AAA. His velocity is actually up pretty significantly post-injury. On July 5th his fastball averaged 96.3 MPH and hit 97 mph. His fastball averaged 93.6 MPH in 11 IP when he reached the MLB with Houston in 2024.

Bloss has always reminded of Kyle Drabek as a prospect.

hype around the fastballs but not really impressive stuff and never impressive stats, while being mostly old for levels.

About Bloss, while he's not pitched up to his stuff this year so far, it's worth remembering that except for one game he's been more middling than bad (particularly in the strikeouts being lower than you'd want)

On June 30 he somehow got tagged for 11 runs on 4 IP
In that game he was tagged for 7 in the first inning on 7 hits (including 2 homers) and 2 HBP

Otherwise, in AAA, his ERA is 4.60

Not to say he's ready for prime time, but his recovery has been relatively short yet.

The players that I like to make it from the current group are Keys, Perry, Shaw, Nimmala, Parker and King (in order of timing of arrival).  I guarantee that at least two will not do so, but in my opinion, it's a very good group at the top.  The one most likely to have a good career (say at least 3 seasons of 3-5 WAR among his first six) is Sean Keys, and the one with the best chance of a Hall of Fame career is Jo Jo Parker.  

Shaw's build reminds me of Davis Schneider and, unless soemthing's changed, I dont see him as a legit 2B or CF option so he'd be destined for LF. Add the injury woes and he's more in the 20-30 range of Jays prospects for me.

Stanifer is a clear reliever from delivery to lack of a third offering to his continued command issues. Quite possibly a high-leverage guy if he improves the command.

I don't see Tiedemann as a Top 30 guy anymore. Another clear reliever and the health is a major issue; can't see him in 60+ games a year.

Intrigued by Guerra (elbow strain) but they should just do the TJ surgery and get it out of the way. And they have some interesting looking bats in the FCL (Guzman, Archila) and DSL.

King is the most interesting to me to see what happens at higher levels. King is basically still just a two pitch pitcher FB/CV. He's throwing a bunch of CH's in games but I'll be kind and say that its a work in progress. Anyway, he has what, when I was growing up, was the starter kit for power LH starters (4 seem FB and a "loopy" CV - aka the Koufax arsenal (although King is much more 3/4's delivery)). However, its just not a 2 pitch combination that you see right now in the majors from power LH's. I can't think of many (if any) starters succeeding with that arsenal.

I don't really see the Drabek comparison. Drabek was a career 6.7 K/9 pitcher in the minors, Bloss is at 8.8 K/9. Drabek came up before advanced pitch analysis, and I'd bet that his fastball shape and spin were likely extremely sub-optimal despite his velocity, so his actual stuff was likely very overrated.

Also, how exactly was Bloss old for the level? He was drafted in 2023 and saw the normal couple appearances after signing before being shut down as almost all college pitchers undergo. He then started 2024 in High A and was quickly promoted up the minors, spending the majority of the season as a 23 year old in AA (ie: not old for the level), before eventually earning 3 spot starts in the MLB (also obviously not old). No offense, but that's a fairly wild statement to make about to a guy who pitched MLB innings a year after being drafted.

Bloss is still a guy who's sum is less than the individual parts that he has to work with, but modern pitching analysis is much more accurate these days. Looking at his base stats alone is also likely not going to be very telling because he shot through the minors and then blew his arm out, so his sample size at each level has been tiny. He hasn't made more than 8 starts at any level in the same calendar year since turning pro. Johnny King for example has made 17 starts in High A this season, so his base stats have had time to normalize at the level. He is still very much an enigma until he has a chance to settle down, which should have been last season in AAA, but he blew his arm out almost immediately. And now he is pitching post rehab and its clear that his command isn't there, even though his stuff is up.

Guthrie to Van

Bloss has always been somewhat old for his levels. The one time he wasn't, as a 23yr old in AAA, he got tattoed. The only time he's had legit exciting numbers is when he was 2yrs old for A+ at 23.

Drabek A+ (21): 71era- 49fip- 71xfip-
Bloss A+ (23): 45era-, 63fip-, 77xfip-

Drabek AA (21): 91era-, 91fip-, 94xfip-
Drabek AA (22): 70era-, 96fip-, 96xfip-
Bloss AA (23): 40era-, 80fip-, 96xfip-

Drabek AAA (23): 137era-, 123fip-, 108xfip-
Bloss AAA (23): 130era-, 115fip-, 121xfip-

And Bloss had no business making those 3 mlb starts.

DSL All-Stars
C Juan Caricote Blue Jays
RHP Cristhian Duarte Blue Jays

Daniel Guerra was due to pitch in the FCL today but the game was rained out.

Interesting about King and his reverse splits. I've seen him twice and on that tiny sample I would have said its the FB that is the differentiator for the handedness. For some reason, arm angle, FB shape, hiding the ball, or something else, RHH's (at the A ball level) get wiped out by his FB up in the zone. So many bad swings, particularly on pitches up and on the outer half. They just don't seem to pick it up very well. Maybe he's reluctant to throw that FB up and in on LHH's for fear of hitting them? Maybe whatever distortion is troubling RHH's doesn't have the same effect on LHH's? Not sure what the issue is. It will be interest to follow.

Caricote is the first $1 million plus IFA singing that is actually living up to expectations in a long time. Or am I missing someone?

Just a general comment after reading that Tiedemann has fallen out of Marc Hulet's Top 30. In 2023, there was a lot of talk about giving up prospects for Ohtani or Soto. One poster suggested that the Angels GM would say "Give me Tiedemann, Barriera, Orelvis, Jimenez, and Bonilla", and that the Jays would then counter. Moral of the story? Always improve the MLB club.

Moral of the story? Always improve the MLB club.

Here are 3 2026 All-Stars who were traded as prospects to teams trying to improve their MLB club.

Nellie Cruz for Joe Ryan
Tobias Myers for Junior Caminero
Josh Fields for Yordan Alvarez

Moral of this story? There is no moral other than sometimes trades work out and sometimes they don't. It's absolutely ridiculous to take 1 or 3 examples and consider those as proof of concept.

One needs to be careful with trades - do them when it makes sense either long term or short depending on where the team is at - 2024 was a long term deal time, 2025 a short term situation. 2026 to be determined, but looks like a long term planning time - where you trade ML assets for prospects.

No one ever complains about the Jeff Kent (and his 50+ WAR to come) being traded for 2 months of David Cone in 1992 because they won it all. We still hear the odd complaint about Dickey for Noah Syndergaard though - because the Jays sucked in '13/'14 when the trades value was supposed to come, he helped a lot in '15 though with 214 IP 105 ERA+, and still ate innings in '16 (169 IP 96 ERA+) which was important. But Syndergaard at the same time was WOW for NYM (333 IP 136 ERA+ over those years, 5 playoff games, 26 IP 2.42 ERA too). AA guessed wrong on the Jays window.

Right now, I'd be planning for 27-30. Nimmala could be ready in '27, should be for '28 with Parker close behind. An assortment of pitchers are close too, but not quite ready. Gimenez signed through 2029 with a team option for '30 - I suspect if anyone offered to take him off the Jays hands they'd take it right now. Great D, no O - that 2022 season seems a distant mirage now and a 73 OPS+ just doesn't cut it. Clement can cover SS for '26, or call up Kasevich and see what he has. The OF is a mess, Lukes at 103 leads in OPS+, tied with no D Sanchez. Clase off to a great start, but his history suggests it won't last, but lets give him 100+ PA and see if it can. Varsho is likely gone post-2026. Barger looked great in the playoffs, but he needs to show us that in the regular season too.

Sigh. Not as fun when they are losing. A hot 2 weeks in July would help, but unless it is due to Vlad becoming Vlad again it won't stick. Hate to give up on '26 but I don't see a lot of other options right now. It'd be unpopular but if someone makes a half decent offer on Lukes I'd take it.

Regarding playoffs.

TB is at 96 win pace which is very comfortable.

NYY is at 90 win pace which is only sort of comfortable. They are currently on a 4gm win streak. So they could drop to 87/88 win pace or 92/93 win pace very easily.

CWS/Cleveland are on 85 win pace with Minnesota capable of catching both. IMO 85 wins should not, but could get you a WC spot.

Boston is on a 9 game win streak. Oakland on a 9 game losing streak. So streaks matter.

KC/LAA are on a 63 win pace so they will not be buyers.

Everyone else has a shot. AL Central and West winner is available as are 2 WCs. NYY have a good grip in a WC. So IMO if the trade deadline was 2 days away almost everyone is buying.

I don't dig deeper. But 1 gm won/lost ratio is very significant.

TJ Brock is alive! He made his first appearance since 2024 in the FCL today. He struck out the side in his inning but walked two.

Daniel Guerra also pitched after a month on the IL.

Jake Bloss is back on the IL.