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Welcome to the creme de la creme, the number one through ten prospects.  In case you missed it number 11 through 20 are here, and number 21 to 30 are here.

We hope you enjoyed this top 30 and the hope it brings to the future of the Blue Jays organization. 




Image from BlueJaysFromAway.com.

10. Mitch Nay | 3B

Year Age Level AB 2B 3B HR BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG
2013
19
RK+
230
11
0
6
25
35
0
1
.300
.364
.426
2014
20
A
473
34
3
3
39
79
6
2
.285
.342
.389
2014
20
A+
37
1
0
0
3
9
0
1
.189
.250
.216

Mitch Nay was selected by the Jays 58th overall in the supplemental round of the 2012 draft out of high school in Arizona.  Mitch signed for $1,000,000, slightly over slot to draw him away from his commitment to Arizona State University.

Mitch's first taste of affiliated ball was in 2013, as he hit a solid .300/.364/.426 over 258 PA with Bluefield with a respectable walk and strikeout rate.  In 2014 Mitch started the season with Lansing batting .285/.342/.389 over 558 PA, with a late season promotion to Dunedin.  In his short stint with Dunedin Mitch struggled to .189/.250/.216 over 40 PA.

Expect Mitch to start 2015 in Dunedin, as he continues to develop as a power corner infielder in his age 21 season.


9. Miguel Castro | RHP

Year Age Level G GS IP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 ERA
2013 18 RK- 11
10
53.0
6.8
0.00
2.0
12.1
1.36
2013 18 RK 3 2 15.0
6.6
0.0
1.2
8.4
2.40
2013 18 RK+ 1 0 2.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 13.5 0.00
2014 19 A- 10 10 50.1 6.4 0.4 3.6 9.5 2.15
2014 19 A 4 4 21.2 4.2 0.8 2.9 8.3 3.74
2014 19 A+ 2 1 8.2 4.2 2.1 3.1 5.2 3.12

Miguel Castro
burst on the scene last summer with a strong showing in the GCL. This year he was assigned to Vancouver where he made ten starts and delivered a 2.15 ERA. However in one start he allowed six runs, half of the runs he allowed in Vancouver. Outside of that start his ERA was just over 1.00. That earned Castro a promotion to Lansing where he pitched well in four starts and then on to Dunedin where he made two starts. Dunedin was the best challenge for Castro, he allowed a home run in each of his starts and his strikeout rate dropped. Castro will likely start 2015 in Dunedin.

Castro is 19 and won't turn 20 until Christmas Eve. His success comes from his tall lanky frame, he is listed at 6'5", a low 3/4 sling shot-type delivery and a mid-90s fastball that he can command low in the zone. Castro also features a breaking ball and a change, both of which need work. Castro's poorer results in Dunedin show that he needs those secondary pitches to get better before he can continue the move up. Those pitches are also necessary to slot his future as a starter rather than as a reliever.


8. Kendall Graveman | RHP

Year Age Level G GS IP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 ERA
2013 22 A 10 10 39.2
9.3
0.7
2.9
5.7
4.31
2014 23 A 4 4 26.1 3.8 0.0 2.1 8.5 0.34
2014 23 A+ 16 16 96.2 8.3 0.1 1.7 6.0 2.23
2014 23 AA 1 1 6.0 12.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 1.50
2014 23 AAA 6 6 38.1 8.9 0.2 1.2 5.2 1.88
2014 23 MLB 5
0
4.2
7.7
0.0
0.0
7.7
3.86

The Blue Jays acquired Kendall Graveman via the 2013 draft in the 8th round after he spent four years at Mississippi State University.  Kendall signed for $5,000, which was roughly $100,000 under slot for his draft position.

Kendall briefly played for Lansing in 2013 after he signed, putting up fairly mediocre numbers in 10 starts.  Kendall started 2014 in Lansing again, with brief stops in Dunedin, New Hampshire, Buffalo, and finally Toronto in September. 

Kendallís 2014 minor league season was a giant surprise for the Jays, as he pitched 167.1 innings over 4 levels, finishing with a 1.83 ERA.  He finished second in the minors in 2014 ERA, just slightly behind Pirates prospect Tyler Glasnow who finished with an ERA of 1.74.  Kendall credits his success in 2014 due to the cutter he added by mistake during a start in Dunedin. Despite the strong 2014 campaign, he will probably start 2015 in Buffalo knowing that he is only a phone call away from Toronto.

 

7. Max Pentecost | C

Year Age Level AB 2B 3B HR BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG
2014
21
RK
22
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
.364
.364
.455
2014
21
A-
83
2
3
0
2
18
2
1
.313
.322
.410

Max Pentecost has been busy maxing out the room in his trophy case after piling up the awards over the last couple of seasons. The Winder, Georgia native was named the Most Valuable Player of the Cape Cod League in 2013 after a batting line of .346/.425/.538 along with six home runs and 29 runs batted in with the Bourne Braves. His performance on the Cape also earned him College Summer Player of the Year honours from Perfect Game. He earned more hardware this season by capturing Atlantic Sun Conference Player of the Year honours and the Johnny Bench Award as the top catcher in the NCAA. He was also named a finalist for the Dick Howser Award as college baseballís top player. That was after batting .422 and putting up an on-base-plus-slugging mark of 1.109 in his junior season with Kennesaw State, the same college Chad Jenkins attended. He racked up 24 doubles, two triples and nine home runs to go along with 61 runs batted in. Even more impressively, Pentecost stole 17 bases last year and was 25-for-25 in his three-year college career. The 6-foot-2 catcher helped the Owls reach the Super Regional but they wound up losing to Louisville, who advanced to the College World Series in Omaha.

Pentecost was selected 11th overall in the 2014 draft, a pick the Jays received after their inability to sign 2013 first-round pick Phil Bickford. Jim Callis of MLB.com rated Pentecost as the best pure catcher in the draft. Agreeing to a slot bonus of $2.9 million, he made his pro debut in the Gulf Coast League July 7. He was to report to Vancouver initially but he did not have a passport. In just his second game in the GCL, the right-handed hitter went 5-for-5 with two doubles and two RBI. He finally made it into Canada for his Cís debut July 15. His first at-bat resulted in a sacrifice fly and he went on to go 2-for-3 with a double and a run scored in a win over Eugene. He began his Vancouver career with a nine-game hitting streak and had a six-game streak that carried into early August. However, he missed the rest of the season with a wrist injury and just underwent surgery for a partially-torn labrum in his shoulder earlier this month according to Alexis Brudnicki of CanadianBaseballNetwork.com. Recovery time is estimated at four months. Itís not the first time Pentecost has been sidelined. He suffered an arm injury during his senior year in high school but he was still taken by the Texas Rangers in the 7th round of the 2011 draft.

Jays roving catching instructor Sal Fasano called Pentecost ultra-athletic and said he was working with him on his set-up behind the plate, which he described as slightly awkward. Fasano also told Sportsnet Radio The Fan 590 he agrees with the Jason Kendall comparison to Pentecost but says the young catcher is faster than Kendall and Buster Posey. He believes Pentecost has the ability to create his own niche in the bigs. He also believes young catchers do not mature until theyíre about 27 years old as they have to defend, handle a pitching staff and hit - pointing to Yadier Molina as a prime example.

Pentecost, who will turn 21 on March 10, should find his way to Lansing in 2015. Itís hoped he will be ready to catch more games after donning the tools of ignorance just 10 times in both the Gulf Coast and Vancouver last season. He was rated the number eight prospect in the Northwest League by Baseball America.

Image from MiLB.com.

6. Roberto Osuna | RHP 

Year Age Level G GS IP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 ERA
2012
17
RK+
7
4
24.0
6.6
0.4
2.2
9.0
1.50
2012
17
A-
5
5
19.2
6.8
0.5
4.1
11.4
3.20
2013
18
A
10
10
42.1
8.3
1.4
2.3
10.8
5.53
2014
19
RK
1
1
1.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
18.0
0.00
2014
19
A+
7
7
22.0
11.5
1.2
3.7
12.3
6.55

2014 was basically a write-off for Roberto Osuna. Yes it's good that he returned from Tommy John surgery to pitch but the results were inconsistent. There is a lot of attention paid to a pitcher returning after surgery, usually at the one year anniversary. But it is usually the second year after surgery when you see thr real post surgery pitcher. since his rteurn Osuna has shown good fastball velocity but poor command. This is normal. He struck out over 12 hitters per inning for Dunedin which is excellent but he also gave up over 11 hits per nine innings which is not good.  

In 2015 Osuna should be back to full strength, ready to go. He will likely return to Dunedin which is just fine for a twenty year old. Osuna is currently pitching in the AFL with the same mixed results. The innings will give him a good base to start 20145 in a comfortable position.

Image from Eddie Michels.

5. Jeff Hoffman | RHP 

Year Age Level G GS IP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 ERA
2012
19
NCAA
19
10
73.2
7.3
0.5
2.6
6.7
3.67
2013
20
NCAA
15
15
109.2
8.1
0.3
3.2
6.9
3.20
2014
21
NCAA
10
10
67.1
7.1
0.5
2.7
9.6
2.94

Jeff Hoffman has yet to throw a pitch in a Jaysí uniform so I will limit my waxing of his talents.  Widely tipped to be one of the top players taken in this past yearís draft, Hoffman fell to the Jays at nine due to elbow issues.  Hoffman has undergone Tommy John and should be pitching for a Jaysí affiliate sometime next year. 

If he regains his college repertoire, the Jays will have a serious prospect on their hands.  Hoffman throws his fastball in the mid-90s throughout his starts with solid command.  He possesses a 12-6 curveball, slider and changeup.  His delivery is a tad wonky, but repeatable, and he has the frame to suggest he can handle some innings.  Hoffman has been compared to a poor manís Adam Wainwright.  Provided he comes back healthy, Hoffman could move quickly through the organization. 


4. Franklin Barreto | SS

Year Age Level AB 2B 3B HR BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG
2013
17
RK
174
16
6
4
13
42
10
4
.299
.368
.529
2013
17
RK+
54
5
1
0
2
14
0 2 .204
.259
.333
2014
18
A-
289
23
4
6
26
64
29
5
.311
.384
.481

Why was Franklin Barreto the number one prospect in the Northwest League according to Baseball America? Letís begin at the beginning. The Caracas, Venezuela native went 4-for-4 with a walk and a run batted in on Opening Night to spearhead Vancouverís 11-2 victory in Salem-Keizer June 13. That was one of four four-hit performances on the season and it highlighted a five-game hitting streak in which he batted .571 to start the year. After a .333 batting average in June, the right-handed hitter slipped to .287 in July but still managed to string together a 10-game hitting streak. He earned a berth in the Northwest League All-Star Game and went on to lead the Canadians back to the postseason with a .324 batting average that included four of his six homers in August. As the number three hitter, he teamed up with Roemon Fields and Tim Locastro to form a speedy trio at the top of the Vancouver order that stole a combined 109 bases, led by Fieldsí 48. Barreto also had a hit in all four of Vancouverís playoff games, going 5-for-18.

As great a season as he had with the bat, the 5-foot-9 shortstop did not have a great season with the glove as he committed 26 errors for a .913 fielding percentage. His throws to first base were not very accurate at times and was saved a handful of errors by first baseman Ryan McBroom and his scooping ability. That fueled prior speculation that Barreto will be moved off of short to either center field or second base.

Signed as a free agent out of Venezuela in 2012 for $1,450,000, Baseball America says Barreto has shown quick hands, good plate discipline and a line-drive stroke with the ability to drive the ball to right field. He projects to have an above-average bat that should lead to double-digit home run totals and plenty of doubles.

The winner of the R. Howard Webster Award as the top minor league performer in Vancouver, Barreto should get his first taste of full season ball with Lansing in 2015. Heíll be just 19 years old on February 27.



3. Aaron Sanchez | RHP

Year Age Level G GS IP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 ERA
2010
17
RK
8 8 19.0 9.0 0.5 5.7 13.3
1.42
2010 17 A-
2 2 6.0 6.0 0.0 7.5 13.5 4.50
2011 18 RK+ 11 6 42.2 9.6 0.9 3.8 9.1 5.48
2011 18 A- 3 3 11.2 6.2 0.0 6.2 10.0 4.63
2012
19
A
25
18 90.1
6.4 0.3 5.1 9.7 2.49
2013
20 A+
22
20 86.1
6.6 0.4 4.2 7.8 3.34
2014
21 AA
14
14
66.0
7.1
0.3
5.5
7.8
3.82
2014
21 AAA
8
6
34.1
9.4
1.0
4.5
7.1
4.19
2014
21 MLB
24
0
33.0
3.8
0.3
2.5
7.4
1.09

While other organizations have seen their front-end pitching prospects race through the minors to much acclaim, only to experience injury or poor performance in the big leagues, the Jays have taken a conservative approach with Aaron Sanchez.  It had been station-to-station for Sanchez, building his innings and perpetually tinkering with his delivery.  That, however, changed this year.  Sanchez pitched at three levels, finishing the year off in the Jays bullpen where he was arguably the best pitcher for the Jays down that back stretch.  Sanchez got his innings up to 130+ and showed he can handle major league hitters.  In the 100 odd minor league innings he started in New Hampshire and Buffalo, he tallied 84 strikeouts and 57 walks.  His ERA came in at 3.95.  In 33 innings in Toronto, he struck out 27 and walked nine while allowing just 14 hits.  Thatís a 0.7 WHIP to take to the bank.  So where and what does he do next year?

Sanchez remains a bit of a tease.  Scouts will have worked for 30 years and not see a pitcher as free and easy as Sanchez.  He is effortless at 95 mph and briskly walking at 98 mph.  His fastball and curveball alone should yield a plus 9.00 K/BB, yet Sanchez still has not approached that number.  That, perhaps, is all fine and dandy given the action on his two-seamer, which made the pitch one of the hardest to square up in major league baseball.  Nonetheless, the feeling remains that there is so much more Mr. Sanchez has to offer. 

Sanchez quite clearly warrants his position on this list.  While he has not had the big breakout season Daniel Norris has had, Sanchez still represents (at least in my mind) the organizationís only true fire front end pitching prospect.  Heís a starting pitcher and Iíd like to see him pitching in the Jays rotation next April. 

2. Dalton Pompey | OF

Year Age Level AB 2B 3B HR BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG
2010
17
RK
47
0
0
2
3
10
4
1
.191
.255
.319
2011
18
RK+
68
3
0
1
14
23
4
1
.191
.353
.279
2011
18
RK
158
7
2
4
24
35
19
0
.259
.361
.405
2012
19
RK+
14
1
1
0
0
2
1
0 .357
.357
.571
2012
19
A-
34
3
1
0
9
7
3
0
.294
.442
.441
2012
19
A
22
0
1
0
1
5
1
1
.227
.261
.318
2013
20
A
437
22
9
6
63
106
38
10 .261
.358
.394
2014
21
A+
276
12
6
6
34
56
29
2 .319
.397
.471
2014
21
AA
112
5
3
3
12
18
8
5 .295
.378
.473
2014
21
AAA
53
6
0
0
5
10
6
0 .358
.393
.453
2014
21
MLB
39
1
2
1
4
12
1
0
.231
.302
.436

The Blue Jays drafted Dalton Pompey in the 16th round of the 2010 draft out of high school in Mississauga, Ontario.  Dalton was drafted as a speedy outfielder with a hitting tool that was a work in progress.

In his 5th professional season with the Jays in 2014, things started to click for Daltonís bat as he hit .317/.392/.469 over 500 PA with 43 stolen bases, across 3 minor league stops in Dunedin, New Hampshire and Buffalo.  In September, he was promoted to Toronto and put together a line of 231/302/436 over 43 PA.

Dalton's 2015 future is up in the air, as it seems 50/50 whether he starts with the Blue Jays or Buffalo.   Either way, it seems like the Dalton will be patrolling the Jays outfield for many years to come.

1. Daniel Norris | LHP

Year Age Level G GS IP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 ERA
2012
19
RK+
11
10
35.0
11.3
1.0
3.3
9.8
7.97
2012
19
A-
2
2
7.2
16.4
0.0
5.9
5.9
10.57
2013
20
A
23
22
85.2
8.8
0.6
4.6
10.4
4.20
2013
20
A+
21
1
5.0
1.8
0.0
3.6
1.8
0.00
2014
21
A+
13
13
66.1
6.8
0.0
2.4
10.3
1.22
2014
21
AA
8
8
35.2
8.1
1.3
4.4
12.4
4.54
2014
21
AAA
5
4
22.2
5.6
0.8
3.2
15.1
3.18
2014
21
MLB
5
1
6.2
6.8
1.4
6.8
5.4
5.40

Itís not very often that a second round draft pick ranks in the clubís Top 10 prospects the off-season after he was drafted, but Daniel Norris was no ordinary second round selection. Norris fell to the 74th overall pick in the 2011 draft because of concerns over his bonus demands. The Jays signed him for $2 million, which was the fourth highest bonus in club history at that time.

In high school Norris was an elite athlete, excelling in three sports in his first three years. However, he gave up everything else after Grade 11 to focus solely on baseball. Norris posted a 33-3 record at Science Hill High School, which included a no-hitter with 15 strikeouts. The southpaw was named the best high school prospect by Perfect Game Scouting that year. Norris was also named Baseball Americaís High School Pitcher of the Year in 2010 and prior to the draft, Baseball America named him the 16th-best draft-eligible prospect and Keith Law ranked him 33rd.

One reason why teams may have shied away from Norris and his bonus demands was that he was still plagued by an inconsistent delivery in high school, which created issues with his command. Although this is not uncommon among high school pitchers, some high school pitchers never overcome those inconsistencies or are never able to establish a consistent delivery that allows them to maximize their potential.

In his first season as a professional, Norris pitched primarily for Bluefield aside from two starts he made for the Canadians at the end of the season. His problems with his control were evident, as Norris walked 18 batters over 42.2 innings and surrendered 58 hits. He posted an 8.44 ERA on the year, while striking out 43.

After a disappointing 2011, Norris also struggled at the beginning of the 2012 season. As was noted in last yearís minor league review, reportedly a conversation Norris had with Vince Horsman, Lansingís pitching coach, led to a marked improvement. He only threw 90.2 innings in 2013, all but five of them in Lansing. While his ERA was 3.97 on the season, he posted a K rate of 9.9. His walk rate was 4.6 per 9, but his hit rate was only 6.9 from June through the end of the season.

If 2013 hinted at success, 2014 was Norris took a huge step towards realizing his potential. He started the year in Dunedin and had a 1.22 ERA over 13 starts. Norris struck out 76 batters in 66.1 innings and demonstrated control he had never previously shown as a professional by only walking 18. He was promoted to New Hampshire, where he made 8 starts and struck out 49 in 35.2 innings. Norris soon found himself in Buffalo where he struck out 38 in 22.2 innings over four starts and one appearance out of the bullpen. At each of his three stops in the minor leagues, Norris allowed less hits than innings pitched.

Norris was promoted to the major leagues in September and had a memorable major league debut at Fenway Park, striking out David Ortiz. However, his other appearances werenít as impressive and Norris struggled with his control in the big leagues, throwing only 70 of his 138 pitches for strikes.

The 6í2Ē lefty throws four pitches, including a fastball that can reach the mid 90s but usually sits comfortably at about 92-93 miles per hour. His change-up sits in the low-80ís and can be deceptive, particularly against right-handers. Norris also throws a curveball and slider, both of which are still works in progress to some degree. The curveball he struck out Ortiz with demonstrated what one of his good curveballs can look like, as he throws it in the mid-70ís with a hard break. His slider is around 83-85 miles per hour and, like his curveball, has shown a marked improvement over the past couple of seasons. He used his slider as his second-most frequent pitch in the majors, narrowly ahead of his change-up. Itís easy to see Norrisí potential if he can develop consistency with his breaking pitches, as the stuff can look electric at times.

Given his rapid ascension through the minor leagues this year, there were several articles published on Norris and his laid-back attitude, including focusing on the 1978 Volkswagon microbus he bought with his signing bonus and his recently-discovered love of surfing. Norris appears to be very humble and determined and heís received consistent praise for his makeup, including his passion for baseball and improving himself. Norris will likely return to Buffalo at the beginning of 2015 to continue his development, but it would be a surprise if he was still eligible for this list in a yearís time.

He underwent surgery on his elbow earlier this month to have bone spurs and loose bodies removed but is expected to be ready in plenty of time for Spring Training.

Blue Jays 2014 Top Prospects: 10-1 | 34 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Mike Green - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 09:20 AM EDT (#294638) #
Thank you to the minor league team for another excellent year of reporting (including photos).

It was quite a year for the minor league system- probably the best in a decade or more.  There were so many leaps forward; the organization now boasts quite a few players who have a decent chance to be significant contributors to a playoff team.

Lugnut Fan - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 09:22 AM EDT (#294639) #

Hard to argue with this list.  I probably would have juggled the top three or four a little bit, but really it is nitpicking.  Bravo to you and the prospect team here Gerry.  I agree 110% that Sanchez is a starter and should be given every opportunity.  He is still quite young and I think some of the criticism he has received is a little unwarranted.  His walk rate is too high, but when you are constantly having your delivery tinkered with it doesn't surprise me.  What I think he needs is a consistent message and approach.  He also needs a repeatable delivery.  Some day, everything is going to click for him and he has the potential to be exteremly dominant at the MLB level. 

Also, thank goodness for Daniel having quick reflexes.  I was at one of Daniels last starts for Lansing in West Michigan last year where he caught the comebacker that almost hit him in the face.  It was a top play on ESPN thankfully and not a tragedy.  If he doesn't get that mitt up...........Here is to many more years of success.

85bluejay - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 09:28 AM EDT (#294641) #
Thanks again for excellent work - I think this is the most encouraging top 30 since this list started - was impressed with the prospects who were left off the top 30 whom I am intrigued with including a plethora of injured players.

Concerned that the Max Pentecost pick was more about need than merit - I guess it's the remembrance of 1983's Matt Stark over Roger Clemens that clouds my view - But if Touki Touissiant becomes a somebody and Pentecost doesn't, then I'm going to be thinking "those who don't learn from history, are doomed to repeat it".

I hope Dan Jansen starts in Lansing, I'm really excited to see what he can do - thank goodness, Santiago Nessy is no longer our "catcher of the future" hope.

I am also happy to see that our IFA investment seems to be paying dividends and especially that some of the Latin position prospects are not taking the "can't walk off the island" mantra literally.
James W - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 09:58 AM EDT (#294644) #
Thank you for the list, always enjoyable to read.

Small nit to pick, Norris was a 2nd round pick, at least the way MLB classified the draft.
Parker - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 09:59 AM EDT (#294645) #
Great writeup!

The development strategy on Pompey is interesting - promote him as soon as he hits his 22nd double at that level. ;)

(I think there might be a typo or two in those stats)

Seriously though, thanks for the excellent work as always.
MatO - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 10:25 AM EDT (#294646) #
Thanks again guys. I read somewhere that Nay was battling an oblique issue all season. If true then maybe the power will come if healthy. Also agree that Norris as the 74th overall pick does not translate to the 4th round. Maybe 4th Blue Jay pick of that draft.
ogator - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 11:44 AM EDT (#294648) #
I'm sure this has been discussed to death and I don't want to start a metaphysical debate but I just don't understand putting Hoffman and Osuna ahead of Graveman. The argument, I suppose is about upside. Some guys bounce back from TJ surgery and some guys, not so much. One guy pitches great and the other two guys pitched great in the past and MAY pitch great in the future. I'd rather have the guy with the healthy arm.
John Northey - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 12:04 PM EDT (#294651) #
Top 10 by year going 1-10
2013: Click Here: Stroman, Sanchez, Osuna, Nolin, Norris, Barreto, Nay, DJ Davis, Pillar, Lugo
2012: Click Here: d'Arnaud, Sanchez, Syndergaard, Marisnick, Nicolino, Hechavarria, Osuna, DJ Davis, Norris, Stroman
2011: Click Here: d'Arnaud, Marisnick, Hutchison, Gose, Syndergaard, Nestor Molina, Nicolino, Norris, Hechavarria, McGuire
2010: Click Here:Drabek, JPA, Zack Stewart, Hechavarria, Carlos Perez, McGuire, Alvarez, AJ Jimenez, d'Arnaud, Thames
2009: Click Here: Zach Stewart, Moises Sierra, Henderson Alvarez, Chad Jenkins, JPA, Cooper, Tyler Pastornicky, Carlos Perez, Daniel Farquhar, Tim Collins
2008: Click Here: Snider, Cecil, JPA, Cooper, Ahrens, Brad Mills, Justin Jackson, Scott Campbell, Ricky Romero, Rzepczynski
2007: Click Here: Snider, Cecil, Ahrens, Robinzon Diaz, Yohermyn Chavez, John Tolisano, Ricky Romero, David Purcey, Kyle Ginley, Rzepczynski
2006: Click Here: Lind, Snider, Thigpen, Ricky Romero, Davis Romero, Rosario, Purcey, Cheng, Litsch, Patterson
2005: Click Here: McGowan, Purcey, Janssen, Zach Jackson, Lind, Quiroz, Ricky Romero, Banks, Marcum, Rosario
2004: Click Here: Hill, Banks, League, Rosario, Marcum, Chacin, McGowan, Vermilyea, Hattig, Purcey

Interesting lists in the past, big question is will this years produce more talent?
#1's: Stroman, obviously a success.  d'Arnaud also successful (for the Mets) with his 105 OPS+ after a horrid start.  Drabek flopped, Stewart flopped, Snider finally had an OPS+ higher than his age 20 ML call up (118 this year) but has yet to get 400 PA in a season in the majors.  Lind kills RHP, McGowan has been frustrating, and Hill was a big time success.

So will Norris be like Stroman or more like Drabek & Stewart?  Time will tell I guess.
Mylegacy - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 12:28 PM EDT (#294653) #
OK - again, once more into the breach (see my 30-21 and 20 -11 comments)

This time I'll split the pitchers and rank them separately, then the hitters and rank them separately, and then the final combined 1 - 10 list...
Remember these projections are on final career stat's as I see them unfolding...

Pitchers:
1) Sanchez
2) Hoffman
3) Norris
4) Osuna
5) Castro
6) Graveman

Hitters:
1) Pentecost
2) Pompey
3) Barreto
4) Nay

OVERALL:

1) Sanchez (WOW - just WOW)
2) Hoffman (DITTO)
3) Pentecost (to quote my niece's FAB twitter vocabulary - OMG)
4) Norris (frequent All-Star)
5) Pompey (CFer for a generation)
6) Osuna (would be WAY higher on any other teams list)
7) Castro (DITTO)
(The next three are a gap lower...)
8) Nay (a solid keeper)
9) Barreto (IF - I thought the guy would stick at SS (with a better glove than he's shown so far) (and it could happen - but I don't think it will) then he might be 4 or 5 on the combined list.
10) Graveman (another Nolin{ish}) type guy. He'll have an OK career as a starter for someone - or a better than OK career for someone in the pen.)

On the three lists I see EIGHT potential frequent All-Stars: Sanchez, Hoffman, Pentecost, Norris, Pompey, Osuna, Castro and Alford.

If one can forget for a moment that I have a tendency to see the Jay's world through rose coloured glasses (or the bottom of Scotch glasses - if you prefer) I cannot remember the Jays ever having so much high end talent in one set of prospects. I am - pumped!

Guys - what an excellent three pieces of work on our prospects - BRAVO!
greenfrog - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 02:49 PM EDT (#294655) #
For fans of Osuna (I've been paying attention ever since the Jays signed him out of the Mexican League in 2011), the following comments (Oct. 24) by Kiley McDaniel might be of interest:

12:43
Comment From Andy Dirks
Have you seen post-TJ Roberto Osuna?

12:43
Kiley McDaniel: Yep, good stuff, command inconsistent, but mid rotation potential if it all comes together.

1:18
Comment From Scott
post-TJ Roberto Osuna is getting lit up in the AFL

1:18
Kiley McDaniel: He got lit up in the start I saw too, but it was up to 97 with above average secondaries. Command is the last thing to come after TJ.
greenfrog - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 02:50 PM EDT (#294656) #
Sorry - here's the link to the McDaniel chat:

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/kiley-mcdaniel-prospects-chat-102414/
greenfrog - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 02:59 PM EDT (#294657) #
Also, great work on the prospect lists. They're always fun to peruse. The rejuvenated farm system does make the ML mediocrity a bit easier to take. AA deserves credit for rebuilding the system after the Miami/Mets/Indians trades.
Spifficus - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 03:08 PM EDT (#294658) #
I assume that's another Yan Gomes reference, greenfrog. Did he every actually appear on the Box's top 30?

Speaking of which, add my thanks to another fine job on the prospect list (and prospect coverage in general).
John Northey - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 03:25 PM EDT (#294659) #
Nope, Gomes never made a Batters Box top 30.  He really flew under the radar.  10th round pick in 2009, the most PA in a season in the minors he had was 334.  Last year he had 518 for Cleveland after 322 his first year there.  So basically he didn't have a shot pre-Cleveland and once there and given it he took off.
greenfrog - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 03:47 PM EDT (#294660) #
Even if Gomes wasn't on some prospect lists, in retrospect, he was one of the best prospects in the system at the time of the trade, as ge's since blossomed into an All-Star calibre catcher. Mentioning the Indians trade wasn't a swipe at the Jays; rather, it was to give AA credit for replenishing a system that was heavily depleted by three trades.
jerjapan - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 04:05 PM EDT (#294661) #
Great list, thanks!

Mike Green, you say this is the best crop in a decade or more - can you remember equivalent crops of talent from back in the day?  which year?  this is certainly as good as I recall, but my prospect watching doesn't go back that far.  

is there going to be a 'just missed' list this year?  I feel this organization has both quality at the top of the prospect heap (especially relative to some of those lists John Northey posted - Curtis Thigpen?  Davis Romero?  Hattig?  Ginley?) and good quality depth beyond the top 30. 
Mike Green - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 04:29 PM EDT (#294662) #
In 1993, the Blue Jays had Delgado, Alex Gonzalez (who was a red-hot prospect) and Shawn Green.  Chris Carpenter was their #1 pick that year.  Kelvim Escobar had been signed in 1992, but didn't play in North America until 1994.  Steve Karsay was in Knoxville and was pitching well.  Paul Spoljaric and Felipe Crespo were interesting.  Jose Silva was in Hagerstown that year and pitching well.  Having just won two World Series titles, their farm system was actually in very good shape. 
dan gordon - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 04:42 PM EDT (#294663) #
It was great to see the development of guys like Sanchez, Norris, Pompey and others this season. Hopefully that continues in 2015. Thanks for all the work putting the list together.

Found 3 mistakes in the article/tables if you want to correct them. Pompey had 0 CS in AAA this year, the chart says he had 9. The write up on Pentecost says he's turning 21 in March - he'll actually be turning 22. Graveman's ERA in 2013 at Lansing was 4.31, not 0.00 as the table indicates.
Thomas - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 05:12 PM EDT (#294664) #
Gomes appeared on at least one "Prospects to Watch" list, if I recall correctly.
greenfrog - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 05:36 PM EDT (#294665) #
Maddon is going to manage the Cubs. Nice move, Epstein. Things are looking up in Chicago.
#2JBrumfield - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 07:25 PM EDT (#294666) #
Small nit to pick, Norris was a 2nd round pick, at least the way MLB classified the draft.

The development strategy on Pompey is interesting - promote him as soon as he hits his 22nd double at that level. ;)

Noted and corrected! Thanks for pointing those errors out. We try to get this stuff right but these things happen.

I also screwed up in my write-ups of Labourt and Tirado. I originally said in the 30-21 prospects thread that Tirado celebrated his birthday by signing his deal with the Jays when it was in fact Labourt who signed on his b-day so I apologize for the confusion.

Thanks for all the comments on the prospects threads. I spent so much time on it I was late picking up the missus from work by only half-an-hour earlier this week. She's not bitter at all! ;D

Moving on, BlueJays.com has a feature on Dalton Pompey at the Arizona Fall League while MiLB has a story on Daniel Norris.
greenfrog - Wednesday, October 29 2014 @ 11:23 PM EDT (#294671) #
What a postseason this has been.

To all the people who have strenuously argued that having a nice balanced roster is better than having a playoff ace, Madison Bumgarner says hello.
dan gordon - Thursday, October 30 2014 @ 12:09 AM EDT (#294675) #
Madison pitched 52 innings this post season. The Giants other 3 starters (Peavy, Hudson, Vogelsong) pitched 47 COMBINED.
John Northey - Thursday, October 30 2014 @ 07:50 AM EDT (#294677) #
Nice to see the Rays shedding talent to the NL.  Maddon with the Cubs should also help put pressure on the White Sox to do something - hopefully they decide to overpay for Lind :)

As to the WS - I didn't watch much but boy did I enjoy the end of game 7.  For a moment I thought the keystone cops routine in the outfield would lead to the game being tied but instead just left a runner on 3rd with one out to go.  Quite exciting as I love it when one swing of the bat could switch who wins the World Series - regardless of what happens that makes it more fun to watch.
John Northey - Thursday, October 30 2014 @ 09:33 AM EDT (#294679) #
Checking the top 10....
By age in 2014: 20-19-23-21-19-21-18-21-21-21... 3 teenagers, 1 at 20, 5 at 21, 1 at 23
Highest Level: A+, A+, MLB, A-, A+, NCAA, A-, MLB, MLB, MLB

Surprising none 'stalled' in AA/AAA.  Just one short season outside of the injured college kid.

2009 was probably the weakest top 10 looking back.  What was it?
Age: 19-22-18-19-22-23-21-19-20-22 ... 4 teenagers, 1 at 20, 1@21, 3@22, 1@23
Level: AA. AA. R. A+. AA. AAA. NCAA. A-,AA, AAA (NCAA was Chad Jenkins)

So a lot in AA (4) and AAA (2) plus 2 short season and an NCAA'er. 

Very different groups I'd say.  Seems AA will promote kids who are top prospects quickly from AA/AAA vs JPR (outside of Snider of course).  Wonder if that is a factor, that true top prospects don't linger in AA/AAA but force their way to the majors once they are that close.  Bit surprising to see both lists have someone who was just in the NCAA and both were ranked top 5.  A good sign that this years is viewed as a potential #1 pick but was 5th vs Jenkins who wasn't and was ranked #4.
Mike Green - Thursday, October 30 2014 @ 12:13 PM EDT (#294682) #
Mesa gets to face Tyler Glasnow in the AFL today.  He's not quite Felix Hernandez, but it would be a good test for Smith and Pompey.
bpoz - Wednesday, November 05 2014 @ 08:27 AM EST (#294803) #
So far this year D Pompey has had 541 ABs. His results are good too.
bpoz - Wednesday, November 05 2014 @ 08:35 AM EST (#294804) #
Dwight Smith Jr too has had a long & successful season. He was drafted in 2011, DOB Oct 26, 1992, so he may be been a HS pick. If so then he does not need to be protected until after the 2015 season.

The position players are starting to get ready for the Majors.
SK in NJ - Wednesday, November 05 2014 @ 11:48 AM EST (#294810) #
Baseball America listed their top 10 Jays prospects list.

TOP 10 PROSPECTS
1. Daniel Norris, lhp
2. Aaron Sanchez, rhp
3. Jeff Hoffman, rhp
4. Dalton Pompey, of
5. Franklin Barreto, ss
6. Max Pentecost, c
7. Roberto Osuna, rhp
8. Richard Urena, ss
9. Miguel Castro, rhp
10. Sean Reid-Foley, rhp
Gerry - Wednesday, November 05 2014 @ 12:07 PM EST (#294812) #
It is not surprising that BA included Urena and Reid-Foley in their top ten and excluded Nay and Graveman who were on Da Boxes list. Graveman was not a top pick, usually a negative for BA. And Nay could end up at first base, BA's 2018 lineup has him there, another negative for the tools focused BA.

BA usually rate current year top drafted players highly so Reid-Foley makes it. Urena has tools so that isn't a surprise either.

I would say that BA and Batters Box are closely aligned with BA favouring tools and Da Box favouring performance.
Mike Green - Wednesday, November 05 2014 @ 12:18 PM EST (#294815) #
Hoffman ahead of Pompey is insane.  It isn't really upside that drives such an evaluation- Hoffman's upside is "ace starting pitcher"; Pompey's is "Gold-Glove centerfielder/excellent leadoff hitter".  Never mind that Hoffman has had TJ.  What really drives the evaluation is draft order.  Phooey.  It's the same thing that caused BA to rate DJ Davis so highly last year and they don't seem to be learning.
Jdog - Wednesday, November 05 2014 @ 05:29 PM EST (#294826) #
To be fair what really drives draft order ....tools, performance etc. When its recent draft picks and they are being rated highly its hard to say that BA is just looking at their draft order, they may indeed be looking at the same things the teams looked at(tools, projection, performance) which led to them getting drafted high.
ayjackson - Wednesday, November 05 2014 @ 07:08 PM EST (#294827) #
BA's list is not too dissimilar from the one I posted here in September. Same players, different order.

1. Aaron Sanchez, RHP
2. Daniel Norris, LHP
3. Dalton Pompey, CF
4. Franklin Barreto, SS
5. Jeff Hoffman, RHP
6. Roberto Osuna, RHP
7. Sean Reid-Foley, RHP
8. Miguel Castro, RHP
9. Max Pentecost, C
10.Richard Urena, SS
short - Friday, November 07 2014 @ 09:06 AM EST (#294862) #
Great work as always! Any honorable mentions available? I am also very intrigued by some of our players who are rule 5 eligible. Thanks!
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