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A couple of Canadians led the way on Thursday. Tanner Kirwer had three hits as New Hampshire had the bats going, fifteen hits in all. In addition to the hitting, good pitching from Nick Fraze helped secure the win. Vancouver were another team that brought out the lumber as they hit double digits in hits and scored eight runs in their win. Dunedin's Dasan Brown was the star for Dunedin in a close win. Buffalo's Zach Logue didn't have it and Buffalo lost.

Worcester 8 Buffalo 5

Binghamton 3 New Hampshire 10

Vancouver 8 Hillsboro 6

Dunedin 3 Lakeland 2

FCL Blue Jays 8 FCL Yankees 6 - Game 1

FCL Blue Jays 3 FCL Yankees 4 - game 2

This is what I noted from yesterday's games.

Zach Logue has been pitching well for Buffalo but that came to a halt in the first inning. He hit two batters than gave up a double and a home run and the Bisons were down 4-0 before they came to bat. Logue hit one of those batters again in the third and he scored on another double. Then the hitter who homered in the first, homered again in the fifth. In total Logue went five innings but gave up six runs. Kyle Johnston gave up his first run in AAA while Fitz Stadler and Jacob Barnes kept their zero ERA's.

Cullen Large hit a two run home run and was 2-4. Forrest Wall was 2-4 with a walk. Richard Urena also had two hits.

Fifteen hits and three home runs for New Hampshire. Three hits and three runs scored for Tanner Kirwer including his fifth home run. His home run was an inside the park one. Five other hitters had two hits each. Jordan Groshans was 2-5 to keep his hot streak going. Samad Taylor also had two hits. The three home runs were from Kirwer, Ryan Gold and Demi Orimoloye.

Nick Fraze made his third start in AA, his longest. In his three starts he has allowed three, two and now one run. His ERA is 3.86.

Rafael Lantigua took the first pitch of the game over the wall for a home run. That was the start of the hit fest. Every hitter in the lineup had at least one hit, six of them also walked. Six scored runs and six drove in a run. Lantigua and Phil Clarke had two hits each. Clarke drove in three runs.

CJ Van Eyk threw to perfect innings, 19 pitches, and was pulled before the third. I am not sure if it was injury related or pitch limits as we are getting late in the season. Van Eyk doesn't even get a mention in the post game write up on the C's website. Hagen Danner threw two more shutout innings with two K's.

In Dunedin Trent Palmer made his first start since his no hitter. He wasn't as sharp in this game. In the second inning he walked the bases full and a single scored a run. Another run scored in the fifth on a wild pitch. Palmer threw five innings, three hits, four walks and six K's.

Dasan Brown had a good game. In the first inning he walked, stole second, and scored on a PK Morris single. In the seventh, after a couple of walks, Hugo Cardona and Brown each singled in a run. Brown was 2-4 with a walk.

In the first FCL game the top three in the Jays order were rehabbers. They recorded four of the Jays six hits and drove in seven of the eight runs. Leo Jimenez was 1-3, Trevor Schwecke was 1-3 with three RBI and Brock Lundquist was 2-4 with a home run. Lundquist's rehab must be almost over at this stage. Rikelbin De Castro had a single and two walks but made two errors.

In the second FCL game the Jays had six hits, all singles. Amell Brazoban had two to keep his batting average at .325.

Three Stars

Third Star - Rafael Lantigua

Second Star - Dasan Brown

First Star - Tanner Kirwer


Kirwer and Brown Star | 9 comments | Create New Account
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uglyone - Friday, August 27 2021 @ 11:02 AM EDT (#405710) #
Austin Martin closing in on 100pa now with the twins.

w/Jays: 250pa, 14.8bb%, 5.6hbp%, 21.2k%, .368babip, .281avg, .424obp, .102iso, 132wrc+

w/Twins: 94pa, 14.9bb%, 8.5hbp%, 21.3k%, .314babip, .236avg, .415obp, .111iso, 123wrc+

With his babip dropping to a more normal level, he's unsurprisingly seen his batting average sink accordingly - he needed a great babip to put up a decent average, and with a mediocre babip that drops to a poor average. The gap between his babip and average remains around 80-90pts in both cases. Note that I wouldn't even say his .236avg with the Twins is worse than his .281avg with the Jays - to me, it's showing the exact same skill level, just with different babip luck.

His lack of power is unchanged - .102iso to .111iso - pretty much the identical lack of power.

Both his BB rate and his K rate remain identical - his BB rate is legit great, while his K rate is mediocre to poor considering his lack of power.

Hilariously, his already incredible hit by pitch rate with the Jays has only increased with the Twins. This has allowed him to maintain a similarly great OBP despite the big drop in batting average. I have no idea if that is sustainable but I doubt it. HBP is not a carrying tool as far as I know.

So so far his profile remains the same with the twins as it did with the Jays - a guy who is only showing one tool so far - the ability to lay off pitches and draw walks.
greenfrog - Friday, August 27 2021 @ 11:41 AM EDT (#405711) #
OK - now break down Berrios’s performance with the Jays for comparison purposes.
uglyone - Friday, August 27 2021 @ 11:49 AM EDT (#405712) #
Berrios: 4.9ip/gs, 108era-, 100fip-, 109xfip-

Not awful, but not good enough so far for sure.

Looking across all the underlying numbers and what sticks out seems to be the .392babip against. Doesn't seem to be getting hit any harder, his K, BB, and LD rates about the same as usual.

Batted ball numbers seem to have two outliers so far - a big jump in fly balls and a big jump in opposite field hits, both large outliers vs anytime in his career so far.

Not good enough so far but nothing a good outing or two can't fix, and I think the numbers suggest that's more likely than not.

bpoz - Friday, August 27 2021 @ 12:19 PM EDT (#405713) #
Thanks for the analysis UO. By this off season and the results for next season we will have more info.

Berrios needs to be good enough to get a QO after next season OR healthy enough to pitch 150-180 innings with an ERA of about 4.00. This is a solid #3/4 level. I don't know how much he will be paid next year.
bpoz - Friday, August 27 2021 @ 01:25 PM EDT (#405716) #
In 2017 Bo was a 19 year old who demolished Lansing and Dunedin. O Martinez is 19 this year an did V well in A- but A+ so far is giving him trouble. Moreno is doing better than BO did in AA but Moreno is doing this at 1 year older.

Fantastic prospects.
Gerry - Friday, August 27 2021 @ 02:44 PM EDT (#405724) #
Shi Davidi says the Jays are planning to resign Elvis Luciano. I presume that means if he doesn't get a batter offer.
PeterG - Friday, August 27 2021 @ 03:07 PM EDT (#405730) #
Would that re-signing be to a minor league deal?
Gerry - Friday, August 27 2021 @ 03:15 PM EDT (#405731) #
I presume that means if he doesn't get a BETTER offer.

Yes, it would have to be a minor league deal, otherwise the release makes no sense.
scottt - Saturday, August 28 2021 @ 08:53 AM EDT (#405778) #
He'll be rule 5 eligible fairly quickly.
It's a bit different from Harold Ramirez who took a pay cut to go to Florida because he foresaw, rightly, more opportunity there.

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